Will there be a Triple Crown winner this year? In spite of the sincerest efforts by the NYRA to disrupt the preparation of each horse, very possibly ...
The preparation was always big for I'll Have Another, who travels with and is shown the ropes by Lava Man, who, judging from the stories, seems to keep IHA relaxed and focused. He also arrives at the track very early, which is a big plus (particularly for this race, as confirmed by Billy Turner who trained 1977 TC winner Seattle Slew). Jockey Mario Gutierrez is taking the week before the race off to better familiarize himself with the track. The emphasis on an ideal preparation makes the over-the-top involvement of the NYRA all the more annoying. Like a referee who prances over the field, imagining himself more important than the athletes around him.
There may be a field of 10 or 11 horses, but this looks like a 4 horse race. The distance will be a big challenge. Performance range is indicated by Beyers and some of the horses in this race have no business being there, most notably Five Sixteenth, who never ran higher than a 78 Beyer. With highs below 90, Atigun, Unstoppable U, and Guyana Dweep Star can also be safely tossed out. For three year olds I use the general guideline that a horse, for an excellent race, will not record a figure that is better than his previous high plus 10 (fast and firm tracks only). Two horses on the bubble are Street Life and Optimizer.
Baffert is sending another speed, replacing Bodemeister with Paynter, who ran a fast 106 Beyer at Pimlico in race 4 on Preakness day. Rider will again be Mike Smith, who also rode Bodemeister. Familiar faces at the wire?
Dullahan, a closer, finished strong in the Kentucky Derby, which had blazing fractions. Change of rider from Kent Desormeaux to Javier Castellano. Highest Beyer 98. Distance could favor him, but the pace may not.
Union Rags, a stalker, has not shown much since his 2 year old season. The horse seems to have a more impressive following than learning curve, but is still among contenders. Highest Beyer 95. Other than the catchy name, I'm not a fan of this horse, who seems to lack the necessary burst of speed.
I'll Have Another will be the race favorite. Everybody knows the story. Highest Beyer 109.
At a first glance I think it may be between I'll Have Another and Dullahan. More later.
The preparation was always big for I'll Have Another, who travels with and is shown the ropes by Lava Man, who, judging from the stories, seems to keep IHA relaxed and focused. He also arrives at the track very early, which is a big plus (particularly for this race, as confirmed by Billy Turner who trained 1977 TC winner Seattle Slew). Jockey Mario Gutierrez is taking the week before the race off to better familiarize himself with the track. The emphasis on an ideal preparation makes the over-the-top involvement of the NYRA all the more annoying. Like a referee who prances over the field, imagining himself more important than the athletes around him.
There may be a field of 10 or 11 horses, but this looks like a 4 horse race. The distance will be a big challenge. Performance range is indicated by Beyers and some of the horses in this race have no business being there, most notably Five Sixteenth, who never ran higher than a 78 Beyer. With highs below 90, Atigun, Unstoppable U, and Guyana Dweep Star can also be safely tossed out. For three year olds I use the general guideline that a horse, for an excellent race, will not record a figure that is better than his previous high plus 10 (fast and firm tracks only). Two horses on the bubble are Street Life and Optimizer.
Baffert is sending another speed, replacing Bodemeister with Paynter, who ran a fast 106 Beyer at Pimlico in race 4 on Preakness day. Rider will again be Mike Smith, who also rode Bodemeister. Familiar faces at the wire?
Dullahan, a closer, finished strong in the Kentucky Derby, which had blazing fractions. Change of rider from Kent Desormeaux to Javier Castellano. Highest Beyer 98. Distance could favor him, but the pace may not.
Union Rags, a stalker, has not shown much since his 2 year old season. The horse seems to have a more impressive following than learning curve, but is still among contenders. Highest Beyer 95. Other than the catchy name, I'm not a fan of this horse, who seems to lack the necessary burst of speed.
I'll Have Another will be the race favorite. Everybody knows the story. Highest Beyer 109.
At a first glance I think it may be between I'll Have Another and Dullahan. More later.