Horse Racing questions and answers

[BOA12]

B12: That would be Laurel Park. It would be my pleasure if that occurred.

Ball is my court,

might drag J and the Chief of AC

2 split the gas 3ways - first leg of a possible

odyssey of 3.

It would be my pleasure to make that occur.

Tazmania out-law line;


30-1

[str]

Ball is my court,

might drag J and the Chief of AC

2 split the gas 3ways - first leg of a possible

odyssey of 3.

It would be my pleasure to make that occur.

Tazmania out-law line;


30-1

How about we split it 4 ways.

[BOA12]

How about we split it 4 ways.

MIA bound- GP or bust 4US.

4-horse lover brothers

on a quest like no others.

[BOA12]

Chief all in, road trip/poker game.

Can't justify one w/out the other.

[JBEX]

hey str

I think on paper white abarrio will be the speed in the big race but what good is it to have sovereignty sitting right off your flank .. how about throwing a bit of a curveball , take back after the break , "possibly" getting SOV to do something he's never done and wind up on the lead .. be the pressee vs being the pressed .. like to know what your thoughts are on the race besides
that

[JBEX]

I'd want at least 5-1 on white abarrio and think he will be higher than the 7-2 ml

[str]

hey str

I think on paper white abarrio will be the speed in the big race but what good is it to have sovereignty sitting right off your flank .. how about throwing a bit of a curveball , take back after the break , "possibly" getting SOV to do something he's never done and wind up on the lead .. be the pressee vs being the pressed .. like to know what your thoughts are on the race besides
that

So this would be a bet that is all about position and the clock. We've certainly seen that before. Pace makes the race, right? In a race like this, I would think that Mott would not want to be laying 2nd early. He would be most likely uncomfortable with that. Why? Because Mott is not running for today. Mott is running for the year. This is the 1st race. So IMO, it's a mindset. It's a build that starts today. That is certainly how I would look at it.
He wants Sov to break and find a stride. Breath and find a relaxed, comfortable position. Now that could be 2nd... but... Mott's main objective is not winning today, odd as that might sound. Does he want to? Of course. But his number one job is to map out a season for this horse. It is not to win at all costs today like there is no tomorrow. So all of this becomes a mental approach. I do hope that makes sense to fans who are anxious to see this race today. Mott is looking for RELAX AND BREATH. Settle and go when asked.

In the NFL, the objective is to make the playoffs and win the Super Bowl. Anyone remember the Seahawks first game of the season last year? I don't.
So admit it or not, like it or not, the mindset for a trainer HAS to be, the season. This might rub bettors the wrong way but it's the truth and the only practical way it can be professionally approached. And this happens every year. All the time. Please everyone, do not misconstrue what I say to be that the race if fixed, or someone might not be trying. That is ridiculous. But the honest reality is the season, not the day. I hope people can understand that.

So with all that said, in a race void of any true speed, if White Arbarrio breaks running, why NOT go to the lead? Nobody wants it. So sure, make the lead if it is available, slow down the pace and see what happens from the 3/8ths pole home. I also think 5-1 would be a solid play on price. Why? Because if that race on paper materializes, it seems too me that W. A. would likely win 2 out of 5 of those with a half mile in 48 and change relaxed and uncontested early. Maybe 2 1/2 times on average. So, 5-1 is value.

W. A. is running to make money. Period. So he is ready with nothing to lose and everything to gain. Sov. , Journalism are both getting their 4 yr. old campaign going. Neither horse should be geared up to the moon for today. It's a long season.
Either could win, heck why not? But the value is most likely in W.A. today. Of course, value doesn't pay the bills, winning does, . As long as the player approaches the race with those things in mind, they will be fine because they will have a true understanding of what they are watching.

Solid observation JBEX. It's always pretty cool when we all look at the same form and see things so differently. We see this the same.

Enjoy the race everyone. I'm off to Laurel for King T.'s celebration of life this morning at Laurel. I'll see the old crowd I assume. King was one of a kind. So glad I got to know him so well in his last years when we were not competing.

GL everyone.