Jbex plays

[JBEX]

Similar thoughts in the 6th, I think Mott's could surprise... but ended up playing 5,9 w/ 5,9 w/ 1,3,8

My thought process was I think the 5 is the winner and if it comes 5-1 or 1-5 isn't paying anything. So hoping for the mott/Junior to surprise and get in top 2...

Lets get it tomorrow , rest of week should be live cards with good weather.

Looking forward to your thoughts.

ty

think the debuters (2,5,6)are very live in that race and mott probably wasn't to concerned with the debut of his and should improve 2nd out..think the 1 has a sprint under him that's a good primer to stretch out off and being by curlin he should like the added ground..albert stall's #2 another elite pedigree top and bottom..empire maker and dam a big producer..I just weighed pletcher's pair a little higher and since I respect a lot of them decided to try the triple..excellent race and have a hunch they'll be at least one big time horse down the road amongst this group


nice writeups on yours also..won't be around tomorrow but will probably look at friday!s card tomorrow night..good luck


added last race above

[JBEX]

saratoga

R10 #9 foti

know it's dirt


been taking a shot at it about every 4-5 weeks since her debut 3 starts back.. all efforts not terrible if you factor in the trouble he's had in all of his races .. claimed by serpe (solid trainer) for same price he's up for today.. his pedigree goes either way so don't think dirt will be a problem..always find it interesting when they work a horse a mile and that was this ones only workout since the claim



del mar


R5 #8 lemon king (5-1)

nice when you get a cal bred fts by "kitten's joy" out of a "lemon drop kid" mare.. two turns turf what this one's meant to do and prat rides


R7 #6 strong constitution (9-2) tomorrow

some really expensive/well bred first time starters in here (346).. two expensive ones that have run once already also not out of it.. think 3 is meant more for distance down the road.. slight preference for mine over the 4



R7 #7 live it well (6-1)

[JBEX]

added del mar 5 7

[Louisvillekid1]

Showing radish as the 6 in 7th

[JBEX]

Showing radish as the 6 in 7th

that's because it's tomorrow's race lol.. thanks for the heads up.. gonna look at today's now


CANCEL R7.. IT'S TOMORROW'S RACE

[JBEX]

added today's 7th

[Louisvillekid1]

Nice pick lemon king

[JBEX]

Nice pick lemon king

thanks.. saw you put a lot into tomorrow's card which is excellent and of course the pinnacle day on saturday with the travers..weather great right through the weekend so should be some great betting races.. have to admit just because they're stakes races doesn't make them auto good bets to me.. actually prefer the regular stuff you get during the week overall but sure they'll be some good opportunities

[Louisvillekid1]

Yeah I tend to agree with that as well

bigger pools and more of an entertainment day honestly

But the regular stuff more profitable

[Louisvillekid1]

Forgot to tell you I tailed that lemon kid ty

[JBEX]

Yeah I tend to agree with that as well

bigger pools and more of an entertainment day honestly

But the regular stuff more profitable

absolutely..if I kept a tally be happy to just break even on those days over a large sample ..not that you couldn't get a little lucky and make a nice score..but since the big days like this are few and far between have a little fun with them and hope for the best..glad you had lemon king

[JBEX]

saratoga

R1 #1 deeply analytical (5-2)

R4 #1 true grace (5-1)
R4 #9 three jokers (6-1)

R5 pass

[Louisvillekid1]

I’ll have a win bet on 3 jokers

just couldn’t single the 1 in opener

you think worthy of a single?

If can beat that one with the 4 or 7 could explode the early horizontal


didnt use true grace

[JBEX]

I’ll have a win bet on 3 jokers

just couldn’t single the 1 in opener

you think worthy of a single?

If can beat that one with the 4 or 7 could explode the early horizontal


didnt use true grace

didn't play the 1 just because of Chad brown.. very expensive for the pedigree specs and I stick to that angle.. I'll get back to you on true grace as to why

[JBEX]

the 2 and 3 would be my others.. hard to separate them

[Louisvillekid1]

didn't play the 1 just because of Chad brown.. very expensive for the pedigree specs and I stick to that angle.. I'll get back to you on true grace as to why

Of course, I’d never expect to play a horse cuz chad brown

[JBEX]

as far as true grace sire off to fast (no pun) with debut horses. all 4 of dam's starter winners.. dam sire classy and above avg first out.. Joel great with clement.. solid not spectacular works which is what I like.. negative the rail sucks at this distance

[JBEX]

saratoga.. saturday

R2 #2 moonshine now (10-1)
R2 #8 icecap (12-1)

R3 #6 ocean fire (10-1)
R3 #8 madame orbe (15-1)

R4 #8 t loves a fight (4-1)
R5 #4 killybegs captain (15-1) forego g1

R6 #4 separation of powers (9-5) ballerina g1


R8 #9 mascha (9-2) ballston spa g2
R11 #2 code of honor (4-1) travers g1




R12 #4 five star bunt (12-1)
R13 #3 hidden facts (10-1)

[JBEX]

added 8 11

[JBEX]

finished

[Louisvillekid1]

T loves a flight really disappointed me

I went crazy heavy on that double w/ mitole

chalk 7 ran big at 3/1 I think , but thought that 8/3 double was real strong

[JBEX]

T loves a flight really disappointed me

I went crazy heavy on that double w/ mitole

chalk 7 ran big at 3/1 I think , but thought that 8/3 double was real strong

yeah don't have pp's in front of me now but liked t loves a fight and mitole back to his previous winning ways..got a decent run out of mine that race but mitole on another level

[Louisvillekid1]

Eric cancel gaining confidence late in this meet

maybe a horizontal ticket with the 5 in the 9th

your 3 and my 7 ain’t gonna get a lot attention at the window in the finale

with all those overplayed connections

[JBEX]

i'll take a look in the morning..i'm too tired to look now

[JBEX]

Eric cancel gaining confidence late in this meet

maybe a horizontal ticket with the 5 in the 9th

your 3 and my 7 ain’t gonna get a lot attention at the window in the finale

with all those overplayed connections

the maiden breaker last out, according to the comment line, was done with a very wide trip and he still won by 4 and was eased up late.. he was 9 lengths ahead of the 2nd place horse.. the pace that race was very fast (by figs) and he was close enough to it at the 2nd call (even though he was 6th out of 7) that he was actually about 2 lengths faster than par .. if cancel is riding well (don't follow that as closely) all the better and the only other mount he's had for this trainer besides this horse last out he won with.. also bauer (a bit of an obscure trainer but have heard of him) having an excellent meet.. lots to like there

[Louisvillekid1]

Yeah totally agree u

[JBEX]

saratoga

going to look at the board for the first two maiden races..will post something 10-15 before post time for both even if i'm passing the race

[JBEX]

saratoga

going to look at the board for the first two maiden races..will post something 10-15 before post time for both even if i'm passing the race

R1

board not giving me many clues so I'm going to go with who I would've in advance.. little cool @ 10-1

#3 strike magic.. 7 mtp

[JBEX]

R1

board not giving me many clues so I'm going to go with who I would've in advance.. little cool @ 10-1

#3 strike magic.. 7 mtp

late scratch.. will look at R2

[JBEX]

R2 #5 tench (3-1 @ 10 mtp)

think chad's (#7) is a little cold, not just by ml but what i think he should be.. combination of action and capping puts me on above

[JBEX]

saratoga

R7 #11 more or less (12-1)

first time starter ships in from laurel.. steady works, decent trainer and solid hometown jock comes along.. cost $125k and pedigree excellent win early and turf.. up for $75k doesn't concern me with the purses and prestige of winning up there.. plus a significant drop-off in competition even at that high tag vs msw competition


R10 #3 going to temple (8-1)
R10 #7 trans mississippi (30-1) half unit

discussed this race last night in louisvillekid's thread

[Louisvillekid1]

You play horses to WP OR just W

[JBEX]

You play horses to WP OR just W

I don't play (not able to financially).. even if I did it would only be small.. I just enjoy capping and the forum gives me a place to share my opinion.. if I did it would be mostly simple win and place.. think the pick 5 is an excellent bet but I enjoy picking my spots more and don't want to get to involved with races I don't like just because they're in the sequence.. should pass on more races than I do(posting) ...without getting too long winded as I've discussed in here before I think playing longshot underneath in supers and tris a good strategy.. that's where they're going to wind up most of the time if they run well.. cover with the top 2-5 horses in 1st an 2nd depending how you feel about the race.. I feel they pay more than they should over the long haul.. use steve crist's formula for calculating the fair payoffs based on odds

[JBEX]

del mar


R5 #3 torosay (6-1)

first time starter.. pedigree info on this horse is stellar


R9 #5 objective (9-2)

[JBEX]

finished del mar