I went 9 for 9 last night on O/U NHL! Here's how it works -->

[HotCapper25]

alright, lose your money, haha. The fact that he's going to try this in baseball is even worse, but do what you want.

[AceKingHigh]

this system is not going to work in the long run, haha

Ok, you are welcome to sit out and don't bet your SBR Points on it... lol

So far so good... let's keep on rolling! bring in some GOOD KARMA!

[AceKingHigh]

alright, lose your money, haha. The fact that he's going to try this in baseball is even worse, but do what you want.

Baseball is a coin flip IMO, but this is working, so please - stay on topic and just wish GOOD LUCK! not "lose your money, haha" @ss

[joedell]

he usually does better when theres more games like tonight there were only 3 games on last night and he wanted to force a pick in.

[dominate.]

Im not mad about a thing, i just didnt know he wasnt playing the original system anymore and all I wanted to do was play the original. That is it.

Sorry, I guess I misphrased it. What I really want to know is, what's the difference between this "original" system and the "new" system. I understand the original one, with adding the GF/GA and all, so what is he doing now?

[spankmythighs]

Picks are on their way. Let me clarify something, when I started doing this I was just using the total GF/GA for all of a teams games because their was only a small sample of games. Now that teams have played more home and away games, I am focusing more on what their average is when playing at home or when playing away. It was never really a system as it was just taking advantage of extra points based on averages. Last night for instance we would have been 3-0 by using GFA/GAA and GFH/GAH. With my original system we would have been 2-1 but we were 2-1 anyways. Hope everyone understands.
Oh and if you don't understand, GFA-goals for away, GAA-goals against away, GFH-goals for home, and GAH-goals against home.

[lunden]

are they coming soon? soon bed time here in sweden ;-) lol

[spankmythighs]

Yep I got them ready. Just one sec.

[spankmythighs]

Here are my picks for tonight:

EDM at BOS UNDER 6.5
CHI at CBJ UNDER 6.5
TOR at STL OVER 4.5
FLA at WPG UNDER 6.5
NYI at COL UNDER 6.5
MTL at PHX UNDER 6.5
MINN at SJ UNDER 6.5
VAN at LA UNDER 6.5

Lots of UNDERs tonight let's have a gd night!!

[spankmythighs]

Here are my picks for tonight:

EDM at BOS UNDER 6.5 -270
CHI at CBJ UNDER 6.5 -156
TOR at STL OVER 4.5 -303
FLA at WPG UNDER 6.5 -213
NYI at COL UNDER 6.5 -156
MTL at PHX UNDER 6.5 -286
MINN at SJ UNDER 6.5 -303
VAN at LA UNDER 6.5 -303

Lots of UNDERs tonight let's have a gd night!!

Just added the juice.

[deadstare]

[statnerds]

I think it would be beneficial if once you get a large enough sample size sometime next month, to take a look at how often you needed to buy the goal or goal and a half.

Another thing that would interest me is how often the other side would hit. For instance, I checked the Phi/TB over last night and 5Dimes had Over 5.5 -150. They had Over 5 at -480. So I put Under 5 +383 in a parlay with San Diego Ov 42. The odds just seemed so ridiculous on 5 OV 480, I had to take a shot on the other side.

Finally, I know that this will run in streaks for you, so money management is going to be vital, as it is with any sports investing.

Finally, part 2, are you tracking these in 2 or 3 tm RR's at all? That might prove profitable and insulate you against some risk.

Good luck.

[McNamara Banned]

Wow, its like a ghost town in here, gees 4 win and 4 losses, for every loss you need about 3 wins to break even.

The 4 losses you got now means you need 12 wins - 4 wins you got today, so you are 8 win out just to get your money back.

pm9964 and myself at least profited today from his original system, 6 wins and 2 losses and we don't
even have to try and get wins.


Here was Todays Selections, using his 1st System.

Boston - Edmonton................. 4.55 .................. 6.5 Under ......

Columbus - Chicago................ 5.86 .................. 4.5 Over ......

St Louis - Toronto................... 5.70 .................. 4.5 Over ......

Winnipeg - Florida .................. 5.53 .................. 4.5 Over ......

Colorado - N.Y Islanders ......... 5.32 .................. 6.5 Under ......

Phoenix - Montreal................. 5.37 .................. 6.5 Under ......

L.A Kings - Vancouver ............ 5.17 .................. 6.5 Under ......

San Jose - Minnesota ............. 4.84 .................. 6.5 Under ......


Nice going Spanks , Wow, Wow and Wow.

[Cyclone24]

^ Cool story bro. Why don't you post the results in your thread though? Oh I know why ... it's because you also came up with a system by yourself which went 0-4, and must be embarrassed to bump it: http://forum.sbrforum.com/hockey-bet...l#post12290347

You guys are accusing spankmytighs for trying to adjust his system instead of following it brainlessly. I like how one day the system doesn't provide positive results and you are like "this new system is 100% wrong, time to change it". You will have a great future in betting (NOT).
There's nothing wrong with adjusting a system and trying to understand it better/ see the difference in results. Using the home/away averages instead of overall averages makes perfect sense ... but of course it lost yesterday = time to forget it.
I hope everyone ignores amateur kids like McNamara and keep supporting spankmytighs for his work so far.

On topic about yesterday's matches: some teams don't have enough data on home/away averages and maybe it's better to ignore them for now. Also you can try to check both overall averages and home/away averages: if one gives over and the other gives under, maybe you should just avoid that match?
Good luck with your next plays.

[McNamara Banned]

Lols, ok you are right it is ok to adjust a system but there was nothing wrong with the 1st one, going 9-0 and 14-0.

Lols and yes my 4 tips missed out through O/T and not scoring enough goals, thats why they are called underdogs and watch my post I don't change the way I select my picks, and if you could read you would have seen the part saying I don't think N.Y Islanders have a chance but I won't change it to Colorado just because of a gut feeling.

And I only need 3 wins to get back on track.

Good luck with your 8 wins you need, Spanky's partner in crime.

Lols, did you honestly think, that many games would come 6.5 under, hmm, which system has that strike rate.

God you are pathetic, making excuses for a loss, maybe there isn't enough stats blah blah blah, it quite simple,
YOU DO NOT SELECT THAT GAME.

[spankmythighs]

Rough night last night. That'll happen. Ok so let's see what today brings. Backup goalies throw a real wrench into things aswell. We will get back on track. It was only a matter of time before I had a night like last. In betting, you can't have stellar nights with larger boards everytime. It's just not feasible. Being up so many units though I have a nice cushion plus last night the juice was low on a few games so the hit was not as bad as this DB thinks. Talk to u guys later.

[spankmythighs]

I was actually only down 4 units last night. Reduced juice on a couple of games really helped.

[Ryencee]

dunceNamara can't speak english properly let alone do the math to see how many units we actually lost. -4 units is nothing compared to how many units we're up

[leafs_ducks]

Looks pretty interesting. I'm not a fan of laying juice. Lolz. GL the rest of the season. Btw wat is the record so far? With units win/lost

[spankmythighs]

Here are my picks for tonight:

WAS at NJ OVER 4.5
DAL at PITT UNDER 6.5
CAR at NYR UNDER 6.5
OTT at BUF OVER 4.5
EDM at DET UNDER 6.5
CAL at CHI UNDER 6.5
VAN at ANA UNDER 6.5

Let's have an awesome night!!

[spankmythighs]

Here are my picks for tonight:
WAS at NJ OVER 4.5
DAL at PITT UNDER 6.5
CAR at NYR UNDER 6.5
OTT at BUF OVER 4.5
EDM at DET UNDER 6.5
CAL at CHI UNDER 6.5
VAN at ANA UNDER 6.5 Let's have an awesome night!!

Much better night!

[spankmythighs]

Here are today's picks:

BUF at BOS OVER 4.5
OTT at TOR OVER 4.5
NJ at WAS OVER 4.5
PITT at CAR OVER 4.5
DAL at DET UNDER 6.5
MPG at CBJ OVER 4.5
MTL at NAS UNDER 6.5
TB at STL UNDER 6.5
CAL at COL OVER 4.5
MINN at LA UNDER 6.5
PHX at SJ OVER 4.5

Let the games begin!

[Beavis169]

Got $20 on the last 4 games in a parlay..fingers crossed!

[spankmythighs]

Not a bad night 5-2 so far. Looking to go 8-2 for the night.

[spankmythighs]

8-3 for the night. Made a little money but not much. Will have todays picks shortly.

[ChileCheese]

7-4 actually, I think.

DET/DAL 7 goals
CLB/WPG 3 goals
SJ/PHX 3 goals
LA/MIN 7 goals.

These should be the 4 losses.

[csavoia]

good call chili, even so i see in the past three days an 18-7 runif i am not mistaken. i think he may be on to something here. worth keeping an eye on anyways. Hockey is my worst sport for betting so i will give most any system a shot at least once.

[spankmythighs]

You are right my mistake. 7-4 yesterday.

[psycho44]

good call chili, even so i see in the past three days an 18-7 runif i am not mistaken. i think he may be on to something here. worth keeping an eye on anyways. Hockey is my worst sport for betting so i will give most any system a shot at least once.

18-7 is not good considering the insane amount of juice. I think there's a loss of units in total. Though I do appreciate SMT's efforts in putting forth this system and have been using it for profits by picking and choosing the games instead of playing every game.

[Ralfbergs]

Ok, so I am using something like this tactic Spankmytights uses here - I have same lines (4.5 and 6.5) same small odds. I even tried calculating over/under just like you - first total, then by home and away etc (I have something like that for soccer too which works pretty decent). I did that before reading this so, what I wanted to say is - betting single bets on over/under 6,5 and 4,5 you really need to get like a high winning percentage - at least 70%. But, if you can make your daily picks reduced to 6 best picks (or even smaller, my tactic has 6 picks but that is more for english premier league and other soccer betting, in nhl there are days with just 4 games so ..) and make parlays with them - I make parlays by how good are statistics for the bet - for example betting on over 4,5 I want a game where average is like at least 6 goals etc. I make 11 parlays with these 6 games - best game + 2nd, best game +3rd etc. and then 2nd best game +3 etc. Only after making all parlays with 1st and 2nd game I reduce other parlays(I dont bet all parlays with 4th game and 5th game - just one more or something like that). In this case all parlays will have something like 1.9 to 2.0 odds (sorry for decimal odds, I'm not american, but you can calculate them- it's like betting 100 to win 100). In this case, if one game loses and other 5 wins - you win. if 2 games losses and they're not 1-4th best pick - you still win - if 1st to 4th you lose a little. if 3 of 6 loses you lose like half of what you bet (except if best 3 loses or something like that ) - 11parlays to bet - 11 units - in that case you lose like 5,5 units. I don't know if I wrote this clearly, but if you have questions ask , I will try to tell it more simply. But anyway GL spankmytights!

[spankmythighs]

Here are my picks for tonight although a little late:

FLA OVER 4.5
CHI UNDER 6.5
ANA UNDER 6.5
VAN OVER 4.5

Later guys. I will have an updated record shortly.

[McNamara Banned]

You can't claim the Florida Game after it has finished.

[Romanov]

You can't claim the Florida Game after it has finished.

guy is air betting

[thepuru]

Following this system I made the following bets in a parlay tonight:

PHI Flyers v FLO Panthers >4.5
NY Islanders v VAN Canucks <6.5
EDM Oilers v CHI Blackhawks >4.5
MIN Wild v ANA Ducks <6.5

Just a 20 dollar bet, @3.72

[Riceboi]

I just did all overs and hit a 4 team parlay lol