NHL 2 'dog system. (begins 1/7/11)

blaucoin · 02-01-11, 01:50 PM

Originally posted by MrMiami

I think Ottawa would be the system 3 play tonight. They are playing the devils who are favored with the least ammount of points for all the favs today. Can you just confirm that I am using the right criteria for this. I won't clutter up the forum with system 3, just want to make sure I use the right criteria going forward on my own. Thanks in advance.

You are correct my friend

rthoughton · 02-01-11, 02:39 PM

Originally posted by MrMiami

I think Ottawa would be the system 3 play tonight. They are playing the devils who are favored with the least ammount of points for all the favs today. Can you just confirm that I am using the right criteria for this. I won't clutter up the forum with system 3, just want to make sure I use the right criteria going forward on my own. Thanks in advance.

System 1: Of the underdogs on the list for any night with minimum 5 games, bet the 'dog (**this does not necessarily mean + $$) found highest in the standings according to points, IFF they are playing a team below them in the standings according to points.

System 2: bet the team with the biggest +# on the slate. (min 5 games)

System 3: Of the favorites on the list for any night with minimum 5 games, bet AGAINST the favorite found lowest in the standings according to points.

rthoughton · 02-01-11, 02:42 PM

Originally posted by Axis

I always just take the dog right at opening line...since Vancouver wasn't a dog, I went with Philly today.

If they are both dogs with the same pt total, I'll go with the team who has less wins because they are the true dog...or go with the team that is playing the worse team...

Vancouver opened as a pick'em -110, is that why you are suggesting that they were not a 'dog? If yes, then I can agree with that.

I booked Flyers at +Ev earlier this morning.
You are absolutely correct to make these plays according to opening lines. With your backtesting, are you getting opening lines for your research, or just closing? Because, as we are seeing with tonight, these shits are changing. a lot.

rthoughton · 02-01-11, 02:51 PM

PLAYS FOR TUESDAY FEBRUARY 1st.

System1: Philadelphia Flyers +Ev.

S1 YTD: 12-7, +7.20u

System2: Montreal Canadiens +150.

S2 YTD: 7-12, +0.65u

MJG24 · 02-01-11, 03:19 PM

"""How does anyone feel about adding a system... hit me today while driving. We play the 'dog with the best record, so why not play against the favorite with the worst record. just a thought."""

So yes, Ottawa is the system 3 play.

I have already taken Philly ml at +110 last night on bet365. I'm pretty confident in that pick.

MJG24 · 02-01-11, 03:21 PM

Originally posted by rthoughton

Vancouver opened as a pick'em -110, is that why you are suggesting that they were not a 'dog? If yes, then I can agree with that.

Last night on bet365 Vancouver was 2.05. Wish i grabbed it then.

Axis · 02-01-11, 05:35 PM

Originally posted by rthoughton

Vancouver opened as a pick'em -110, is that why you are suggesting that they were not a 'dog? If yes, then I can agree with that.

I booked Flyers at +Ev earlier this morning.
You are absolutely correct to make these plays according to opening lines. With your backtesting, are you getting opening lines for your research, or just closing? Because, as we are seeing with tonight, these shits are changing. a lot.

Yea, cuz at a pk I don't consider them a dog...and I use the opening lines.

MrMiami · 02-01-11, 06:16 PM

Thanks guys for confirming the system 3 pick.

Wouldn't system 2 be the islanders? Atl opened up at -200/+170 on islanders. I was surprised to see Montreal there.

rthoughton · 02-01-11, 06:49 PM

oh. maybe. NY Islanders were not on my list. oversight.
It's whatever. i got the Habs at +150, +150 on the NYI currently.
Is anyone actually playing S2, tho?

MrMiami · 02-01-11, 07:05 PM

Lol....I am, playing all 3 using labbys. I love these systems. I also play system 2 on puckline using a labby. So far so good....just hope these systems keep rolling. GL.

medjimurec · 02-01-11, 09:21 PM

rthoughton sir, let me make myself clear.i asked if some statistics are of more importance than other so i can left them out. seems so far that i'll have to take all the data internet offfffers. probably won't finish that job in time, but who cares

cheers

Chucker · 02-02-11, 12:14 AM

Hmmm...still don't know if you clarified very much. some websites mentioned in this thread are http://www.shrpsports.com/ (for historical standings) and http://www.sbrforum.com/nhl-hockey/odds-scores/ (for historical odds). There are other ones for finding data on what backup goalie has played and such. Good luck man.

bobturner · 02-02-11, 05:06 AM

Good call on Montreal!

rthoughton · 02-02-11, 09:55 AM

I hope that you all got a play on Vancouver, too. I, personally, consider a road team that opens as a pick'em a 'dog. I did play Vancouver on a side bet, and covered my actual pocket, but boy did the Flyers suck last night. ouch.

PLAYS FOR GROUNDHOG DAY!

System One: Phoenix Coyotes +110.

**Phoenix is at home against Vancouver, so this is a play even tho the Canucks are above in the standings.
S1: YTD 12-8, +6.20u

System Two: New York Islanders +185.

S2: YTD 8-12, +2.15u

rthoughton · 02-02-11, 09:57 AM

Sooo... I dont really understand this labby system. Ive done a little internet research... but it's still not making much sense.
Help.

cecil127 · 02-02-11, 10:12 AM

Originally posted by rthoughton

Sooo... I dont really understand this labby system. ... but it's still not making much sense. Help.

me neither but i have to chime in and agree: the flyers stunk out loud last night.

hope this isnt the start of the ol post AS break skid....
Secret Image trots again friday @ the Meadows. btw: sorry about the race 2 weeks ago. i dont know if you watched but he was showing the late foot on the far outside and looked like he'd pick up a check but the blanket finish kept him out of the money by fractions of inches.....then last week he missed 3rd by a nostril. but thats horse racing.....

blaucoin · 02-02-11, 10:32 AM

Originally posted by rthoughton

Sooo... I dont really understand this labby system. Ive done a little internet research... but it's still not making much sense. Help.

Lets say you bet $10 a game. You would start out 5-5-5-5 and your bet would be 10 because you add the first and last numbers. Lets say you lose, then it would be 5-5-5-5-10 and your next bet would be 15. When you win you cross out the first and last numbers. Pretty simple, and feel free to adjust lines when they get long or spilt them up between differnt lines.

Optional · 02-02-11, 06:50 PM

Originally posted by rthoughton

Sooo... I dont really understand this labby system. Ive done a little internet research... but it's still not making much sense.
Help.

It's a different kind of chase system.

http://platinumsportsinvesting.com/labourchere.aspx

bauerranch · 02-02-11, 10:50 PM

Look like the labby is the way to go. Howe many system 1 bets have lost in a row. I think about 5 right when I joined

Sorry I seem to of jinxed you guys

blaucoin · 02-03-11, 09:35 AM

Dallas for S1?

Is anyone taking this

rthoughton · 02-03-11, 09:46 AM

Originally posted by bauerranch

Look like the labby is the way to go. Howe many system 1 bets have lost in a row. I think about 5 right when I joined

Sorry I seem to of jinxed you guys

NO JINX!! ha. We will certainly have our ups and downs.
No problem. we will keep at it.

rthoughton · 02-03-11, 09:47 AM

S1 YTD 12-9 +5.2u
S2 YTD 8-13 +1.15u

rthoughton · 02-03-11, 09:51 AM

PLAYS FOR THURSDAY FEB 3.

System 1: Dallas Stars +150

System 2: Nashville Preds +160

Hells ya Im playin! and ice girls...?

why not.

Optional · 02-03-11, 10:15 AM

Maybe I'm confused, but isn't system 2 going against the lowest ranked favorite now?

Thought that would be Leafs to beat Hurricanes.

blaucoin · 02-03-11, 10:19 AM

Originally posted by Optional

Maybe I'm confused, but isn't system 2 going against the lowest ranked favorite now? Thought that would be Leafs to beat Hurricanes.

i think S2 is still biggest dog of the night

MrMiami · 02-03-11, 11:17 AM

Originally posted by Optional

Maybe I'm confused, but isn't system 2 going against the lowest ranked favorite now?

Thought that would be Leafs to beat Hurricanes.

Toronto is the system 3 play for today. I don't think it is being tracked in this thread anymore. It is 0-2 the last two days.

apwmel · 02-03-11, 11:26 AM

I feel a 2-0 sweep tonight.

rthoughton · 02-03-11, 01:49 PM

Once again... here are the systems:

System 1: Of the underdogs on the list for any night with minimum 5 games, bet the 'dog (**this does not necessarily mean + $$) found highest in the standings according to points, IFF they are playing a team below them in the standings according to points.

System 2: bet the team with the biggest +# on the slate. (min 5 games)

System 3: Of the favorites on the list for any night with minimum 5 games, bet AGAINST the favorite found lowest in the standings according to points.

rthoughton · 02-03-11, 01:52 PM

Originally posted by apwmel

I feel a 2-0 sweep tonight.

rthoughton · 02-03-11, 01:54 PM

Ok, so a couple of things...
I also want to add to S1 "IFF (if and only if) they are playing a team below them in the standings ON THE ROAD according to points."

and...

A team on the road as a pick'em will be considered a 'dog.
(so Vancouver would/should have been played the night the Flyers got romped...even if that means there are two plays.)

bobturner · 02-04-11, 02:53 AM

0-2, better today.

bobturner · 02-04-11, 02:53 AM

.... and thank you.

MJG24 · 02-04-11, 04:29 AM

Been using this System 1 for NBA, since Jan 24th, the ml is 5-4 (not sure exact units right now) and the ATS is 6-3. Will keep you guys informed as to how it's doing.

rthoughton · 02-04-11, 10:13 AM

Another suck night. this is really getting discouraging.

PLAYS FOR FRI FEB 4:

SYSTEM 1: NO PLAY.
S1 YTD: 12-10, +4.2u

System 2: Edmonton Oilers +170 (unless CBJ comes out bigger, which I doubt)

S2 YTD: 8-14, +0.15u

blaucoin · 02-04-11, 10:23 AM

Why are we playing Washington when they are lower than Tampa?