NHL 2 'dog system. (begins 1/7/11)

[rthoughton]

Starting tonight, I will start two different systems inside the same post.
First System: I will put one unit on the 'dog ranked highest in the standings according to points and double that unit if that team is at home.

Second System: I will put one unit on the biggest 'dog of the night.

SYSTEM 1 Play for 1/7:

+105, 1unit. (S1 YTD 0-0-0)

SYSTEM 2 Play for 1/7:

+235, 1unit. (S2 YTD 0-0-0)

There are clearly other things to consider here, and I am more than willing to listen to any ideas that will make us all some $$. Let's see how we do.

[Axis]

I'm interested in the "highest in the standings" portion...as for the biggest dog of the night...I posted some stats in your other thread about that...

I've tracked it all season because I too was looking at it and it hasn't fared all that well...27-53 on the season thus far (when there are 4 or more games on the day)

[rthoughton]

of all of the underdogs on any given night, the one who has the most points will be played for one unit. if that team is at home, I will play it for 2.

And 27-53 would be pretty close to + money, right? I mean, if it was always +200 then you would be up 1unit.
Anyway, Im just gonna track these ideas and see how it goes.

[Axis]

Yea, just shared what I had...and I know some of the lines were +200, but more often than not they were between +175 and +190...

So yes...it would be close to being even...what I was/am doing was playing them biggest dog SU in a parlay with another game...and it has hit quite well (I'll have to go count up the wins) and was netting roughly 4-6u every time it won...

Edit: Parlay has won 16 times this season...I've played it 50 times...so, 16-34...also has been very streaky...recently hadn't hit one in 7 games...

it's never won me less than 4u's...I don't have my exact stats but even at a minimum of 4u's...it'd be up 32u's...(4*16)-(34 losses at 1u each)...

[rthoughton]

hm. I like that, too. good luck with it. Keep me posted. you got a thread link?

[Axis]

^
I did, but I went on vacation and hadn't updated it...but if you want/don't mind...I'll just post the parlay play in this thread...or your other dogs one.

Tonight the parlay is: Edmonton ML/Chicago PL 1u for 7u
And I also play Chicago PL 1u...

[Optional]

Sorry for dumb question. What is PL? I assume it means Puck Line, but up until now I had just thought that was a hockey term for ML.

[Axis]

Correct, it means PL so...I'll be playing Chicago -1.5.

[Optional]

Thanks.

[rthoughton]

Oilers are now at +250.

[spargament]

too many dogs enjoyed success yesterday for me to bet on em again like i did yesterday (sabres, montreal for me cashed as did the over 5 in the predators game)..

[rthoughton]

System 1 : 1-0-0, +1.05u

System 2 : 0-1-0, -1u

[rthoughton]

System 1 Play for Saturday 1/8:
Boston Bruins (48pts) +EV

and
Nashville Preds (48pts) +150

(S1 YTD : 1-0-0, +1.05)

System 2 Play:
New Jersey Devils +230

(S2 YTD : 0-1-0, -1)

[chizzy]

I love this concept. Ive been playing the largest ML underdog for the last couple of weeks and despite being under 50%, I am playing it on a Labby line and it is paying off with the high lines. I am now jumping on the bandwagon with your highest points underdog system. so thanks for sharing.

[rthoughton]

The System 1 Plays listed above are incorrect.
Scratch both plays.
The Detroit Red Wings (57pts) +155 was added to the slate after I made this post. Dumb. sure.

Saturday Jan 8th correction.
System 1 play:
Detroit Red Wings +155

(S1 YTD 1-0-0, +1.05u)

Devils listed above stands and counts as a loss.
(s2 YTD 0-2-0, -2u)

[rthoughton]

another win.
S1 YTD 2-0-0, +2.60u

S2 YTD 0-2-0, -2u.

[rthoughton]

System 1 play for Sunday January 9th.

Stars -105, 1u (Stars, 53pts, -105 'dog @ Minn -115)

System 2 play:

NYI +235. 1u.

[Optional]

Stars looking good early.

Too scared to take Islanders because the Blackhawks have ruined my day 3 times in the last week already. :\

GL

[Axis]

I ended up taking the Stars...plus Minnesota was riding a 5 game win streak...they generally don't extend much beyond that in the NHL...

[bekmurat]

Exelent system !!!

[rthoughton]

and yet another winner to system 1.

S1 YTD: 3-0-0 +3.6u
S2 YTD: 0-3-0 -3u

[rthoughton]

Tonight Monday Jan 10th.
S1 Play:

-110, 1u
S2 Play:

+165, 1u

[rthoughton]

s1 took it's first loss last night.
YTD 3-1-0, +2.5u
s2 got it's first win.
YTD 1-3-0, -1.35u

Plays for Tuesday Jan 11th will be posted closer to game time.
Good luck today!

[rthoughton]

PLAYS FOR JANUARY 11th.
S1 Play:
Two plays for this system, both at 49 pts.
PHOENIX COYOTES +105

MONTREAL CANADIENS +120

3-1-0 +2.5u
S2 Play:
TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS +190

1-3-0, -1.35u

[rthoughton]

Thanks for the point love. I love me some points.
Im glad someone likes my idea!!

Another Great night for S1 and it looks like S2 may end up profitable as well.
S1 YTD: 5-1, +4.75u
S2 YTD: 2-3, +0.55u

[Pavv4]

Let's hope S2 will profitable as well. Thanks!

[dvw5bf]

Great systems, very helpful. Something I take into account (not base an entire system on) is the greatest dog point differential. Essentially, putting an emphasis on the dog with the best differential in points versus their opponent for that night. So tonight, it would be PIT as the odds stand now as they are at 56 points while MTL is at 51 creating a +5 differential for the PIT play, larger than any of the other three games (Caps/Lightning EVEN, Avs/Hawks +1, Blues/Ducks EVEN). Just a thought to kick around. But again, thanks for tracking these, this is great.

[bjornbarspingvin]

very interesting... Been having a few missed bets lately after a great betting run, I think I will try this out.

[mitchp]

So would Pittsburgh be the pick tonight?

[rthoughton]

Correct. unless they go favorite. Avalanche will be pick for S2.

[mitchp]

Which Book are you using to determine your final odds (selections)?

[rthoughton]

i use sbr for my sbr.

[rthoughton]

PLAYS FOR WED JAN 12::

S1: Pittsburgh Penguins. +ev


S2: Colorado Avalanche. +160


S1 YTD: 5-1 +4.75u
S2 YTD: 2-3 +0.55u

[cmdyrds]

thanks for the heads up mitch and thanks to the guys for the input behind the systems.

[Duby]

So far so good. Keep rolling