1. #106
    Hudini
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    Dont understand the first one.
    Second condition is line moving? Vs public or simply moving in under direction

  2. #107
    RollinDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by a4u2fear View Post
    Pit/Col u5 +123 2u
    Really like this one too Fear - locked it in as well.

  3. #108
    a4u2fear
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    Quote Originally Posted by RollinDo View Post
    Really like this one too Fear - locked it in as well.

  4. #109
    a4u2fear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hudini View Post
    Dont understand the first one.
    Second condition is line moving? Vs public or simply moving in under direction
    I have used regressions to come up with an estimated score for each game. Using old games I can test my regressions.

    What i meant by consensus-I know my expected game results and actual results from my back testing. So I set a line at which I will play a game, one with +EV. I'm not going to make a play if one book has the line making it a play, so I'll take a consensus of all the books line and decide if it's a play

  5. #110
    a4u2fear
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    Hopefully back on track tonight

    Fla Was u5 +120
    chi Nas u5 +125
    1u each

  6. #111
    a4u2fear
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    Bummer last few days esp last night, go to bed with 3-0 and 3-1 both 6 mins left and come up with a losing night.

  7. #112
    a4u2fear
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    And 0 plays today.

  8. #113
    a4u2fear
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    S1
    15-14-14 +7.10u

    S2
    1-0 +1.00u

  9. #114
    a4u2fear
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    Was/TB u5 +115 1u
    NYI/Cbus poss sys 2 play
    Min/SJ u5 +115 2u

  10. #115
    a4u2fear
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    S2 Cbus/NYI u5.5 -108 1u

  11. #116
    acehole
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    thanks for the early picks

  12. #117
    Hudini
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    Please clear you message box

  13. #118
    a4u2fear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hudini View Post
    Please clear you message box
    Done sorry

  14. #119
    doubledime
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    Looks as if we are both on the NYI/CBJ under. Good luck to us both.

  15. #120
    a4u2fear
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    Quote Originally Posted by doubledime View Post
    Looks as if we are both on the NYI/CBJ under. Good luck to us both.
    Lookin good

  16. #121
    a4u2fear
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    S1
    17-14-14 +10.55u

    S2
    2-0 +2.00u

  17. #122
    a4u2fear
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    wooooo, great night, makes up for those couple of bad days.

  18. #123
    JGuer04
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    Very awesome, too bad I submitted a live bet for golden state +3 and another for +6. Lost it back lol. Solid picks man.

  19. #124
    a4u2fear
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    Van/Chi u5 +117 1u

  20. #125
    Hudini
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    Your's system works just fine. BOL

  21. #126
    swordsandtequila
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  22. #127
    swordsandtequila
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    Quote Originally Posted by a4u2fear View Post
    Van/Chi u5 +117 1u


    Eazy peazy, although the 'nucks got a little loose there at the end with that 4th goal. Keep it going.

  23. #128
    a4u2fear
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    Quote Originally Posted by swordsandtequila View Post


    Eazy peazy, although the 'nucks got a little loose there at the end with that 4th goal. Keep it going.
    Yep, they've already screwed us a few times.

  24. #129
    a4u2fear
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    TB/Cbus u5 +140 1u

    Not sure what to say here. This line is not a play at 5.5 and juice, and the books I see are split at 5 and 5.5; I made it a play as my book had 5, do whatever you feel is best.

    No other plays.

  25. #130
    a4u2fear
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    Guys msging me, give me a few days to respond

  26. #131
    JGuer04
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    Quote Originally Posted by a4u2fear View Post
    TB/Cbus u5 +140 1u

    Not sure what to say here. This line is not a play at 5.5 and juice, and the books I see are split at 5 and 5.5; I made it a play as my book had 5, do whatever you feel is best.

    No other plays.

    You were able to get it at +140? JWing

  27. #132
    a4u2fear
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    5dimes

  28. #133
    a4u2fear
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    Since my post looks like books at 5.5 going to mostly 5

  29. #134
    JGuer04
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    Quote Originally Posted by a4u2fear View Post
    Since my post looks like books at 5.5 going to mostly 5

    Mine has it at 5.5 -140. Was just wondering because that would be a big difference from -145 to +140

  30. #135
    a4u2fear
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    Quote Originally Posted by JGuer04 View Post
    Mine has it at 5.5 -140. Was just wondering because that would be a big difference from -145 to +140
    My system is only a play at 5 since I know what my win pct is, is very different at 5.5

  31. #136
    JGuer04
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    Quote Originally Posted by a4u2fear View Post
    My system is only a play at 5 since I know what my win pct is, is very different at 5.5

    Cool, ill just play it safe, and wait till tomorrow. No biggie

  32. #137
    a4u2fear
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    S1
    18-14-14 +11.72u

    S2
    2-0 +2.00u









  33. #138
    tbone123
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    Funny i just posted this. I been using something like this but ill do it with the highest returns and bet them for same amount. Have you tried doing it for the overs as i found them to be more reliable. Goodluck as i see you making a nice chunk of change as the season progresses and basically betting against public money.

  34. #139
    swordsandtequila
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    Quote Originally Posted by JGuer04 View Post
    You were able to get it at +140? JWing
    Heritage had it @ +135, fwiw

  35. #140
    a4u2fear
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    S1
    19-14-14 +13.12u

    S2
    2-0 +2.00u

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