Under System

[Hudini]

Dont understand the first one.
Second condition is line moving? Vs public or simply moving in under direction

[RollinDo]

Pit/Col u5 +123 2u

Really like this one too Fear - locked it in as well.

[a4u2fear]

Really like this one too Fear - locked it in as well.

[a4u2fear]

Dont understand the first one.
Second condition is line moving? Vs public or simply moving in under direction

I have used regressions to come up with an estimated score for each game. Using old games I can test my regressions.

What i meant by consensus-I know my expected game results and actual results from my back testing. So I set a line at which I will play a game, one with +EV. I'm not going to make a play if one book has the line making it a play, so I'll take a consensus of all the books line and decide if it's a play

[a4u2fear]

Hopefully back on track tonight

Fla Was u5 +120
chi Nas u5 +125
1u each

[a4u2fear]

Bummer last few days esp last night, go to bed with 3-0 and 3-1 both 6 mins left and come up with a losing night.

[a4u2fear]

And 0 plays today.

[a4u2fear]

S1
15-14-14 +7.10u

S2
1-0 +1.00u

[a4u2fear]

Was/TB u5 +115 1u
NYI/Cbus poss sys 2 play
Min/SJ u5 +115 2u

[a4u2fear]

S2 Cbus/NYI u5.5 -108 1u

[acehole]

thanks for the early picks

[Hudini]

Please clear you message box

[a4u2fear]

Please clear you message box

Done sorry

[doubledime]

Looks as if we are both on the NYI/CBJ under. Good luck to us both.

[a4u2fear]

Looks as if we are both on the NYI/CBJ under. Good luck to us both.

Lookin good

[a4u2fear]

S1
17-14-14 +10.55u

S2
2-0 +2.00u

[a4u2fear]

wooooo, great night, makes up for those couple of bad days.

[JGuer04]

Very awesome, too bad I submitted a live bet for golden state +3 and another for +6. Lost it back lol. Solid picks man.

[a4u2fear]

Van/Chi u5 +117 1u

[Hudini]

Your's system works just fine. BOL

[swordsandtequila]

[swordsandtequila]

Van/Chi u5 +117 1u

Eazy peazy, although the 'nucks got a little loose there at the end with that 4th goal. Keep it going.

[a4u2fear]

Eazy peazy, although the 'nucks got a little loose there at the end with that 4th goal. Keep it going.

Yep, they've already screwed us a few times.

[a4u2fear]

TB/Cbus u5 +140 1u

Not sure what to say here. This line is not a play at 5.5 and juice, and the books I see are split at 5 and 5.5; I made it a play as my book had 5, do whatever you feel is best.

No other plays.

[a4u2fear]

Guys msging me, give me a few days to respond

[JGuer04]

TB/Cbus u5 +140 1u

Not sure what to say here. This line is not a play at 5.5 and juice, and the books I see are split at 5 and 5.5; I made it a play as my book had 5, do whatever you feel is best.

No other plays.

You were able to get it at +140? JWing

[a4u2fear]

5dimes

[a4u2fear]

Since my post looks like books at 5.5 going to mostly 5

[JGuer04]

Since my post looks like books at 5.5 going to mostly 5

Mine has it at 5.5 -140. Was just wondering because that would be a big difference from -145 to +140

[a4u2fear]

Mine has it at 5.5 -140. Was just wondering because that would be a big difference from -145 to +140

My system is only a play at 5 since I know what my win pct is, is very different at 5.5

[JGuer04]

My system is only a play at 5 since I know what my win pct is, is very different at 5.5

Cool, ill just play it safe, and wait till tomorrow. No biggie

[a4u2fear]

S1
18-14-14 +11.72u

S2
2-0 +2.00u

[tbone123]

Funny i just posted this. I been using something like this but ill do it with the highest returns and bet them for same amount. Have you tried doing it for the overs as i found them to be more reliable. Goodluck as i see you making a nice chunk of change as the season progresses and basically betting against public money.

[swordsandtequila]

You were able to get it at +140? JWing

Heritage had it @ +135, fwiw

[a4u2fear]

S1
19-14-14 +13.12u

S2
2-0 +2.00u