Under System

[a4u2fear]

I don't get the Under 5 at +125-ish for the Avs game - what am I missing?
8 of last 9 meetings between them have gone Under. Allen is pretty tough on the road - Varly is streaky and had a good game last time out - likely to hold an anemic Blues team to 2.
Thinking of going with U 5.5 @ -145 actually to avoid a possible push.

My system, and possibly to a fault but not really IMO, does not take into account head to head prior year results. You could be on to something.

[a4u2fear]

feeling good tonight for some reason
STL/COL u5 +124 2u

[a4u2fear]

FUDGE! I just saw a collosal mistake. Since the new year, two statistical categories have not been importing.
SOBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB

Hopefully explains the poor results.

Cancel tonights play. I need to fix this ASAP. One of the websites must've changed.

[a4u2fear]

Silly mistake. ESPN uses two digit for date and month and when new year kicked in i was using the "1" and "1" instead of "01" and "01". Never gave an error just didn't import the results.

Kids are home, time to fix is gone, SOB. But woohoo found it.

[a4u2fear]

OIL, i msg you back.

[swordsandtequila]

Good you caught it when you did, could have eaten away your profits. Assume you'll have no plays tonight?

[a4u2fear]

Ok, think I have it fixed, unreal, the one game it says not to play tonight no matter the line is Colorado. No plays tonight, other lines are too far off.

I have to go back and see what would've happened in other days.

[swordsandtequila]

Ok, think I have it fixed, unreal, the one game it says not to play tonight no matter the line is Colorado. No plays tonight, other lines are too far off.

I have to go back and see what would've happened in other days.

Okay, thanks. Got a feeling a few of those games (NYR/Dal, etc.) would have been no plays. Appreciate your work, cheers

[a4u2fear]

Okay, thanks. Got a feeling a few of those games (NYR/Dal, etc.) would have been no plays. Appreciate your work, cheers

Thanks, I'm sure someone will doubt me but I swear it's the truth, and we should be ok going forward, I won't be able to assess previous days until weekend

[blackHIPPY]

All good lets finish the season stron

[RollinDo]

Dang - gotta get outta this slump we're in!

I liked the Colorado Under more than any other tonight and it's the only Over!
I guess history is not the end all be all...maybe I shouldn't take this into account so much.
Last night it was Minn - Columbus who had gone Under 5 straight meetings and then the Over hits.

[a4u2fear]

Dang - gotta get outta this slump we're in!

I liked the Colorado Under more than any other tonight and it's the only Over!
I guess history is not the end all be all...maybe I shouldn't take this into account so much.
Last night it was Minn - Columbus who had gone Under 5 straight meetings and then the Over hits.

Well I have to believe a lot of it was the missed data input. I hope you saw it actually was a no play after I found the error

[a4u2fear]

Really obvious though, Colorado was a play before mistake caught, after it was a no play and then it went over. Lots of $ to be made and I'm very confident again

[oilcountry99]

Good catch

[RollinDo]

Well I have to believe a lot of it was the missed data input. I hope you saw it actually was a no play after I found the error

Actually didn't see any posts after the one you said you were confident...oh well, I didn't go big on it and fortunately didn't play the Under 5.5 - just the 5.
Thanks.

[blackHIPPY]

lets just grind out 50 more units to finish the season

[tipfollower]

i registered this forum for this thread, from now on i will increase my unit, thanks for sharing. BOL

[Hudini]

a4u2fear SOB or SOG? What is SOB?

[a4u2fear]

i registered this forum for this thread, from now on i will increase my unit, thanks for sharing. BOL

lets just grind out 50 more units to finish the season

[a4u2fear]

a4u2fear SOB or SOG? What is SOB?

son of a biotch. i was mad it happened but also glad i found it.

[a4u2fear]

Was/NYI u5 +120 1u

Really wanted to check out Dallas at 5.5 or 6, but it's a no go play.

[a4u2fear]

ok here we go

-on 1/1 system had no plays incorrectly / should have been under on Anaheim or +1.1u
-on 1/2 system had 4-S1 plays (1-1-2, +.1u) & 1-S2 play (0-1, -1.15u) / should have been under 5 Nashville (+1.15), under 5 NYI (-1), under 5 WPG (tie)
-on 1/3 system had a S2 loss (-1) / should have been same play (-1)
-on 1/4 neither had plays
-on 1/5 system had a S2 loss (-1.08) and a S1 loss (-1) / should have been MTL u5 (-1) and TB u5 (+1.1) both S1
-on 1/6 system had a S1 loss (-1) on Colorado / should have been no play

Summary, from 1/1-1/6

Incorrect system: S1 (1-3-2, -1.98u) & S2 (0-3, -3.23u)
Should have been: S1 (3-2-1, +1.35u) & S2 (0-1, -1.0u)

[a4u2fear]

Sorry for the fallacies. But I will now be vigilantly looking for this from now on. It's fixed anyway.

I'm going to post what in my opinion is the "correct" system record going forward even though the plays were not posted. I will likely take flack for it, but my record here on out will prove it.

Good luck guys.

[doubledime]

Was/NYI u5 +120 1u

Really wanted to check out Dallas at 5.5 or 6, but it's a no go play.

I see we are on the same side tonight. Good luck to both of us!!

[a4u2fear]

I see we are on the same side tonight. Good luck to both of us!!

Good luck lets get it

[blackHIPPY]

[a4u2fear]

No plays, the one play that was a maybe too many 5.5s and not enough 5s in the consensus

[a4u2fear]

Early game was NYR u5 +120 1u

will be more

[a4u2fear]

Pit/Mon u5 +118 1u
thats it.

[a4u2fear]

annoying goal with 6secs left in wash game and instead of a good day, settle for just a positive day - that's where betting dogs gets you at 1-1

[a4u2fear]

Col/Chi u5 +125 1u
Fla/Edm u5 +125 1u

[a4u2fear]

S1
32-28-16, +14.98u
S2
4-2, +1.85u

[a4u2fear]

Bos/NYR u5 +124 1u

[a4u2fear]

S1
33-28-16, +16.22u
S2
4-2, +1.85u

[the scab man]

Bos/NYR u5 +124 1u