DG's Daily Picks

[Typo]

Had the Canes over Bruins yesterday.

[CupWanted]

Go Sabres tonight eh DG?

[Toronto-boy]

Go Sabres tonight eh DG?

Go Sabres tonight?? tht not lok right , ok than ur Sabres & i'll my Canucks

[bigjonson]

01/25/10 Pick

Flames/Blues Under 1.5 1st period

[Busterflywheel]

Flames/Blues Under 1.5 1st period

BOL

[Blargh]

I'd consider Van ML -119. Van is 15-4-10 +18 GFA at home. They have been shut out a league low of 5 times in the 1st at home. 4-1-5 last 10 at home. Buffalo is 7-11-6 -5 GFA on the road. 2-3-1 on the current road trip and had been shutout in 4 of the 6. Sabres have 16 GF in 24 road games but 5 of those came against FLA Oct 21st, so if take out that game they are only above Phoenix in 1st period away goals. Lastly teams on road trips of 6+ games so are a combined 1-9-5 in the games 6+ in the 1st period. But Buffalo has that sole W against SJ a few nights ago. I think Buffalo is already looking forward to getting home. Also this is the last home game for the Canucks before an 8 game road trip. I think -119 for the Canucks is a terrific value. there is no way Canucks lose this period 48% of the time.
The +171 -0.5PL is very tempting as well. That's a 37% odds of winning the first. All home teams combined are winning the 1st 36% of the time. Canucks are the #1 1st period team in the NHL. Buffalo #24 road team.
Loungo is starting tonight so it's not low line due to a back-up in net. I see this as one of the lines that pay no attention to 1st period stats and just based off of the lines for the entire game.

[Skaramouche]

any plays today DG?

[cecil127]

Also this is the last home game for the Canucks before an 8 game road trip

really? they got a game at home against the blues on wednesday....

But Buffalo has that sole W against SJ a few nights ago

really? my damn bookie must be pullin the wool over my eyes. he told me the sharks won 5-2

who's feedin you these stats and info?

[ejohnston76]

I believe what blargh? was trying to say is that the sabres won the 1st period over the sharks the other night. I dont know, i could be wrong.

[DennisGreen]

PIT (-101) vs NYR Pinnacle $101 to win $100
Can't pass up the Pens at almost even money. They've won 6 straight vs the Rangers and all three meetings this year. The return of Fleury should spark the team as well I believe. Rangers have been Jekyl and Hyde all year so let's hope the bad Rangers show up tonight.

[DennisGreen]

Had the Canes over Bruins yesterday.

Nice call

Go Sabres tonight eh DG?

Haha I hope they get smoked by my Canucks but the game is a tough one to call tonight.

[Skaramouche]

PIT (-101) vs NYR Pinnacle $101 to win $100
Can't pass up the Pens at almost even money. They've won 6 straight vs the Rangers and all three meetings this year. The return of Fleury should spark the team as well I believe. Rangers have been Jekyl and Hyde all year so let's hope the bad Rangers show up tonight.

LETS GO PENS!!! i though you wouldnt pass on the Penguins at this rate. I had to lay $110 to win 100 though.
i think they will get it done today. especially since Fleury is back. Missing Bill Guerin and Goligosky will hurt them though. Lets hope Malkin heats up

are you having any more plays for the night? what about Blues/Flames under 1st period? i know Cal scores alot of goals in 1st but they have been playing shit lately

[DennisGreen]

LETS GO PENS!!! i though you wouldnt pass on the Penguins at this rate. I had to lay $110 to win 100 though. i think they will get it done today. especially since Fleury is back. Missing Bill Guerin and Goligosky will hurt them though. Lets hope Malkin heats up are you having any more plays for the night? what about Blues/Flames under 1st period? i know Cal scores alot of goals in 1st but they have been playing shit lately

Yeah I will probably have more. Just wanted to get this one in time. I may have a play in every game tonight actually Crosby and Malkin will hopefully carry the Pens tonight.

[Toronto-boy]

PIT (-101) vs NYR Pinnacle $101 to win $100
Can't pass up the Pens at almost even money. They've won 6 straight vs the Rangers and all three meetings this year. The return of Fleury should spark the team as well I believe. Rangers have been Jekyl and Hyde all year so let's hope the bad Rangers show up tonight.

let get some cash lolz

[MathewXB]

Hey Dennis how is that Flames/Blues game coming! I am leaning flames but kinda waiting on u. Let me know what you think!


XB

[MathewXB]

Maybe the under in the first for the CGY/STL game what do you think>

[DennisGreen]

Hey Dennis how is that Flames/Blues game coming! I am leaning flames but kinda waiting on u. Let me know what you think! XB

I'm staying away from the Flames until they break their slump. I wouldn't touch them at -165 odds at home until they show me they can win again.

Maybe the under in the first for the CGY/STL game what do you think>

Both are top ten in first period goals so I'm not sure about this one. It really could go either way. No play for me in this one. GL if you make a play

[MathewXB]

I went under 5.5 for the game

[DennisGreen]

I went under 5.5 for the game

Nice I would have taken that but it's at 5 on most books. Under 5.5 is a solid play, you should hit it

[Blargh]

really? they got a game at home against the blues on wednesday....



really? my damn bookie must be pullin the wool over my eyes. he told me the sharks won 5-2

who's feedin you these stats and info?

My mistake on the end of the homestand. Canucks do have one more game at home before the road trip. I jumped the gun on that but it was not vital to the belief there was value in the line. My mistake.

If you had read the line before about the Sabres W at SJ or even the rest of the post, everything mentioned is in regards to 1st period stats only.

I am feeding myelf. I couldn't find the info on the web so I did it myself. If you can find anywhere else on the web with that same info on 1st periods let me know so I can stop doing the work myself.

There is a lot 1st period bets in this thread so I thought I'd share what I have to offer.

[DennisGreen]

@ Rangers second goal.

[DennisGreen]

Thank you Malkin! Bout time you scored a goal mofo.

[Skaramouche]

wow that was quick. 3-2 pens!!!

[DennisGreen]

wow that was quick. 3-2 pens!!!

No doubt man imagine you bet the under. 1-1, 10 mins you go, you figure it's safe to take a dump then boom you come back 3-2, 3 goals in 1:30. Wow I'd be on unreal tilt.

[Skaramouche]

any plays for the later games DG? or are you just waiting to see how this one turns out?

[CupWanted]

go loveable losers tonight, flames and sabres. BOL to all

[Skaramouche]

In DA BANK!!!

[waco66]

woohoooooo! pens win! my pick of the night...canucks o5.5...canucks are on fire! im sure everyone is on the under but i got a feeling with the injuries with the canucks and how both teams have been scoring...this one has to go over.

[Busterflywheel]

Nice calls this evening..

[Mini19]

No doubt man imagine you bet the under. 1-1, 10 mins you go, you figure it's safe to take a dump then boom you come back 3-2, 3 goals in 1:30. Wow I'd be on unreal tilt.

Haha and then the empty net with bout a min to go to finish you off..

[CupWanted]

If anyone is watching Calgary/St. Louis Cam Janssen's face is made of titanium. That is all.

[MathewXB]

Ok so what do we have on the VAN/BUF game? Oh and dennis I did get it at five so fingers crossed big time over here! I am thinking the Vancouver has this one in the bag!


XB

[cecil127]

my mistake blahgh and appologies.
i did take the guins -.5 in the first for +165
guess i did comprehend the last paragraph of your post even if i was speed reading. thanks!

[MathewXB]

If anyone is watching Calgary/St. Louis Cam Janssen's face is made of titanium. That is all.

What do you mean I have no line on that game where I am from!

[DennisGreen]

I'd consider Van ML -119. Van is 15-4-10 +18 GFA at home. They have been shut out a league low of 5 times in the 1st at home. 4-1-5 last 10 at home. Buffalo is 7-11-6 -5 GFA on the road. 2-3-1 on the current road trip and had been shutout in 4 of the 6. Sabres have 16 GF in 24 road games but 5 of those came against FLA Oct 21st, so if take out that game they are only above Phoenix in 1st period away goals. Lastly teams on road trips of 6+ games so are a combined 1-9-5 in the games 6+ in the 1st period. But Buffalo has that sole W against SJ a few nights ago. I think Buffalo is already looking forward to getting home. Also this is the last home game for the Canucks before an 8 game road trip. I think -119 for the Canucks is a terrific value. there is no way Canucks lose this period 48% of the time.
The +171 -0.5PL is very tempting as well. That's a 37% odds of winning the first. All home teams combined are winning the 1st 36% of the time. Canucks are the #1 1st period team in the NHL. Buffalo #24 road team.
Loungo is starting tonight so it's not low line due to a back-up in net. I see this as one of the lines that pay no attention to 1st period stats and just based off of the lines for the entire game.

Thanks for sharing. Great insight to this game. I have mostly focused on 1st period totals but you are on to something with 1st period sides.