Hotcross NHL 2019-20 thread

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  • hotcross
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-04-17
    • 7934

    #176
    I've been super busy. Will update record after tonight.

    Tuesday Jan.21

    CHICAGO -130 regulation only moneyline // 6.50 units to win 5.00
    *push if game goes to Overtime
    Comment
    • hotcross
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-04-17
      • 7934

      #177
      Results: Jan.14-22 = -10.50 (0-3 W/L)
      OVERALL: -30.30 units (81-115-9 W/L/D = .413 pct)


      Completely wrong read once again on Tuesday. Chicago battled back to make it a one-goal game, but it was never close.

      Just cannot seem to keep any positive momentum this year.

      Have tried playing less volume during the past several weeks to pick spots, but still jump on the wrong side.

      Comment
      • pimike
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 03-23-08
        • 37139

        #178
        Originally posted by hotcross
        Results: Jan.14-22 = -10.50 (0-3 W/L)
        OVERALL: -30.30 units (81-115-9 W/L/D = .413 pct)


        Completely wrong read once again on Tuesday. Chicago battled back to make it a one-goal game, but it was never close.

        Just cannot seem to keep any positive momentum this year.

        Have tried playing less volume during the past several weeks to pick spots, but still jump on the wrong side.

        You will turn it around....


        Comment
        • hotcross
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-04-17
          • 7934

          #179
          Tuesday Feb.4

          COLORADO -1.5 +140 puckline // 1.00 units to win 1.40

          UNDER 5.5 -110 CAR@STL // 1.10 units to win 1.00
          Comment
          • hotcross
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-04-17
            • 7934

            #180
            Split 1-1 Tuesday with the +140 hitting for a small profit.

            Thursday Feb.6

            COLORADO -0.5 -120 regulation win // 1.20 units to win 1.00

            EDMONTON -0.5 +100 regulation win // 1.00 unit to win 1.00
            Comment
            • hotcross
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-04-17
              • 7934

              #181
              Split again yesterday, no gain

              Friday Feb.7

              TORONTO -0.5 -150 regulation win // 3.00 units to win 2.00
              Comment
              • hotcross
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-04-17
                • 7934

                #182
                on Friday, dumb azz Leafs blew the 3-1 lead after 2p, then up 4-3 they take a penalty late in regulation and allow Anaheim to force Overtime with under 1-minute remaining. Leafs ended up winning the game with 6-seconds left in Overtime.

                I'll tally up the week results after tonight's games.


                Sunday Feb.9

                UNDER 6 -105 LAK@NYR // 1.05 units to win 1.00

                UNDER 5.5 +106 LAK@NYR // 1.00 unit to win 1.06


                Feel this game goes under with J.Quick vs the new Rangers goalie Igor Shesterkin, who so far is 4-1 W/L, 2.61 GAA, .922 save pct



                Still looking into the 2 later games, not sure if I want a play on those yet.
                Comment
                • hotcross
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-04-17
                  • 7934

                  #183
                  adding ::

                  MINNESOTA +110 regulation only moneyline // 1.00 unit to win 1.10
                  *push if game goes to Overtime



                  Reason for the pick, Minnesota been playing good lately. Colorado is on a back-to-back game, they have not done that great in back-to-backs this season when facing good teams. Minnesota leads the head-to-head season matchup 2-1 heading into tonight.
                  Comment
                  • hotcross
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-04-17
                    • 7934

                    #184
                    Results: Feb.4-9 = -1.54 (4-4 W/L)
                    OVERALL: -31.84 units (85-119-9 W/L/D = .416 pct)

                    Monday Feb.10

                    FLORIDA +123 ML // 4.00 units to win 4.92


                    Hopefully I'm right about this, they are on the road at Philly. Florida has lost 3 of their last 4, while Philly is just the opposite with 3 of 4 wins, including a shellacking of Washington 7-2 road victory in their last game on Saturday. This is the second of 3 season meetings between these teams. Florida won the first time on Nov.19 when at home by 5-2 score. They play each other again in Sunrise on Feb.13 so tonight is the only matchup played in Philly this season. Bobrovsky playing in his 500th NHL game tonight. Flyers goalie Carter Hart is back in action tonight for the first time since Jan.13 after being out with an abdominal injury.

                    Only 6 games on tonight's schedule.
                    Comment
                    • hotcross
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-04-17
                      • 7934

                      #185
                      get the first goal then couldn't have possibly played worse
                      Comment
                      • hotcross
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-04-17
                        • 7934

                        #186
                        adding ::

                        OVERTIME +310 NSH@VANC // 1.00 unit to win 3.10

                        UNDER 6 +100 NSH@VANC // 1.00 unit to win 1.00


                        SAN JOSE -105 regulation only monyline // 2.10 units to win 2.00
                        *push if game goes to Overtime


                        These are probably tilt plays to be faded. Although it has worked for me in the past.
                        Comment
                        • hotcross
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-04-17
                          • 7934

                          #187
                          Results: Feb.10 = -8.10 (0-5 W/L)
                          OVERALL: -39.94 units (85-124-9 W/L/D = .406 pct)

                          Tuesday Feb.10

                          TORONTO -0.5 -125 regulation win // 5.00 units to win 4.00

                          PHILADELPHIA +115 regulation only moneyline // 4.00 units to win 4.60
                          *push if game goes to Overtime
                          Comment
                          • hotcross
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-04-17
                            • 7934

                            #188
                            adding ::

                            OVERTIME +300 NYR@WPG // 1.00 unit to win 3.00
                            Comment
                            • hotcross
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-04-17
                              • 7934

                              #189
                              adding ::

                              CAROLINA -102 ML // 3.06 units to win 3.00
                              Comment
                              • hotcross
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 08-04-17
                                • 7934

                                #190
                                Awesome cold streak going now. On full chase mode.

                                Thursday Feb.13

                                NASHVILLE -1 +118 puckline *buy 0.5 goal // 4.50 units to win 5.31
                                Comment
                                • hotcross
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-04-17
                                  • 7934

                                  #191
                                  Finally a win yesterday

                                  Friday Feb.14

                                  CAROLINA -0.5 -180 regulation win // 3.60 units to win 2.00


                                  High juice but can be no excuse for losing tonight at home against NJ. 2nd of 4 meetings between these teams, NJ got them the first time earlier in the season.
                                  Comment
                                  • hotcross
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-04-17
                                    • 7934

                                    #192
                                    Thursday and Friday won. Will tally up record for the week after Sunday.


                                    Saturday Feb.15

                                    PARLAY 2-teams @ +102
                                    >MINNESOTA -217 ML
                                    >COLORADO -260 ML
                                    Risk 2.00 units to win 2.04



                                    Still working on some of the later games to see if any more plays....
                                    Comment
                                    • hotcross
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 08-04-17
                                      • 7934

                                      #193
                                      adding ::

                                      ARIZONA +113 ML // 1.00 unit to win 1.13

                                      VEGAS -1 -113 puckline *buy 0.5 goal // 1.13 units to win 1.00
                                      Comment
                                      • hotcross
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-04-17
                                        • 7934

                                        #194
                                        adding ::

                                        UNDER 6 -142 NYI@VGS // 1.42 units to win 1.00


                                        My book is offering this o/u line, rather than 5.5

                                        Either way, I don't see this game going Over
                                        Comment
                                        • hotcross
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-04-17
                                          • 7934

                                          #195
                                          ^^that Under 6 is regulation time only (OT Not included)
                                          Comment
                                          • hotcross
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-04-17
                                            • 7934

                                            #196
                                            Went 2-1-1 Saturday with the 2 unit Parlay losing both legs (counted as one loss - but what would they payout could have been if taking both dogs in those games!).

                                            Vegas -1 spread pushed, as they won 1-0. So the day was a wash for me +0.13 net units.


                                            Sunday Feb.16

                                            CAROLINA -215 ML // 2.15 units to win 1.00

                                            PLAYER PROP: Jack Eichel (BUF) OVER 0.5 ASSISTS -158 // 3.16 units to win 2.00
                                            Comment
                                            • pimike
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 03-23-08
                                              • 37139

                                              #197
                                              Little surprised seeing these results this year. Last year you killed it.

                                              Time to get hot and go on a nice winning streak. I know you can do it I’ve seen you give picks last year, you made me money, let’s get in the positive Lets start getting hot here.Time to get hot and go on a nice streak here!!

                                              Let’s go HC!

                                              Comment
                                              • hotcross
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 08-04-17
                                                • 7934

                                                #198
                                                No kidding. Last year lost a bit on NFL but Hockey was good. Now this year completely reversed.

                                                I got super busy with life stuff after the calendar turned to 2020, but that doesn't excuse the hockey results. Been struggling since the start of the season in October.

                                                Since last Sunday, I've taken a complete break, and feels good, better than suffering losses. I might come back with more hockey, but also thinking about just skipping ahead to baseball.
                                                Comment
                                                • pimike
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 03-23-08
                                                  • 37139

                                                  #199
                                                  Originally posted by hotcross
                                                  No kidding. Last year lost a bit on NFL but Hockey was good. Now this year completely reversed.

                                                  I got super busy with life stuff after the calendar turned to 2020, but that doesn't excuse the hockey results. Been struggling since the start of the season in October.

                                                  Since last Sunday, I've taken a complete break, and feels good, better than suffering losses. I might come back with more hockey, but also thinking about just skipping ahead to baseball.
                                                  Understand

                                                  Either way I support your call.

                                                  Baseball ⚾️ almost here!!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • hotcross
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 08-04-17
                                                    • 7934

                                                    #200
                                                    Thinking back to the early part of the season, there was a ton of Overtime games across all teams. That got me off to a bad start, often my picked team won but I placed the bet for regulation time only.

                                                    That went on for awhile. Messed with my head. So then I took several days break between bets, waiting for a good spot...maybe my mind not cleared enough / needed longer breaks.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • hotcross
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-04-17
                                                      • 7934

                                                      #201
                                                      Results: Feb.11-16 = -10.93 (4-7-1 W/L/D)
                                                      OVERALL: -50.87 units (89-131-10 W/L/D = .404 pct)

                                                      That brings the record keeping current since Tuesday Feb.11 (there was a typo with the date for Tues.Feb.11 above)

                                                      Saturday Feb.29

                                                      DALLAS +138 regulation only moneyline // 5.00 units to win 6.90
                                                      *push if game goes to Overtime


                                                      Here is the background for this game. Dallas on the road against Central division leading St.Louis

                                                      Anton Khudobin is starting for Dallas, going for career win #100. The last time he STARTED against St.Louis was on the road on Feb.8, a game Dallas won 3-2 in Overtime.

                                                      Jake Allen is starting for St.Louis. Allen won the last meeting against Dallas by 5-1 score on Feb.21 on the road. In that game, Ben Bishop started for Dallas and gave up 4 goals on 13 shots, and got pulled a few minutes into the second period. Khudobin was brought in and only allowed 1 goal for the remaining 35 minutes of the game.

                                                      St.Louis has won their past 6 games in a row. This is the 3rd and final game of a brief homestand.

                                                      Dallas has gone 3-2 in their past 5 games, including Khudobin going 2 for 2 in his last 2 starts, allowing only 1 goal in each game against Carolina and Chicago.

                                                      Dallas comes into this game fairly healthy, and it is their last regular season meeting with the division rival Blues this year. Dallas has lost 3 of the previous 4 meetings on the season. Dallas sits at 3rd place in the division with 80 points, behind Colorado in 2nd, and St.Louis who has 86 points atop the standings.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • hotcross
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 08-04-17
                                                        • 7934

                                                        #202
                                                        Saturday's pick pushed for regulation, with St.Louis winning 4-3 final OT/Shootout

                                                        Sunday March 1

                                                        PLAYER PROP: J.T. Miller (VANC) OVER 0.5 POINTS (Goals or Assists) -182 // 2.26 units to win 1.24
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KegKosmo
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-13-10
                                                          • 2182

                                                          #203
                                                          What do you wager per unit? Or are you just using units to measure your confidence in the play for posting purposes?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • hotcross
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 08-04-17
                                                            • 7934

                                                            #204
                                                            Results: Feb.29-Mar.1 = +1.24 (1-0-1 W/L/D)
                                                            OVERALL: -49.63 units (90-131-11 W/L/D = .407 pct)

                                                            J.T. Miller easily came through with 2 Assists and 1 Goal in Sunday's game. Happy I did not bet the Canucks side for the game, they blew a 3-1 lead with around 10-minutes left in the game, allowing Columbus to win by 5-3 final... they didn't even force Overtime. Terrible collapse on that road trip for them.


                                                            /////////////////////////////

                                                            Originally posted by KegKosmo
                                                            What do you wager per unit? Or are you just using units to measure your confidence in the play for posting purposes?
                                                            Mr. Kosmo, these are all my real money wagers. Basically I like to use the "Units" amounts here, because you can just move the decimal point around, then one size fits all for tracking purposes. I do not flat bet, explained in Post #1 of the thread. Don't need to go into more detail than that.

                                                            I suppose you are wondering, "How much can this guy lose?" or something.... well, I like to track my complete results, which very few posters do around here (there are a few who do, not that it earns a merit badge or anything). I've tracked MLB, NFL, and NHL on here since 2017. You can find my other tracking threads on here without too much effort. My NFL results were very good for the most recent season that ended with the Chiefs winning the SuperBowl.

                                                            I tend to run very hot or cold. Still trying to level that and always improve.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • hotcross
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 08-04-17
                                                              • 7934

                                                              #205
                                                              Tuesday March 10

                                                              DALLAS -166 ML // 4.98 units to win 3.00
                                                              Comment
                                                              • hotcross
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 08-04-17
                                                                • 7934

                                                                #206
                                                                Results: Mar.10 = -4.98 (0-1 W/L)
                                                                OVERALL REGULAR SEASON: -54.61 units (90-132-11 W/L/D = .405 pct)

                                                                Dallas lost that home game 4-2 score to the Rangers back on Tuesday, March 10

                                                                The virus was declared a global pandemic and NHL did not play any of the scheduled games on Thursday, March 12

                                                                So that wrapped up a terrible performance for my thread and hockey bankroll in the 2019-20 season

                                                                Now we finally have modified Playoff hockey beginning on Aug.1


                                                                Comment
                                                                • hotcross
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 08-04-17
                                                                  • 7934

                                                                  #207
                                                                  PLAYOFFS for 2019-20 NHL season (pandemic modified)

                                                                  Saturday August 1 - Opening Round

                                                                  MONTREAL SERIES +190 (vs Pittsburgh) // 1.80 units to win 3.42



                                                                  Montreal has the biggest underdog odds for the Opening Round series matchups. Penguins looked like a very serious contender during the regular season, but the break changes things, at least took away momentum. If Carey Price is ready AND the Canadiens play more strict defensively in front of him, I think they got a much better chance than the Series betting odds translate to.


                                                                  My NHL picks were awful this season, so I'm not planning on having a lot of action with this playoff structure.
                                                                  Still and yet, I will post any of my real plays here, as always.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • hotcross
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 08-04-17
                                                                    • 7934

                                                                    #208
                                                                    Saturday August 1 - Opening Round

                                                                    FLORIDA PANTHERS SERIES +110 (vs NY Islanders) // 2.50 units to win 2.75
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • hotcross
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 08-04-17
                                                                      • 7934

                                                                      #209
                                                                      Saturday August 1 - Opening Round

                                                                      CALGARY -1.5 +190 puckline // 1.00 unit to win 1.90
                                                                      (game 1 vs Winnipeg)


                                                                      This will be a chase/repeat bet if it doesn't win today.
                                                                      Calgary will win at least one game in this series by 2 or more goals.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • hotcross
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 08-04-17
                                                                        • 7934

                                                                        #210
                                                                        Results: Aug.1 = +1.90 (1-0 W/L)
                                                                        PLAYOFFS: +1.90 units (1-0-0 W/L/D = 1.000 pct)


                                                                        Calgary won the first game by 4-1 score. Winnipeg suffered injuries to Scheifele and Laine, so they are in trouble quickly.

                                                                        The pending series bets, and the Future I'm about to post will be recorded when they are determined.




                                                                        Sunday August 2 - Round Robin games

                                                                        PHILADELPHIA +115 ML (vs Boston) // 1.00 unit to win 1.15

                                                                        OVER 5.5 +100 STL@COL // 3.00 units to win 3.00

                                                                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                        FUTURE: PHILADELPHIA STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS +1300 (via Pinnacle)
                                                                        2.50 units to win 32.50 units
                                                                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                                                                        I thought about splitting one unit each on Philly as Eastern Conference Champs (around +650), along with the Stanley Cup bet. I might grab the Conference odds in the upcoming days.
                                                                        Comment
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