Hotcross NHL 2019-20 thread

[hotcross]

Results: Dec.11 = +0.50 units (1-1 W/L)
OVERALL: -7.97 units (60-90-8 W/L/D = .400 pct)


Not too upset about losing the live bet. Philly dominated the second period almost start to finish, but couldn't finish any of their numerous scoring chances, eventually giving up the 0-2 goal late in the period. Then the third period played a bit more evenly, resulting in a 3-1 final home win by Colorado. It was interesting after the game interview, Nathan MacKinnon was asked, "What did you like about your team's game tonight?" His response, "Nothing much. Franky (goalie Francous) bailed us out there."

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Thursday Dec.12

COLUMBUS +150 ML // 1.00 units to win 1.50

NASHVILLE -144 ML // 5.00 units to win 3.47

WINNIPEG -1 -140 puckline *buy 0.5 goal // 3.50 units to win 2.50


PARLAY 3-teams @ +348
> NASHVILLE -144 ML
> FLORIDA -126 ML
> WINNIPEG -211 ML

Parlay Risk 2.00 units to win 6.96 units


Not sure if I'm gonna play later games or not, have a couple leans. Thinking some more...

[Hman]

GL tonight

[hotcross]

adding ::

ANAHEIM -142 ML // 5.68 units to win 4.00

[hotcross]

Results: Dec.12 = -17.18 units (0-5 W/L)
OVERALL: -25.15 units (60-95-8 W/L/D = .387 pct)

Got crushed Thursday, plays I really liked too.... except Winnipeg, that one I was gonna play Detroit for both games of the home-and-home, but seeing how they lost the first game so badly plus there was news of players being sick, I tried to hit Winnipeg instead. Bad night, moving on. My style is volatile but it certainly feels like a struggle this season.... grind for any wins, but get losses easily. If this continues, I'll probably have to take a break and re-assess.


Saturday Dec.14

COLUMBUS -108 ML // 5.40 units to win 5.00


Today I'm only making plays that look very strong to me.

This game is one of the rare occasions Ottawa is favored. Columbus is 1-4-1 record in the past 6 games, which explains the line. Ottawa is 2-3-1 with the wins coming against Boston and Edmonton. But I faded Ottawa at Montreal in their previous game, laying -152 odds on the moneyline, so to have the chance to fade them again at -108 is a no-brainer for me.

[hotcross]

well dammit, I was on the wrong side again. Columbus played about 17 minutes of good hockey, all in the 3rd period, of a game that they had to comeback from 3-1 deficit late just to force overtime. They actually could have won with a Power Play at the end of regulation time, then in overtime on a breakaway by Cam Atkinson - he should have had that. Lost when they took a slashing penalty in overtime. But Ottawa was the better team for more than 40 minutes of this game I'd say in hindsight.

One more play I made for today....


adding ::

TAMPA BAY -143 ML // 4.29 units to win 3.00

[hotcross]

Results: Dec.14 = -9.69 units (0-2 W/L)
OVERALL: -34.84 units (60-97-8 W/L/D = .382 pct)

Tuesday Dec.17


PHILADELPHIA -0.5 +115 regulation win // 1.00 unit to win 1.15

TORONTO -0.5 -125 regulation win // 5.00 units to win 4.00

PARLAY 2-teams @ +144
> BOSTON -0.5 -150 regulation win
> TAMPA BAY -0.5 -215 regulation win
Risk 2.08 units to win 3.00


Still working on the later games.....

[hotcross]

adding ::

MONTREAL -104 ML // 3.12 units to win 3.00

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Results: Dec.17 = +6.07 units (3-1 W/L)
OVERALL: -28.77 units (63-98-8 W/L/D = .391 pct)


Wed. Dec.18


EDMONTON +140 ML // 2.00 units to win 2.80

TEAM TOTAL OVER 2.5 -110 EDMONTON // 2.20 units to win 2.00

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Results: Dec.17 = -4.20 units (0-2 W/L)
OVERALL: -32.97 units (63-100-8 W/L/D = .386 pct)




Thurs. Dec.19


BOSTON -193 ML // 9.65 units to win 5.00

OVER 6 -105 BUF@PHI // 2.10 units to win 2.00

PHILADELPHIA -138 ML // 1.38 units to win 1.00

OVER 5.5 -120 DAL@TB // 2.40 units to win 2.00

OVER 5.5 +115 NYI@BOS // 2.00 units to win 2.30

OVER 5.5 -120 MTL@CGY // 2.40 units to win 2.00

OVER 5.5 +115 MINN@ARIZ // 2.00 units to win 2.30

OVER 6 -105 VGS@VANC // 2.10 units to win 2.00




might have a couple more sides for the later games....

[hotcross]

adding ::

VANCOUVER +118 ML // 1.00 unit to win 1.18

OVERTIME +315 VGS@VANC // 1.00 unit to win 3.15

[hotcross]

Results: Dec.19 = +3.98 units (8-2 W/L)
OVERALL: -28.99 units (71-102-8 W/L/D = .410 pct)


8-2 W/L on the night, fortunately for the books, one of those losses was the big bomb on Boston. Why must I do that? Reminds me of the saying: If you're gonna be stupid, you better be tough.


Hit the bullseye on the Vancouver game, which basically represents my net win for the night. Had a good read on all of the totals picks, which is rare for me (except Boston).

[hotcross]

Friday Dec.20

EDMONTON +106 ML // 2.00 units to win 2.12

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Saturday Dec.21

WINNIPEG +115 ML // 5.00 units to win 5.75


like all the Road teams / Underdogs in the early games, but just playing this one.

Probably will play something on the evening games also later.

[hotcross]

Results: Dec.20+21 = +3.75 units (1-1 W/L)
OVERALL: -25.24 units (72-103-8 W/L/D = .411 pct)


I'm just gonna hold there, after Winnipeg wins 6-0 early it couldn't get any easier than that today.

My leans on the evening games would be risky:

(NOT OFFICIAL PLAYS):

Tampa Bay -115 ML

Edmonton +105 ML

New Jersey +162 ML

San Jose -102 ML

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Sunday Dec.22

CALGARY +124 ML // 1.00 unit to win 1.24

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Results: Dec.22 = +1.24 units (1-0 W/L)
OVERALL: -24.00 units (73-103-8 W/L/D = .414 pct)


Calling this one early, coulda bet more on it. And the other 2 games today which I passed on, were pretty easy wins by the favorites.

Last game of the weekend starts up in about 30-minutes Vegas at San Jose. Just gonna pass, had a good past couple days and did well on NFL today also. I'd be tempted to take Sharks again, although the problem is when they get behind in a game, show no desire and work ethic to make full effort to try overcoming the deficit. I think they are an unhealthy mentally group right now. Coach was fired and I don't know inside info, but seems to me they liked the coach. Also liked Pavelski who was their Captain but the organization didn't re-sign him in the off-season and they lost him to Dallas. Sharks are 1-7-1 in December and look half-hearted in their games. Gotta think the players are purposely giving a big F-U to team management. Just theorizing here. Earlier in November they had a good stretch when you watched those games the effort looked different to me.

[hotcross]

Monday Dec.23

TAMPA BAY -1 -117 puckline *buy 0.5 goal // 3.51 units to win 3.00

PLAYER PROP: NIKITA KUCHEROV (TB): OVER 0.5 ASSISTS -133 // 2.00 units to win 1.50


PHILADELPHIA -1 -117 puckline *buy 0.5 goal // 3.51 units to win 3.00


still working on the later games..........

[hotcross]

Results: Dec.23 = +7.50 units (3-0 W/L)
OVERALL: -16.50 units (76-103-8 W/L/D = .424 pct)


Taking the sweep into the Christmas break.

I don't feel very clear about the remaining late games tonight.

[hotcross]

Friday Dec.27

BUFFALO -0.5 +230 regulation win // 1.00 unit to win 2.30

BUFFALO -1.5 +310 alternative puckline // 1.00 unit to win 3.10

OVERTIME +335 CAR@NYR // 1.00 units to win 3.35

OVERTIME +360 TOR@NJ // 1.00 units to win 3.60



still working on the later games....

[hotcross]

Results: Dec.27 = +0.60 units (1-3 W/L)
OVERALL: -15.90 units (77-106-8 W/L/D = .420 pct)


1-3 W/L on the night resulted in a small profit. Toronto won in Overtime at New Jersey. I'd play Vegas in Anaheim, the only concern is Malcolm Subban starting in goal vs John Gibson. Also, Sharks to win at home, if they cannot beat the Kings with Brown, Lewis, and Martinez out of the lineup tonight, then who they gonna beat? Sharks have just played so miserably, its not worth a play for me tonight.

[hotcross]

Tuesday Dec.31

WASHINGTON -0.5 -110 regulation win // 5.50 units to win 5.00

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ANAHEIM -0.5 +385 regulation win // 2.00 units to win 7.70

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COLUMBUS -0.5 +155 regulation win // 2.00 units to win 3.10

CALGARY -1.5 +130 puckline // 2.00 units to win 2.60

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BUFFALO -0.5 +235 regulation win // 2.00 to win 4.70

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Results: Dec.31 = -8.40 units (1-4 W/L)
OVERALL: -24.30 units (78-110-8 W/L/D = .415 pct)


Wed. Jan.1 - Winter Classic

FIRST PERIOD UNDER 1.5 -130 NSH@DAL // 3.90 units to win 3.00

[hotcross]

Results: Jan.1 = -3.90 units (0-1 W/L)
OVERALL: -28.20 units (78-111-8 W/L/D = .413 pct)


Dallas takes a penalty and then an immediate over the glass from the face-off, resulting in a 5-on-3 power play for Nashville and 2 goals. So we get 2-0 score end 1p.

[hotcross]

Thurs. Jan.2

VANCOUVER -153 ML // 7.65 units to win 5.00

[hotcross]

Results: Jan.2 = +5.00 units (1-0 W/L)
OVERALL: -23.20 units (79-111-8 W/L/D = .415 pct)

Crazy game with Canucks getting their 6th win in a row for the first time in 3 years I believe.

Got the opening goal but tied 1-1 end 1p. Blackhawks scored 3 in a row in the second period.

Final score 7-5 with an empty net tally. Canucks in 3rd place in the Pacific Division.

[hotcross]

Saturday Jan.4

BUFFALO -0.5 +170 regulation win // 2.00 units to win 3.40

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UNDER 6 -110 WPG@MINN // 1.10 units to win 1.00

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Sunday Jan.5

OVERTIME +375 DET@CHI // 1.00 unit to win 3.75

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Results: Jan.4 = +3.40 units (2-1 W/L)
OVERALL: -19.80 units (81-112-8 W/L/D = .419 pct)

Sunday Jan.12

ARIZONA +107 regulation only moneyline // 3.00 units to win 3.21
*push if game goes to Overtime


Note: this is the first time this year I'm playing the "Regulation Only Moneyline" - but I've played it in previous years. This is NOT the 3-way line.....that's why it is possible to push on the bet if the games goes to Overtime. Generally the favorite is juiced a little higher for this option, while the dog gets slightly better odds, compared to the standard moneylines which include Overtime outcomes.

[hotcross]

Results: Jan.12 = +0 push (0-0-1 W/L)
OVERALL: -19.80 units (81-112-9 W/L/D = .419 pct)

Tuesday Jan.14

COLORADO -0.5 +115 regulation win // 3.00 units to win 3.45

[hotcross]

Thursday Jan.16

OVERTIME +30 ARIZ@VANC // 1.00 unit to win 3.00