Canucks/Panthers was a no play for me. Vancouver came off a very physical and long game on Saturday and playing yet another away game against a weird team like the Panthers just threw up some flags for me. I did play the Under for the Kings game however. I expected the Kings to win but I didn't think there would be 8 goals in the game. Tomorrow there's a lot more opportunities though. Really like the Rangers and Dallas games going over. Boston is a no brainer and I think Toronto is in a good spot to beat Buffalo.
Penguins @ Capitals UNDER 5.5 -130
DEVILS @ Oilers ML -105
DEVILS @ Oilers PL +1.5 -300
Devils @ Oilers UNDER 5 +125
Yeah, I know it's usually not smart to lay -300, even on a PL, but I think the Devils win this game outright, so at +1.5, I think it's as close to a sure thing as possible in hockey. At -105, I think the ML is also worthwhile. I put 1 unit on each, but you could also pick one or the other or split a unit between the two.
Here are tonight's picks. Some people may question laying -285 on the Penguins PL, but sometimes it's worthwhile to lay those odds. In this case, I think the Penguins probably win outright, but the stats just don't make it likely enough at just +EV. But, getting the extra 1.5 makes all the difference in the world, and it comes pretty close to just making it free money. I think it's worth it at -285. Anyway, here are the picks:
COYOTES @ Blue Jackets ML -115
COYOTES @ Blue Jackets PL -1.5 +255
LIGHTNING @ Capitals PL +1.5 -170
Lightning @ Capitals UNDER 5.5 +EV
Maple Leafs @ Sabres OVER 5.5 -115
PENGUINS @ Panthers PL +1.5 -285
Penguins @ Panthers UNDER 5 +125
Ducks @ Oilers OVER 5.5 +105
Ok, here are my picks for the evening games. A little bit of an unusual situation where I have the Predators at both a favorite on the ML as well as an underdog on the puckline. Obviously, this is from two different books, but if you can find it also, the odds are good on both. The PL is close, though, so I wouldn't take it at anything worse than I list here.
Bruins @ Hurricanes OVER 5.5 -105
Rangers @ Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 +120
Senators @ CANADIENS ML -115
Senators @ CANADIENS PL -1.5 +250
Senators @ Canadiens OVER 5.5 +115
Sabres @ Islanders OVER 5.5 +105
Wild @ Blues UNDER 5 -120
Flyers @ PREDATORS ML -110
Flyers @ PREDATORS PL +1.5 -285
Lots of value on unders today, it looks like. Here are my picks:
Blue Jackets @ LIGHTNING PL -1.5 +175
FLYERS @ Panthers ML -115
Penguins @ Blues UNDER 5 +105
Wild @ Avalanche UNDER 5 +EV
Oilers @ Canucks UNDER 5.5 -115
I missed yesterday, but I'm back now after the all star break. I'm out in Vegas this week, so these are the MGM's lines. You should be able to do better on odds at the online books for many of the picks. I just like to spread my action around to a bunch of online and brick and mortar casinos, so I come out to Vegas quite a bit. The more you spread the action around, the less attention you draw when you're a consistent winner. Hasn't been a problem for me in the NHL anyway, this year, but it usually is. Anyway, here are the picks:
CAPITALS @ Panthers PL +1.5 -240
Capitals @ Panthers UNDER 5 +110
BLUE JACKETS @ Kings PL +1.5 -140
Blue Jackets @ Kings UNDER 5 -105
Stars @ DUCKS ML -145
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Record was 0-1, -1.0 units.