Canucks/Panthers was a no play for me. Vancouver came off a very physical and long game on Saturday and playing yet another away game against a weird team like the Panthers just threw up some flags for me. I did play the Under for the Kings game however. I expected the Kings to win but I didn't think there would be 8 goals in the game. Tomorrow there's a lot more opportunities though. Really like the Rangers and Dallas games going over. Boston is a no brainer and I think Toronto is in a good spot to beat Buffalo.
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Comment -
Woke up late today, so last-minute picks for the 7pm games:
COYOTES @ Rangers PL +1.5 -180
RED WINGS @ Islanders PL -1.5 +165
Flyers @ HURRICANES ML +145
Flyers @ Hurricanes OVER 5.5 -125
Sabres @ Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 -120
Senators @ PENGUINS ML -145
Senators @ PENGUINS PL -1.5 +205
Senators @ Penguins UNDER 5.5 -105Comment -
Ok, the rest of the picks for the night:
Blues @ Canadiens UNDER 5 -105
Canucks @ LIGHTNING ML +135
SHARKS @ Wild ML -155
SHARKS @ Wild PL -1.5 +200
Sharks @ Wild UNDER 5 +105
Blue Jackets @ Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 +105
PREDATORS @ Avalanche ML -105
PREDATORS @ Avalanche PL -1.5 +250
Stars @ DUCKS ML -105
Stars @ DUCKS PL -1.5 +245
Stars @ Ducks OVER 5.5 -105Comment -
Another bad night. Record was 7-12, -2.69 units.
Record:
152-214-12
41.53%
-26.97Comment -
Tonight's plays:
Penguins @ Capitals UNDER 5.5 -130
DEVILS @ Oilers ML -105
DEVILS @ Oilers PL +1.5 -300
Devils @ Oilers UNDER 5 +125
Yeah, I know it's usually not smart to lay -300, even on a PL, but I think the Devils win this game outright, so at +1.5, I think it's as close to a sure thing as possible in hockey. At -105, I think the ML is also worthwhile. I put 1 unit on each, but you could also pick one or the other or split a unit between the two.Comment -
Great night! Went 4-0, +3.30 units.
Record:
156-214-12
42.16%
-23.67 unitsComment -
Lots of plays for tonight:
Flyers @ Islanders OVER 5.5 -115
Canadiens @ Bruins OVER 5.5 +120
Hurricanes @ LIGHTNING ML -160
Hurricanes @ Lightning OVER 5.5 -120
Canucks @ Blues UNDER 5 +115
Avalanche @ PREDATORS ML -160
Avalanche @ PREDATORS PL -1.5 +190
Avalanche @ Predators UNDER 5 +115
SHARKS @ Jets ML -145
SHARKS @ Jets PL -1.5 +205
Sharks @ Jets UNDER 5.5 -120
Wild @ BLACKHAWKS PL -1.5 +155
Wild @ Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 -145
Ducks @ Flames OVER 5.5 -105Comment -
Up just a bit for today. Record was 6-6-2, +0.59 units.
Record:
162-220-14
42.41%
-23.08 unitsComment -
Here are tonight's picks. Some people may question laying -285 on the Penguins PL, but sometimes it's worthwhile to lay those odds. In this case, I think the Penguins probably win outright, but the stats just don't make it likely enough at just +EV. But, getting the extra 1.5 makes all the difference in the world, and it comes pretty close to just making it free money. I think it's worth it at -285. Anyway, here are the picks:
COYOTES @ Blue Jackets ML -115
COYOTES @ Blue Jackets PL -1.5 +255
LIGHTNING @ Capitals PL +1.5 -170
Lightning @ Capitals UNDER 5.5 +EV
Maple Leafs @ Sabres OVER 5.5 -115
PENGUINS @ Panthers PL +1.5 -285
Penguins @ Panthers UNDER 5 +125
Ducks @ Oilers OVER 5.5 +105Comment -
Not a good night. Record was 2-5-1, -4.06 units.
Record:
164-225-15
42.16%
-27.14 unitsComment -
Here are the picks for the afternoon games. The picks for the evening games will be posted late this afternoon after I wake up.
Avalanche @ STARS ML -140
Avalanche @ STARS PL -1.5 +200
Avalanche @ Stars UNDER 5.5 -115
DEVILS @ Jets ML -110
DEVILS @ Jets PL -1.5 +250
Devils @ Jets UNDER 5.5 -140Comment -
Ok, here are my picks for the evening games. A little bit of an unusual situation where I have the Predators at both a favorite on the ML as well as an underdog on the puckline. Obviously, this is from two different books, but if you can find it also, the odds are good on both. The PL is close, though, so I wouldn't take it at anything worse than I list here.
Bruins @ Hurricanes OVER 5.5 -105
Rangers @ Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 +120
Senators @ CANADIENS ML -115
Senators @ CANADIENS PL -1.5 +250
Senators @ Canadiens OVER 5.5 +115
Sabres @ Islanders OVER 5.5 +105
Wild @ Blues UNDER 5 -120
Flyers @ PREDATORS ML -110
Flyers @ PREDATORS PL +1.5 -285Comment -
Down a bit for the night at 7-7-1, -1.27 units.
Record:
171-232-16
42.43%
-28.41 unitsComment -
One pick for the 1pm game, then I'll have more picks this afternoon:
Penguins @ Lightning UNDER 5.5 +EVComment -
Just couldn't find much value today. Only two more picks for the rest of the day:
Rangers @ Canadiens UNDER 5 +105
Kings @ Oilers UNDER 5 +115Comment -
Basically a break-even day at 1-1-1, +0.15 units.
Record:
172-233-17
42.47%
-28.26 unitsComment -
Been out of town for a few days on business and didn't have time to make any picks, but I'm back. Time for some more NHL action:
Canadiens @ Penguins UNDER 5.5 -140
Lightning @ Stars OVER 5.5 -115
Panthers @ BLACKHAWKS ML -195
Panthers @ BLACKHAWKS PL -1.5 +160
Panthers @ Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 -115Comment -
Not a bad night. Record was 3-2, +0.99 units.
Record:
175-235-17
42.68%
-27.27 unitsComment -
First pick of the day:
Flyers @ DEVILS ML +EVComment -
And the rest of my picks for the day:
SHARKS @ Canucks PL +1.5 -215
Blue Jackets @ Red Wings UNDER 5.5 -105
CANADIENS @ Maple Leafs PL +1.5 -210
Panthers @ Jets UNDER 5.5 -145
Lightning @ Coyotes UNDER 5.5 -110
Blackhawks @ Predators UNDER 5.5 -120
FLAMES @ Oilers ML -120Comment -
Down for the day at 4-4, -1.27 units.
Record:
179-239-17
42.82%
-28.54 unitsComment -
Here are my picks for today:
Capitals @ Penguins UNDER 5.5 -130
BRUINS @ Flyers ML -125
Avalanche @ DUCKS PL -1.5 +195Comment -
Another losing night. Record was 1-2, -1.2 units.
Record:
180-241-17
42.76%
-29.74 unitsComment -
My first pick for the night:
Islanders @ Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 -110Comment -
And the rest:
Islanders @ Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 -110
Blue Jackets @ PREDATORS PL -1.5 +125
SHARKS @ Oilers ML -175
Senators @ Kings UNDER 5 -105Comment -
Down a bit for the night. Record was 1-2-1, -0.75 units.
Record:
181-243-18
42.69%
-30.49 unitsComment -
Lots of value on unders today, it looks like. Here are my picks:
Blue Jackets @ LIGHTNING PL -1.5 +175
FLYERS @ Panthers ML -115
Penguins @ Blues UNDER 5 +105
Wild @ Avalanche UNDER 5 +EV
Oilers @ Canucks UNDER 5.5 -115Comment -
Good night. Record was 4-0-1, +4.54 units.
Record:
185-243-19
43.22%
-25.95 unitsComment -
Only one pick for today:
Red Wings @ Canadiens UNDER 5 +110Comment -
Well, that game didn't go as expected.
Record was 0-1, -1.0 units.
Record:
185-244-19
43.12%
-26.95 unitsComment -
I missed yesterday, but I'm back now after the all star break. I'm out in Vegas this week, so these are the MGM's lines. You should be able to do better on odds at the online books for many of the picks. I just like to spread my action around to a bunch of online and brick and mortar casinos, so I come out to Vegas quite a bit. The more you spread the action around, the less attention you draw when you're a consistent winner. Hasn't been a problem for me in the NHL anyway, this year, but it usually is. Anyway, here are the picks:
CAPITALS @ Panthers PL +1.5 -240
Capitals @ Panthers UNDER 5 +110
BLUE JACKETS @ Kings PL +1.5 -140
Blue Jackets @ Kings UNDER 5 -105
Stars @ DUCKS ML -145Comment -
Yet another losing night for the year. Record was 1-3-1, -2.29 units.
Record:
186-247-20
42.96%
-29.24 unitsComment -
Today's picks, using the MGM's lines again:
Canadiens @ Devils UNDER 5 -105
Jets @ LIGHTNING ML -140
BLACKHAWKS @ Oilers ML -165
Stars @ SHARKS PL -1.5 +150Comment -
This NHL season just gets more and more depressing. Another losing night at 1-3, -1.5 units.
Record:
187-250-20
42.79%
-30.74 unitsComment -
Only one pick today:
Kings @ Blues UNDER 5 -130Comment
