Toddorts NHL 2011-2012 Season Picks

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  • toddorts
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-30-11
    • 882

    #246
    Not many games tonight, and not many picks:

    Capitals @ Senators OVER 5.5 +122
    Capitals @ SENATORS PL -1.5 +218
    BRUINS @ Blues ML +110
    Comment
    • toddorts
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 09-30-11
      • 882

      #247
      Great night! Record was 3-0, +4.50 units.

      Record:

      238-296-22
      44.57%
      -23.08 units
      Comment
      • toddorts
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-30-11
        • 882

        #248
        A few dogs that were close calls tonight, but I think there's value. The Hurricanes I think win straight up, so I've got the ML, but I also have the PL. This might be a place to take a RPL if you're into that sort of thing, but I just don't have time to run numbers on RPLs. The Flyers/Oilers total is about the closest to a sure thing that I've seen in hockey totals in a while. A few books have even bumped the posted total up to 6 instead of 5.5. Here are the picks:

        Ducks @ HURRICANES ML +115
        Ducks @ HURRICANES PL +1.5 -250
        Canucks @ Red Wings OVER 5.5 +125
        WILD @ Panthers ML +140
        Stars @ Blackhawks OVER 5.5 +107
        Stars @ BLACKHAWKS PL -1.5 +160
        Flyers @ Oilers OVER 5.5 -142
        Comment
        • toddorts
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-30-11
          • 882

          #249
          A down night. Record was 3-4, -0.95 units.

          Record:

          241-300-22
          44.55%
          -24.03 units
          Comment
          • toddorts
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-30-11
            • 882

            #250
            Well, no basketball until next Tuesday (except for the All Star festivities, which I don't wager on), so the focus is on the NHL for a few days. The Bruins have been a bit weak lately, but I think the long-term stats still give good indications, so I like them on both the PL and ML today, as well as a play on the over. Also have a few plays on dogs, where I'm seeing some value lately. Here are the picks:

            CANADIENS @ Capitals ML +115
            Avalanche @ BLUE JACKETS ML +120
            BRUINS @ Sabres ML -135
            Bruins @ Sabres OVER 5.5 +125
            BRUINS @ Sabres PL -1.5 +230
            WILD @ Stars ML +150
            Comment
            • toddorts
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-30-11
              • 882

              #251
              Ugly night. Record was 0-6, -6.00 units.

              Record:

              241-306-22
              44.06%
              -30.03 units
              Comment
              • toddorts
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-30-11
                • 882

                #252
                My picks for the early games:

                Lightning @ PENGUINS PL -1.5 +130
                Blues @ JETS ML +110
                Comment
                • toddorts
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-30-11
                  • 882

                  #253
                  Up just a bit for the early games. Now here are the picks for the late games:

                  Avalanche @ Red Wings OVER 5.5 +123
                  Capitals @ Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 +110
                  Sabres @ RANGERS PL -1.5 +145
                  Bruins @ Senators OVER 5.5 -105
                  BLACKHAWKS @ Kings ML +120
                  Comment
                  • toddorts
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 09-30-11
                    • 882

                    #254
                    Finished positive for the day. Record was 4-3, +1.58 units.

                    Record:

                    245-309-22
                    44.22%
                    -28.45 units
                    Comment
                    • toddorts
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 09-30-11
                      • 882

                      #255
                      My picks for the early games:

                      LIGHTNING @ Devils ML +190
                      CANUCKS @ Stars ML -135
                      Canucks @ Stars OVER 5 -140
                      CANUCKS @ Stars PL -1.5 +215
                      Islanders @ SENATORS ML -150
                      Islanders @ SENATORS PL -1.5 +190
                      Comment
                      • toddorts
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-30-11
                        • 882

                        #256
                        And two more picks for the later games:

                        BLACKHAWKS @ Ducks ML +140
                        Blackhawks @ Ducks OVER 5.5 +110
                        Comment
                        • toddorts
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-30-11
                          • 882

                          #257
                          Up a bit for the day. Record was 3-4-1, +0.47 units.

                          Record:

                          248-313-23
                          44.21%
                          -27.98 units
                          Comment
                          • toddorts
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-30-11
                            • 882

                            #258
                            If you want to get on the Flames play, make it quick. I saw lines make big moves against me right as I was about to make a play on them, so I think some syndicate money poured in. I managed to make the play at Bookmaker before their line shifted, but it might be hard to find odds at better than +110 if you wait too long, and that's what's needed for there to be value on this play. Tonight's plays:

                            DEVILS @ Rangers ML +158
                            Kings @ PREDATORS ML -140
                            Kings @ PREDATORS PL -1.5 +210
                            Blues @ FLAMES ML +115
                            Blues @ Flames UNDER 5 -125
                            Comment
                            • toddorts
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-30-11
                              • 882

                              #259
                              Down for the night. Record was 2-3, -1.49 units.

                              Record:

                              250-316-23
                              44.17%
                              -29.47 units
                              Comment
                              • toddorts
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-30-11
                                • 882

                                #260
                                Quite a few NHL plays for the night:

                                Panthers @ MAPLE LEAFS ML -128
                                Panthers @ Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 +109
                                Panthers @ MAPLE LEAFS PL -1.5 +225
                                Islanders @ CAPITALS PL -1.5 +195
                                Senators @ Bruins OVER 5.5 -104
                                Senators @ BRUINS PL -1.5 +160
                                RED WINGS @ Blue Jackets PL -1.5 +175
                                Kings @ Wild UNDER 5 -135
                                Canadiens @ LIGHTNING ML -102
                                Canadiens @ Lightning OVER 5.5 +107
                                Comment
                                • toddorts
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-30-11
                                  • 882

                                  #261
                                  A down day. Record was 4-6, -1.44 units.

                                  Record:

                                  254-322-23
                                  44.10%
                                  -30.91 units
                                  Comment
                                  • toddorts
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 09-30-11
                                    • 882

                                    #262
                                    Not many games tonight, so just a few picks, mostly on dogs:

                                    MAPLE LEAFS @ Blackhawks ML +160
                                    Maple Leafs @ Blackhawks OVER 5.5 -125
                                    SABRES @ Ducks ML +134
                                    Blues @ OILERS ML +123
                                    Comment
                                    • toddorts
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 09-30-11
                                      • 882

                                      #263
                                      Couldn't post the record last night because of the forum update, but last night's results were 2-2, +0.14 units.

                                      Record:

                                      256-324-23
                                      44.14%
                                      -30.77 units
                                      Comment
                                      • toddorts
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 09-30-11
                                        • 882

                                        #264
                                        Today's picks:

                                        Islanders @ Flyers OVER 5.5 -113
                                        Islanders @ FLYERS PL -1.5 +170
                                        Devils @ BRUINS PL -1.5 +205
                                        FLAMES @ Coyotes ML +155
                                        Blues @ CANUCKS PL -1.5 +190
                                        Sabres @ SHARKS PL -1.5 +165
                                        Comment
                                        • toddorts
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 09-30-11
                                          • 882

                                          #265
                                          Pretty good night at 4-2, +4.03 units.

                                          Record:

                                          260-326-23
                                          44.37%
                                          -26.74 units
                                          Comment
                                          • toddorts
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 09-30-11
                                            • 882

                                            #266
                                            Liking the value on some dogs tonight. Here are the picks:

                                            Blackhawks @ Senators OVER 5.5 -115
                                            DEVILS @ Capitals ML +115
                                            Rangers @ LIGHTNING ML +130
                                            WILD @ Red Wings ML +240
                                            Wild @ Red Wings UNDER 5.5 -147
                                            FLAMES @ Ducks ML +165
                                            Flames @ Ducks UNDER 5.5 -115
                                            FLAMES @ Ducks PL +1.5 -180
                                            Comment
                                            • toddorts
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-30-11
                                              • 882

                                              #267
                                              Basically a nothing night. Record was 4-4, -0.12 units.

                                              Record:

                                              264-330-23
                                              44.44%
                                              -26.86 units
                                              Comment
                                              • toddorts
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-30-11
                                                • 882

                                                #268
                                                Tonight's picks:

                                                Maple Leafs @ Canadiens OVER 5.5 +115
                                                LIGHTNING @ Hurricanes ML +157
                                                Sabres @ CANUCKS PL -1.5 +150
                                                DUCKS @ Kings ML +135
                                                Comment
                                                • toddorts
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 09-30-11
                                                  • 882

                                                  #269
                                                  A down night. Record was 1-3, -1.43 units.

                                                  Record:

                                                  265-333-23
                                                  44.31%
                                                  -28.29 units
                                                  Comment
                                                  • toddorts
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-30-11
                                                    • 882

                                                    #270
                                                    Last minute pick on the noon game. I'll have the rest a bit later.

                                                    BRUINS @ Rangers ML +130
                                                    Comment
                                                    • toddorts
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 09-30-11
                                                      • 882

                                                      #271
                                                      The rest of the picks for the early afternoon games:

                                                      Blackhawks @ Red Wings OVER 5.5 +EV
                                                      Blackhawks @ RED WINGS PL -1.5 +188
                                                      Senators @ Panthers OVER 5.5 +115
                                                      Comment
                                                      • toddorts
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 09-30-11
                                                        • 882

                                                        #272
                                                        Picks for the evening games:

                                                        Flyers @ Capitals OVER 5.5 -105
                                                        Avalanche @ Wild UNDER 5 +105
                                                        Comment
                                                        • toddorts
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-30-11
                                                          • 882

                                                          #273
                                                          Another down night. Record was 2-4, -1.80 units.

                                                          Record:

                                                          267-337-23
                                                          44.21%
                                                          -30.09
                                                          Comment
                                                          • toddorts
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 09-30-11
                                                            • 882

                                                            #274
                                                            Today's picks:

                                                            Coyotes @ PENGUINS PL -1.5 +190
                                                            OILERS @ Ducks ML +145
                                                            Comment
                                                            • toddorts
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 09-30-11
                                                              • 882

                                                              #275
                                                              I just can't catch a break in hockey this year. Sometimes that's how it goes, though. Record tonight was 0-2, -2.00 units.

                                                              Record:

                                                              267-339-23
                                                              44.06%
                                                              -32.09 units
                                                              Comment
                                                              • toddorts
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 09-30-11
                                                                • 882

                                                                #276
                                                                It's been a bad season, but I'm not giving up yet. A bunch of picks for tonight:

                                                                Coyotes @ Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 -130
                                                                RED WINGS @ Flyers ML +115
                                                                Red Wings @ Flyers OVER 5.5 -115
                                                                HURRICANES @ Capitals ML +128
                                                                Hurricanes @ Capitals OVER 5.5 +120
                                                                Bruins @ Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 +103
                                                                Senators @ Lightning OVER 5.5 +115
                                                                BLACKHAWKS @ Blues ML +145
                                                                Kings @ PREDATORS ML -135
                                                                Kings @ PREDATORS PL -1.5 +225
                                                                WILD @ Avalanche ML +160
                                                                Wild @ Avalanche UNDER 5 -101
                                                                STARS @ Canucks ML +180
                                                                OILERS @ Sharks ML +202
                                                                Comment
                                                                • toddorts
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 09-30-11
                                                                  • 882

                                                                  #277
                                                                  Not a bad night. Record was 7-7, +2.25 units.

                                                                  Record:

                                                                  274-346-23
                                                                  44.19%
                                                                  -29.84 units
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • toddorts
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 09-30-11
                                                                    • 882

                                                                    #278
                                                                    Only two games tonight, and one pick for each game:

                                                                    HURRICANES @ Sabres ML +154
                                                                    Maple Leafs @ PENGUINS PL -1.5 +145
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • toddorts
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 09-30-11
                                                                      • 882

                                                                      #279
                                                                      Well, lost both of them. Bad night at 0-2, -2.00 units.

                                                                      Record:

                                                                      274-348-23
                                                                      44.05%
                                                                      -31.84 units
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • toddorts
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 09-30-11
                                                                        • 882

                                                                        #280
                                                                        Didn't have time to cap the 7pm games, but here are the ones for 8pm, and the rest will be done shortly:

                                                                        Ducks @ BLUES PL -1.5 +190
                                                                        AVALANCHE @ Predators ML +145
                                                                        Comment
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