Toddorts NHL 2011-2012 Season Picks

**Eterno_Campeon** · 12-06-11, 02:14 PM

Panthers ^^

Toddorts, what do you think about the Bruins at Winnipeg.. the Bruins are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Travelling last night to Winnipeg, coming of a big win in Pittsburgh. I know they are 9-0-1 in their last 10. but the money line is not looking bad for the jets tonight.

**toddorts** · 12-06-11, 05:22 PM

Originally posted by Freeze1000

were you bettin on panthers or capitals here

Panthers. Whichever one I put in all caps is the one I'm betting on.

**toddorts** · 12-06-11, 05:29 PM

Originally posted by Eterno_Campeon

Panthers ^^

Toddorts, what do you think about the Bruins at Winnipeg.. the Bruins are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Travelling last night to Winnipeg, coming of a big win in Pittsburgh. I know they are 9-0-1 in their last 10. but the money line is not looking bad for the jets tonight.

Neither team has announced a starting goalie for the night, but if turns out being Rask and Pavelec, then I have to give the clear advantage to the Bruins, despite their busy schedule. I would need to see a lot better odds on the Jets to make the play on their ML. I'm leaning towards the PL on the Bruins, but waiting until we have confirmed goalies to make a pick. The best play on that game is probably the over, though, as I expect 3-4 from the Bruins, and 2-3 from the Jets. At -105, I'm liking it.

**toddorts** · 12-06-11, 05:32 PM

Picks so far for tonight's games:

Devils @ MAPLE LEAFS PL -1.5 +270
Lightning @ ISLANDERS PL -1.5 +255
Lightning @ Islanders UNDER 5.5 -105
RED WINGS @ Blues ML -105
Red Wings @ Blues OVER 5.5 +135
Hurricanes @ FLAMES PL -1.5 +230
Hurricanes @ Flames OVER 5.5 +115
AVALANCHE @ Canucks ML +180
Avalanche @ Canucks UNDER 5.5 +100
WILD @ Sharks ML +170
Wild @ Sharks OVER 5.5 +135

**toddorts** · 12-06-11, 06:52 PM

Two final picks. I'd have more, but I have to head to work and don't have time.

Blue Jackets @ CANADIENS PL -1.5 +200
Blue Jackets @ Canadiens OVER 5.5 +130

**toddorts** · 12-07-11, 01:43 AM

Ouch. That night hurt. Record was 3-10, -4.6 units

Record:

85-125-6
40.48%
-13.2 units

**toddorts** · 12-07-11, 04:46 PM

Picks so far for tonight:

Capitals @ Senators UNDER 5.5 -105
Flyers @ SABRES ML +EV
Flyers @ Sabres OVER 5.5 -105

**toddorts** · 12-07-11, 09:14 PM

Two final plays for the night:

HURRICANES @ Oilers ML +155
Hurricanes @ Oilers OVER 5.5 +EV

**toddorts** · 12-08-11, 12:51 AM

Not a bad night. Record was 3-2, +1.5 units.

Record:

88-127-6
40.93%
-11.7 units

**toddorts** · 12-08-11, 03:56 PM

Picks so far for tonight:

SENATORS @ Devils ML +125
Blackhawks @ ISLANDERS ML +130
Blackhawks @ Islanders UNDER 5.5 +110
AVALANCHE @ Flames ML +125
Avalanche @ Flames UNDER 5.5 -120

**toddorts** · 12-08-11, 05:13 PM

Some more picks:

Penguins @ FLYERS PL -1.5 +230
Penguins @ Flyers OVER 5.5 -105
COYOTES @ Red Wings ML +140
LIGHTNING @ Rangers ML +150
STARS @ Sharks ML +170

**toddorts** · 12-08-11, 06:52 PM

And more for tonight:

Panthers @ BRUINS ML -185
Panthers @ Bruins OVER 5.5 +135
PREDATORS @ Blue Jackets ML -105
Predators @ Blue Jackets UNDER 5 +130

**toddorts** · 12-08-11, 07:41 PM

And another:

DUCKS @ Blues ML +170

**toddorts** · 12-09-11, 01:12 AM

Holy crap, that was a brutal beating tonight! Record was 4-11, -6.62 units.

Record:

92-138-6
40%
-18.32 units

**leafs_ducks** · 12-09-11, 01:15 AM

i feel your pain bud! get them back tmr!

**toddorts** · 12-09-11, 01:21 AM

Originally posted by leafs_ducks

i feel your pain bud! get them back tmr!

What's really amazing is what I'm losing on with hockey this year. It's totals! Totals are usually my strong suit, but hockey totals are just decimating me this year. I'd be up for the season by a decent amount if not for the totals. I'm just a bit under break-even on moneylines, and I'm way up on pucklines. Just a really weird season for me in hockey. Thankfully it was a good season in baseball, and a great season in football so far. Maybe things will turn around in hockey before the end of the season.

Good luck!

**leafs_ducks** · 12-09-11, 01:24 AM

Same here. I'm usually doing alright with my parlays. But this yr. Parlays been raping me. Yeah, surprisingly I'm doing alright in totals. Its my weakest area. Weird season so far. Lolz. GL tmr!

**toddorts** · 12-09-11, 04:42 PM

Ok, let's see if today is any better. The picks so far:

MAPLE LEAFS @ Capitals ML +140
Maple Leafs @ Capitals UNDER 5.5 +105
Panthers @ SABRES PL -1.5 +215

**toddorts** · 12-09-11, 08:34 PM

Last minute picks:

HURRICANES @ Jets ML +135
Hurricanes @ Jets UNDER 5.5 +EV

**toddorts** · 12-09-11, 09:09 PM

Final picks:

AVALANCHE @ Oilers ML +150
Avalanche @ Oilers UNDER 5.5 -115

**toddorts** · 12-10-11, 12:45 AM

Sigh... This just keeps getting worse. Tonight's record was 1-6, -5.13 units.

Record:

93-144-6
39.24%
-23.45 units

**toddorts** · 12-10-11, 03:23 AM

Well, I think I found the problem. Frustrated with how horribly I was doing this first month of NHL betting, I went back to dig through my formulas tonight to figure out if something was wrong. And sure enough, I found that I had transcribed a bunch of data incorrectly when I put everything into the spreadsheet at the beginning of the season. My calculations were way off on moneyline underdogs, on totals (especially overs), and on positive puck lines. The only numbers that were transcribed completely correctly were the negative puck lines. That explains why I'm up over 10 units on puck lines and doing so horribly on everything else for the year. Now that I've fixed the data, I'll have to see if I can make up the losses for the rest of the season. Wish me luck.

**toddorts** · 12-10-11, 04:10 PM

Ok, here are the first picks for the day:

Rangers @ SABRES ML +EV
Rangers @ Sabres OVER 5.5 +120
Canucks @ SENATORS ML +145
Canucks @ Senators UNDER 5.5 +EV
JETS @ Red Wings ML +200
SHARKS @ Blues ML +EV
WILD @ Coyotes ML +120
Wild @ Coyotes OVER 5 -115
STARS @ Kings ML +130
Stars @ Kings UNDER 5 +110

**singgooner** · 12-10-11, 04:29 PM

That is bad luck mate - full steam ahead - hope you have got everything sorted now

**toddorts** · 12-10-11, 06:45 PM

Thanks. Two more picks:

BRUINS @ Blue Jackets PL -1.5 +195
Bruins @ Blue Jackets OVER 5.5 +125

**toddorts** · 12-10-11, 07:48 PM

Another:

DUCKS @ Predators ML +155

**toddorts** · 12-11-11, 02:34 AM

Finally, a winning night! Record was 6-6-1, +1.8 units.

Record:

99-150-7
39.76%
-21.65 units

**toddorts** · 12-11-11, 07:04 PM

Only two picks for tonight:

Panthers @ RANGERS PL -1.5 +235
Panthers @ Rangers UNDER 5 +EV

**toddorts** · 12-12-11, 12:35 AM

Another plus night. Record was 1-1, +1.35 units.

Record:

100-151-7
39.84%
-20.3 units

**toddorts** · 12-12-11, 04:20 PM

Not much going on in Hockey today. Two plays on the one game, though:

Devils @ LIGHTNING PL -1.5 +235
Devils @ Lightning OVER 5.5 +120

**toddorts** · 12-13-11, 12:08 AM

Crazy game. Up just a tiny bit for tonight. Record was 1-1, +0.2 units.

Record:

101-152-7
39.92%
-20.1 units

**toddorts** · 12-13-11, 05:56 PM

Tonight's picks so far:

KINGS @ Bruins ML +130
Senators @ SABRES PL -1.5 +200
STARS @ Rangers ML +145
Stars @ Rangers UNDER 5 +120
Red Wings @ PENGUINS ML +110
Red Wings @ Penguins OVER 5.5 +105
FLYERS @ Capitals ML +120
Flyers @ Capitals UNDER 6 -125
ISLANDERS @ Canadiens ML +135
Islanders @ Canadiens OVER 5.5 +115
DEVILS @ Panthers ML +140
Devils @ Panthers UNDER 5 +105
WILD @ Jets PL -1.5 +265
Wild @ Jets OVER 5.5 +125
Sharks @ Avalanche UNDER 5.5 -125

**toddorts** · 12-13-11, 11:47 PM

Down a bit for the night. Record was 5-8-2, -1.6 units.

Record:

106-160-9
39.85%
-21.7 units

**toddorts** · 12-14-11, 05:50 PM

First two picks for the night:

Blackhawks @ WILD ML +135
Blackhawks @ Wild OVER 5.5 +120

**toddorts** · 12-14-11, 06:57 PM

Two more:

Bruins @ SENATORS ML +165
Bruins @ Senators UNDER 5.5 -115