Finally, an up night! Record was 1-0, +0.77 units.
Record:
188-250-20
42.92%
-29.97 units
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#212
I see a lot of value on unders today. But with my NHL record this year, who knows? Thank God for football and basketball. Anyway, here are the picks:
Capitals @ Canadiens UNDER 5 +125
Canucks @ Avalanche UNDER 5.5 -125
Kings @ Hurricanes UNDER 5 +105
Panthers @ LIGHTNING ML -140
Panthers @ LIGHTNING PL -1.5 +215
Sharks @ Coyotes UNDER 5 +115
Blues @ Predators UNDER 5 -115
WILD @ Stars PL +1.5 -225
Wild @ Stars UNDER 5 +105
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#213
Great day in the NHL! Those unders really paid off, as expected. Record was 8-1, +7.33 units.
Record:
196-251-20
43.85%
-22.64 units
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#214
Just like the NBA, the NHL is getting their games done early in the day on Super Bowl Sunday, and there aren't many games at that. So, I'm getting my plays down early. Here they are:
BRUINS @ Capitals ML -145
PENGUINS @ Devils ML -120
Jets @ Canadiens UNDER 5 +110
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#215
Not a bad day. Record was 2-1, +0.79 units.
Record:
198-252-20
44.00%
-21.85 units
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#216
Much like the NBA, not a lot of value to be found in the NHL today. I only spotted two totals that were worth a play. Here they are:
Red Wings @ Coyotes UNDER 5.5 -125
Flames @ Ducks UNDER 5.5 -150
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#217
Those unders have really been paying off this week. Another good night at 2-0, +1.47 units.
Record:
200-252-20
44.25%
-20.38 units
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#218
Not many picks in the NBA today, but the NHL makes up for it. Continuing the trend of the past week, I see quite a bit of value on unders. Here are the picks:
WILD @ Blue Jackets ML -110
Wild @ Blue Jackets UNDER 5 +105
Islanders @ FLYERS ML -170
Islanders @ FLYERS PL -1.5 +175
Penguins @ Canadiens UNDER 5 +120
COYOTES @ Stars PL +1.5 -240
Coyotes @ Stars UNDER 5.5 -125
Blackhawks @ Avalanche UNDER 5.5 -110
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#219
Down slightly for the night. Record was 4-4, -0.53 units.
Record:
204-256-20
44.35%
-20.91 units
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#220
Here are tonight's picks:
Oilers @ RED WINGS PL -1.5 +130
BRUINS @ Sabres ML -170
Hurricanes @ Ducks UNDER 5.5 -120
Flames @ Sharks UNDER 5 +115
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#221
Pretty much nothing for today. Up just a tiny bit at 2-2, +0.13 units.
Record:
206-258-20
44.40%
-20.78 units
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#222
Quite a few plays, including a bunch of unders again. Not sure why, but there just seems to be a lot of value on unders lately. Here are the picks:
Jets @ Capitals UNDER 5 +110
CANADIENS @ Islanders PL +1.5 -275
Canadiens @ Islanders UNDER 5 +125
Lightning @ Rangers UNDER 5.5 -125
Maple Leafs @ Flyers UNDER 5.5 +110
Kings @ PANTHERS ML +120
Kings @ Panthers UNDER 5 -125
Flames @ Coyotes UNDER 5 +120
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#223
Up a little bit for the night. Lost two of the unders with just seconds left in the game! I was not happy. Oh well. Record was 4-3-1, +0.56 units.
Record:
210-261-21
44.59%
-20.22 units
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#224
Not many games tonight, but a few plays:
Stars @ Sabres UNDER 5.5 -135
Ducks @ RED WINGS PL -1.5 +165
Hurricanes @ AVALANCHE PL -1.5 +225
Hurricanes @ Avalanche UNDER 5.5 -140
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#225
Well, I was due for a down night in the NHL, and I had it. Record was 1-3, -2.26 units.
Record:
211-264-21
44.42%
-22.48 units
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#226
I'm spending a lot more time working on the NBA lines now, so I'll be making fewer and fewer NHL picks as the NBA season progresses, most likely. I've always found it tough to make money in the NHL, while the NBA is typically a pretty easy one to beat, in my opinion. So, that will be my focus. But, still a few picks here and there on hockey. For today, just three:
LIGHTNING @ Sabres ML +115
AVALANCHE @ Blues ML +180
AVALANCHE @ Blues PL +1.5 -150
The Avalanche game is a tough call on the ML. I'm hesitant to take such heavy underdogs, usually, but my model just doesn't show these numbers as justified. I'm seeing over a 40% chance that they pull it off. The PL on them is a much easier call. If you're risk averse, just go with that.
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#227
Well, the Avs held in there till the end, but couldn't pull it off. Still won the PL, but the ML would have been nice. Record for the night was 2-1, +0.82 units.
Record:
213-265-21
44.56%
-21.66 units
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#228
I'll be sleeping when the early afternoon games start, so I went ahead and handicapped them and placed a couple of wagers. The total is a little iffy, but I think it still has value. I feel much better about the PL, which I think has lots of value on the Rangers. Anyway, here they are, with the evening games to follow when I wake up:
Ok, time for the evening games, and I've got several picks. Here they are:
Ducks @ BLUE JACKETS ML +145
Ducks @ BLUE JACKETS PL +1.5 -205
Lightning @ PENGUINS -1.5 +135
Flyers @ Red Wings OVER 5.5 -125
Flyers @ RED WINGS PL -1.5 +170
Just like yesterday's picks where I had both the ML and PL on a game, in the case of today's Blue Jackets pick, the safer play is to just take the PL. The value is there at -205, and without all of the risk of the ML. Still, I like the ML at +145 odds, so I listed both.
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#230
I can't believe that the Jackets couldn't even cover the PL. Oh well. I should be used to it by now this season. Down for the night at 2-4-1, -1.85 units.
I just can't catch a break in this damned sport this year. Another down night at 0-2, -2.00 units.
Record:
215-271-22
44.24%
-25.51 units
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#233
Lots of picks in the NHL today:
Blues @ BLUE JACKETS ML +165
Senators @ Lightning OVER 5.5 -111
Rangers @ BRUINS ML -125
Rangers @ BRUINS OVER 5 -115
Rangers @ BRUINS PL -1.5 +240
Stars @ RED WINGS PL -1.5 +140
Ducks @ WILD ML +115
Ducks @ Wild UNDER 5.5 -140
Ducks @ WILD PL +1.5 -260
Blackhawks @ PREDATORS ML -120
Blackhawks @ Predators OVER 5.5 +115
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#234
Down again. Record was 5-6, -1.02 units.
Record:
220-277-22
44.27%
-26.53 units
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#235
Only three picks for tonight:
Ducks @ PENGUINS PL -1.5 +160
Maple Leafs @ Oilers OVER 5.5 -110
Avalanche @ CANUCKS PL -1.5 +145
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#236
Finally, a decent night in the NHL! Record was 2-1, +1.36 units.
Record:
222-278-22
44.40%
-25.17 units
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#237
Got a good number of NHL picks tonight. On the Flyers game, I see value on both the PL and ML, although there's a lot more value on the PL. The value on the ML at -155 is just barely there, but as always, if you're more risk averse, then a ML is always more comforting than a puck line favorite. Here are the picks:
Blackhawks @ Rangers OVER 5.5 +115
Sabres @ FLYERS ML -155
Sabres @ Flyers OVER 5.5 -108
Sabres @ FLYERS PL -1.5 +190
Jets @ WILD ML -110
Islanders @ BLUES PL -1.5 +163
COYOTES @ Kings ML +120
Coyotes @ Kings UNDER 5 -134
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#238
Now that is why you stick with it even when a season is going bad. Eventually, a great night comes along. Tonight was incredible at 7-1, +7.20 units.
Record:
229-279-22
45.08%
-17.97 units
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#239
No picks yesterday or today because I just don't have any time. I'm out of town and too busy to cap both the NBA and NHL, so I'm sticking with just the NBA for a few days. I'll be back to NHL picks tomorrow or the next day.
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#240
Ok, I found the time to do some NHL handicapping this morning. Here are the picks:
PENGUINS @ Sabres ML -124
PENGUINS @ Sabres PL -1.5 +235
Devils @ CANADIENS ML -106
Devils @ CANADIENS PL -1.5 +270
Ducks @ PANTHERS ML +101
Ducks @ PANTHERS PL +1.5 -290
BLUE JACKETS @ Rangers ML +273
AVALANCHE @ Jets ML +121
Avalanche @ Jets UNDER 5.5 -140
CANUCKS @ Oilers PL -1.5 +205
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#241
Wow, that day was just plain ugly. Record was an awful 1-10, -6.95 units.
Record:
230-289-22
44.32%
-24.92 units
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#242
Only one play today:
Senators @ Islanders OVER 5.5 +113
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#243
Only had one play for the day, but it was a winner. Record was 1-0, +1.13 units.
Record:
231-289-22
44.42%
-23.79 units
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#244
I've got a good number of picks tonight on the NHL. On the Ducks/Lightning game, you'll notice both a ML pick and a +1.5 PL pick on the Lightning. Frankly, I think the Lightning stand the best chance of winning this game outright at home. Different situation if they were on the road at Anaheim, but I think they've got the advantage on home ice. I'd take them at anything better than -110, and they're getting plus money odds at most books. This might be a situation where I would look at a RPL if I had the time, but I just never have time to work on calculating RPL lines. So, I took the posted PL which gives the Lightning points. It's still valuable at -260, in my opinion. Anyway, here are the picks:
Rangers @ PENGUINS ML -122
ISLANDERS @ Sabres ML +149
SHARKS @ Blue Jackets PL -1.5 +175
Ducks @ LIGHTNING ML +111
Ducks @ LIGHTNING PL +1.5 -260
Stars @ CANADIENS ML -140
Stars @ CANADIENS PL -1.5 +215
Red Wings @ Blackhawks OVER 5.5 +EV
Kings @ COYOTES ML -112
Kings @ Coyotes UNDER 5 -140
Kings @ COYOTES PL -1.5 +275
Comment
toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#245
Pretty bad night. Some of these games just had really weird outcomes. Record was 4-7, -3.79 units.