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What do you think about the caps over Montreal? Montreal putting back up in against a struggling, yet hungry home team. Ovechkin averages 1.8 goals against this guy.Comment -
I have already bet for MTL. I'd stay out of the way from MTL for a couple of times. Their offence finally exploded. They really only had 1 line working during the first 15 games. Now all lines are scoring and Price is in god mode. Powerplay is now 1st in the NHL. That's just my 2 cent thought.Comment -
Tough to say, everything points out to a Montreal victory as teams have the opposite momentum. Canadiens have found the chemistry in their recent change of lines, now they are pretty hot in the offense. They also started playing better defense and Price is very solid. Not much more to add when they have won last 4 matches. They indeed have a killer powerplay, though I think Washington is still good at penalty killing despite the 3 goals they allowed vs Ottawa on powerplay. On the other side Capitals are cold, they have now lost last 4 matches, against Ottawa they already had a 3-1 lead but blew it. Lack of experience among the rookie defenders is visible as they make way too many mistakes. They could really use a victory tonight so I expect a desperate team and Alex should be very motivated which means he should play on top of his game. But him alone is not going to do it. Another bad thing for me is Neuvirth starting... They have met last week with the same goalie matchup and it ended with 3-2 for Montreal after Neuvirth let in 3 easy goals in the 1st period. Ovie scored both goals for Capitals. Normally I would say clear victory for Canadiens but given the situation Capitals are in, hard to pick a winner, I think the best option here would be Ovechkin to score a goal but odds are probably quite low for that.Comment -
Thanks for the input guys. I've made the decision to just not go in on that one. Are you more confident in wild/avalanche u5 or ducks win?Comment -
penetrate me, was going to go in on the ducks but didn't realize they played early.. couldn't lock in.
edit: for the record, I said f me, but apparently it changes to penetrate. lolComment -
gl tonightComment -
New around here, what's the value of a unit? Always wondered that.. Good luck on the winnings bro!Comment -
30.11.2013 - NHL
Los Angeles Kings ML & San Jose Sharks ML @ +105 Pinnacle
Los Angeles Kings -1.5 @ +110 Pinnacle 0.5 unit
San Jose Sharks -1.5 @ +151 Pinnacle 0.5 unit
Might be value to play Calgary here but I really like LA at this spot. They are fresh and playing at home Staples center after 2 tough road games. Actually they will also have 2 B2B tough matches vs Blues and Ducks after tonight so dropping this one would be really bad. They are chasing the new franchise record for most consecutive matches with at least a point. At the moment they are tied with old record at 11 which means they haven't lost in regulation for 11 matches. The main man responsible for that is Ben Scrivens who is really outstanding and there are already questions arising if he is starter or backup. Kopitar is searching for his 500th NHL career point, great chance to reach the milestone tonight at home vs weak Calgary team. Flames are B2B, yesterday they lost in Anaheim with 2-5, the match was practically over in 1st period already when they fell behind by 0-2. Absence of playmakers is visible, they are still without all the injured players. Karri Ramo in net, his percentage sucks and the last time he started he was pulled out prematurely. Flames have actually won the first mutual match of the season in LA so expect a payback from Kings tonight.
Californian battle for the Pacific crown. San Jose is hot, they have won last 4 matches and became #1 in probably the strongest division in the league. Yesterday they have crushed St. Louis with 6-3 which is impressive as Blues are a very consistent and fearful team at the moment. It was 4-0 after 12 minutes of game and the match was practically decided. Brent Burns celebrated a hat-trick. Sharks are 11-0-1 with him in the lineup, will the #13 be lucky as well? Anaheim has taken advantage of Calgary's injuries and have won with 5-2 yesterday. Saku Koivu is back after the concussion and he made 2 assists but they are still dealing with injuries, there is a huge gap in the defense. Ducks are short for Selanne as well. It is the first mutual meeting of the season and the winner will be number one in the Pacific so I think both teams should be very motivated but Sharks have an upper hand here with having a lineup with more depth and no important injuries.
What do you mean? How much is my unit or what does "a unit" represent or?Comment -
I really HATE betting on LA Games but you make it sound so easy. Good write up. What you think about Washington? Islander's playing their back up - Anders Nillson.
Nilsson made a relief appearance last Saturday where he allowed one goal on 13 shots in a period and a half. It will be his first NHL start since the 2011-12 season where he was 1-2-0 with a 2.75 GAA and .910 SV%.
GL on your plays today, you swept it last night
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ThanksI really HATE betting on LA Games but you make it sound so easy. Good write up. What you think about Washington? Islander's playing their back up - Anders Nillson.
Nilsson made a relief appearance last Saturday where he allowed one goal on 13 shots in a period and a half. It will be his first NHL start since the 2011-12 season where he was 1-2-0 with a 2.75 GAA and .910 SV%.
GL on your plays today, you swept it last night
It seems like another coin toss match with Capitals. Both teams are rubbish at the moment. Islanders have lost last 5 and like 10 out of 12 if I remember correctly. They got humiliated yesterday by Detroit, I don't know, it seems like they are totally lost in defense without Nabokov and Visnovsky. They are not scoring either... they have 9 goals in 5 matches. Washington has caught a break against Montreal and avoided 5th straight loss. They can thank Grabovski for that and probably Neuvirth's warmup injury - I think they would lose if Holtby didn't start. Still it was way too close match to give props to Capitals, more like a lucky comeback of a desperate team. If Capitals were desperate yesterday, Islanders are much more desperate tonight. They lost the first mutual match in Washington with 6-2 due to bad penalty killing so they would want a payback tonight. They will start Nillson but I'm not sure if that's a bad thing since Poulin is currently terrible. Capitals have Holtby who is better than Neuvirth but the problem is if they allow a couple of fast goals, they cannot pull Holtby out. I'm tempted to play Capitals but I think the best thing here is to stay away. Capitals have screwed all the SBR bettors who were on Canadiens last night, I have a feeling they will screw me too if I back them tonight lol. I'm looking at the totals. Over 5.5 looks appealing since Islanders have allowed way too many goals recently and Capitals are able to score at least 3. But it's Saturday and both teams are playing B2B which means the match will end with 3-2 for Islanders if I bet on Capitals and over.
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Parlay: Islanders/Capitals over 5 & Coyotes/Blackhawks over 5 @ +128 MarathonBet
Antti Raanta in net for Chicago who are playing B2B. Yesterday they had a long and exhausting match in Dallas - they celebrated after 11 series of shootout. Nothing good comes his way tonight - Phoenix's offense is quite strong, they average 3.16 G/G which is 4th in the league. Conveniently Chicago is 1st with 3.44 G/G average. Coyotes are a bit unpredictable at this moment but I think they have a good shot at beating Blackhawks tonight who are undefeated for 5 matches. The first mutual match has ended with 5-4 for Chicago after shootout, I think we will see some goals scored tonight as well.
Islanders are awful in defense lately, absence of Nabokov and Visnovsky is visible. First mutual match has ended with 6-2 where Capitals have scored 4 powerplay goals. It's about time for Islanders to wake up in the offense as well. Washington has some inexperienced defensemen who make mistakes and cause turnovers with bad passes. According to my Xbox NHL game Vanek is a specialist for stolen pucks so he should do well against those^^ In all seriousness, I expect a match of two desperate teams and hopefully a bad performance by both goalies which would result into some goals scored. I think at least 3-2 or 4-1 for either team is a pretty reasonable result to expect.Comment -
zdenok what country u fromComment -
Islanders won't score tonight
they can't hit empty net, will rather miss or fan on the shot, a bunch of clowns.
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I called it, buttfuck by CapitalsThanks It seems like another coin toss match with Capitals. Both teams are rubbish at the moment. Islanders have lost last 5 and like 10 out of 12 if I remember correctly. They got humiliated yesterday by Detroit, I don't know, it seems like they are totally lost in defense without Nabokov and Visnovsky. They are not scoring either... they have 9 goals in 5 matches. Washington has caught a break against Montreal and avoided 5th straight loss. They can thank Grabovski for that and probably Neuvirth's warmup injury - I think they would lose if Holtby didn't start. Still it was way too close match to give props to Capitals, more like a lucky comeback of a desperate team. If Capitals were desperate yesterday, Islanders are much more desperate tonight. They lost the first mutual match in Washington with 6-2 due to bad penalty killing so they would want a payback tonight. They will start Nillson but I'm not sure if that's a bad thing since Poulin is currently terrible. Capitals have Holtby who is better than Neuvirth but the problem is if they allow a couple of fast goals, they cannot pull Holtby out. I'm tempted to play Capitals but I think the best thing here is to stay away. Capitals have screwed all the SBR bettors who were on Canadiens last night, I have a feeling they will screw me too if I back them tonight lol. I'm looking at the totals. Over 5.5 looks appealing since Islanders have allowed way too many goals recently and Capitals are able to score at least 3. But it's Saturday and both teams are playing B2B which means the match will end with 3-2 for Islanders if I bet on Capitals and over.
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It seems like one of those days again. Kings get 5 min powerplay but instead of scoring this happens:
Deja vu, seems like Scrivens has taken the starting goalie job seriously, following to Quick's footsteps + are you penetrating kidding me!?Comment -
Oh good, for a moment I was worried Sharks will make it through there and cover the -1.5 bet
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New day, new challenges...
1.12.2013 - Extraliga (Czech Republic)
Sparta Prague PK @ -134 Pinnacle
Sparta Prague is in their own league in Czech, other teams are not really a good match for them which can be seen by their goal ratio - 109-47. In last 14 matches prior to Friday they only lost once in OT but they allowed a regulation time loss 2 days ago in Zlin. It was a close match and they already had a 4-1 lead after 1st period but they totally forgot about the defense so Zlin has tied and eventually scored a game winner little more than a minute before the end of the regulation time. Prague's backup goalie was in the net. But tonight the starting goalie will be Popperle again who seems to be the #1 in Extraliga. Pardubice are pretty good at home lately but I expect Prague to bounce back after the shameful loss.Comment -
1.12.2013 - EBEL (EHL) - Austria
EC KAC @ -118 Bet365
EC KAC/Graz under 6.5 @ -125 Bet365
KAC and Graz are in similar form, they are playing according to warm/cold momentum but as much as I have seen them playing KAC has shown more promising hockey lately. They are very strong home team, Graz didn't win in Klagenfurt for almost 3 years. There are some problems in the offense for both teams, lack of realization, so both teams rely more on their defense and solid penalty killing. Both teams have potential for very good starting goalies but they are playing according to their team - warm/cold. The line for totals o/u 6.5 is very high here, Pinnacle is offering o/u 6 at the same odds.Comment -
1.12.2013 - NHL
Dallas Stars @ -103 Pinnacle
Dallas Stars -1.5 @ +173 Pinnacle 0.5 unit
Detroit Red Wings ML @ +104 PinnacleComment -
2.12.2013 - NHL
Minnesota Wild ML @ -130 Pinnacle
Teams will meet for the first time in almost 2 years. Minnesota is trying to break the losing streak, they have now lost 4 matches straight which is the most in the season so far. Their defense is still good, the problem became offense, they just can't realize their scoring chances. They have scored only 4 times from 116 shots in these 4 matches, they outshot the opponent 3 times. As much as I have seen them play I don't think they played bad, they just had bad luck of playing against 2 of the toughest defensive opponents - St. Louis and Colorado (2 times). They allowed an empty net in 3 matches otherwise the results would be loss by a goal. In last match they played B2B with Colorado and lost in shootout, they were down 2-0 already but managed to tie it up late in 3rd period so they took a relieving point at least. They commited no penalties through the entire match for the first time in franchise history. Coach Yeo was not worried about the recent cold streak and looked at the future matches with optimism. Next Minnesota will play 3 matches in 4 days against 2 of the toughest (and leading) teams in the league - San Jose and Chicago so they could really use a victory tonight to boost their confidence again. Losing against Flyers would be also bad because their position in the division might slowly slip away, they are 3 points behind Colorado but have played 3 matches more and Nashville, Dallas and Winnipeg are catching up. While Minnesota is one of the lowest scoring teams they are also one of the best defensive teams. They have decent powerplay and below average penalty killing but luckily for them Philadelphia has one of the worst powerplay %. I think Harding will start in net, he is currently 2nd in the league with 1.52 GAA and 6th with 93.6 SV%. The team is still ranked one of the top home teams with 10-3-2 record in their home arena and they are 8-3-2 vs East this season stating the upper hand which West has over East. Zach Parise has 36 points in 40 career matches against Flyers, he is also leading the Wild with 23 points, Dany Heatley has 31 points in 28 mutual matches, seems like he is in good shape scoring the lone goals vs Phoenix and Colorado recently.
Philadelphia is slowly turning their season around. They have lift off from the last place in Metropolitan division and now posted a 7-2-1 record in last 10 games. They have started a 6-games road trip in Nashville 2 days ago where they have won in a shootout. They were outshot but Mason has found his form and he is the one saving the day in the net lately. Currently he has 93.4 SV% which ranks him 8th in the league. While these numbers are all respectful, I think they are not the real indicator of both teams. As I have mentioned Minnesota played vs some tough opponents in the last matches, on the other side Philadelphia had a rather easy schedule. They were playing against teams from the East side which are/were also struggling (New York Islanders, Florida, Buffalo, Winnipeg, Ottawa, Edmonton, Pittsburgh) so this schedule was really called for in order to start things moving for Flyers. They are still among the lowest scoring teams and their powerplay sucks but they are quite good at penalty killing and they have fixed their defense to allowing only 2.38 goals per game in avg. The most efficient player for Flyers is their captain Giroux but he only scored 4 goals in the season so far which is a disappointment. Sean Couturier has recently scored in B2B games and recorded at least a point in last 5 matches. After tonight they will continue their road trip in Detroit, Dallas, Ottawa and Chicago so I expect a change of momentum and some lost matches. I think Minnesota needs this victory more so they will come out fired up that much more.Comment -
My line is horrible, do you think -145 still worth it?Comment -
I was following the movement and for a while the odds were rising then it stopped at -130 so I took it. Seems like now when Emery is confirmed to start the public dumped it down to -145 again. It's up to you, I would still take it but I would also consider Minnesota in regulation since Emery will start.Comment -
5.12.2013 - NHL
Winnipeg Jets ML @ +108 Pinnacle 0.5 unit
Colorado Avalanche ML @ -125 Pinnacle 0.5 unitComment -
6.12.2013 - EBEL (EHL)
Sapa Fehervar AV19 @ +313 Pinnacle 0.5 unit
AV/VSV totals over 6.5 @ +104 Pinnacle 0.5 unit
VSV is probably in the best form of the season. Since the early November break for national team they have won all 8 matches in regulation, combining 45 goals and allowing only 17. They have beaten Salzburg twice who were prior to that undefeated in regulation for 19 matches! They have the best powerplay in the league, Hughes and Ryan are with 53 and 50 points way ahead (Ulmer who is 3d has 34 points) on the scoring list and on top of that they have one of the best goalies who is currently 2nd with his SV%. Not much to say about Alba Volan, in all the years they are playing in EBEL, they are still one of the worst teams. They are mostly consisting of home Hungarian players. They can be a really good home ice team, opponents have hard time playing in Szekesfehervar arena because the atmosphere there can be a real hell but they currently out of shape. They have recently lost 6 out of 8 matches after the break. They allowed a B2B defeat from Olimpija who is dead last in the league. They have managed to win in Innsbruck in OT which I wouldn't really call a success since Innsbruck is currently in similar shape as Olimpija and they have beaten Graz at home who is also one of the coldest teams in the league.
VSV coach Jarvenpaa decided to give his starting goalie and backup a rest tonight so for the first time young Lukas Herzog will make a debut. His backup will be Lukas Schluderbacher, another rookie. They will also travel without defensman Altmann who was until now a standard player in the lineup. Alba Volan has recently acquired their hometown goalie Zoltan Hetenyi. He was with the team until 2011 but then left to play in Finland so he could be a fresh wind the Hungarians are in need for lately. No info yet if he will make his debut tonight or no.
On any other occasion if you asked me, I'd say no way AV wins this tonight but given all the info we have and if I throw in the extra long travel VSV players will make by bus (about 4 hours) I see a nice value in backing up the Hungarian team. About totals... VSV played last 5 road matches way over. Last mutual match between the teams has ended with 6-3 as well. Since Villach players really know how to score and on the other side we have 2 rookie goalies with zero EBEL experience, I think it's worth a try for smaller stakes.Comment -
Tough luck, VSV managed to tie the game 10 seconds before the end.Comment -
6.12.2013 - NHL
Chicago Blackhawks/Anaheim Ducks over 5.5 @ -121 Pinnacle 2 units
Chicago and Anaheim are meeting for the first time in the season. Both teams are coming from 2 lost matches. Chicago played last night in Minnesota, it was a night of comebacks. Blackhawks were down 2-0 already but managed to turn the match around and take the lead with 3-2. In the end they dropped the match 1 minute before the regulation to lose by 3-4. There were not many shots on goal fired so both goalies had some bad SV%. Anaheim last played vs LA where they lost in 9th series of Shootout. They got outshot badly by Kings but Hiller was the one saving the day. Both teams are struggling with some injuries, perhaps this has caught up with them and that's the reason for some bad defensive plays lately? I think at this point Chicago as well as Anaheim will rely more on their offense. Crawford and Hiller can decide a single match with outstanding performance but right now both teams are in the top when it comes to scoring and they are merely average with goals against. Ducks have played last 6/10 over and Blackhawks last 7/10.Comment -
New Jersey Devils/Detroit Red Wings under 5 @ -121 Pinnacle
New Jersey Devils @ +131 Pinnacle
New Jersey has lost last 2 matches when they were playing vs Montreal but they were close in both. They have practically lost them in the final moments of 3rd period - first one in regulation, second one went into OT with Montreal tying it up late in 3rd. Suprisingly Devils have outshoot Canadiens in both matches. They suck in Shootout, they have now scored only 1 goal in 14 attempts in the season. Lack of Kovalchuk is clearly visible here so I see no reason why to back them up including OT/SO. They are still relying the most on their super netminding duo Schneider-Brodeur who are doing their job well. Detroit's winning streak of 4 games was ruined by Philadelphia. They were leading with 3-1 but in the final period managed to lose with 3-6. The main problem are injuries of the most important and efficient players Zetterberg and Datsyuk. It doesn't happen often for Red Wings to play without both of their superstars (last time in 2006). They will still play without DeKeyser, Bertuzzi and recently injured Helm. Gustavsson will start in net who is going into the match without regulation loss so far (7-0-1). With Gustavsson in the net I think defense is not endangered but with lack of offensive fire power Devils stand a good chance to win tonight. Also totals to stay under.Comment -
7.12.2013 - NHL
Ottawa Seantors/Toronto Maple Leafs over 5.5 @ -103 Pinnacle
Ottawa Seantors ML @ -137 Pinnacle
Ottawa Seantors -1.5 @ +213 Pinnacle 0.5 unit
I will go huge on this Canadian battle for Ontario. Toronto is lately in a shaddy form, they are playing the opposite from the beginning of the season and have now lost 10 out of 15 matches, the last time they have won in regulation it was 9 matches ago. On Thursday they have finally ended the losing streak of 5 by OT victory over Dallas. Kadri tied the match in last minute so there was a bit of luck involved... he also scored the first goal in regulation time (match ended with 3-2). Bernier made 48 saves so one could say they have won because of the goaltending. No info about the starting goalie tonight yet. Maple Leafs can search tonight's advantage in special teams. They currently have 3rd best powerplay in the league while Ottawa is in the bottom with penalty killing. Toronto is actually even worse when it comes to killing penalties but Ottawa doesn't excell in powerplay.
Ottawa is not in much better shape than Toronto, they have lost 7 out of last 10. They have problems with defense, over 3 goals allowed per game in avg. is too much while the offense is not producing enough. The most efficient player is Karlsson who is a defenseman. Probably the most offensive weight lies on Bobby Ryan and Spezza who are doing OK so far in the season. Anderson is confirmed to start in net tonight. I'm not sure what to expect from him, lately he is in awful shape (89.7 SV%, 3.42 GAA) and merely a shadow of his last season performance. Their advantage is in healthy roster, they currently report no injuries while Toronto is still without 1st and 2nd centermen. Seems like everything is based around Kadri, if he scores, they have a chance of winning and if he blows, the whole team will go down with him so Senators should look to stop Kadri tonight and preferably Kessel as well, while at it.
I'm not sure how much of a home advantage can Senators claim tonight but they are one place behind Maple Leafs in the Atlantic Division so winning (especially in regulation) would be huge as it would mean gaining 4 points against Toronto. It's time for Ottawa to start winning again and what better way than beating their rivals? First match of the season has ended after shootout, Toronto has won by 5-4. It's payback time!Comment
+230 and +145 wouhou!!!
