I know most NFL games land on 3 and 7 the most. Then its 6, 10 and 4. However, i read this article from a website and it says
NFL Key Numbers to AvoidNow that we have an understanding of the most important key numbers, we now need to find out how we can use them to our advantage when betting the NFL. It really comes down to knowing why line movement is happening right around a key number and whether it's to your benefit to buy a 1/2 point and move the spread on or off a key number.
The oddsmakers and sportsbooks are very smart when setting NFL betting lines. They know that when they set the line for a favorite at -2.5, -3.5, -6.5, and -9.5, that most bettors will be pounding it because it looks so enticing. Well, believe it or not, that's exactly what they're wanting you to do.
They will do the exact same thing with underdogs as well. When the Oddsmaker or sportsbook sets the line for an underdog at +3.5. +4.5, +7.5, +10.5, they know they can entice more people into betting the underdog when this probably isn't the smartest side to be on.
I typically always try to be on the same side as the book because they possess so much more information than the everyday handicapper (there's a reason why they have those billion dollar casino's in Las Vegas).
I would highly encourage you to stay away from these opening lines listed above for both favorites and underdogs unless you have some kind of overwhelming evidence to go against them. Do not fall into this trap, because that's exactly what it is. As I said before, you always want to try and be on the same side as the book.
Obviously there is a mistake here because it mentions -3.5 being enticing to take the favorite. Then in the next paragraph it says +3.5 is enticing to take the favorite. The other number makes sense but can someone tell me what is the answer here. I am pretty sure what this writer meant to say was when they make the line for an underdog at +3.5, it entices them to take the underdog as oppose to taking the favorite right?
Would you say this is a good article?
NFL Key Numbers to AvoidNow that we have an understanding of the most important key numbers, we now need to find out how we can use them to our advantage when betting the NFL. It really comes down to knowing why line movement is happening right around a key number and whether it's to your benefit to buy a 1/2 point and move the spread on or off a key number.
The oddsmakers and sportsbooks are very smart when setting NFL betting lines. They know that when they set the line for a favorite at -2.5, -3.5, -6.5, and -9.5, that most bettors will be pounding it because it looks so enticing. Well, believe it or not, that's exactly what they're wanting you to do.
They will do the exact same thing with underdogs as well. When the Oddsmaker or sportsbook sets the line for an underdog at +3.5. +4.5, +7.5, +10.5, they know they can entice more people into betting the underdog when this probably isn't the smartest side to be on.
I typically always try to be on the same side as the book because they possess so much more information than the everyday handicapper (there's a reason why they have those billion dollar casino's in Las Vegas).
I would highly encourage you to stay away from these opening lines listed above for both favorites and underdogs unless you have some kind of overwhelming evidence to go against them. Do not fall into this trap, because that's exactly what it is. As I said before, you always want to try and be on the same side as the book.
Obviously there is a mistake here because it mentions -3.5 being enticing to take the favorite. Then in the next paragraph it says +3.5 is enticing to take the favorite. The other number makes sense but can someone tell me what is the answer here. I am pretty sure what this writer meant to say was when they make the line for an underdog at +3.5, it entices them to take the underdog as oppose to taking the favorite right?
Would you say this is a good article?
