I've created an AFL model which comes up with a projected score for each team based on data from previous rounds in the same season.
The model goes at 80% ATS when the difference between the predicted margin and opening line is > 5 points.
I've verified it and made sure I'm not using data from round 5 to predict round 5 scores e.t.c.
It still seems to good to be true, is there any other way of testing the model?
The model goes at 80% ATS when the difference between the predicted margin and opening line is > 5 points.
I've verified it and made sure I'm not using data from round 5 to predict round 5 scores e.t.c.
It still seems to good to be true, is there any other way of testing the model?