Pags' Plays 9/6

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  • shrax4
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-11-06
    • 399

    #106
    Great write up pags. Hoping for 5-2 this week. Thanks so much for all your hard work.
    Comment
    • pags11
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-18-05
      • 12264

      #107
      crackerjack,

      thanks bud...I try...still early in the season and we are getting a feel for things but I'm trying to get a leg up by watching as much tape as possible...GL this week...

      masr,

      thanks...glad to hear you enjoyed the write-up...GL to you as well this week...

      gopherbroke,

      no I wouldn't recommend buying any game to -150...I really don't know what to tell you other than I played this game at -16.5 for my investors, this was before the suspensions were announced...to me the suspensions don't affect the key reason for me taking PSU in this game which is their running game vs. the OSU front seven...do as you wish, hope this helps...

      taurus,

      haha...of course you can...you are a veteran and have seen much of what I've seen, which is why we both have a tendency to take so many dogs...it's also why we continue to be around these forums each year and haven't gone broke...GL, even on the UConn game, this week...

      pavy,

      gun to my head I'd play against Georgia and Maryland, and on Wake Forest and Kansas...GL bud...

      bigdeal,

      I know that the ECU, Miami and even the PSU game could be affected by weather (and as I said in my write-up the weather may even help Stanford due to it being cooler than normal in Arizona)...I think the weather helps the dog usually (I know this is a broad generalization), so other than PSU I feel we have advantages...

      boster,

      thank you sir...I always tell myself I'm not going to do real long write-ups, but then I just get so into it...glad that you appreciate it...

      iceman,

      appreciate it bro...just trying to learn each week...GL to you this week...

      gopher,

      no kidding huh?...that chick is smokin' hot...wouldn't mind her being sent to me after a good week...haha...

      sir.civic,

      thanks for your input...I agree that it's still very early in the season and also to always trust your gut...GL with your plays this week...

      maritime,

      that's kind of nuts!...rarely do you hear a radio personality, touts included, give out three dogs...thanks for letting me know though...I guess if he can get me a date with Rachel Nichols we would call it even...

      shrax,

      you know the drill, just trying to win more than we lose and at the end of the season we look up and should be ahead...thanks for your support and well wishes...BOL to you this week...
      Comment
      • diehardfan
        SBR High Roller
        • 09-01-08
        • 228

        #108
        Nice write-ups....thx Pags.

        By the way, betjamaica has the miami game at +23
        Comment
        • regularguy
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-12-07
          • 781

          #109
          Hey pags:

          Excellent analyses.

          You almost changed my mind on that Nevada game, but I think I'll just watch it. I'll pull for Nevada. I'd love to see the upset there, and I don't think it is out of the question, if Nevada's defense, especially in the backfield, can come up way big. Nevada's running attack might surprise some folks this year. They have excellent backs (by WAC standards)going about four deep from what I understand. Ault has been raving about them, and Ault doesn't rave much.

          I love the Georgia Tech call. I have them at +6.5 (-105). (I'm a recreational handicapper, and I don't claim to get great lines.) I'd love to have the touchdown, but even at 6.5 I think it's a solid play. I almost like the moneyline (in the +230 range), but decided to not go there. I'm staying a bit conservative now, trying to get in the green to start the season off.

          My other pick -- my WAC play this week -- is Nebraska at -26 (-110). I sometimes get seduced by big faves, and this is one of those times. I'm visualizing a 45-7 game.

          Enjoy the weekend, bud.
          Comment
          • pags11
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-18-05
            • 12264

            #110
            diehardfan,

            thanks bud...yeah, Dr. Bob gave out Florida as a play yesterday, thus the reason for the line move...Betjam is a good book and good to hear you got a good number...nice avatar by the way...

            regularguy,

            appreciate it bro...thanks also for your insight...I played Georgia Tech +6.5 (+112) for my investors earlier in the week and agree at +6.5 it is still a good play...I too am a recreational handicapper, it's much better to enjoy the games that way and know that your day job will still pay the bills...I actually did eye Nebraska, my concern is that SJSU will try to slow the game down...will they be successful at it without a running game?...probably not...if I were to bet one three touchdown or more fav this week, Nebraska would be it...GL to you...
            Comment
            • Wassymac
              SBR MVP
              • 02-22-06
              • 1090

              #111
              Great write ups once again. I'm late to the NCAA party this year (stinkin' work) and playing catch up thus far this season.

              I'll probably be sitting on the sidelines for one more week then I'll probably dive in.

              Good luck and thanks for the insight
              Comment
              • Ole Eddie
                SBR Rookie
                • 09-05-08
                • 42

                #112
                Comment
                • pags11
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-18-05
                  • 12264

                  #113
                  wassymac,

                  appreciate it very much...it's never a bad thing sitting the first couple of weeks out but I know you will be back in soon...GL once you get back in action...

                  ole eddie,

                  ...
                  Comment
                  • racebannon
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 08-29-08
                    • 11

                    #114
                    Hey, great writeups again! I´m really glad I found this forum, I usually just play the NFL so college is new to me and it´s great reading your thread for learning and hopefully winning.
                    The bad news is that the only televised game here in Sweden is Ohio vs Ohio St, do you have any leans in that one, seems like alot of points and a good chance for that backdoor cover.
                    Oh and btw, I understand that college football is your main sport when capping but do you also cap the NFL?

                    Thanks again Pags!
                    Comment
                    • odusmykal
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-30-07
                      • 3426

                      #115
                      Excellent write ups, Coach.. Like always.. Good luck today..
                      Comment
                      • Thorpe
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 08-25-08
                        • 17

                        #116
                        I thought I was going to be the only person to bet Nevada. BOL today
                        Comment
                        • icemantbi
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 07-18-07
                          • 944

                          #117
                          Hey Pags, do you still feel Penn St. can cover today with all the bad weather they are getting? Checking out the weather, looks pretty horrible. I was able to get Penn St. at -14 earlier in the week, Line is at 15.5 now, thinking about possibly buying it back due to the shitty weather. I find that large favs have a tough time covering in bad weather.
                          Comment
                          • outforseason36
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 08-31-08
                            • 350

                            #118
                            2 out of 2 thus far
                            Comment
                            • moneyplays
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 08-31-07
                              • 788

                              #119
                              Great job so far pags.
                              Comment
                              • r2d2
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-07-06
                                • 434

                                #120
                                nice work pags! tailed you on the geogia tech play!
                                Comment
                                • outforseason36
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 08-31-08
                                  • 350

                                  #121
                                  Damn, 4 for 4 so far...
                                  Comment
                                  • seaborneq
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-08-06
                                    • 22556

                                    #122
                                    Pags, I see last week was a blip on the screen. Looks like you are back.
                                    Comment
                                    • JCMONEY
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 09-02-08
                                      • 31

                                      #123
                                      hey pags.. im new to this site and honestly happy i found it.. after seeing your picks last week and reading on how great you on capping, i wanted to see how you do this week and i must say im impressed!!.. im lookin to follow you the rest of the way from here
                                      Comment
                                      • rossta4i
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 08-13-08
                                        • 342

                                        #124
                                        Your on it this week pags.
                                        Comment
                                        • blackbeSSt
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-06-08
                                          • 9398

                                          #125
                                          hey guys new to the site here. stumbled across this and decided that pags seemed like he knew what was going on......so i took his picks on the first page!

                                          man are you dead on so far at least from the lines i got!!

                                          ga. tech +13.5
                                          temple +14
                                          minn +13 (accidentally hit minn and not ecu)
                                          penn st. -10.5
                                          miami +28 (looking good so far)
                                          nevada +18 (looking good so far)
                                          stanford is only the one that i won't be able to stay up and watch!

                                          i look forward to seein 10 or so more weeks of picks!
                                          Comment
                                          • SoonerBS
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 08-26-08
                                            • 518

                                            #126
                                            Pags, hell of a day, my friend! You were right on Temple and I should have stuck with my first instincts on Penn State like you did. Great day!

                                            Comment
                                            • diehardfan
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 09-01-08
                                              • 228

                                              #127
                                              Thx Pags, you helped me go 6-1-1 today.
                                              Comment
                                              • masr
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-20-07
                                                • 4773

                                                #128
                                                Great Day!! thanks for the GT & Temple picks
                                                Comment
                                                • bmw530i
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 04-19-08
                                                  • 4058

                                                  #129
                                                  Winners..win
                                                  Comment
                                                  • WestsidePete
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 07-19-07
                                                    • 8049

                                                    #130
                                                    Nice job pags....
                                                    Comment
                                                    • alexda[]
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 11-01-07
                                                      • 287

                                                      #131
                                                      great week pags!

                                                      Originally posted by blackbeSSt
                                                      hey guys new to the site here. stumbled across this and decided that pags seemed like he knew what was going on......so i took his picks on the first page!

                                                      man are you dead on so far at least from the lines i got!!

                                                      ga. tech +13.5
                                                      temple +14
                                                      minn +13 (accidentally hit minn and not ecu)
                                                      penn st. -10.5
                                                      miami +28 (looking good so far)
                                                      nevada +18 (looking good so far)
                                                      stanford is only the one that i won't be able to stay up and watch!

                                                      i look forward to seein 10 or so more weeks of picks!
                                                      where are you getting these lines?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Ole Eddie
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 09-05-08
                                                        • 42

                                                        #132
                                                        Ole Eddie says great work man!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • xyzky
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-23-07
                                                          • 1577

                                                          #133
                                                          Good week buddy...we will have to get together soon...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bearmz
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 10-17-07
                                                            • 320

                                                            #134
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Kingctb27
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-16-08
                                                              • 2258

                                                              #135
                                                              Wow nicely done. Too bad for me I was on on Miami with your plays, but I did hit on Texas Tech.

                                                              Man they can score at will once they get it going. Look forward to seeing your plays next week. Can't wait to see what your take on the USC/OSU game will be.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SHOWTIMERS
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 08-13-08
                                                                • 8

                                                                #136
                                                                HEY.

                                                                GOOD JOB PAGS

                                                                Your good at what you do, keep doing it and handling business dont worry about no one hating you good, so good shit lol
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Jimmydafreak
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 08-29-08
                                                                  • 324

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Pags that Penn State call was outstanding!!! I just couldn't quite pull the trigger on it. GREAT DAY!!!











                                                                  FREAK OUT!!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • icemantbi
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 07-18-07
                                                                    • 944

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Great day today Pags! Thanks for the winners!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • pags11
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 08-18-05
                                                                      • 12264

                                                                      #139
                                                                      4-2-1 w/l, +3.0 units on the week...

                                                                      7-7-1 w/l, +1.5 units on the season...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • pags11
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 08-18-05
                                                                        • 12264

                                                                        #140
                                                                        hello everyone,

                                                                        thanks very much for all of your support in the thread today...sorry that I won't be responding to you all individually but it's very late and I need some sleep...thanks again...
                                                                        Comment
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