Any insight on Arkansas St vs Fla International game this evening?
-
Comment -
Spladle,
Thanks for the indepth writeups. Kinda new to the board but didn't take me long to figure out that you have a lot of respect here... in fact, I tailed you to a couple of victories yesterday (Purdue over Penn State -12 and Toledo -7 over BG, push)
East Carolina at Navy catches my eye. East Carolina's offense seems really potent but is a turnover machine (17 TOs in the last 4 games) and is playing their third consecutive road game in as many weeks. Navy won last year's matchup 76-35. The line is now Navy (-8.5). Seems like I should be leaning Navy...but this line also seems too easy. Is there something I'm missing?Comment -
Spladle,
I know you have a lot of games to research. If you have time could you throw Illinois -4.5 vs Purdue in there. I don't see how Illinois doesn't cover this line, but I'd like to hear your thoughts. If you get time I would appreciate it, if your too busy I understand. Thanks for all the insight and write ups.Comment -
Im down to OU/Tech right now, and work has been stalling, eating lunch with my female, and then back at it... I may get it all done today. WHOOP!Comment -
I've been keeping up with your threads lately, and I know I speak for most when I say thanks for your the insight and time you give to us. I started my own thread, and would love some feed back from you. If you get a chance, check it out. Hope we can work together to make some green! Good Luck Spladle!
Comment -
how you feel about the wisconsin game.. im really liking this game thinking about going big.. whats your top bets to go withComment -
thanks for your time writin up and everyones input im new to the site and you all been useful seems like we all think alikeComment -
I should have read through these before posting to check for typos but I am posting first, meh well. Still working on the rest so bear with me.
WVU vs Syracuse: WVU -13.5****, OV (anything in the mid 50’s ****)
WVU (40.8 / 21.5) 5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS, 5-1 O/U
Syr (26.7 / 27.3) 4-2 AU, 2-4 ATS, 4-2 O/U
So we all know about WVU and Geno Smith, with Holgerson calling the shots the offense is running on all cylinders. I had my doubts after a sub-par performance vs Marshall, followed up by what will be their worst first half of the year against Norfolk State, and then what should have been a blowout of Maryland turned into a 6pt game, so I was more than confident taking LSU – the points. Despite WVU getting pasted 47-21 they looked like a good team and gained a lot of bandwagon support after that game. Since then they have not disappointed winning their last 2 games 55-10 (bowling green) and 43-16 (Uconn).
Syracuse hasn’t been terrible, losing only 2 games but has not been convincing at all. They snuck by Wake in OT in a memorable late game comeback, got by RI by a TD, USC beat em by 3TDs, they beat Toledo on a blown FG call, lost to Rutgers, and in their most recent game snuck by lowly Tulane by 3.
Obviously with Cuse struggling to beat bad teams it seems like WVU should handle them, end of story. But let’s add in some supporting info just to reinforce the fact. WVU is 4th in the FBS is passing yards averaging a nice 380yrds/game, the Syracuse pass-D however is ranked 111 allowing 293yrds/game (only holding Rutgers-297 and RI-154 to less than 300). Expect Geno Smith to have a field day. This should open up an improving run game with Garrison. Can Syracuse keep pace? Well probably not through the air, with their 71st ranked passing game matched up against the 14th ranked pass D of the mountaineers. Syracuse also doesn’t have a great rushing attack averaging only 113yrds on the ground so expect this to be a tough day sledding for this offense. Note: besides the LSU pasting, and Maryland coming back to have a solid 21pt second half, no other team has scored 20 on WVU or stayed within 21pts. I will be taking WVU here (-13.5) for 4 stars. I may take the over as well, especially if it’s in the mid-50’s.
NIU vs Buffalo: NIU -14*** (Over Mid 50’s ***)
NIU (39.6 / 32.9) 4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS, 5-2 O/U
Buffalo (18.1 / 28.4) 2-5 SU, 4-3 ATS, 2-5 O/U
Sooo, all of us NIU supporters know this isn’t the same team as we are used to. They can score a lot but the Defense is atrocious (ranked 101st in points against) and it has been easier taking the over than trusting them to cover. However, they seem to be heading in the right direction. They lost me a super parlay with their random loss to CMU (48-41) but since then have looked good beating Kent State (40-10) and a decent Western Mich. Team (51-22). I am back on the bandwagon and let’s hope I’m right.
Buffalo hasn’t faced the easiest competition, falling 35-16 to Pitt, 28-25 Ball State, 17-3 Uconn, 41-10 Tennessee, and most recently 34-0 to Temple. I don’t think they have a terrible defense its actually ranked 75th overall allowing 397.33yrds/game, but their offense is only averaging 335.14 yards and 18 pts per and is what has really hindered them. The game is at home so that may help but I really cant see this being kept within 2 td’s. NIU seems to be hitting their stride averaging 482.71yardsper game good for 17th best in the FBS, and putting up nearly 40pts. Look for a 42-21 victory for NIU or worse. The Over should be a decent play in this one as well. Only Wisconsin has held NIU to under 40pts. Take NIU -14 for 3 stars, and the over for 3 as well.
Random Stats
NIU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings
Buffalo is 2-9 off a loss to a conference rival, and 3-12 against the spread after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons
OSU -7 vs Missouri: OSU -7 ***, (Over 60-65)***
OSU (49.2 / 27.3) 6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS, 4-2 O/U
MIZZOU (35.5 / 20.3) 3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS, 4-2 O/U
Both teams have good offenses with Mizzou sporting the better D. Stats-wise (with that relatively weak D) you probably can’t convince me OSU is the better team, but anyone who has watched OSU play this year, knows keeping it within 7 is a tall task. Not going to do any shock and awe #’s just going to state some facts that I like. Besides the 1pt win at TA&M, OSU’s next closest game was the easy 12pt victory at Texas last week, followed by the 23pt beating of Arizona, true their competition hasn’t been up to par but they have won convincingly every time, the 2 close games were road games (as is this one) and they were against 2 teams with a lot to play for. A&M still thought they were world beaters and were trying to look dominant before leaving the big 12 for the SEC while sporting a top 10 rankings. Texas was coming off a pasting by OU and had all sorts of history on their side with some stupid crazy good record after playing the Red River Rivalry. Anyways, OSU can win on the road and they can score on the road. So they have that working in their favor.
Mizzou has lost all 3 of their games on the Road, but looked dominant at home. This could be because the 3 teams they have played at home were Miami Ohio (17-6), Western Ill (69-0) and ISU(52-17). Meh for some reason my mind is questioning the 7 but I know it shouldn’t. OSU is better than KSU and ASU, and cant be kept from scoring, besides that, history is on their side, lets look at the numbers.
Besides their 5-1 record ATS this year with their lone non-cover being a 61-38 beating of Louisiana Lafayette (with a 38pt spread)
As favorites of 3.5-10 pts they are 11-0 ATS over the last 3 seasons.
In road games they are 10-1 ATS over the last 3 seasons
6-0 ATS in games played on grass.
Anyways there are all sorts of trends that lean towards OSU, and I personally I am going to ride them until they prove me wrong. I do like the over in this game as well with both teams possessing a lot of offensive firepower. 3 stars.
WMU -13 vs E. Michigan; NO PLAY
Note* I am starting this one with the preconceived notion that EMU is terribe.
WMU (31.0 / 25.9) 4-3 SU, 4-2-1 ATS, 4-3 O/U
EMU (20.9 / 26.6) 4-3 SU, 3-2-2 ATS, 3-3 O/U
A brief look at the stats reveals EMU relies heavily on the run game putting up 229yrds per, and only 102 passing. Oddly enough WMU allows 217yrds per game on the ground and only 186 passing. This was a red flag I didn’t expect. Looks like it’s a good offensive matchup for EMU. WMU relies more on the pass with 281yrds per, while EMU has given up an average of 230. I wonder if looking at their opponents will help right my Western Michigan ship or if I will end up not playing this game. Sportsbook.com suggests an edge in this game showing WMU is at least a 20pt favorite, so my nerves are starting to calm. As I scroll down the page to look at their schedules I see WMU is 1-5 ATS over the last 3 seasons after a loss to a conference rival (spidey sense is tingling again) . EMU is actually 7-5 ATS vs WMU over the last 12 games. This year however WMU does seem to be the better team pasting many opponents and playing Illinois close in a 23-20 defeat, But after this most recent 51-22 pasting by NIU, coupled with their obvious problems on rush defense allowing 494yrds in their last game I can’t force myself to play them with this big of a spread. EMU has not looked good or played any decent team close losing to Michigan 31-3, PSU 34-6, and Toledo 54-16. Anyways I can’t justify a play on this game. I would take WMU on the ML, but it isn’t worth it. NO PLAY
TA&M vs ISU; A&M -20****
Let me start off by saying I am a habitual big-better on IOWA… and after the ISU game I was a Steele Jantz fan. Until of course the Texas game (which I opted not to play thanks to these boards) anyways since they beat UCONN all 3 Big 12 opponents they have faced (Texas, Baylor, and Missouri) have beat them like they stole something. So my early lean A&M (no matter the spread)
ISU(24.2 / 36.3) 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS, 4-1 O/U
A&M (41.7 / 26.8) 4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS, 4-2 O/U
Things we know are: A&M is horrible against the pass allowing 361yrds per but don’t forget they have played, OSU, Tech, Ark, and Baylor some of the most prolific passing offenses in the country. Their rush D on the other hand has looked very good, allowing only 72 yards per contest. ISU on the other hand, has been crushed in their last 3 games and their numbers reflect that, allowing a very balanced 217 on the ground and 229 through the air, which should bode well for an A&M team averaging 227/297.
The game is @ ISU but I don’t think this matters, A&M was held to under 30 only once this year in that second half meltdown to OSU where they only scored 29, so expect big numbers from this A&M offense as usual. Conversely ISU has struggled to top 20pts. Putting up a lousy 14 vs. Texas, 26 vs. Baylor, and 17 vs. Mizzou in their latest contest. Coming off a 55-28 win over a good Baylor team, expect momentum to be on A&M’s side I think they roll here 48-17… 4stars. As usually I am also an advocate of any over on this game in the mid-50s.
Notes
TEXAS A&M is 3-1 against the spread in last 4 games played at ISU
Texas A&M is 5-1 ATS as a favorite of 10.5-21pts over the last 3 seasons.
Temple vs BG: Temple -13****
How can anyone get off this Temple Bandwagon… the D is incredible and the O isn’t horrible. This will be a 21+ game.
Note* I came into the season a huge BG advocate.
Temple: (31.4/9.6) 5-2 SU, 6-1 ATS, 0-6 O/U
BG (29.4/29.6) 3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS, 4-3 O/U
Temple has a sick D allowing 87/168 while BG’s offense has gone 143/258. BG’s defense vs Temples offense is what this is really going to come down to. (we assume Temples D will hold the BG offense to 14 or so) Anyways BG’s Defense is allowing 194/213 (reasonably high rushing number) while Temple’s offense has gone 257/142 (Reasonably high rushing number). If you can see the immediate problem here, good you aren’t a moron. Last year this was a 1pt game but I just can’t see it this year. Outside of an uncharacteristic beating at the hands of Toledo (36-13) in what I assume was a letdown spot after crushing Maryland 38-7 @ Maryland. Temple has looked great, losing a heartbreaker 14-10 to PSU, and beating everyone else by a minimum of 31pts. Including shut-outs in their last 2 games (34-0 vs Buffalo and 42-0 vs Ball State). Anyone is free to argue how good BG is, but they can’t keep this one close. Temple rolls by 21+ 4 Stars.
Oregon vs Colorado; Oregon -31.
Colorado is terrible, need I say more? I do? OK OK OK
Oregon (48.7/23.3) 5-1 SU, 3-2-1 ATS, 4/2 O/U
CO (21.9/36), 21.9/36, 1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS, 3-4 O/U
The girlfriend walked in for her lunch break so I will try to stay focused but she talks a lot so bear with me. Anyways Oregon has gotten into beast mode and I like it. 32 is a lot but CO is injured out the arse and things have gone from bad to worse, losing to Washington State by 4 in a game they were favored and then Stanford by 41 and Washington by 28, they have actually failed to cover 4 consecutive spreads. While Oregon has been picking up steam and despite, losing L.James they beat a good ASU team (didn’t cover but pushed) crushed California by 28, Arizona by 25, Missouri St by 49 (which wasn’t a cover but a nice win none the less), and Nevada by 49. With 2 teams heading in the opposite direction 32pts shouldn’t be an issue. CO will struggle to keep pace. And this one could get ugly quick. Anyways there are several stats we could reference such as the 202 yards difference in total offense or the fact that over the last 3 seasons Oregon is 8-1 ATS in October games…but we won’t delve any deeper than we have to, Oregon Rolls by 40. But since it is such a large number I will give it only 3 stars but I like it.
TT vs OU; OU -28 ***, OV (anything less than 66 **)
Well guys, as has been stated before, OU likes to beast Tech. This makes me hesitant, especially with this game being at OU… scary. SO before I even look at the stats I am going to favor the OVER, as Tech has gone over in 5 of 5 games but maybe I will get a read on the spread also as I look into it deeper.
Tech (43.8 / 29.5) 4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS, 5-0 O/U
OU (45.3 / 15.8) 6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS, 3-3 O/U
Tech has played OU every year for a while now (I don’t know how far back I want to look) but let’s look at more recent history to decide what we want to give weight to and what we think is pointless.
07-TT wins 34-27 @ home after Bradford came out and Joey Halzle played the final 3.5 quarters
08- OU wins 65-21 at home behind a big game by Bradford
09- TT wins 41-13 at home as OU goes on to finish with their most losses since 99
10- OU wins 45-7 at home with basically the same team they have this year.
So it looks like over the past 3 seasons no game has been closer than 28pts for either team with the home team having the advantage (I think in 07 if Bradford stays in they crush)
Anyways the OU Defense has allowed over 17 only once this year in a lack-luster effort against Mizzou, who scored 28. While the OU offense has put up less than 38 only once, in a 23-13 win over FSU. Conversely Texas Tech has allowed no less than 34pts in their last 4 games and scored no less than 34 in any game this year. As many of the poster have referenced: OU will probably cover this spread and this may actually be the end of the “Overs” for TT, assuming the odds makers know the public will hammer them with a 5-0 record on the over, and make it something ridiculously high like 66-72.
OU covers here, 3 stars. And if I had to bet team totals, I would side with the public and take the over just because Tech has been a scoring machine, but I think the OU-D will be too much and this game could easily end 48-17 meh that’s all I got.
One contradictory stat would be. Tech is 7-1 ATS over the last 3 seasons as a road dog of 21.5pts or more.
3 of 4 of the last 4 games played at OU in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL
Stanford vs Wash: Stanford -21 = LOCK
Washington is good, but I say it every week, RIDE THE GRAVY TRAIN UNTIL IT DERAILS.
Stanford (45.8 / 11.2) 6-0 SU, 6-0 ATS, 2-4 O/U
Washington (37.0 / 28.5) 5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS, 3-2 O/U
Wow Washington has only lost 1 game Su and 1 ATS, I didn’t realize they had been rolling like that, lets look deeper. They possess a decent run defense allowing only 97 yards per game, which could be pesky for Stanford’s strong running game. Stanford’s defense however has only allowed 59 rushing yards/game forcing teams to play more one dimensional and therefore easier to stop. Washington does have a balanced offense averaging 173/246 but if Polk can’t get going don’t expect the pass game to open up at all for Price. Washington has been a scoring machine this year but the most points Stanford has given up in any game was 19. Everyone knows Stanford can score and with Washington allowing 23+ in all but 1 game this season with a whopping 51 to Nebraska, don’t expect them to slow down the CARD. Last year Stanford rolled 41-0 @ Washington, while in 09 they won 34-14 @ Stanford, Look for a similarly dominating performance here. Stanford has won 11 of their last 12 games by 25+ starting the streak with a 41pt pasting of Washington last year. You can’t deny the facts, call it a lock and love it. WHOOP GO STANFORD!
Wisconsin vs MSU: Wisc -9 ***
First of all let me say Wisc + Russell Wilson = incredible.
Wisc (50.2 / 9.7) 6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS, 4-2 O/U
MSU (28.0 / 10.8) 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS, 1-5 O/U
The Badger’s 1 non cover came in a 51-17 crushing of UNLV, while the Spartans non-covers came in a pasting by Notre Dame, and a 22pt victory over Youngstown State.
The fact that Wisky hasn’t had a game closer than 32 all year is just as sexy as it gets, but they also haven’t played anyone, with Nebraska being their toughest competition, and as you know… Nebraska is a “pretender”. Some things that will factor into this game will be: This is the first road game for Wisconsin, MSU has a stout defense, MSU is coming off a big win against rival Michigan as well as a pretty big win the game before against OHST (going to be tough to get up for 3 big games in a row) These 2 teams have split the last 2 years but with Russell Wilson at QB Wisconsin has become a different beast, posing multiple run threats with an equally scary passing game. MSU has struggled on the ground against a decent defense, only notching 29 yards against ND and 71 against OHST, their passing game though has been decent behind the strong arm of Cousins. Wisconsin’s Defense has been pretty great also, allowing an average of 123/145 for a total of 268 yards per game. IMO the final result of this game will fall on the shoulders of the MSU running game, the Wisconsin offense is too high powered to be held below 35 and if MSU can’t move the ball on the ground it will be much easier for the Wisconsin secondary to shut down the passing game. I just can’t see MSU keeping this close, I think the line is only -9 because the bookmakers expect the public to overvalue the win over Michigan (which you can play with a fairly simple game plan, “Stop D Robinson, keep the run inside, and make him put the ball in the air often, any decent secondary can have a field day” against Wisconsin however it’s “stop Wilson, Ball, White, Toon, Load up the middle because they have a power run game, and also keep Wilson inside the pocket because he is great at scrambling/Running/Throwing, as well as playing strong in the secondary”… it too difficult, too many weapons) this is an easy 3 star pick, I can’t quite commit to 4 even though it probably is one but I don’t think MSU can score enough, no matter how good of a defensive effort they put up. Take Wisconsin minus the points.Comment -
Love the picks man.Thanks.Comment -
meh Im not thrilled by many yet.. gonna have to look into 40 more games to get my actual card readyComment -
still to go
NW +4 vs PSU
Ark -17 vs Miss
Wake -3 vs Duke
FIU @ ArkState
GT @ Mia-3
Washington State -3.5 vs Oregon St.
K State -11.5 vs Kansas
Illinois -4.5 vs Purdue
East Carolina at Navy
Comment -
Thanks for the insight!Comment -
Thanks for all of the free advice and good luck to you... Will you have the FIU game done by 5:30 et? Also, I would love to know what you think about Maryland +17.5, USC +9, WF -3, Fresno St + 11, and Utah St -6.5... But, I know you have your hands full, so no worries about it if you can not get to it. Out of the ones you have broke down so far, what would be the best 4 to parlay without buying points?Comment -
Im on road to beer store but will be home within 30 and will knockout fiu asap and answer your parlay question.... actually I will try while driving... the best 4 would probably be niu, temple, stanford, and okie state... actually I don't like Wisconsin any less than any of those... 5 teamer? I got some gems to come, so don't lock it in yetComment -
I like to hear that... I am looking for a 4 team solid parlay, so when you get 4 real good ones remember to post... Thanks man!Comment -
I have to go to work in 30 min... Gotta make a decision on tonight before then, I am going to bet on it for sure. I know it's not a good play relative to others, but it will be on tv at work and it helps get me through! That being said it is always better to have your pick to consider... Will you have it up by then?Comment -
FIU @ Ark State: Ark State -3 **
Before looking at this the only thoughts I have are “Isn’t Ark State usually a team that keeps it close”
FIU (27.8 / 21.2) 4-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-3 O/U
Ark State (28.7 / 21.2) 4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS, 1-5 O/U
Looking at these numbers the teams are mirror images.
Both put up similar offensive and defensive numbers wow this game appears even. Let me look at the strength of schedule. No doubt Ark has lost to the better teams, VaTech and Illinois, but they have no notable wins on their schedule. FIU has been beaten by LA Lafayette and Duke 2 games they were favored in, but has beaten UCF and Louisville (2 wins I consider legit for this caliber of team), but in their most recent outing they only beat Akron by 10 (as a 17pt favorite) I’m just not sure. They haven’t covered their last 3 spreads losing 2 of 3 straight up and being favored in each. Let me keep looking.
They’ve split every game they have played since 92 with the most recent being a 31-24 FIU victory last year @ home (ARKST won the year before 27-10 at home)…. Hmmm well Arkansas State’s 5-1 record against the spread, coupled with any of these stats (Over the last 3 seasons FIU is 1-5 when playing a team with a winning record, 2-9 ATS in October games, and 2-11 ATS since 92’ when coming off a bye week) has me leaning towards ArkSt.-3 (2 stars). Don’t see a great play on the under but with 5 of 6 games going under for state as well as the last 2 in the series, I would lean that way before the over anyways hope this helped.
*note I didnt write it but the home team seems to have an advantage. Lets go STATE. .
Comment -
Man good to know that you're also on Ark -3 spladle. Got friggin buried after betting on Champions Leauge (soccer) so I went big on Ark. Hopefully it'll bail me out.Comment -
I like your pick, but with the total going down I was thinking the over... I like under initially. Nonetheless, thanks man!Comment -
GL guys, and yeah the under seems low but hard to fight history, I think its a coinflip.. if you're looking for an edge, ARK seems to be the play. Im not playing this game but hope yall win
Comment -
I'm taking Ark -3 and the Over 52.5... Very Very small bet just to make a Tuesday night better. Over, just so I can cheer for some action and b/c FIU is better this year than they have been in the past which I'm thinking will mean more points... Thanks a lot man, any real money and I wouldn't be going against you! Dont forget to keep the 4 team suggestion in mind.Comment -
NW vs PSU: Im not touching but PSU -4 if I had to.
PSU (21.7 / 11.6) 6-1 SU, 1-5-1 ATS, 0-5-1 O/U
NW (28.3 / 30.0) 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS, 4-2 O/U
Well let me tell my story on this game before I dive in. I am a NW hater, I took Michigan in that game a few weeks back, referencing Persa not boosting the defense, and I was correct, however after Iowa’s lack luster game vs PSU I thought “Persa is good enough to beat this horrible Iowa offense.” and once again I was wrong as Iowa cruised to a 41-31 victory. I don’t have any doubts about the NW offense, it is legit. But the PSU defense has been fairly impressive, holding everyone but Bama to less than 20pts, hell only 1 team, Purdue, has made it above 10.
The PSU Offense has put up similar numbers to NW only averaging 32yrds per game less. So yeah, I do not like NW to keep it within 4. They have had a porous D allowing 31+ in their last 3 games and only holding one team to less than 21 all year (Boston College). I will not be playing this game but PSU is 6-1 thanks to that stout D and reasonably soft schedule. They held Bama to a season low 27, and have looked strong against everyone else, don’t expect NW to put up any kind of big number. I don’t know what the O/U is set at but look for the under to be the play. I will not be playing this one but if I was forced to I would take PSU -4 (none of their games this year have been closer than 4pts) and I don’t think them being on the road is going to matter.Comment -
Ark vs Miss: ARK -17 ****
Ark (39.2 / 21.3) 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U
Miss (20.0 / 29.2) 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS, 3-3 O/U
First off, as is everyone else, I am leaning heavy towards Arkansas right off the bat, but I need the numbers to back it up. Well, Arkansas has been solid, they looked vulnerable against Troy but I think they were just looking ahead to Bama. They had a nice win against A&M and then beat Auburn by 24. Outside of the Bama game their lowest scoring total has been 38 so look for them to put up a good amount of points against this questionable D. On the other hand, outside of Ole Miss’s 2 wins (S. Ill 42-24 and Fres. St 38-28) Ole Miss hasn’t been able to score more than 13….. Man, Im really convincing myself. The game is at Ole Miss so I got to account for that but I don’t think it is going to matter. True, Arkansas has bad stats on the road but the 1 road game they played was against Bama (A&M was at a neutral site… in Texas). Ark has the 8th best passing game @ 336yrds per and a decent rushing attack throwing up 130 yards per. Ole Miss just can’t keep up, they are 109th in passing, 108th in rushing and 103rd in scoring. Just outmatched, Lock in ARK as soon as you can, -17 is a gift. Its SEC football so who knows what will happen but this one is just shy of a lock… 4 stars.Comment -
Girlfriend is back needing help with Iphone... blah... I willing I will get you guys parlays by tomorrow if not tonight. sorry for delays.
Comment -
Any totals you really like?Comment -
GT @ Mia-3***
GT (42.9 / 24.1) 6-1 SU, 4-2-1 ATS, 4-2 O/U
Mia (30.3 / 23.7) 3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U
Don’t know who requested this and I am semi drunk, but this is when I do my best work. WHOOP.
GT averages more points, and allows a similar amount, but looked dreadful against UVA. Miami looked great against OHST, decent against KSU, and pretty good against VaTech and UNC. So I can’t really hate on them. But sadly enough I fear GaTech was a pretender to begin with. They haven’t played really anyone. UNC, Maryland, and UVA, were Tech’s toughest competition, and those just aren’t good teams true Maryland did beat Miami but the game was closer than the final score and meh Miami had a lot of turmoil going on, I am just hesitant to throw any money on Tech at this point, I think they are coming back to reality. Their Defense is not as good as advertised nor is their 1 dimensional offense, being held to 21 in their last 2 games by less than impressive defenses from Maryland and UVA. Miami hasn’t been impressive on defense either but they have seen how to stop Gtech and can put up points themselves so I see them winning reasonably big in this shootout. Miami is 2-0 ATS vs Gtech over the last 3 seasons, winning 35-10 last year and 33-17 in 09. I see them winning this one by similar score, don’t take GaTech… the will lose here Mia -3 is a 3star pick.Comment -
Gilbert havent looked at the totals yet... are they out... I should get on that. I am looking them up right now
OH THEY ARE OUT>>>>>> sooo excitedComment -
Bookmark has them out Monday around 3:0pm ptComment -
Ec/navy seem like a good overComment -
What I typed + what I thought after seeing the totals so far.
WVU vs Syracuse: WVU -13.5****, OV (anything in the mid 50’s ****) Came out at 58 (yay)
NIU vs Buffalo: NIU -14*** (Over Mid 50’s ***) came out at 62, I’m not sure but I would lean yes
OSU -7 vs Missouri: OSU -7 ***, (Over 60-65)*** OV 68.5 hmmmm
TT vs OU; OU -28 ***, OV (anything less than 66 **) came out at 69.5 tough one
Wisconsin vs MSU: Wisc -9 *** (came out at 47 you may consider this)
NW +4 vs PSU: Im not touching but PSU (came out under 47 so meh go under)
I will look at all the totals by tomorrow I'm sure there are a lot I haven't seen yet.
Comment -
Washington State vs Oregon St.: Oregon State +3.5**
WSU (36.2 / 28.2) 3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U
Oregon State (22.0 / 31.8) 1-5 U, 2-4 ATS, 3-2 O/U
Let me just say I am a big fan of WashSt. But as I said in the last write-up they are playing good ball by their standards but not by other peoples. True Oregon lost to Sacramento St. and has only won 1 game but look at their opponents, outside of that embarrassing week 1 loss; they haven’t lost to any team worse than WashST. They haven’t looked very competitive but their win over Arizona is more than enough to make me feel confident against WST.
WashSt has snuck by CO, beasted UNLV and Idaho ST, while dropping decisions pretty easily to Stanford and SDSU, they did play UCLA close… but yeah well, who cares? That doesn’t factor in here. I really want to side with Oregon State just from a gut feeling but I am going to dive deeper to see if I have any justification.
Oregon State only allows 21 more yards per game from a defensive standpoint and they have faced much better competition (Wisconsin, ASU, Arizona, and BYU)
Washington State averages ~70 more yards per game of offense but they have played a much lighter schedule
(Standford*, Colorado, SDSU,UNLV, Idaho State) Obviously Stanford handled them, the one common opponent was UCLA who beat Wash by 3 and UCLA by 8… I don’t think that has any relevance however as Oregon ST was still not at full strength and both teams lost, who cares by how much. My one concern is Washington’s 31-14 win last year. Just sits bad with me. Im not betting this game and I’ve had too many bud-lights so Im sorry if this didn’t make any sense but it would be hard for me to take WashST in this spot despite being at home. Oregon State should win here and if they don’t yeah well but don’t play WashST. They lost to SDSU by 18, snuck by Colorado by 4, lost to UCLA and got killed by Stanford in their last 4 games. There is no way they should be 4 point favorites. Take Oregon State or no play... 1 star. Good Luck all.
Dont know if I should type anymore, I may type the rest but not post until I read them tomorrow at work because nobody likes drunk ramblings.
Comment -
Thanks for all the write ups spladleComment -
Ill do more tomorrow, its just my bday week and girlfriend is throwing me a party like every nightComment
