Dapper Dan Picks 2025-26 Season Long Thread
Dapper Dan Picks:
NCAAF Posted Records:
2012: 80-58 (+22.3 units)
2013: 96-97 (+10.62 units)
2014: 66-87 (-27.55 units)
2015: 82-54 (+26.98 units)
2016: 65-67 (-5.37 units)
2017: 74-66 (+1.41 units
2018: 72-90 (-20.19 units)
2019: 70-68 (+0.87 units)
2020: 70-64 (+1.63 units)
2021: 89-63 (+25.68 units)
2022: 56-62 (-18.86 units)
2023: 96-90 (-9.19 units)
2024: 111-90 (+7.64 units)
Lifetime Total: 1027- 978 (+15.97 units) (51%)
13 years going strong - 8 have been profitable - 5 have not - overall we are profitable and we are setting up for a great year as I am no longer under as much financial pressure and stress like I have been the last few years and winning comes that much easier when you’re playing with house money and not debt. I also have my beautiful daughter who’s just turning two brings some light and positivity into my life every day. We have one play so far for “Week 0” this Saturday. Will do my best to post write-ups for all games. Good luck this season all!
Week 0:
Iowa State +3 (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 units
Wooohoooo - two Top 25 teams facing off in Week 0? Has this ever happened? Kind of a sketchy line considering Iowa State had the better team last year (went 11-3), and beat Kansas State (with 9-4) by 8 at the end of last year. They have more returning starters but I’ll take the 3 points as a nice safety net in what should be a tight game although I think they win outright. Both coaching staffs remain largely in-tact and have been building with their respective programs for the last few years. I like how Iowa State’s defense matches up against this run-heavy K. State offense - they run a 3-3-5 base and often shoot gaps, run slants, causing confusion for offensive lines and Kansas State has a very inexperienced O-Line this year - ranking 93rd in overall starts. Last year, they held Kansas State’s run heavy offense in check - with their running backs only accounting 80 yards on 18 carries and the bulk of the workload falling on Avery Johnson but it will be with a relatively green offensive line and without DJ Giddens a 1200+ yards back for them the last 2 years. Although Rocco Becht lost his two two stud QB’s, I think another year with promoted in house Taylor Mouser as OC shows a lot of promise. Last year they were in the Top 25 of offensive efficiency in EPA per play and 32 in OFEI and put up 32 points per game. Also Kansas State’s biggest weakness last year was their secondary ranking 80th in the country in PFF - AND they lost 5 of their top 6 starters in that secondary. Iowa State’s defense was decimated by injuries last year - leaving them scrambling to fill in key spots like returning senior and now captain, Caleb Bacon who has a season ending injury in Week 1 last season. They had a lot of young guys step in last year who improved over the season, and their linebackers and defensive backs should be top notch this season - their defensive line is a big ? as they have 4 transfers coming in but will have retuning senior Dominque Orange back - one of the most sought after noseguards in the league last year. Iowa State with the upset to kick of the season!
NCAAF Posted Records:
2012: 80-58 (+22.3 units)
2013: 96-97 (+10.62 units)
2014: 66-87 (-27.55 units)
2015: 82-54 (+26.98 units)
2016: 65-67 (-5.37 units)
2017: 74-66 (+1.41 units
2018: 72-90 (-20.19 units)
2019: 70-68 (+0.87 units)
2020: 70-64 (+1.63 units)
2021: 89-63 (+25.68 units)
2022: 56-62 (-18.86 units)
2023: 96-90 (-9.19 units)
2024: 111-90 (+7.64 units)
Lifetime Total: 1027- 978 (+15.97 units) (51%)
13 years going strong - 8 have been profitable - 5 have not - overall we are profitable and we are setting up for a great year as I am no longer under as much financial pressure and stress like I have been the last few years and winning comes that much easier when you’re playing with house money and not debt. I also have my beautiful daughter who’s just turning two brings some light and positivity into my life every day. We have one play so far for “Week 0” this Saturday. Will do my best to post write-ups for all games. Good luck this season all!
Week 0:
Iowa State +3 (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 units
Wooohoooo - two Top 25 teams facing off in Week 0? Has this ever happened? Kind of a sketchy line considering Iowa State had the better team last year (went 11-3), and beat Kansas State (with 9-4) by 8 at the end of last year. They have more returning starters but I’ll take the 3 points as a nice safety net in what should be a tight game although I think they win outright. Both coaching staffs remain largely in-tact and have been building with their respective programs for the last few years. I like how Iowa State’s defense matches up against this run-heavy K. State offense - they run a 3-3-5 base and often shoot gaps, run slants, causing confusion for offensive lines and Kansas State has a very inexperienced O-Line this year - ranking 93rd in overall starts. Last year, they held Kansas State’s run heavy offense in check - with their running backs only accounting 80 yards on 18 carries and the bulk of the workload falling on Avery Johnson but it will be with a relatively green offensive line and without DJ Giddens a 1200+ yards back for them the last 2 years. Although Rocco Becht lost his two two stud QB’s, I think another year with promoted in house Taylor Mouser as OC shows a lot of promise. Last year they were in the Top 25 of offensive efficiency in EPA per play and 32 in OFEI and put up 32 points per game. Also Kansas State’s biggest weakness last year was their secondary ranking 80th in the country in PFF - AND they lost 5 of their top 6 starters in that secondary. Iowa State’s defense was decimated by injuries last year - leaving them scrambling to fill in key spots like returning senior and now captain, Caleb Bacon who has a season ending injury in Week 1 last season. They had a lot of young guys step in last year who improved over the season, and their linebackers and defensive backs should be top notch this season - their defensive line is a big ? as they have 4 transfers coming in but will have retuning senior Dominque Orange back - one of the most sought after noseguards in the league last year. Iowa State with the upset to kick of the season!