Iowa State vs Kansas State Prediction

[SBR Andy]

Week 0 kicks off on Saturday, August 23rd in Ireland and SBR's Mike Spector shares his early Iowa State vs Kansas State prediction for 'Farmageddon'.

Kansas State -3 (-105 Caesars)

"I am heading to Caesars to back the Wildcats to cover the field goal spread with my Iowa State vs. Kansas State early predictions, as it’s the only top sports betting site charging less than the standard -110 juice. With the chances much more likely that the line moves up to -3.5 than down to -2.5, -3 is likely the best number we will get going forward.

Iowa State, being a three-point underdog after its only 11-win season in school history, speaks to what it lost on offense. The Cyclones will not be as dynamic to begin the season after losing their top two wide receivers, who combined for 167 catches and nearly 2,400 yards, and their leading returning receiver had 11 receptions a year ago.

Kansas State has +380 odds at DraftKings to make the College Football Playoff compared to Iowa State at +900, and that likely factors in who will win this season opener. I expect regression from a Cyclones team that finished 5-1 in one-score games last year, with the more experienced Wildcats (14th in returning production) covering."


Who are you taking in the first game of the season. Share your prediction below!

[SBR Andy]

SBR's Rob Paul makes his Iowa State vs Kansas State pick as part of his NCAAF spread picks for Week 0:

Kansas State -3 (-105 Caesars)

"This is a treat to kick the entire college football season off, with both Kansas State and Iowa State ranked in the preseason AP Top 25. And the Wildcats look like they're equipped for a conference championship run and a College Football Playoff berth this year.

As the co-favorites by the Big 12 Championship odds, the Wildcats' rushing attack should be one of the nation's best this season, and it's the key reason why K-State is No. 16 in SP+ on offense entering the campaign. Chris Klieman's team returns starting QB Avery Johnson and dynamic running back Dylan Edwards, who could hurt a Cyclones defense that ranks outside the top 50 in returning production.

The Wildcats also bring back linebacker Austin Romaine and safety VJ Payne to lead a defense that can take advantage of an Iowa State team that lost its top two offensive weapons to the NFL draft (Jaylin Noel, Jayden Higgins). A lot more is going to be on Iowa State QB Rocco Becht's plate this year after he finished with the sixth-most turnover-worthy plays in the country last season (20)."

[SBR Andy]

SBR's Gabe Henderson offers some Kansas State vs Iowa State betting notes as part of his Week 0 CFB betting trends:

- Iowa State has won four of the last five meetings with Kansas State outright
- The Cyclones were 8-6 and the Wildcats were 4-9 against the spread last season
- Iowa State has excelled in underdog spots, going 5-1 ATS over its last six under Matt Campbell
- Kansas State was 1-6 ATS away from home in 2024
- Underdogs are 2-1 SU in the last three season openers played in Dublin

Prediction: Kansas State -3 (-110 Caesars)

"This is one of the sport's most storied, underrated rivalries, with 108 all-time meetings in the books. However, only twice during that span have games been played away from either Ames or Manhattan. Kansas State is 2-0 in those games - played in Kansas City in 2009-10 - and looks to improve to 3-0 in Week 0."

[SBR Andy]

SBR's Rob Paul shares his best Iowa State vs Kansas State player prop:

Avery Johnson Over 54.5 rushing yards (-115 BetMGM)

"Johnson comes into the season viewed as a popular player in Heisman Trophy long shot predictions due to his dual-threat ability. The junior was one of the most dynamic running QBs down the stretch last season, popping off for at least 57 yards on the ground in each of his last three games.

He finished last season 17th in the country in rushing yards among QBs (605) and top 30 in missed tackles forced (22) and 10-plus-yard runs (31) among QBs. With Iowa State's defense outside the top 50 in returning production after finishing 73rd in EPA per rush on defense last season, Johnson's legs should make a huge difference in Farmageddon.

This line is set as high as 57.5 at some of our best sportsbooks, which is why I'm all over this prop at BetMGM, where a $10 bet pays an $8.70 profit. Johnson went Over 54.5 rushing yards in seven of his last 11 games last season."

[SBR Andy]

SBR's Mike Spector added some Iowa State vs Kansas State player props to his card:

Dylan Edward to score a TD (-118 Caesars)
Jayce Brown to score a TD (+140 FanDuel)
Benjamin Brahmer to score a TD (+375 BetMGM)
Avery Johnson Over 255.5 Pass + Rush Yards (-122 FanDuel)
Rocco Becht Under 232.5 passing yards (-120 FanDuel)
Rocco Brecht Under 40.5 longest completion (-115 bet365)