Mcbaseball NCAA Football Season thread

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  • mcbaseball10
    SBR MVP
    • 02-11-09
    • 2866

    #1
    Mcbaseball NCAA Football Season thread
    RLM in play early on this one with 60% on Ball State and line dropping from 17 to 16

    -Ball State lost most of their offensive line with 3 guys going to the pros and also have a new QB at the helm
    -NTexas returns their entire offensive line
    -Both teams have solid running backs with Lewis for Ball State being one of the best in the country last season. How big of an impact the o-line was is still to be determined.

    I think Ball State will win. But I don't see them having the talent to blow N Texas out

    North Texas +16
    ------------------------

    Baylor travels to Wake Forest
    -Last year Baylor lost at home to Wake last season 41-13

    -Baylor has the edge at RB Finley rushed for 865 yards and seven touchdowns in 2008 to lead the Bears but lost two o-linemen to the NFL

    -Wake has the edge at QB Riley Skinner, started 37 career games for the Demon Deacons and has a career completion percentage of 67.3. Last year, he hitting 27 of 36 passes for 220 yards and three touchdowns.

    Giving the home field edge to Wake with a solid veteran QB

    Wake Forest -2½ (-105)
  • mcbaseball10
    SBR MVP
    • 02-11-09
    • 2866

    #2
    Thurs 9/3 result

    [quote=mcbaseball10;2193875]
    RLM in play early on this one with 60% on Ball State and line dropping from 17 to 16

    -Ball State lost most of their offensive line with 3 guys going to the pros and also have a new QB at the helm
    -NTexas returns their entire offensive line
    -Both teams have solid running backs with Lewis for Ball State being one of the best in the country last season. How big of an impact the o-line was is still to be determined.

    I think Ball State will win. But I don't see them having the talent to blow N Texas out

    WIN North Texas +16

    __________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/3/2009


    1-0 (100% +1.00 unit)
    _____________________
    Comment
    • mcbaseball10
      SBR MVP
      • 02-11-09
      • 2866

      #3
      -Nevada comes in with the worst ranked passing defense in 2008
      -Nevada has to travel cross country to a very hostile environment
      -I give the advantage to Nevada at QB with Kaepernick, but he has to throw against a Notre Dame defense that returns 7 starters
      -Notre Dame returns 10 offensive starters with WR Golden Tate looking to put up all American numbers and a reliable TE in SO Rudolph

      Turnovers will be the key to this cover. Kaepernick should feel the heat which I believe leads to a Notre Dame cover

      Notre Dame -14
      Comment
      • mcbaseball10
        SBR MVP
        • 02-11-09
        • 2866

        #4
        -Tulsa only has 5 guys back from the incredible offense that scored 47.2 points last college football season
        -They have to find a QB to replace David Johnson, who threw 47 touchdown passes last year en route to leading this offense to the No. 1 national ranking in total offense at 569.9 yards/game.

        -Tulsa returns 8 defensive starters who look to limit Anderson and Tulane's running attack

        Key to the game is going to be controlling time of possession battle. Tulane is not talented enough to win in a high scoring game. With a healthy Anderson for Tulane, look for them to keep it close and the scoring down.

        Tulsa vs. Tulane Under 64 (-115)

        For anybody into watching line movement here is the trends on this..I look for it to drop to 63.5 by game time

        covers.com/sports/odds/lineHistory.aspx?eventId=26641&sport=ncf
        Last edited by mcbaseball10; 09-04-09, 10:09 AM.
        Comment
        • mcbaseball10
          SBR MVP
          • 02-11-09
          • 2866

          #5
          Guess I underestimated the movement
          Tulsa v. Tulane now down to 62
          Comment
          • mcbaseball10
            SBR MVP
            • 02-11-09
            • 2866

            #6
            Big Ten teaser

            UPDATED PENDING CARD

            NOTE: All of my plays are to win one unit on favorites and one unit wager on dogs

            Each To win 1 unit

            Tulsa vs. Tulane Under 64 (-115)
            Notre Dame -14
            Wake Forest -2½ (-105)

            6 point teaser (-110)

            Ohio State -15½
            Minnesota -1

            __________________________
            NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/3/2009

            1-0 (100% +1.00 unit)

            _____________________
            Comment
            • mcbaseball10
              SBR MVP
              • 02-11-09
              • 2866

              #7
              Originally posted by mcbaseball10
              -Tulsa only has 5 guys back from the incredible offense that scored 47.2 points last college football season -They have to find a QB to replace David Johnson, who threw 47 touchdown passes last year en route to leading this offense to the No. 1 national ranking in total offense at 569.9 yards/game. -Tulsa returns 8 defensive starters who look to limit Anderson and Tulane's running attack Key to the game is going to be controlling time of possession battle. Tulane is not talented enough to win in a high scoring game. With a healthy Anderson for Tulane, look for them to keep it close and the scoring down.

              WIN [b]Tulsa vs. Tulane Under 64 (-115)
              _________________________
              NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/4/2009

              2-0 (100% +2.00 units)

              _____________________
              [/color]
              Comment
              • mcbaseball10
                SBR MVP
                • 02-11-09
                • 2866

                #8
                Lot of negative talk around Ann Arbor keeping the numbers down. Michigan with Rodriguez is extremely underrated

                POUND THIS ONE!

                To win 5 UNITS!
                Michigan -7 (-105)
                1st half
                Comment
                • mcbaseball10
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-11-09
                  • 2866

                  #9
                  [quote=mcbaseball10;2198636]

                  Each To win 1 unit

                  WIN Notre Dame -14
                  LOSSWake Forest -2½ (-105)

                  6 point teaser (-110)
                  LOSS
                  Ohio State -15½
                  Minnesota -1

                  To win 5 UNITS!

                  WINMichigan -7 (-105)
                  1st half

                  POUND THIS ONE!

                  2-2 +3.85 units on Saturday
                  __________________________
                  NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/5/2009

                  4-2 (67% +5.85 units)
                  _____________________
                  Comment
                  • mcbaseball10
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-11-09
                    • 2866

                    #10
                    To win 1 unit

                    hate that I got in this one so late but didn't have a chance to bet earlier, Colorado should route them though with a powerful offense against a weak defense for CSU

                    Colorado -12½
                    Comment
                    • mcbaseball10
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-11-09
                      • 2866

                      #11
                      Underestimated the strength of an experienced offensive line.


                      Originally posted by mcbaseball10
                      To win 1 unit

                      hate that I got in this one so late but didn't have a chance to bet earlier, Colorado should route them though with a powerful offense against a weak defense for CSU

                      LOSS Colorado -12½

                      __________________________
                      NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/5/2009


                      4-3 (57% +4.75 units)
                      _____________________
                      Comment
                      • mcbaseball10
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-11-09
                        • 2866

                        #12
                        Each to win 1 unit

                        Cincinnati +4½
                        ---------------
                        Florida State -6

                        __________________________
                        NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/5/2009

                        4-3 (57% +4.75 units)

                        _____________________
                        Comment
                        • mcbaseball10
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-11-09
                          • 2866

                          #13
                          1-1 -.1 units

                          1-1 -.1 units on Labor Day

                          Originally posted by mcbaseball10

                          Each to win 1 unit

                          WINCincinnati +4½
                          ---------------
                          LOSSFlorida State -6
                          __________________________
                          NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/7/2009

                          5-4 (56% +4.65 units)
                          _____________________
                          Comment
                          • mcbaseball10
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-11-09
                            • 2866

                            #14
                            To win 2 units
                            Stanford @ Wake Forest -3

                            -Included the run down from USA Today talking about this matchup.
                            Key points to me in this matchup Wake QB has much experience against a very inexperienced secondary for Stanford
                            -QB for Stanford is a redshirt freshman
                            -Game time is at 12:00 Eastern 9:00 am Pacific..team is traveling a day early to get acclamated, but think this is still a contributing factor



                            To win 1 unit
                            Notre Dame -3 @ Michigan (-115)

                            -Picked both of these teams to prevail last week and was impressed with both teams' performances
                            -Claussen has matured so much over his last few outings and looks so much more comfortable in the pocket. The only question is how much was due to his weak opponents.
                            -Michigan will rely on Freshman QB Forcier to manage the game and avoid turnovers which plagued the team last season

                            __________________________
                            NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/7/2009


                            5-4 (56% +4.65 units)
                            _____________________
                            Comment
                            • mcbaseball10
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-11-09
                              • 2866

                              #15
                              To win 1 unit

                              6 point teaser (-110)
                              (365) Houston +21
                              359) Bowling Green +25
                              Comment
                              • mcbaseball10
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-11-09
                                • 2866

                                #16
                                Friday night play

                                Colorado was held in check offensively because of an interstate rivalry. Those teams know each other in and out. Now Colorado is playing Toledo, a team that loves to go up and down the field. Hawkins will have much more time to throw this week. Toledo is always going to score points and Colorado will put up there's this week as well. I expect a huge scoring affair.

                                To win 2 units

                                Colorado @ Toledo OVER 54 (-115)
                                Comment
                                • mcbaseball10
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-11-09
                                  • 2866

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by mcbaseball10
                                  Colorado was held in check offensively because of an interstate rivalry. Those teams know each other in and out. Now Colorado is playing Toledo, a team that loves to go up and down the field. Hawkins will have much more time to throw this week. Toledo is always going to score points and Colorado will put up there's this week as well. I expect a huge scoring affair.

                                  To win 2 units

                                  WIN Colorado @ Toledo OVER 54 (-115)

                                  __________________________
                                  NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/11/2009

                                  6-4 (60% +6.65 units)

                                  _____________________
                                  Comment
                                  • mcbaseball10
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-11-09
                                    • 2866

                                    #18
                                    A little RLM earlier in the day on this one

                                    To win 1 unit
                                    Wyoming +32
                                    Comment
                                    • mcbaseball10
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-11-09
                                      • 2866

                                      #19
                                      Updated Record

                                      3-1 +3 units Saturday
                                      1-0
                                      +2 units Friday
                                      CFB weekend 4-1 +5 units
                                      Originally posted by mcbaseball10

                                      To win 2 units


                                      WIN
                                      Stanford @ Wake Forest -3

                                      To win 1 unit


                                      LOSSNotre Dame -3
                                      @ Michigan (-115)

                                      WIN6 point teaser (-110)
                                      Houston +21
                                      Bowling Green +25

                                      WINWyoming +32
                                      _________________________
                                      NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/13/2009

                                      9-5 (64% +9.65 units)

                                      _____________________
                                      Comment
                                      • mcbaseball10
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-11-09
                                        • 2866

                                        #20
                                        Tried to get in at 55 but it dropped when I went to confirm
                                        Expect a low scoring game.
                                        -Miami is not going to put up as many points as they did late in the game against Florida State
                                        -GT is going to rely on a ground game that should eat up a lot of the clock.
                                        -Most of GT's scores came on big plays and were mostly held in check during the 2nd half against Clemson.
                                        -Miami having a long week to prepare for the option, I expect them to keep this one close.

                                        Waiting to see if spread drops to -3.5 before I place a bet on Miami, but see Miami winning in a low scoring affair..will update if add the Miami bet

                                        (101) Georgia Tech vs. (102) Miami (Florida) Under 54

                                        _________________________
                                        NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/13/2009

                                        9-5 (64% +9.65 units)

                                        _____________________
                                        Comment
                                        • mcbaseball10
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-11-09
                                          • 2866

                                          #21
                                          Added another unit to the under and went with Miami -4..tried to see if it would move to 3.5 but didn't happen

                                          so tonight's card

                                          To win 2 units

                                          (101) Georgia Tech vs. (102) Miami (Florida) Under 54

                                          To win 1 unit

                                          (102) Miami (Florida) -4 (-105)
                                          Comment
                                          • mcbaseball10
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-11-09
                                            • 2866

                                            #22
                                            2-0 +3 units Thursday

                                            Probably going to be the high point of my season as far as winning percentage and units as I am a notorious 50% capper. But I will bask in the glory of a good start to the season. Off to Tennessee to play in a softball World Series! Have a great weekend fellas. Will try to get on for some plays if the Hotel has internet access, but it is Tennessee so not sure what to expect.


                                            Originally posted by mcbaseball10


                                            To win 2 units

                                            WIN(101) Georgia Tech vs. (102) Miami (Florida) Under 54

                                            To win 1 unit
                                            WIN(102) Miami (Florida) -4 (-105)
                                            _________________________
                                            NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/17/2009

                                            11-5 (69% +12.65 units)
                                            _____________________
                                            Comment
                                            • porterkid69
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 03-17-08
                                              • 228

                                              #23
                                              Got to love Bosher missing two FG . GL in Tenn.
                                              Comment
                                              • mcbaseball10
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-11-09
                                                • 2866

                                                #24
                                                Thanks Porter! WIFI at the hotel..waited too long on Boise, but I pulled the trigger anyway.

                                                Boise Defense is way too much for Fresno, expecting a big win for a team that has all the confidence in the world right now.

                                                To win 1 unit

                                                Boise St -8

                                                _________________________
                                                NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/17/2009

                                                11-5 (69% +12.65 units)
                                                _____________________
                                                Comment
                                                • mcbaseball10
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-11-09
                                                  • 2866

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by mcbaseball10
                                                  Thanks Porter! WIFI at the hotel..waited too long on Boise, but I pulled the trigger anyway.

                                                  Boise Defense is way too much for Fresno, expecting a big win for a team that has all the confidence in the world right now.

                                                  To win 1 unit

                                                  WIN Boise St -8
                                                  _________________________
                                                  NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/18/2009

                                                  12-5 (71% +13.65 units)
                                                  _____________________
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mcbaseball10
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-11-09
                                                    • 2866

                                                    #26
                                                    No time for write ups

                                                    Each To win 1 unit

                                                    Middle Tenn St +7

                                                    (189) Cincinnati vs. (190) Oregon State Over 56

                                                    (112) Pittsburgh -7½

                                                    (189) Cincinnati -1½


                                                    ________________________
                                                    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/18/2009

                                                    12-5 (71% +13.65 units)
                                                    _____________________
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mcbaseball10
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-11-09
                                                      • 2866

                                                      #27
                                                      3-1 +2 units Saturday

                                                      2-0 +2 units Thursday

                                                      1-0 +1 unit Friday

                                                      A good weekend of college football going 6-1 and adding 5 units!

                                                      Originally posted by mcbaseball10

                                                      Each To win 1 unit

                                                      WIN Middle Tenn St +7

                                                      LOSS (189) Cincinnati vs. (190) Oregon State Over 56

                                                      WIN (112) Pittsburgh -7½

                                                      WIN (189) Cincinnati -1½


                                                      ________________________
                                                      NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/19/2009

                                                      15-6 (71% +15.65 units)
                                                      _____________________
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mcbaseball10
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-11-09
                                                        • 2866

                                                        #28
                                                        My softball team finished 3rd in the tourney. We lost the first game and then went on to win 7 straight before losing in the finals of the losers bracket. 9 games in one day and my body is beat up, it hurts to do anything! We still managed to hit up Nashville's Coyote Ugly Bar for a couple hours before they closed. Good times and lots of yeager bombs to catch up for the full day of not drinking.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • mcbaseball10
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-11-09
                                                          • 2866

                                                          #29
                                                          Week 4 plays

                                                          Midd Tenn St @ N. Texas

                                                          -Dasher has been running (176 yrds 1 td) and throwing (759 yrds 5 tds) well for MT St in his Junior season..he must eliminate some of the Interceptions, 5 so far

                                                          -Coming off a road win at Maryland where they made many mistakes and still
                                                          walked away with a victory against an ACC team
                                                          -Beat Memphis
                                                          -Competed with Clemson in the opener

                                                          -N Texas coming off a thrashing at Alabama where an SEC opponent has banged them up
                                                          -N. Texas struggled to put up points against Ball State in opener and against strong Alabama defense
                                                          -R. Dodge playing in his first conference game


                                                          Midd Tenn State will have to shut down Cam Montgomery to win this one. N. Texas will not be able to keep up with them in a shootout.

                                                          To win 1 unit

                                                          Midd Tenn. St. -6.5

                                                          ________________________
                                                          NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/19/2009

                                                          15-6 (71% +15.65 units)
                                                          _____________________
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mcbaseball10
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-11-09
                                                            • 2866

                                                            #30
                                                            Missouri @ Nevada

                                                            -Nevada will be playing in their first home game of the season.
                                                            -Missouri has to travel to the dry air of Nevada to play in a Friday night game on the West Coast.


                                                            Nevada is going to put up some points. The question is can its defense come up with some crucial stops..

                                                            I am leaning Nevada in this one, but have already laid the money on:

                                                            To win 2 units

                                                            Missouri @ Nevada OVER 59
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jellobiafra
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 03-08-09
                                                              • 6291

                                                              #31
                                                              Lookin good McB.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mcbaseball10
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-11-09
                                                                • 2866

                                                                #32
                                                                J-E-LL-O, how are ya buddy? Might be a good week for you to fade me, I have been doing much better than my norm. How you been hitting lately? I gave up on baseball, ended the season right around 51% and down a touch money wise. Feel free to chime in on any of my plays!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mcbaseball10
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-11-09
                                                                  • 2866

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Tailing Pags on 2 plays this week so not going to write up anything just share what I have bet so I can keep my record straight

                                                                  North Carolina +2½ -110 vs Georgia Tech
                                                                  Fresno State +16½ -110 vs Cincinnati U
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mcbaseball10
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-11-09
                                                                    • 2866

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Added plays

                                                                    Not a good sign as I don't like to play too many games, but I am betting more games that fit my criteria for plays...

                                                                    RLM in effect on the 'Ole Balls Coach and on Reno 911

                                                                    To win 1 Unit
                                                                    South Carolina +4 (-115)

                                                                    Nevada +7
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mcbaseball10
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-11-09
                                                                      • 2866

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by mcbaseball10

                                                                      To win 1 Unit
                                                                      WIN South Carolina +4 (-115)
                                                                      Tonight's Pending plays

                                                                      To win 1 unit
                                                                      Nevada +7

                                                                      To win 2 units

                                                                      Missouri @ Nevada OVER 59

                                                                      ________________________
                                                                      NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/24/2009

                                                                      16-6 (73% +16.65 units)
                                                                      _____________________
                                                                      Last edited by mcbaseball10; 09-25-09, 06:25 PM. Reason: updated season record
                                                                      Comment
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