I did a quick look into the system the guy is using chasing teams that have lost 3 in a row SU and ATS and I don't post in other people's threads, but my advice for anyone using this system is to at least wait to they lose 4 in a row SU and ATS. Teams that have lost 3 in a row SU and ATS have not done well the next game in recent years and this season, teams in that spot are just 11-20-1 L2 seasons and just above 40% since 2015. But when teams lose 4 in a row, they have done a lot better at 9-5-1 ATS the L2 seasons and 58% since 2014. And when teams have lost 5 in a row ATS and SU, they have done even better. No sense in wasting money on chasing a games that aren't worth it. Just trying to help improve the system, not show anyone up. GL!
-
Comment -
LoL@ that targeting call on Memphis, WTF!Comment -
This is some shit right here, wow and it's still 1st Q, show some damn replays FFS.Comment -
Ok, I can't watch this shit anymore, unbelievable, LMAO.Comment -
¤ LSU -1.5 -110 (5Dimes)Comment -
Week 6 Results
WIN - ¤ Texas Tech -17 -110 (5Dimes)
LOSS - ¤ Syracuse -3.5 -105 (Heritage)
LOSS - ¤ New Mexico St +11 -110 (5Dimes)
WIN - ¤ Miami,FL -3 -105 (5Dimes)
LOSS - ¤ LSU -1.5 -110 (5Dimes)
WIN - ¤ Parlay +134 (Purdue -170)(Florida Atlantic -210)
WIN - ¤ Teaser -115 (Texas Tech -7½)(Memphis -3½)(Virginia Tech -6½)
LOSS - ¤ Teaser -115 (UTSA -2½)(Michigan pk)(Wisconsin -½)
LOSS - ¤ Teaser -115 (Miami OH -5)(UTSA -2½)(C.Florida -7)
WIN - ¤ Teaser -115 (Buffalo +17)(SMU +17)(Kansas St +17)
___________________________
Saturday = 5-5 for -0.21
__________________________
Season = 34-22 for +12.93
___________________________
ATS Total = 20-14 for +5.04
(Dogs = 10-11 for -1.73 )
(Favs = 10-3 for +6.77 )
(1st H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(2nd H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
---------------------------
ML Total = 2-2 for +0.55
(Dogs = 2-1 for +1.60 )
(Favs = 0-1 for -1.05 )
(1st H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(2nd H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
---------------------------
O/U Total = 1-1 for +0.00
(Over = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(Under = 1-0 for +1.00 )
(1st H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(2nd H = 0-1 for -1.00 )
---------------------------
Parlays = 5-3 for +3.64
---------------------------
Teasers = 6-2 for +3.70
___________________________
Week 1 = 5-7 for -2.17
Week 2 = 4-3 for +1.17
Week 3 = 11-1 for +10.30
Week 4 = 3-2 for +1.92
Week 5 = 6-4 for +1.92
Week 6 = 5-5 for -0.21
_________________________
Talk about some bad luck today.
Starting with Syracuse who up by 3 on the 5 yard line with a minute to go on 4th down, decide to go for it, instead of kicking the fg like most coaches would of done. I could of been a little more patient and took the -3, but it still should of covered.
New Mexico St had a 7 pt lead with just over 7 mins to go in the game and lose by 14 and fail to cover the +11. Their damn QB threw 6 int's and I dunno know how many in the 4th Q.
LSU failing to cover by a point for me is mostly my fault for waiting to long to take them and only getting -1.5, but that damn missed xp by Florida hurt me and of course LSU down in in FG range at the end.
I had Miami,OH in a teaser at -5 and down by 1 at the end of the game with 2nd and goal at the 1, they fumble it and Bowling Green returns it for a TD. LoL
UTSA scored at the end and could of forced OT and a chance to cover the -2.5 for teaser but didn't convert the 2 pt conversion. That loss was a shocker, but at least Michigan lost so that helped ease the loss a little.
__________________________
Overall I feel lucky to escape at 5-5 for having such bad luck today in almost every loss I had. It could of been another very good day at least going 7-3, but that's the way it goes sometimes.Comment -
Was game ticking NMexst and quit bc I thought they covered. Bad beat it happens. On 2 next week. And Ohio St by I don't care what the spread is..Comment -
Here are some early projections for next week's games. Some of them are going to be off, but they are easy to tell, but it's a pretty good base projections for those wanting an early start. It doesn't include some variables like injury,weather, or situational capping. It goes strictly by a YPP formula that includes SOS and HF and I included the last match-ups results.
_______________________________________
Week 7
____________________
S.Alabama +14.3 at Troy
2016 winner = Troy@ 28-21
___________________________________
Texas St +15.7 at UL Lafayette
2016 winner = UL Lafayette@ 27-3 (4-0 SUATS vs Tex as St)
____________________________________
Clemson -23 at Syracuse
2016 winner = @Clemson 54-0
____________________________________
Washington St +0.5 at California
2016 winner = @Washington St 56-21
____________________________________
N.Illinois -0.5 at Buffalo
2016 winner = @N.Illinois 44-7 (9-0 SU & 7-2 ATS vs Buffalo)
____________________________________
E.Michigan +2.9 at Army
2015 winner = Army@ 58-36
____________________________________
Toledo -10.6 at C.Michigan
2016 winner = @Toledo 31-17 (7-0 SUATS L9 vs C.Mich)
____________________________________
Akron +19.1 at W.Michigan
2016 winner = W.Michigan@ 41-0 (6-1 SUATS L7 vs Akron)
____________________________________
Miami,Oh -31.8 at Kent St
2016 winner = Miami,Oh 18-14 (5-1-1 ATS L7 vs Kent)
____________________________________
Ohio -9.2 at Bowling Green
2016 winner = @Ohio 30-24 (0-6 ATS L6 vs Bowling Green
____________________________________
Purdue -0.5 at Wisconsin
2016 winner = Wisconsin@ 49-20 (9-2 ATS and 11-0 SU L11 vs Purdue)
____________________________________
Northwestern +3.8 at Maryland
1st match-up
____________________________________
Rutgers +11.8 at Illinois
2016 winner = Illinois@ 24-7
____________________________________
Ohio State -16.5 at Nebraska
2016 winner = @Ohio State 62-3 (3-0 ATS vs Nebraska)
____________________________________
Texas Tech -1.4 at W.Virginia
2016 winner = W.Virginia@ 48-17
____________________________________
Oklahoma -6.6 at Texas
2016 winner = Oklahoma 45-40
____________________________________
Kansas +24.8 at Iowa St
2016 winner = Iowa St@ 31-24
____________________________________
TCU -9.2 at Kansas St
2016 winner = Kansas St@ 30-6
____________________________________
Virginia +6.9 at N.Carolina
2016 winner = N.Carolina@ 35-14 (6-1 ATS & 7-0 SU L7 vs Virginia)
____________________________________
Boston College +4.5 at Louisville
2016 winner = Louisville@ 52-7
____________________________________
Florida St -11.8 at Duke
2013 winner = Florida St 45-7 (6-0 SUATS L6 vs Duke, 19-0 SU L19)
____________________________________
Georgia Tech +21.5 at Miami
2016 winner = Miami@ 35-21 (7-1 SUATS L8 vs GA Tech)
____________________________________
NC State -4.4 at Pittsburgh
2009 winner = @NC State 38-31
____________________________________
UCLA -3 at Arizona
2016 winner = @UCLA 45-24 (6-0 SUATS L6 vs Arizona)
____________________________________
S.Carolina -3.9 at Tennessee
2016 winner = @S.Carolina 24-21
____________________________________
Auburn -22.3 at LSU
2016 winner = @Auburn 18-13
____________________________________
E.Carolina +30.5 at C.Florida
2016 winner = C.Florida@ 47-29
____________________________________
Utah +13.1 at USC
2016 winner = @Utah 31-27
____________________________________
Washington -6.5 at Arizona St
2016 winner = Washington@ 44-18 (0-10-1 ATS and 1-10 SU L11 vs Arizona St)
____________________________________
Boise St +5.8 at San Diego St
2014 winner = @Boise 38-29 (0-4 ATS vs San Diego St)
____________________________________
Navy +4.9 at Memphis
2016 winner = @Navy 42-28 (2-0 SUATS vs Memphis)
____________________________________
Michigan +3.2 at Indiana
2016 winner = @Michigan 20-10 (28-1 SU L19 vs Indiana)
____________________________________
Tulane -16.1 at Florida INT
1st match-up
____________________________________
Old Dominion +18.9 at Marshall
2016 winner = @Old Dominion 38-14
____________________________________
Houston -6.8 at Tulsa
2016 winner = @Houston 38-31
____________________________________
Middle Tenn +0.7 at UAB
2014 winner = @Middle Tenn 34-22
____________________________________
Georgia St +16.7 at UL Monroe
2016 = UL Monroe@ 37-23 (2-0 SUATS vs Georgia St)
____________________________________
Charlotte +18.8 at W.Kentucky
1st match-up
____________________________________
Wyoming +5.9 at Utah St
2016 winner = @Wyoming 52-28 (1-4 SUATS L5 vs Utah St)
____________________________________
UNLV +8.4 at Air Force
2014 winner = Air Force@ 48-21
____________________________________
Nevada +17.4 at Colorado St
2015 winner = Nevada 28-23
____________________________________
Appalachian St -10.2 at Idaho
2016 winner = @App St 37-19
____________________________________
Colorado -23 at Oregon St
2016 = @Colorado 47-6 (3-0 ATS L3 vs Oregon St)
____________________________________
Vanderbilt -10 at Mississippi
2016 winner = @Vanderbilt 38-17 (7-3 ATS L10 vs Mississippi)
____________________________________
BYU +20.7 at Mississippi St
2016 winner = @BYU 28-21 (0-3 ATS vs Miss St)
____________________________________
Arkansas +29 at Alabama
2016 winner = Alabama@ 49-30
____________________________________
Baylor +13.3 at Oklahoma St
2016 winner = @Baylor 35-24
____________________________________
Missouri +39.2 at Georgia
2016 winner = Georgia@ 28-27
____________________________________
New Mexico St -10.3 at Georgia Southern
2016 winner = Georgia Southern@ 22-18 (3-0 SU, 0-3 ATS vs New Mex St)
____________________________________
UTEP +3.5 at S.Mississippi
2016 winner = S.Miss@ 34-7
____________________________________
Coastal Car. +14.9 at Arkansas St
1st match-up
____________________________________
UTSA +0.1 at N.Texas
2016 winner = @UTSA 31-17
____________________________________
Texas A&M +4.2 at Florida
2012 winner = Florida@ 20-17
____________________________________
Michigan St +4.4 at Minnesota
2016 winner = @Michigan ST 14-3 (1-6 ATSL7 vs Minnesota)
____________________________________
New Mexico +1.1 at Fresno St
2016 winner = Fresno St@ 35-24 (5-0 SUATS L5 vs New Mexico)
____________________________________
San Jose St +7.1 at Hawaii
2016 winner = Hawaii@ 34-17
____________________________________Comment -
Pretty close on a lot of them now that the lines have been released, 4 or less on almost half, some almost dead on. The ones off by a lot will need to be looked into further for injuries or mismatches.Comment -
Any idea why C.Florida bets were canceled yesterday?
If the line in the N.Illinois game is close to what I got when it's finally released, I will be interested. They are money on the Road.
That seems like a lot of points for Purdue to be getting.
Want to look into these as well...
Texas Tech at W.Virginia.
Virginia at N.Carolina
UCLA at Arizona
Auburn at LSU
Arizona St vs Washington ( Only cuz their 10-0-1 ATS L11 vs Washington)
Michigan at Indiana
Utah St vs Wyoming
Colorado at Oregon St
UTSA at N.Texas
Texas A&M at Florida
Michigan St at Minnesota
New Mexico at Fresno StComment -
Have to play 55 mins. My bookie is 58Comment -
I think Clemson wakes up this week. Falk at Wast. Is on a tear. Like NW. And playing NwMexSt. And pounding Ohio State. You have a big list but I like it. I usually start Monday whittle it down to 15. I'm a CFB junkie. I got screwed on the UCF bet as wellComment -
Yeah, Wash St playing well. -14.5 at Cal. Looking at whether there is value in such a big number.
Also Navy +4.5 at Memphis. Last week Navy blew a 38-17 lead and nearly lost. They cost me on several parlays. What do you think about Navy this week?Comment -
[QUOTE=FUqer;27264232]Any idea why C.Florida bets were canceled yesterday?
If the line in the N.Illinois game is close to what I got when it's finally released, I will be interested. They are money on the Road. NIU -4, but not on all Vegas books. Check for injuries
That seems like a lot of points for Purdue to be getting.
Want to look into these as well...
Texas Tech at W.Virginia...WVa -3.5
Virginia at N.Carolina...UVA -4
UCLA at Arizona...Arizona -1.5
Auburn at LSU...Aub -6.5
Arizona St vs Washington ( Only cuz their 10-0-1 ATS L11 vs Washington)UDub -17.
Michigan at Indiana...Mich -5.5
Utah St vs Wyoming...Utah -3
Colorado at Oregon St...Colo -12.5
UTSA at N.Texas...UTSA -3.
Texas A&M at Florida...Fla -3
Michigan St at Minnesota MSU -4
New Mexico at Fresno St...Fresno -2.5
GL.Comment -
I'm liking TCU a lot with KST QB probably not playing.. Thoughts?Comment -
And Okie State rolls BaylorComment -
Yes, OU means over/under. IF he says Okie State is 11-2 OU, he means 11 over, 2 under. If he says Alabama is 16-45 OU, he means 16 over, 45 under.Comment -
Appreciate it.Comment -
I did some research on how often teams that win end up covering the spread. I will prolly go back and compare them to the last few seasons and also see how specific teams do, but I don't know if I'll post that. I'm sure there is a better way to come up with a ratio, but I haven't gotten into yet. I did both NFL and NCAA so there is some sort of reference between the two. Have fun dissecting and trying to find edges and let me know what you take away from this. GL!
FYI: Posted this in my NFL thread first but thought I would put in here also for those who might not check the NFL forum.
______________________________
NFL Teams that win cover the spread 83.2% of the time, 5775-1168-188.
NFL Home Teams that win cover 78.3% of the time, 3134-866-115.
NFL Road Teams that win cover 89.8% of the time, 2605-297-72.
NFL Favorites that win cover 74.1% of the time, 3336-1168-188. Home Favs = 72.3%, Road Favs = 78.0% (Favs
win 67.2% of the time.)
(Wins = 67.2% / Covers 74.1% = 0.90)
NFL Favorites of 3 or less that win cover 92.6% of the time, 1095-87-116. Home Favs = 92.0%, Road Favs = 93.4%
(Favs win 55.4% of the time.)
(Wins = 55.4% / Covers 92.6% = 0.60)
NFL Favorites of 3 or more that win cover 70.6% of the time, 2717-1129-173. Home Favs = 69.3%, Road Favs =
73.9% (Favs win 70.5% of the time.)
(Wins = 70.5% / Covers 70.6% = 1.0)
NFL Favorites that win equal to or between -3 and -7 cover 77.0% of the time. (Favs win 65.8% of the time.)
(Wins = 65.8% / Covers 77.0% = 0.85)
NFL Favorites of 7 or less that win cover 80.6% of the time, 2497-601-167. Home Favs = 79.5%, Road Favs =
82.5% (Favs win 62.5% of the time.)
(Wins = 62.5% / Covers 80.6% = 0.78)
NFL Favorites of 7 or more that win cover 61.6% of the time, 1075-671. Home Favs = 61.7%, Road Favs = 61.2%
(Favs win 79.6% of the time.)
(Wins = 79.6% / Covers 61.6% = 1.29)
NFL Favorites of 10 or less that win cover 76.4% of the time, 3001-925-179. Home Favs = 75.1%, Road Favs =
79.2% (Favs win 65.2% of the time.)
(Wins = 65.2% / Covers 76.4% = 0.85)
NFL Favorites of 10 or more that win cover 58.9% of the time, 418-292-16. Home Favs = 59.6%, Road Favs =
54.1% (Favs win 84.1% of the time.)
(Wins = 84.1% / Covers 58.9% = 1.4)
NFL Favorites that win equal to or between -7 and -10 cover 63.4% of the time. (Favs win 77.0% of the time.)
(Wins = 77.0% / Covers 63.4% = 1.2)
Winning Home Favs after a win cover 71.5% (Favs win 70.8% of the time.)
(Wins = 70.8% / Covers 71.5% = 0.99)
Winning Home Favs after a loss cover 73.4% (Favs win 65.8% of the time.)
(Wins = 65.8% / Covers 73.4% = 0.90)
Winning Home Favs after a Road game cover 72.9% (Favs win 68.5% of the time.)
(Wins = 68.5% / Covers 72.9% = 0.94)
Winning Home Favs after a Home game cover 71.1% (Favs win 68.5% of the time.)
(Wins = 68.5% / Covers 71.1% = 0.96)
Winning Road Favs after a win cover 76.7% (Favs win 63.3% of the time.)
(Wins = 63.3% / Covers 76.7% = 0.83)
Winning Road Favs after a loss cover 81.7% (Favs win 65.4% of the time.)
(Wins = 65.4% / Covers 81.7% = 0.80)
Winning Road Favs after a Road game cover 81.3% (Favs win 67.3% of the time.)
(Wins = 67.3% / Covers 81.3% = 0.83)
Winning Road Favs after a Home game cover 77.0% (Favs win 62.4% of the time.)
(Wins = 62.4% / Covers 77.0% = 0.81)
---------------------------------------------------------------------
NCAA Teams that win cover the spread 74.2% of the time, 17155-5974-435
NCAA Home Teams that win cover 69.3% of the time, 9171-4066-288.
NCAA Road Teams that win cover 80.4% of the time, 6907-1688-121.
NCAA Favorites that win cover 65.8% of the time, 11483-5974. (Favs win 76.5% of the time.)
(Wins = 76.5% / Cover = 65.8% = 1.2)
NCAA Favorites of 3 or less that win cover 93.2% of the time, 1700-125-99. (Favs win 47.9% of the time.)
(Wins = 47.9% / Cover = 93.2% = 0.51)
NCAA Favorites of 3 or more that win cover 63.5% of the time, 10257-5906-399. (Favs win 79.4% of the time.)
(Wins = 79.4% / Cover = 63.5% = 1.3)
NCAA Favorites that win equal to or between -3 and -7 cover 78.4% of the time, 3195-880-165. (Favs win 64.2% of
the time.)
(Wins = 64.2% / Cover = 78.4% = 0.82)
NCAA Favorites of 7 or less that win cover 82.3% of the time, 4421-948. (Favs win 60.9% of the time)
(Wins = 60.9% / Cover = 82.3% = 0.74)
NCAA Favorites of 7 or more that win cover 59.1% of the time, 7518-5205. (Favs win 85.4% of the time.)
(Wins = 85.4% / Cover = 59.1% = 1.4)
NCAA Favorites of 10 or less that win cover 77.8% of the time, 5877-1675-252. (Favs win 64.3% of the time.)
(Wins = 64.3% / Cover = 77.8% = 0.83)
NCAA Favorites of 10 or more that win cover 57.0% of the time, 5901-4448-208. (Favs win 89.0% of the time.)
(Wins = 89.0% / Cover = 57.0% = 1.6)
NCAA Favorites that win equal to or between -7 and -10 cover 67.8% of the time, 1912-906. (Favs win 73.5% of the time.)
(Wins = 73.5% / Cover = 67.8% = 1.1)
Winning Home Favs after a win cover 62.9% (Favs win 80.9% of the time.)
(Wins = 80.9% / Cover = 62.9% = 1.3)
Winning Home Favs after a loss cover 65.4% (Favs win 74.6% of the time.)
(Wins = 74.6% / Cover = 65.4% = 1.1)
Winning Home Favs after a Road game cover 64.8% (Favs win 77.8% of the time.)
(Wins = 77.8% / Cover = 64.8% = 1.2)
Winning Home Favs after a Home game cover 63.4% (Favs win 79.2% of the time.)
(Wins = 79.2% / Cover = 63.4% = 1.2)
Winning Road Favs after a win cover 68.3% (Favs win 74.9% of the time.)
(Wins = 74.9% / Cover = 68.3 % = 1.1)
Winning Road Favs after a loss cover 72.1% (Favs win 68.9% of the time.)
(Wins = 68.9% / Cover = 72.1% = 0.96)
Winning Road Favs after a Road game cover 70.3% (Favs win 72.9% of the time.)
(Wins = 72.9% / Cover = 70.3% = 1.0)
Winning Road Favs after a Home game cover 69.0% (Favs win 73.2% of the time.)
(Wins = 73.2% / Cover = 69.0% = 1.1)
Comment -
After some time. Clemson is my big play. Toledo. Michigan. Arizona. Vanderbilt. Still Okie State. Aggies. South Carolina. And the Buckeyes. Give me your opinionComment -
Stay away from Navy if they don't control TOP. They lose. Just a game to avoidComment -
I would take Indiana +7, Neb +24, Air Force -7.5, Duke +7, and maybe Illinois -2.5.Comment -
UTAH 71-34-1 ATS L106 as a dog
team=UTAH and D and date>=19901110
71-34-1 (5.37, 67.6%) avg line: 7.0 +6: 84-22-0 (79.2%) -6: 51-53-2 (49.0%) +10: 89-15-2 (85.6%) -10: 34-69-3 (33.0%)
UTAH is 8-1 ATS L9 as a road dog
team=UTAH and A and D and date>=20140920
8-1-0 (13.39, 88.9%) avg line: 7.3 +6: 8-1-0 (88.9%) -6: 6-3-0 (66.7%) +10: 8-1-0 (88.9%) -10: 6-3-0 (66.7%)
N.Illinois 28-7 ATS L35 on the road
team=NIL and A and date>=20111101
28-7-0 (6.26, 80.0%) avg line: -2.3 +6: 29-6-0 (82.9%) -6: 17-18-0 (48.6%) +10: 30-5-0 (85.7%) -10: 14-20-1 (41.2%)
N.Illinois 16-4 ATS L20 as a road favorite
team=NIL and A and F and date>=20121006
16-4-0 (5.78, 80.0%) avg line: -10.6 +6: 16-4-0 (80.0%) -6: 9-11-0 (45.0%) +10: 17-3-0 (85.0%) -10: 7-13-0 (35.0%)
N.Illinois 10-2-1 ATS L13
team=NIL and date>=20161001
10-2-1 (5.19, 83.3%) avg line: -2.7 +6: 13-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 5-8-0 (38.5%) +10: 13-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 3-9-1 (25.0%)
Buffalo 6-0-1 ATS L7
team=BUF and date>=20161125
6-0-1 (6.36, 100.0%) avg line: 3.8 +6: 7-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 3-4-0 (42.9%) +10: 7-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 2-5-0 (28.6%)
Kansas 36-70-2 ATS since Oct 28, 1995 on the road
team=KAN and A and date>=19951028
36-70-2 (-4.01, 34.0%) avg line: 14.5 +6: 57-49-2 (53.8%) -6: 22-84-2 (20.8%) +10: 68-35-5 (66.0%) -10: 16-91-1 (15.0%)
UCONN 18-44-1 ATS since Sep 22, 2012
team=CON and date>=20120922
18-44-1 (-4.25, 29.0%) avg line: 5.5 +6: 32-31-0 (50.8%) -6: 15-48-0 (23.8%) +10: 43-19-1 (69.4%) -10: 14-49-0 (22.2%)
UCONN 0-8 SUATS L8 as a dog
team=CON and D and date>=20161022
0-8-0 (-25.25, 0.0%) 0-8-0 (-15.69, 0.0%) avg line: 9.6 +6: 2-6-0 (25.0%) -6: 0-8-0 (0.0%) +10: 3-5-0 (37.5%) -10: 0-8-0 (0.0%)
Georgia State 21-6 ATS L27 on the road
team=GAST and A and date>=20120908
21-6-0 (7.02, 77.8%) avg line: 21.2 +6: 21-6-0 (77.8%) -6: 15-11-1 (57.7%) +10: 21-6-0 (77.8%) -10: 11-15-1 (42.3%)
Georgia State 19-6 ATS L25 as a road dog
team=GAST and A and D and date>=20120908
19-6-0 (6.34, 76.0%) avg line: 23.0 +6: 19-6-0 (76.0%) -6: 14-10-1 (58.3%) +10: 19-6-0 (76.0%) -10: 10-14-1 (41.7%)
E.Carolina 1-11-1 ATS L13 as a dog
team=ECAR and D and date>=20160917
1-11-1 (-10.69, 8.3%) avg line: 12.9 +6: 5-8-0 (38.5%) -6: 1-12-0 (7.7%) +10: 5-8-0 (38.5%) -10: 0-13-0 (0.0%)
San Jose St 25-49-3 ATS since Oct 12, 2002 as a road dog
team=SJST and A and D and date>=20021012
25-49-3 (-5.48, 33.8%) avg line: 16.8 +6: 41-35-1 (53.9%) -6: 15-60-2 (20.0%) +10: 49-27-1 (64.5%) -10: 11-65-1 (14.5%)
E.Michigan 11-1 ATS L12 as a dog
team=EMCH and D and date>=20160923
11-1-0 (6.25, 91.7%) avg line: 8.0 +6: 12-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 7-4-1 (63.6%) +10: 12-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 1-10-1 (9.1%)
E.Michigan 8-0 ATS L8 on the road
team=EMCH and A and date>=20160917
8-0-0 (9.62, 100.0%) avg line: 7.8 +6: 8-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 7-1-0 (87.5%) +10: 8-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 2-5-1 (28.6%)
E.Michigan 15-4 ATS L19
team=EMCH and date>=20151127
15-4-0 (3.87, 78.9%) avg line: 4.2 +6: 16-3-0 (84.2%) -6: 10-8-1 (55.6%) +10: 17-2-0 (89.5%) -10: 3-15-1 (16.7%)
Idaho 0-8-1 SUATS L9 as a home dog
team=IDA and H and D and date>=20131005
0-9-0 (-23.67, 0.0%) 0-8-1 (-9.22, 0.0%) avg line: 14.4 +6: 2-7-0 (22.2%) -6: 0-9-0 (0.0%) +10: 6-2-1 (75.0%) -10: 0-9-0 (0.0%)
Idaho 6-0 ATS L6 as a dog
team=IDA and D and date>=20161008
6-0-0 (11.92, 100.0%) avg line: 11.4 +6: 6-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 4-1-1 (80.0%) +10: 6-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 4-2-0 (66.7%)
Fresno St 8-0 ATS L8 at home
team=FRES and H and date>=20151128
8-0-0 (8.25, 100.0%) avg line: 2.1 +6: 8-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 4-4-0 (50.0%) +10: 8-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 1-6-1 (14.3%)
Fresno St 7-0 ATS L7
team=FRES and date>=20161119
7-0-0 (8.21, 100.0%) avg line: 2.9 +6: 7-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 3-4-0 (42.9%) +10: 7-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 2-4-1 (33.3%)
New Mexico 7-1 ATS & 6-2 SU L8 as a dog
team=NMX and D and date>=20161015
6-2-0 (3.12, 75.0%) 7-1-0 (9.62, 87.5%) avg line: 6.5 +6: 7-1-0 (87.5%) -6: 5-3-0 (62.5%) +10: 7-1-0 (87.5%) -10: 4-3-1 (57.1%)
Georgia Tech 8-0 ATS L8 overall
team=GTCH and date>=20161112
8-0-0 (10.06, 100.0%) avg line: -3.7 +6: 8-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 5-3-0 (62.5%) +10: 8-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 4-4-0 (50.0%)
Miami,FL 7-0 SUATS L7 off a win
team=MIAF and p:W and date>=20161112
7-0-0 (17.29, 100.0%) 7-0-0 (9.43, 100.0%) avg line: -7.9 +6: 7-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 5-2-0 (71.4%) +10: 7-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 3-4-0 (42.9%)
Miami,FL 12-3 ATS L15 as a favorite
team=MIAF and F and date>=20160903
12-3-0 (6.63, 80.0%) avg line: -13.9 +6: 13-2-0 (86.7%) -6: 8-6-1 (57.1%) +10: 13-2-0 (86.7%) -10: 6-9-0 (40.0%)
HAW 1-10 ATS L11 as a favorite
team=HAW and F and date>=20141122
1-10-0 (-10.09, 9.1%) avg line: -9.0 +6: 5-6-0 (45.5%) -6: 0-11-0 (0.0%) +10: 6-4-1 (60.0%) -10: 0-11-0 (0.0%)
Hawaii 4-14 ATS L18 at home
team=HAW and H and date>=20141025
4-14-0 (-7.72, 22.2%) avg line: -1.2 +6: 8-10-0 (44.4%) -6: 3-15-0 (16.7%) +10: 10-7-1 (58.8%) -10: 3-15-0 (16.7%)
Hawaii 1-8 ATS L9 as a home favorite
team=HAW and H and F and date>=20141122
1-8-0 (-10.11, 11.1%) avg line: -10.2 +6: 4-5-0 (44.4%) -6: 0-9-0 (0.0%) +10: 5-3-1 (62.5%) -10: 0-9-0 (0.0%)
Old Dominion 4-16 ATS L20 as a dog
team=OLDD and D and date>=20141004
4-16-0 (-7.33, 20.0%) avg line: 13.9 +6: 12-8-0 (60.0%) -6: 3-17-0 (15.0%) +10: 14-6-0 (70.0%) -10: 2-18-0 (10.0%)
Old Dominion 2-10 SUATS L12 as a road dog
team=OLDD and A and D and date>=20141011
2-10-0 (-4.00, 16.7%) avg line: 14.8 +6: 9-3-0 (75.0%) -6: 2-10-0 (16.7%) +10: 10-2-0 (83.3%) -10: 1-11-0 (8.3%)
BYU 0-7 ATS L7
team=BYU and date>=20161221
0-7-0 (-12.00, 0.0%) avg line: -0.1 +6: 1-6-0 (14.3%) -6: 0-7-0 (0.0%) +10: 3-4-0 (42.9%) -10: 0-7-0 (0.0%)
Colorado 7-0 ATS L7 on the road
team=COLO and A and date>=20151128
7-0-0 (6.43, 100.0%) avg line: 6.1 +6: 7-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 4-3-0 (57.1%) +10: 7-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 1-5-1 (16.7%)
UAB 26-11-1 ATS since Nov 08, 1997 as a home dog
team=UAB and H and D and date>=19971108
26-11-1 (4.72, 70.3%) avg line: 9.5 +6: 31-7-0 (81.6%) -6: 16-22-0 (42.1%) +10: 32-6-0 (84.2%) -10: 11-26-1 (29.7%)
Purdue 13-3 ATS L16 as a road dog
team=PUR and A and D and date>=20131130
13-3-0 (6.78, 81.2%) avg line: 15.0 +6: 15-1-0 (93.8%) -6: 8-8-0 (50.0%) +10: 15-1-0 (93.8%) -10: 7-9-0 (43.8%)
Louisville 1-9 ATS L10
team=LOU and date>=20161112
1-9-0 (-14.95, 10.0%) avg line: -19.6 +6: 4-6-0 (40.0%) -6: 0-10-0 (0.0%) +10: 4-6-0 (40.0%) -10: 0-10-0 (0.0%)
Boston College 8-2-1 ATS L11 as a road dog
team=BCOL and A and D and date>=20141011
8-2-1 (1.64, 80.0%) avg line: 11.7 +6: 9-2-0 (81.8%) -6: 3-7-1 (30.0%) +10: 9-2-0 (81.8%) -10: 3-8-0 (27.3%)
Georgia Southern 2-11-1 ATS L14
CMCH 2-11 ATS L13 as a home dog
team=CMCH and H and D and date>=20111110
2-11-0 (-9.27, 15.4%) avg line: 9.1 +6: 4-9-0 (30.8%) -6: 2-11-0 (15.4%) +10: 8-5-0 (61.5%) -10: 2-11-0 (15.4%)
Texas Tech 22-9-2 ATS L33
team=TXT and date>=20141115
22-9-2 (2.44, 71.0%) avg line: -0.7 +6: 25-8-0 (75.8%) -6: 14-19-0 (42.4%) +10: 25-8-0 (75.8%) -10: 9-24-0 (27.3%)
Michigan State 0-6 ATS L6 as a road favorite
team=MCST and A and F and date>=20150904
0-6-0 (-8.33, 0.0%) avg line: -8.5 +6: 2-4-0 (33.3%) -6: 0-6-0 (0.0%) +10: 4-2-0 (66.7%) -10: 0-6-0 (0.0%)
C.Florida 34-18 ATS since Nov 25, 2006 as a home favorite
team=CFL and H and F and date>=20061125
34-18-0 (3.91, 65.4%) avg line: -14.7 +6: 39-13-0 (75.0%) -6: 23-28-1 (45.1%) +10: 43-7-2 (86.0%) -10: 18-34-0 (34.6%)
Mississippi 2-10 ATS L12
team=MIS and date>=20161015
2-10-0 (-14.33, 16.7%) avg line: -3.5 +6: 3-9-0 (25.0%) -6: 1-11-0 (8.3%) +10: 6-6-0 (50.0%) -10: 0-12-0 (0.0%)
Bowling Green 1-8 ATS L9 at home
team=BOWL and H and date>=20151117
1-8-0 (-6.39, 11.1%) avg line: -3.3 +6: 3-6-0 (33.3%) -6: 1-8-0 (11.1%) +10: 4-5-0 (44.4%) -10: 1-8-0 (11.1%)
Pittsburgh 7-18 ATS L25 at home
team=PIT and H and date>=20131116
7-18-0 (-2.38, 28.0%) avg line: -7.5 +6: 13-9-3 (59.1%) -6: 5-19-1 (20.8%) +10: 19-4-2 (82.6%) -10: 3-20-2 (13.0%)
Colorado St 13-4 ATS L17
team=COST and date>=20160917
13-4-0 (7.65, 76.5%) avg line: -1.9 +6: 13-4-0 (76.5%) -6: 10-7-0 (58.8%) +10: 13-4-0 (76.5%) -10: 9-8-0 (52.9%)
UCLA 4-13-2 ATS L19
team=UCLA and date>=20151128
4-13-2 (-5.89, 23.5%) avg line: -3.4 +6: 10-7-2 (58.8%) -6: 2-17-0 (10.5%) +10: 13-6-0 (68.4%) -10: 0-19-0 (0.0%)
TCU 3-11-1 ATS L15 as a favorite
team=TCU and F and date>=20151107
3-11-1 (-12.33, 21.4%) avg line: -19.3 +6: 5-9-1 (35.7%) -6: 2-13-0 (13.3%) +10: 6-8-1 (42.9%) -10: 1-14-0 (6.7%)
Kansas St 9-2 ATS L11 as a home dog
team=KAST and H and D and date>=20101106
3-11-1 (-12.33, 21.4%) avg line: -19.3 +6: 5-9-1 (35.7%) -6: 2-13-0 (13.3%) +10: 6-8-1 (42.9%) -10: 1-14-0 (6.7%)
Temple 14-5 ATS L19 at home
team=TEM and H and date>=20141101
14-5-0 (6.87, 73.7%) avg line: -6.4 +6: 16-2-1 (88.9%) -6: 9-9-1 (50.0%) +10: 18-1-0 (94.7%) -10: 9-10-0 (47.4%)
Missouri 2-9 ATS L11 on the road
team=MIZ and A and date>=20150912
2-9-0 (-5.95, 18.2%) avg line: 8.0 +6: 6-5-0 (54.5%) -6: 1-10-0 (9.1%) +10: 8-3-0 (72.7%) -10: 1-10-0 (9.1%)
Tulsa 2-9 ATS L11 as a home dog
team=TLS and H and D and date>=20110917
2-9-0 (-11.18, 18.2%) avg line: 10.8 +6: 4-7-0 (36.4%) -6: 0-11-0 (0.0%) +10: 5-5-1 (50.0%) -10: 0-11-0 (0.0%)
Navy 10-3-1 ATS L14 as a dog
team=NAVY and D and date>=20131019
10-3-1 (7.14, 76.9%) avg line: 9.4 +6: 13-1-0 (92.9%) -6: 7-7-0 (50.0%) +10: 14-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 3-11-0 (21.4%)
Virginia 21-34 ATS (0.10 ppg) since Nov 10, 1990 as a road favorite, 3-9 ATS L12.
team=VIR and A and F and date>=19901110
21-34-0 (0.10, 38.2%) avg line: -8.6 +6: 34-20-1 (63.0%) -6: 20-35-0 (36.4%) +10: 43-12-0 (78.2%) -10: 17-38-0 (30.9%)
S.Florida 8-2-2 ATS L12 as a home favorite
team=SFL and H and F and date>=20140919
12-0-0 (22.58, 100.0%) 8-2-2 (4.92, 80.0%) avg line: -17.7 +6: 11-1-0 (91.7%) -6: 6-6-0 (50.0%) +10: 11-1-0 (91.7%) -10: 4-8-0 (33.3%)
Troy 2-8-1 ATS L11 as a favorite
team=TROY and F and date>=20161015
2-8-1 (-7.82, 20.0%) avg line: -15.0 +6: 6-5-0 (54.5%) -6: 0-11-0 (0.0%) +10: 7-4-0 (63.6%) -10: 0-11-0 (0.0%)
Appalachian St 8-2 ATS L10 as a road favorite
team=APP and A and F and date>=20150926
10-0-0 (25.40, 100.0%) 8-2-0 (11.60, 80.0%) avg line: -13.8 +6: 8-2-0 (80.0%) -6: 7-3-0 (70.0%) +10: 8-2-0 (80.0%) -10: 5-4-1 (55.6%) Comment -
I haven't got into specific match-ups yet, so it's hard to give you a good opinion, but I'm personally not too big on huge favorites, so Clemson, Oklahoma St and Ohio Sate wouldn't be at the top of my list, but If I get time I'll look into as many as possible.
I'm not too high on Arizona this year and wanted to look into UCLA.
Not sure about the Vanderbilt offense, but doesn't seem like a bad pick. I want to look at this game myself.
I could see the Toledo pick, but surprised the public and money seem to be on C.Michigan.
I like Texas A&M but a lot of people do and that always worries me.
S.Carolina is another one I want to look into myself.Comment -
Week 7 Plays
¤ Texas Tech +3.5 -110 (Heritage)
¤ S.Carolina ML +125 (5Dimes)
¤ Northwestern -3 -105 (Heritage)
¤ UCLA -1 -105 (Heritage)
¤ Parlay +107 (Florida St -280)(Miami,FL -220)(Clemson -2000)
¤ Teaser -110 (Miami,OH +½)(Colorado -1)(Appalachian St -3)
___________________________
Season = 34-22 for +12.93
___________________________
Still on the fence with Navy and a there's a few others I still want to look into.
___________________________
Road Teams Covering at 60.1% this season, Road Favs at over 64%.
Margins of Victory by FSU over Duke.
38,41,25,19,27,31,22,49,31,42,49,28,49,2 4,37,44,39,38,27.
Home teams after playing their previous two on the Road are 43.0% ATS since 2014.
(California, Air Force, Arkansas St, C.Michigan, Georgia, Maryland,
(Memphis, Miami,FL, Marshall, Mississippi St, W.Virginia)
Home teams after playing their previous three on the Road are 35.3% ATS since 2014.
(Colorado St, Mississippi)Comment -
Awesome info again. Would be 17-4 to date using your numbers. Keep em comin brother 👍Comment
