College Football Picks & More
Let's get this started. 
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The Buckeyes are gonna be really tough this year on both sides. Indiana has improved on defense, but Ohio State's new OC is Indiana's old HC, so he should be pretty familiar with the players and how their new coach likes to do things. The Buckeyes will be looking to be in the title game at the end of the year and even though it's the first game, I'm sure they would love nothing better than to run up the score for style points. 21 points is a lot to give up on the road and I may be a little biased, but it's a game I want to look into for Thursday. It's early and it might take some time to get to know all the new players and coaches, but I know the Big Ten and MAC better than any other conference, so I may just stick closely to those conferences early, I haven't totally shifted out of baseball mode yet.
And you also got Buffalo, a MAC team facing a Big 10 team, and the MAC always seems to do well vs the Big 10, that's another one I want to look into.Comment -
I look for Illini to get upset! Lovie has a steaming pile of crap with that group. Coaching can't help that program for a few years. Follow both myself. Zips have Ball back in the Backfield. If he can get through the Penn St. game alive this year. He was putting on quite a performance last year for the game and a half he played. He was getting good yards against Penn St. in the game he got hurt. He is a 6 year Senior originally played behind Zeke at OSU. Depends how the line has matured from last year it they can get to Bowl game.
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Here's my early leans:
Fla +3.5 (could win outright)
Ga. Southern +34 (Auburn will be in look ahead mode to Clemson following week)
Indiana/OSU under 58
Pur/Lou over 68.5
Cal over 3.5 wins +110Comment -
I think I like Indiana Under 17.5 the best tonight, I still lean Ohio State, but I'm not going to play anything yet.Comment -
I like the Browns also at +3.5.Comment -
I ended up playing the game under 56.5. Good luck to all.Comment -
I think Navy will run all over Florida Atlantic and Boston College/N.Illinois goes under but that line has dropped too much for me, I like both of those along with E.Michigan in a teaser and if I do play anything, that would prolly be it.
The Rutgers interested me, but not really at +27, first half might be better.
I kinda think that's too many points for Wisconsin to be giving, maybe Utah St 2nd Half.
I also kind of like Colorado St, but I waited too long and +3 isn't as enticing.
Just mostly trying to see where I'm at right now and being patient.Comment -
Friday 9/1 Plays
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(10 pt Teaser -110)
¤Navy +½
¤E.Michigan -4
¤Boston College/N.Illinois Under 57.5
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Michigan will prolly be part of something tomorrow. I think they will cover, but it's one of those situations where I'll prolly look to take them ML in a parlay or part of a teaser just because I'm a Buckeye and if they lose, I won't be all that disappointed.
Interested in BYU also, I like Magnum.
Florida St might give Alabama all they can handle also.
Zinister posted some good info on the Akron game above and I like MAC teams vs Big 10 teams.Comment -
so close, but he missed a fg that he makes most the time, oh well, it was worth it to me.Comment -
Friday Results 9/1
WIN - 10 pt Teaser -110
Navy +½
E.Michigan -4
Boston College/N.Illinois Under 57.5
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LOSS - Boston College/Northern Illinois 2nd Half Over 24½ +122
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Yesterday = 1-1 for +0.00
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Season = 1-1 for +0.00
ATS Total = 0-0 for +0.00
(Dogs = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(Favs = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(Home = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(Away = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(1st H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(2nd H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
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ML Total = 0-0 for +0.00
(Dogs = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(Favs = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(Home = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(Away = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(1st H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(2nd H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
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O/U Total = 0-1 for -1.00
(Over = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(Under = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(1st H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(2nd H = 0-1 for -1.00 )
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Parlays = 0-0 for +0.00
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Teasers = 1-0 for +1.00
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I woulda let the teaser ride. But oh well. Anyway, I will be on Florida tomorrow in some capacity. Just depends on if the line moves up to 6 or more. I still think Florida can win this straight up and that's why if the line does not move or drops a tad....moneyline is the way to go for me. But good luck and congrats to your Buckeyes. Penn St. will be the only team that might have a chance against them until bowl season.Comment -
It would of been easy money, but I saw a good opportunity to middle there with the worst case being coming out even and took the chance. If they wouldn't of wasted so much time on that last drive with so much confidence in their kicker and went for the TD or got some more yards for their kicker, it would of forced OT and a likely middle for me, he still should of made that kick and it would of been a great 2-0 start to the year.Comment -
Saturday Plays 9/2
¤ Akron +30.5 -108
¤ Ball State +6 -108
¤ Troy +9.5 -108
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Looking at a couple other plays for the night games as well. I'll start posting more info when baseball is done, I'm a little busy this weekend. Plays will come earlier as well, I got some bad lines by waiting so late. GLA!Comment -
Saturday Results 9/2
LOSS - ¤ Akron +30.5 -108
WIN - ¤ Ball State +6 -108
LOSS - ¤ Troy +9.5 -108
WIN - ¤ ML Parlay +100 (Michigan/Louisville/Alabama)
LOSS - ¤ Middle Tennessee St +3 -105
LOSS - ¤ Florida St +7.5 -110
LOSS - ¤ BYU +14 -103
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Yesterday = 2-5 for -3.34
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Season = 3-6 for -3.34
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ATS Total = 1-5 for -4.34
(Dogs = 1-5 for -4.34 )
(Favs = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(1st H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(2nd H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
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ML Total = 0-0 for +0.00
(Dogs = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(Favs = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(1st H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(2nd H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
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O/U Total = 0-1 for -1.00
(Over = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(Under = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(1st H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(2nd H = 0-1 for -1.00 )
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Parlays = 1-0 for +1.00
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Teasers = 1-0 for +1.00
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Comment -
Sunday Plays 9/3
¤ Virginia Tech -5 -108
¤ UCLA -5 -108
¤ ML Parlay +125 (Virginia Tech/UCLA)
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I think Virginia Tech picks up where it left off last year and W.Virginia has lost too many players, losing their whole DL and both starting CB's. Crowd should be in the Hokies favor and I like the ACC over the Big 12 this year. I like this game a lot.
Rosen and an improved defense at Home should be able to take care of business at Home, as long as they can protect Rosen.Comment -
Sunday Results 9/3
WIN - ¤ Virginia Tech -5 -108
LOSS - ¤ UCLA -5 -108
WIN - ¤ ML Parlay +125 (Virginia Tech/UCLA)
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Yesterday = 2-1 for +1.17
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Season = 5-7 for -2.17
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ATS Total = 2-6 for -4.42
(Dogs = 1-5 for -4.34 )
(Favs = 1-1 for -0.08 )
(1st H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(2nd H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
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ML Total = 0-0 for +0.00
(Dogs = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(Favs = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(1st H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(2nd H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
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O/U Total = 0-1 for -1.00
(Over = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(Under = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(1st H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(2nd H = 0-1 for -1.00 )
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Parlays = 2-0 for +2.25
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Teasers = 1-0 for +1.00
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LoL@ that UCLA game.Comment -
Some thoughts and trends on tonight's game.
Tennessee Week 1's
8-1-0 (28.33, 88.9%) 5-4-0 (5.72, 55.6%) avg line: -22.6 +6: 7-2-0 (77.8%) -6: 5-4-0 (55.6%) +10: 7-1-1 (87.5%) -10: 4-5-0 (44.4%) 6-3-0 (3.17, 66.7%) avg total: 52.1 +6: 3-6-0 (33.3%) -6: 6-2-1 (75.0%) +10: 3-6-0 (33.3%) -10: 7-2-0 (77.8%) 44.8 239.9 31.4 235.2 20.0 1.2 12.0 11.2 8.2 9.6 41.8 31.1 92.9 34.0 192.7 18.6 2.6 3.4 3.3 2.4 3.9 13.4
Georgia Tech Week 1's
8-1-0 (30.22, 88.9%) 4-5-0 (2.83, 44.4%) avg line: -27.4 +6: 7-2-0 (77.8%) -6: 3-6-0 (33.3%) +10: 8-1-0 (88.9%) -10: 2-7-0 (22.2%) 5-2-0 (7.36, 71.4%) avg total: 50.5 +6: 5-2-0 (71.4%) -6: 5-2-0 (71.4%) +10: 3-3-1 (50.0%) -10: 5-2-0 (71.4%) 49.3 303.8 12.7 159.7 7.6 1.3 15.8 10.2 9.3 8.3 43.7 37.2 144.4 29.8 146.6 16.3 2.2 1.4 3.8 3.3 4.6 13.4
SEC vs ACC last season
Tennessee finished the season on a 8-2 Over run.4-10-0 (-8.36, 28.6%) 5-9-0 (-3.39, 35.7%) avg line: 5.0 +6: 7-6-1 (53.8%) -6: 3-11-0 (21.4%) +10: 8-6-0 (57.1%) -10: 2-11-1 (15.4%) 8-5-1 (1.61, 61.5%) avg total: 55.2 +6: 5-9-0 (35.7%) -6: 11-3-0 (78.6%) +10: 5-9-0 (35.7%) -10: 11-3-0 (78.6%) 38.1 162.8 28.2 192.2 15.4 1.6 4.9 7.5 5.4 6.4 24.2 40.4 184.6 33.2 240.2 19.6 1.9 6.1 7.7 9.3 9.4 32.6
________________________________________ _________________6-4-0 (6.10, 60.0%) 4-4-2 (-3.15, 50.0%) avg line: -9.2 +6: 7-3-0 (70.0%) -6: 2-8-0 (20.0%) +10: 7-3-0 (70.0%) -10: 1-9-0 (10.0%) 8-2-0 (12.80, 80.0%) avg total: 57.1 +6: 6-4-0 (60.0%) -6: 8-2-0 (80.0%) +10: 6-4-0 (60.0%) -10: 10-0-0 (100.0%) 38.4 211.8 30.2 261.4 19.3 2.1 7.0 9.3 7.9 13.5 38.0 45.1 241.2 33.4 242.1 17.9 1.7 7.9 7.9 5.5 9.6 31.9
I originally was thinking Tennessee would win this one, I don't think the crowd will be that uneven, but the turf could help GT's speed. I just thought that since Tennessee has had all off season to get ready for this triple option would help them and their bad run defense. Tennessee will be going with the two QB option, it looks like the Junior will get the start and he is more of a pocket passer and we might see early if they can have success through the air. Their other QB who should see plenty of action is more of a duel threat. It's tough to say whether the two QB system will help or hurt them tonight, so that's a big variable. The loss at other skill positions doesn't worry me as much, for either team.
I'm seeing just about everyone on Georgia Tech tonight and I can't decide if that's a bad thing or a good thing. I've been slinging some plays out so far that I shouldn't have, but I was able to get into depth a little more in this one and I just can't find a big enough edge anywhere. I may just wait and see how it starts and see if I can get a good live line, but my guesses right now would be Georgia Tech 1st Half, Tennessee for the game and Under 1st Half, the Over for the game.Comment -
Generally I tend to agree prep time is good vs the option but do vols really have the ability to run the option well enough to practice defending it? Plus I think their coach sucks so not sure extra practice that helpful
Only reason I'm playing it cause I'm buzzed and bored tho, lol. Gl buddyComment -
This is exactly what the books depend on. Guys being bored and who cannot watch a game without having money on it. The only problem is that by time November rolls around, half of you guys are tapped out. I have no play on this game. If I had to pick a tgeam, I would go with Tech, only because Butch Jones is such an arsehole.Comment -
Prolly right and it seems all the other teams that had the off season to prepare for GT in week 1 didn't fare too well either. Too many questions for me to make a play on Tennessee, but I'll watch and see how things go and look for a possible live opportunity. As always GL to you!Generally I tend to agree prep time is good vs the option but do vols really have the ability to run the option well enough to practice defending it? Plus I think their coach sucks so not sure extra practice that helpful
Only reason I'm playing it cause I'm buzzed and bored tho, lol. Gl buddyComment -
Saturday Plays 9/9
¤ Iowa -2.5 (-108) at Iowa St (Heritage)
¤ C.Michigan +5.5 (-110) at Kansas (5Dimes)
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I think Iowa takes care of business in this rival game, all they pretty much have to do is win the game and I like their chances.
Iowa is 13-0 SU and 12-1 ATS L13 as a Road Fav, while Iowa St is 15-44 SU L59 at Home off a Home game.
Kansas is 10-61 SU L71 games and I'm not sure they should be favored in this one, but I'll take the generous points.Comment -
I'm a fan of the Iowa play. BOL this season
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Go Iowa! I bet Clemson cause my niece goes there (I know stupid reason to bet) but WTF!Comment -
Like the over more than side in ou/tOsu but lot of that is cause I suspect Sooners will be able to pass all over the buckeyes when mayfield has time., with you and pretty much everyone on Iowa, just can't resist..Comment -
I look for Oklahoma to start out fast against a beatable secondary and they'll have too cuz that's a tough place to play at night with a hype crowd and I hope for the Buckeyes to win it in the 4th Q with their depth on the DL. The key I think will be Barrett, I expected a bigger progression in his passing game and I hope he can use his legs a little more when needed. If Oklahoma don't cover, then that will just mean my Buckeyes kicked their a$$ and I can live with that. I like to bet against my favorite teams in football and on the teams I don't like when I'm on the fence about a game.
It scares me that so many are on Iowa and it they move a couple of points, I may think about trying to middle on that one.Comment
