1. 07-29-19 12:56 PM #1
    THE_LOCKSMITH
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    UFC on ESPN 5: Covington vs. Lawler (August 03, 2019)



    ESPN, 3:00 pm ET
    Colby Covington vs Robbie Lawler
    Clay Guida vs Jim Miller
    Nasrat Haqparast vs Joaquim Silva
    Trevin Giles vs Gerald Meerschaert
    Scott Holtzman vs Dong Hyun Ma
    Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Darko Stosic

    ESPN 12:00 pm ET
    Mickey Gall vs Salim Touahri
    Lucie Pudilova vs Antonina Shevchenko
    Jordan Espinosa vs Matt Schnell
    Mara Romero Borella vs Lauren Murphy
    Claudio Silva vs Cole Williams
    Hannah Goldy vs Miranda Granger



    Points Awarded:

    Baraldsson gave THE_LOCKSMITH 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  2. 07-29-19 05:50 PM #2
    BIGDAY
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  3. 07-29-19 07:25 PM #3
    firekillex
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    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDAY View Post
    buddy ...we on Covington since wrastlers rule ??
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  4. 07-29-19 07:33 PM #4
    Sanity Check
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    Diego Sanchez says Mickey Gall bit him in their last fight.

    Shows bite marks on his chest.
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  5. 07-29-19 10:41 PM #5
    JIBBBY
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    Lawler gets Grapple focked or Covington gets the KO.. One way or the other in the main as that is how I see it going..

    I'm leaning towards the Grapple fock and going the distance.. Covington got that wrestling and top control..

    Covington by UD hedged with Robbie by KO is how I will play it.
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  6. 07-29-19 10:50 PM #6
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Any other early leans you guys have? Not a lot of good spots on this card imo
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  7. 07-29-19 10:53 PM #7
    Sanity Check
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    Robbie Lawler slowed down a lot in round 1 versus Askren.

    Colby could have a considerable cardio advantage people are overlooking.

    Its easy to unload punches and knees and look like a world beater against someone like Askren who you know couldn't throw a punch to save their life and won't do jack shit back to you.

    Much harder against someone like Colby who can deliver a decent punch.
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  8. 07-29-19 10:56 PM #8
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanity Check View Post
    Robbie Lawler slowed down a lot in round 1 versus Askren.

    Colby could have a considerable cardio advantage people are overlooking.

    Its easy to unload punches and knees and look like a world beater against someone like Askren who you know couldn't throw a punch to save their life and won't do jack shit back to you.

    Much harder against someone like Colby who can deliver a decent punch.
    Covington isn't a super technical striker but he is very tenacious and has GREAT cardio like you mentioned.
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  9. 07-29-19 10:59 PM #9
    JIBBBY
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    Jim Miller vs Clay Guida is a tricky fight. Again Miller by KO or Guida by decision. Leaning Guida by decision via lay and pray. Guida has the wrestling advantage if he uses it!!

    We've seen Miller neutralized on his back against decent wrestlers and then survive to lose by decision in the past...

    This fight could play out like the Covington/Lawler fight.. Decision win for Clay Guida..
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  10. 07-29-19 11:02 PM #10
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Covington isn't a super technical striker but he is very tenacious and has GREAT cardio like you mentioned.
    That is a 5 round fight also. Hmmm? Robbie is tough to finish though if he doesn't catch one on the chin early..

    UFC on ESPN 5 - Welterweight 5 rounds - Prudential Center - Newark, New Jersey - ESPN
    Sat 8/3 1001 Robbie Lawler +195
    5:30PM 1002 Colby Covington -235
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  11. 07-29-19 11:27 PM #11
    Sanity Check
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Miller by KO or Guida by decision.
    Don't KO prop that fight with Miller.

    Guida has shown suspect sub defense in the past (circling to the wrong side to defend guillotines etc) and Miller has a very good sub game.
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  12. 07-29-19 11:36 PM #12
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanity Check View Post
    Don't KO prop that fight with Miller.

    Guida has shown suspect sub defense in the past (circling to the wrong side to defend guillotines etc) and Miller has a very good sub game.
    Good point thanks Sanity.. I agree now that I think about it.. Guida can get choked out and give up that neck.. Miller has some good subs.. Miller ITD then it will be depending on odds for the hedge.

    Half of Guida's losses have come by way submission.. https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Clay-Guida-8184
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 07-29-19 at 11:40 PM.
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  13. 07-29-19 11:40 PM #13
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Good point thanks Sanity.. I agree now that I think about it.. Guida can get choked out and give up that neck.. Miller has some good subs.. Miller ITD then it will be depending on odds for the hedge.

    Half of Guida's losses have come by way submission.. https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Clay-Guida-8184
    Looks like Dimes has Miller ITD at (+201) rn
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  14. 07-29-19 11:50 PM #14
    nyrider88
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    like guida on this match. yes, miller by ko really has no value, 43 fights and only 4 ko's.
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  15. 07-30-19 01:59 PM #15
    5918mike
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    Excited to watch our hometown girl Miranda, get em Danger!
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  16. 07-30-19 05:42 PM #16
    JC2008
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    Does anyone know why this card starts so early? Is the Prudential Center booked later on that evening or something?
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  17. 07-30-19 06:48 PM #17
    firekillex
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    very excited to see Covington vs Lawler .. Lawler looking rejuvenated in training i think he may get the W here

    also Jim miller by decision... doubt we see a finish in that fight ... too evenly matched
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  18. 07-30-19 06:54 PM #18
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by firekillex View Post
    very excited to see Covington vs Lawler .. Lawler looking rejuvenated in training i think he may get the W here

    also Jim miller by decision... doubt we see a finish in that fight ... too evenly matched
    I'll take Covington for some BetPoints if you want
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  19. 07-30-19 06:55 PM #19
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by JC2008 View Post
    Does anyone know why this card starts so early? Is the Prudential Center booked later on that evening or something?
    Not sure. I saw that too. Weird.
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  20. 07-30-19 07:47 PM #20
    JC2008
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Not sure. I saw that too. Weird.
    Hugo do you know of any books that offer Dream as there is a card this Friday.
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  21. 07-30-19 08:29 PM #21
    firekillex
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    I'll take Covington for some BetPoints if you want
    ill do 100 BP for +190 let me no
    also join fantasy link i inboxed you amigo
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  22. 07-31-19 01:58 AM #22
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by firekillex View Post
    ill do 100 BP for +190 let me no
    also join fantasy link i inboxed you amigo
    We are on. My 190 on Covington to your 100 on Lawler.
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  23. 07-31-19 01:58 AM #23
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by JC2008 View Post
    Hugo do you know of any books that offer Dream as there is a card this Friday.
    I don't offhand sorry.
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  24. 07-31-19 05:39 AM #24
    Enfuego
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Jim Miller vs Clay Guida is a tricky fight. Again Miller by KO or Guida by decision. Leaning Guida by decision via lay and pray. Guida has the wrestling advantage if he uses it!!

    We've seen Miller neutralized on his back against decent wrestlers and then survive to lose by decision in the past...

    This fight could play out like the Covington/Lawler fight.. Decision win for Clay Guida..
    Why not Miller by sub?
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  25. 07-31-19 05:40 AM #25
    Enfuego
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    Quote Originally Posted by 5918mike View Post
    Excited to watch our hometown girl Miranda, get em Danger!
    Where are you from?
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  26. 07-31-19 05:41 AM #26
    Enfuego
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    Quote Originally Posted by JC2008 View Post
    Does anyone know why this card starts so early? Is the Prudential Center booked later on that evening or something?
    Have you ever been to Newark at night?
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: rocky mattioli
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  27. 07-31-19 08:07 AM #27
    nyrider88
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    Quote Originally Posted by Enfuego View Post
    Have you ever been to Newark at night?
    cant be that bad, people still pay 10k+ in property taxes there. i have been to Camden, now that's a real shit place.
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  28. 07-31-19 08:25 AM #28
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    Quote Originally Posted by firekillex View Post
    ill do 100 BP for +190 let me no
    also join fantasy link i inboxed you amigo
    sorry for your loss, killex

    you might as well bet lawler via KO because that is his only path to victory
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  29. 07-31-19 09:15 AM #29
    magpie878
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    Newark and Camden are both hellholes. Night only makes it worse.

    Most of the predictions I've read from my usual MMA sites are picking Lawler here.
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  30. 07-31-19 10:13 AM #30
    5918mike
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    Quote Originally Posted by Enfuego View Post
    Where are you from?
    I'm currently in Lake Stevens. I've been in the area since 1999 by way of Tacoma and originally from L.A.
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  31. 07-31-19 11:19 AM #31
    Teem
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    Any reads on Gall/Touahri? I was thinking of playing Touahri.
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  32. 07-31-19 11:31 AM #32
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    Quote Originally Posted by Teem View Post
    Any reads on Gall/Touahri? I was thinking of playing Touahri.
    same here..fading Gall until he shows me something.
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  33. 07-31-19 12:07 PM #33
    firekillex
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    Quote Originally Posted by JAKEPEAVY21 View Post
    sorry for your loss, killex

    you might as well bet lawler via KO because that is his only path to victory
    400+ day layoff and i cant forget the loss to warley Alves years back.... im still not sold on Colby and i like how Lawler looks in training ... its make or break for his career right now tbh, for 100 BP makes it some fun haha , i could see either guy winning really
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  34. 07-31-19 12:58 PM #34
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by Teem View Post
    Any reads on Gall/Touahri? I was thinking of playing Touahri.
    Potential trap fight imo. Everyone rushing to fade Gall after he got whooped by Diego. Salim is not sometime that I’d trust.
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  35. 07-31-19 01:04 PM #35
    Sanity Check
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    Quote Originally Posted by Teem View Post
    Any reads on Gall/Touahri? I was thinking of playing Touahri.

    Mickey Gall bit Diego Sanchez in his last fight which could indicate Mickey Gall is losing his nerve and folding mentally under the pressure. I think Mickey Gall might have fought Diego with an injury but I don't remember what it was.

    Don't remember who Salim Touahri is.

    Quote Originally Posted by firekillex View Post
    400+ day layoff and i cant forget the loss to warley Alves years back.... im still not sold on Colby and i like how Lawler looks in training ... its make or break for his career right now tbh, for 100 BP makes it some fun haha , i could see either guy winning really
    If I remember right, Colby Covington fought Warley Alves with a cracked rib.
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