UFC on ESPN 5: Covington vs. Lawler (August 03, 2019)

[firekillex]

ngl covington has grown on me.. his trolling is getting better and hes actually pretty hilarious if you dont take him seriously
and he definitely has the skills , i knew his wrestling and cardio were elite but his jab actually looked pretty solid yesterday... needs to tighten up his boxing defense a bit but he could definitely be a champ

[Thrilla]

Jon Anik and Dominick Cruz break down what happened in the main event of UFC Fight Night between Colby Covington and Robbie Lawler. They discuss what a potential welterweight title fight vs. Kamaru Usman would look like for Covington in the near future.

[Sanity Check]

Colby walkout track.

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on ESPN 5: Covington vs. Lawler Picks:
Hannah Goldy Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Claudio Silva Round 1 Submission (Armbar)
Mara Romero Borella Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Matt Schnell Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Antonina Shevchenko Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Salim Touahri Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Kennedy Nzechukwu Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Scott Holtzman Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Gerald Meerschaert Round 2 Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Nasrat Haqparast Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Jim Miller Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Colby Covington Unanimous Decision (50-45 x3)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on ESPN 5: Covington vs. Lawler

ESPN Prelims:

Fight #1: Goldy (DEBUT) vs. Granger (DEBUT)
No Bet

Result: Miranda Granger Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)

Fight #2: C. Silva vs. C. Williams (DEBUT)
C. Silva ITD (-140) +1u

Result: Claudio Silva Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: +1u
Card: +1u

Fight #3: Romero Borella vs. Murphy
Romero Borella ITD (+560) -0.25u

Result: Lauren Murphy Round 3 TKO (Knee and Elbows)
Fight: -0.25u
Card: +0.75u

Fight #4: Schnell vs. Espinosa
No Bet

Result: Matt Schnell Round 1 Submission (Triangle Choke)

Fight #5: A. Shevchenko vs. Pudilova
No Bet

Result: Antonina Shevchenko Round 2 Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)

Fight #6: Touahri vs. Gall
No Bet

Result: Mickey Gall Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)

Main Card:

Fight #7: Nzechukwu vs. Stosic
No Bet

Result: Kennedy Nzechukwu Unanimous Decision (29-26 x2, 28-27)

Fight #8: Holtzman vs. Ma
Holtzman Round 3 (+975) -0.25u

Result: Scott Holtzman Round 2 TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
Fight: -0.25u
Card: +0.5u

Fight #9: Meerschaert vs. Giles
Meerschaert+Giles Won’t Go Distance (-168) +2u
Meerschaert Submission (+375) +2.81u

Result: Gerald Meerschaert Round 3 Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Fight: +4.81u
Card: +5.31u

Fight #10: Haqparast vs. J. Silva
Haqparast KO/TKO (+250) +1.25u

Hedge:
J. Silva Round 1 (+1275) -0.25u

Result: Nasrat Haqparast Round 2 KO (Punches)
Fight: +1u
Card: +6.31u

Fight #11: Miller vs. Guida
No Bet

Result: Jim Miller Round 1 Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke)

Fight #12: Covington vs. Lawler
Covington -5.5 (+140) +2.8u
Covington Decision (+149) +1.5u
Covington Unanimous Decision (+185) +1.39u

Hedge(s):
Lawler ITD (+285) -1u
Lawler Round 1 (+775) -0.25u

Added:
Covington -5.5 (+120) +1.8u
Covington Submission (+556) -0.5u
Covington Round 3 (+1150) -0.25u
Covington+Lawler Draw (+8000) -0.1u

Added Hedge(s):
Lawler ITD (+284) -1u
Lawler Round 1 (+800) -0.25u

Result: Colby Covington Unanimous Decision (50-45 x2, 50-44)
Fight: +4.14u
Card: +10.45u

Straight Parlays:
Holtzman/Haqparast (-110) +1u
C. Silva/Romero Borella (+100) -1u

Results: See Above
Fights: +0u
Card: +10.45u

Prop Parlays:
None

Added:
Haqparast+J. Silva GD/Covington+Lawler GD (+196) -0.51u

Results: See Above
Fights: -0.51u
Card: +9.94u

Live Betting:
Touahri (+360) -0.75u after R2
J. Silva (+400) -0.5u after R1

Results: See Above
Fights: -1.25u
Card: +8.69u

Full Card Props:
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+775) -0.3u
Over 9.5 Fights Go Distance (+2625) -0.1u

FOTN: A. Shevchenko+Pudilova
POTN: Haqparast, Schnell
Fastest Submission: Miller R1 (0:58)
Fastest KO: Haqparast R2 (0:36)
Decisions: 4
Results: See Above
Fights: -0.4u
Final Card Total = +8.29u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Cyborg -3.5/Covington (-117) +1u
Holloway -5.5/Covington (-113) +1u
Covington/Luque (+100) 2u
Haqparast/Luque (+103) 2.5u

Results: See Above
Fights: +2u, 4.5u of MEPs Carry Over to UFC on ESPN+ 14
Multi-Event Parlays = +2u, 4.5u of MEPs Carry Over to UFC on ESPN+ 14

[Thrilla]

Colby did ask permission first for that walkout song.

[Sanity Check]

I see people writing off Colby's hands.

Would Robbie bother with shoulder rolls and head movement if Colby's punches had zero power?

Necessity. Mother of invention. All that.

Colby did ask permission first for that walkout song.

Yeah he did.

The same with Ronda Rousey asking permission to use the "Rowdy" from Roddy Piper.

[Baraldsson]

I see people writing off Colby's hands.

Would Robbie bother with shoulder rolls and head movement if Colby's punches had zero power?

Necessity. Mother of invention. All that.

Yup, I was surprised how effective Colby's striking seemed throughout. Not an elite striker perhaps but certainly not to be taken lightly either.

Still can't stand him though.

[Thor4140]

Colby was getting peppered in the first round when Lawler decided to throw punches. Colby's striking gets better each fight but lets not get carried away with it. Colby spinning back fist is one of the best i ever saw and he uses it at the right moment in a fight and not six hundred times like some guys. I wish i was drinking this fight but i watched it sober and still don't know what the hell Robbie was doing. Robbie isn't the greatest striker in the world either. He gets knockout a lot because he takes a few chances and feels his power is a big difference. You think Robbie was fighting Lomachenko with all that bobbing and weaving. He didn't do any of that stuff against Roy, Condit, and others. Who knows maybe he had broken hands or maybe it was another one of his ridiculous game plans. The bobbing and weaving and those powder puff Holms like punches he was throwing was so bizarre for a guy like him that it makes me feel like he did someone a favor letting Colby win and i never say fighters fix fights. Just bizarre

[slikec]

Colby cardio is really sick. Non stop pressure and post-fight interview he talks like came from shower. 95% of current UFC roster would breath hard in 3 rounds with pace like that. Insane cardio and cant wait fight vs Usman whose cardio is also off the charts!

[Thrilla]

Colby's explosive takedowns were not there last two rounds. Cardio shmardio. Guy was gassed but then so was Lawler.