UFC on ESPN 5: Covington vs. Lawler (August 03, 2019)

[JIBBBY]

Well always bet on black rule failed here. That's why I hedge though.. Whew.. Small win..

White boy is tough with being patient in the grappling and then finding the subs late.. He's got a chin too. Meerschaert is tough..

$50.00

$157.50

Win

8/3/19 4:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1327 Meerschaert wins by submission +315* vs Any other result

$100.00

$174.00

Loss

8/3/19 4:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1309 Giles wins inside distance +174* vs Not Giles inside distance

[nyrider88]

can't blame on deen, no way he couldve seen from the opposite side.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Booooooomm. Meerschaert Sub and WGD cash

[Hugo de Naranja]

Sweet! Hit GM3 and ITD!

Nice job Boss!

[JIBBBY]

Hedging again.. Haqparast by KO/Silva ITD next..

[Thrilla]

Herb Dean officially the worst .... Calls fights early and misses tap outs.... Jesus

JRE MMA show with Herb Dean also the worst JRE show. Forget about if you agree or disagree with a guest. Joe had to do 90% of the talking. When Joe has to talk you know the guest sucks.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Added:
Covington -5.5 (+120) 1.5u
Haqparast+J. Silva GD/Covington+Lawler GD (+196) 0.51u
Covington Round 3 (+1150) 0.25u

[JIBBBY]

I liked that ref that was juicing and all muscles in the earlier fight that called the ball shot and point deductions.. He was in total control.. All business and really seeing what was going on...

That's a good ref..

[Merlin21]

can't blame on deen, no way he couldve seen from the opposite side.

You would think an official ref would position himself where he could see the hands of the guy being submitted.... No? ... That has to be Day 1 of class for MMA ref....

[nyrider88]

Booooooomm. Meerschaert Sub and WGD cash

nice hit, tallied you on the sub

[dlowilly]

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/boxing-mma-ufc-betting/3557114-petition-herb-dean-retire.html

[Thrilla]

Applying Asian fade in live tennis right now. WTF Soonwoo Kwon played a tennis match yesterday at ATP Los Cabos which he lost and now he is at ATP Montreal as a fav vs Robin Haase. That's alot of travel. Good spot to back Haase here imo, +140 on the ml. Haase should be fresher too Soonwoo Kwon having strung 5 b2b macthes at ATP Los Cabos.

[Merlin21]

I liked that ref that was juicing and all muscles that called the ball shot point deductions.. He was in total control.. All business and really seeing what was going on...

That's a good ref..

The bowling ball of pure muscle?....lol... I liked him too... Totally in control and professional.

[Sanity Check]

Ref in Shevchenko vs Pudilova did a good job.

[nyrider88]

You would think an official ref would position himself where he could see the hands of the guy being submitted.... No? ... That has to be Day 1 of class for MMA ref....

he literally rotated like 180 degrees for submission, he just happened to be on the opposite side

[Thrilla]

Applying Asian fade in live tennis right now. WTF Soonwoo Kwon played a tennis match yesterday at ATP Los Cabos which he lost and now he is at ATP Montreal as a fav vs Robin Haase. That's alot of travel. Good spot to back Haase here imo, +140 on the ml. Haase should be fresher too Soonwoo Kwon having strung 5 b2b macthes at ATP Los Cabos.

OK Haase takes a break lead -200 now. GL if you want some side action

[boss_of_um]

Nice job Boss!

Was just tailing you so...

[Hugo de Naranja]

Added:
Covington+Lawler Draw (+8000) 0.1u

Tiny hedge since I've got a lot of prop exposure in this fight.

[Sanity Check]

Herb Dean did a good job separating Khabib's hands from around Conor's neck.

Saved Conor's lyfe. Deserves credit for that. Don't think Khabib was letting go of that choke on his own.

[JIBBBY]

The bowling ball of pure muscle?....lol... I liked him too... Totally in control and professional.

Yup, not in a rush, asking the governing officials outside the cage what to do after the 3 ball shot.. Really in control and getting it right.. Asking fighter 2 or 3 times if he wanted to continue and is alright.. Stretch it out etc..

That's a good ref.. Playing by the rules.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Live Hedge:
J. Silva (+400) 0.5u after R1

[JIBBBY]

Hedging again.. Haqparast by KO/Silva ITD next..

That works.. Was hoping for the other way around though... I'll take this though..

$100.00

$777.00

Loss

8/3/19 4:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1205 Silva wins inside distance +777* vs Not Silva inside distance

$100.00

$206.00

Win

8/3/19 4:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1233 Haqparast wins by TKO/KO +206* vs Any other result

[JIBBBY]

Guida by Dec/ hedged Miller by Sub next.. Again just trying to squeak out another small win either way...

I'm hedging like crazy with this event and pulling off small wins with almost every fight.. Up on the event so far.. Not complaining.. Grinding this event.

$100.00

$165.00

Pending

8/3/19 5:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1107 Guida wins by 3 round decision +165* vs Not Guida by 3 round decision

Hedge

$100.00

$195.00

Pending

8/3/19 5:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1131 Miller wins by submission +195* vs Any other result

[JIBBBY]

These are the current lines with the last two fights.. Let's see what lands and at what value?????

Sober now and gonna go on a long beach bike path ride after this event.. Gotta get out of the house.. I'm starting to go nuts now. It's 2pm my time..

Robbie Lawler vs Colby Covington - Welterweight 5 rounds - UFC on ESPN 5
Sat 8/3		1003 Lawler / Covington goes 5 round distance		-125
5:30PM		1004 Fight won’t go 5 round distance		-105
Sat 8/3		1005 Lawler wins inside distance		+284
5:30PM		1006 Not Lawler inside distance		-374
Sat 8/3		1007 Lawler wins by 5 round decision		+800
5:30PM		1008 Not Lawler by 5 round decision		-1475
Sat 8/3		1009 Covington wins inside distance		+267
5:30PM		1010 Not Covington inside distance		-357
Sat 8/3		1011 Covington wins by 5 round decision		+100
5:30PM		1012 Not Covington by 5 round decision		-130
Sat 8/3		1013 Lawler / Covington draw		+8000
5:30PM		1014 Fight not a draw		-21500
Sat 8/3		1015 Lawler wins in round 1		+800
5:30PM		1016 Any other result		-1700
Sat 8/3		1017 Lawler wins in round 2		+1025
5:30PM		1018 Any other result		-2075
Sat 8/3		1019 Lawler wins in round 3		+1225
5:30PM		1020 Any other result		-2675
Sat 8/3		1021 Lawler wins in round 4		+1650
5:30PM		1022 Any other result		-4950
Sat 8/3		1023 Lawler wins in round 5		+2150
5:30PM		1024 Any other result		-6450
Sat 8/3		1025 Covington wins in round 1		+800
5:30PM		1026 Any other result		-1700
Sat 8/3		1027 Covington wins in round 2		+1025
5:30PM		1028 Any other result		-2075
Sat 8/3		1029 Covington wins in round 3		+1150
5:30PM		1030 Any other result		-2450
Sat 8/3		1031 Covington wins in round 4		+1500
5:30PM		1032 Any other result		-4500
Sat 8/3		1033 Covington wins in round 5		+2000
5:30PM		1034 Any other result		-6000
Sat 8/3		1035 Lawler wins by submission		+2150
5:30PM		1036 Any other result		-6450
Sat 8/3		1037 Lawler wins by TKO/KO		+295
5:30PM		1038 Any other result		-415
Sat 8/3		1039 Covington wins by submission		+556
5:30PM		1040 Any other result		-1067
Sat 8/3		1041 Covington wins by TKO/KO		+475
5:30PM		1042 Any other result		-825
Sat 8/3		1043 Lawler wins by 5 round unanimous dec		+1400
5:30PM		1044 Any other result		-3600
Sat 8/3		1045 Lawler wins by 5 round split/maj dec		+1655
5:30PM		1046 Any other result		-4965
Sat 8/3		1047 Covington wins by 5 round unanimous dec		+142
5:30PM		1048 Any other result		-182
Sat 8/3		1049 Covington wins by 5 round split/maj dec		+579
5:30PM		1050 Any other result		-1135
Sat 8/3		1051 Lawler / Covington starts round 5		-152
5:30PM		1052 Fight won’t start round 5		+122
Sat 8/3		1053 Lawler / Covington starts round 4		-199
5:30PM		1054 Fight won’t start round 4		+163
Sat 8/3		1055 Lawler / Covington starts round 3		-325
5:30PM		1056 Fight won’t start round 3		+250
Sat 8/3		1057 Lawler / Covington starts round 2		-725
5:30PM		1058 Fight won’t start round 2		+470
if fight goes to scorecards all wagers are no action
Sat 8/3		1059 Lawler (scorecards = no action)		-170
5:30PM		1060 Covington (scorecards = no action)		+140
any victory inside distance is a winner for selected fighter, see sportsbook rules for grading detail
Sat 8/3		1061 Lawler points handicap	+5½ -130
5:30PM		1062 Covington points handicap	-5½ +100
Clay Guida vs Jim Miller - Lightweight 3 rounds - UFC on ESPN 5
Sat 8/3		1103 Guida / Miller goes 3 round distance		-155
5:00PM		1104 Fight won't go 3 round distance		+125
Sat 8/3		1105 Guida wins inside distance		+1000
5:00PM		1106 Not Guida inside distance		-1750
Sat 8/3		1107 Guida wins by 3 round decision		+165
5:00PM		1108 Not Guida by 3 round decision		-205
Sat 8/3		1109 Miller wins inside distance		+163
5:00PM		1110 Not Miller inside distance		-199
Sat 8/3		1111 Miller wins by 3 round decision		+240
5:00PM		1112 Not Miller by 3 round decision		-300
Sat 8/3		1113 Guida / Miller draw		+7500
5:00PM		1114 Fight not a draw		-20000
Sat 8/3		1115 Guida wins in round 1		+2200
5:00PM		1116 Any other result		-6600
Sat 8/3		1117 Guida wins in round 2		+2300
5:00PM		1118 Any other result		-6900
Sat 8/3		1119 Guida wins in round 3		+2850
5:00PM		1120 Any other result		-9950
Sat 8/3		1121 Miller wins in round 1		+300
5:00PM		1122 Any other result		-420
Sat 8/3		1123 Miller wins in round 2		+625
5:00PM		1124 Any other result		-1275
Sat 8/3		1125 Miller wins in round 3		+1200
5:00PM		1126 Any other result		-2600
Sat 8/3		1127 Guida wins by submission		+1700
5:00PM		1128 Any other result		-5100
Sat 8/3		1129 Guida wins by TKO/KO		+1590
5:00PM		1130 Any other result		-4760
Sat 8/3		1131 Miller wins by submission		+195
5:00PM		1132 Any other result		-275
Sat 8/3		1133 Miller wins by TKO/KO		+845
5:00PM		1134 Any other result		-1745
Sat 8/3		1135 Guida / Miller starts round 3		-225
5:00PM		1136 Fight won’t start round 3		+175
Sat 8/3		1137 Guida / Miller starts round 2		-415
5:00PM		1138 Fight won’t start round 2		+317
if fight goes to scorecards all wagers are no action
Sat 8/3		1139 Guida (scorecards = no action)		+440
5:00PM		1140 Miller (scorecards = no action)		-650
any victory inside distance is a winner for selected fighter, see sportsbook rules for grading details
Sat 8/3		1141 Guida points handicap	+3½ -140
5:00PM		1142 Miller points handicap	-3½ +110

[JIBBBY]

Guida should do a Gieko commercial.. He's such a caveman...

[Hugo de Naranja]

Like the Motley Crue walkout for Guida

[JIBBBY]

Can Guida grind on Miller and avoid the sub is the Question going in? This is a good fight for a couple of old vets.. I'm interested and watching!!!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Everyone going unconscious tonight. I think this is the third one already.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Papes hits another "Back Up the Truck" bet in under a minute. Nice job sir.

[JIBBBY]

Guida by Dec/ hedged Miller by Sub next.. Again just trying to squeak out another small win either way...

I'm hedging like crazy with this event and pulling off small wins with almost every fight.. Up on the event so far.. Not complaining.. Grinding this event.

$100.00

$165.00

Pending

8/3/19 5:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1107 Guida wins by 3 round decision +165* vs Not Guida by 3 round decision

Hedge

$100.00

$195.00

Pending

8/3/19 5:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1131 Miller wins by submission +195* vs Any other result

Grinding out the small wins.. I'm ok with this.. It's been adding up now ..

$100.00

$165.00

Loss

8/3/19 5:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1107 Guida wins by 3 round decision +165* vs Not Guida by 3 round decision

Hedge

$100.00

$195.00

Win

8/3/19 5:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1131 Miller wins by submission +195* vs Any other result

[JIBBBY]

This was probably the best prop that hit for value from my 5 dimes props post above... looking it over now..

1121 Miller wins in round 1

+300

[Sanity Check]

Jim Miller and Mickey Gall are both jersey bois on the jersey card, both of them could hit I'm thinking but not certain.

Ok guys.

I'm certain now. Jersey bois got it.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Added Hedge:
Lawler Round 1 (+800) 0.25u

Think it's Lawler early or (more likely) Covington putting on a wrestle/clinch grind for five rounds.

[JIBBBY]

Ok guys.

I'm certain now. Jersey bois got it.

Jersey boys are cashing.. lol..

[JIBBBY]

Added Hedge:
Lawler Round 1 (+800) 0.25u

Think it's Lawler early or (more likely) Covington putting on a wrestle/clinch grind for five rounds.

Tailing I'll try it Hugo..