UFC on ESPN 5: Covington vs. Lawler (August 03, 2019)

**BIGDAY** · 07-29-19, 05:50 PM

**firekillex** · 07-29-19, 07:25 PM

Originally posted by BIGDAY

buddy ...we on Covington since wrastlers rule ??

**Sanity Check** · 07-29-19, 07:33 PM

Diego Sanchez says Mickey Gall bit him in their last fight.

Shows bite marks on his chest.

**JIBBBY** · 07-29-19, 10:41 PM

Lawler gets Grapple focked or Covington gets the KO.. One way or the other in the main as that is how I see it going..

I'm leaning towards the Grapple fock and going the distance.. Covington got that wrestling and top control..

Covington by UD hedged with Robbie by KO is how I will play it.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-29-19, 10:50 PM

Any other early leans you guys have? Not a lot of good spots on this card imo

**Sanity Check** · 07-29-19, 10:53 PM

Robbie Lawler slowed down a lot in round 1 versus Askren.

Colby could have a considerable cardio advantage people are overlooking.

Its easy to unload punches and knees and look like a world beater against someone like Askren who you know couldn't throw a punch to save their life and won't do jack shit back to you.

Much harder against someone like Colby who can deliver a decent punch.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-29-19, 10:56 PM

Originally posted by Sanity Check

Robbie Lawler slowed down a lot in round 1 versus Askren.

Colby could have a considerable cardio advantage people are overlooking.

Its easy to unload punches and knees and look like a world beater against someone like Askren who you know couldn't throw a punch to save their life and won't do jack shit back to you.

Much harder against someone like Colby who can deliver a decent punch.

Covington isn't a super technical striker but he is very tenacious and has GREAT cardio like you mentioned.

**JIBBBY** · 07-29-19, 10:59 PM

Jim Miller vs Clay Guida is a tricky fight. Again Miller by KO or Guida by decision. Leaning Guida by decision via lay and pray. Guida has the wrestling advantage if he uses it!!

We've seen Miller neutralized on his back against decent wrestlers and then survive to lose by decision in the past...

This fight could play out like the Covington/Lawler fight.. Decision win for Clay Guida..

**JIBBBY** · 07-29-19, 11:02 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Covington isn't a super technical striker but he is very tenacious and has GREAT cardio like you mentioned.

That is a 5 round fight also. Hmmm? Robbie is tough to finish though if he doesn't catch one on the chin early..

UFC on ESPN 5 - Welterweight 5 rounds - Prudential Center - Newark, New Jersey - ESPN
Sat 8/3	1001 Robbie Lawler	+195
5:30PM	1002 Colby Covington	-235

**Sanity Check** · 07-29-19, 11:27 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Miller by KO or Guida by decision.

Don't KO prop that fight with Miller.

Guida has shown suspect sub defense in the past (circling to the wrong side to defend guillotines etc) and Miller has a very good sub game.

**JIBBBY** · 07-29-19, 11:36 PM

Originally posted by Sanity Check

Don't KO prop that fight with Miller.

Guida has shown suspect sub defense in the past (circling to the wrong side to defend guillotines etc) and Miller has a very good sub game.

Good point thanks Sanity.. I agree now that I think about it.. Guida can get choked out and give up that neck.. Miller has some good subs.. Miller ITD then it will be depending on odds for the hedge.

Half of Guida's losses have come by way submission.. https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Clay-Guida-8184

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-29-19, 11:40 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Good point thanks Sanity.. I agree now that I think about it.. Guida can get choked out and give up that neck.. Miller has some good subs.. Miller ITD then it will be depending on odds for the hedge.

Half of Guida's losses have come by way submission.. https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Clay-Guida-8184

Looks like Dimes has Miller ITD at (+201) rn

**nyrider88** · 07-29-19, 11:50 PM

like guida on this match. yes, miller by ko really has no value, 43 fights and only 4 ko's.

**5918mike** · 07-30-19, 01:59 PM

Excited to watch our hometown girl Miranda, get em Danger!

**JC2008** · 07-30-19, 05:42 PM

Does anyone know why this card starts so early? Is the Prudential Center booked later on that evening or something?

**firekillex** · 07-30-19, 06:48 PM

very excited to see Covington vs Lawler .. Lawler looking rejuvenated in training i think he may get the W here

also Jim miller by decision... doubt we see a finish in that fight ... too evenly matched

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-30-19, 06:54 PM

Originally posted by firekillex

very excited to see Covington vs Lawler .. Lawler looking rejuvenated in training i think he may get the W here

also Jim miller by decision... doubt we see a finish in that fight ... too evenly matched

I'll take Covington for some BetPoints if you want

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-30-19, 06:55 PM

Originally posted by JC2008

Does anyone know why this card starts so early? Is the Prudential Center booked later on that evening or something?

Not sure. I saw that too. Weird.

**JC2008** · 07-30-19, 07:47 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Not sure. I saw that too. Weird.

Hugo do you know of any books that offer Dream as there is a card this Friday.

**firekillex** · 07-30-19, 08:29 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

I'll take Covington for some BetPoints if you want

ill do 100 BP for +190 let me no
also join fantasy link i inboxed you amigo

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-31-19, 01:58 AM

Originally posted by firekillex

ill do 100 BP for +190 let me no
also join fantasy link i inboxed you amigo

We are on. My 190 on Covington to your 100 on Lawler.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-31-19, 01:58 AM

Originally posted by JC2008

Hugo do you know of any books that offer Dream as there is a card this Friday.

I don't offhand sorry.

**Enfuego** · 07-31-19, 05:39 AM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Jim Miller vs Clay Guida is a tricky fight. Again Miller by KO or Guida by decision. Leaning Guida by decision via lay and pray. Guida has the wrestling advantage if he uses it!!

We've seen Miller neutralized on his back against decent wrestlers and then survive to lose by decision in the past...

This fight could play out like the Covington/Lawler fight.. Decision win for Clay Guida..

Why not Miller by sub?

**Enfuego** · 07-31-19, 05:40 AM

Originally posted by 5918mike

Excited to watch our hometown girl Miranda, get em Danger!

Where are you from?

**Enfuego** · 07-31-19, 05:41 AM

Originally posted by JC2008

Does anyone know why this card starts so early? Is the Prudential Center booked later on that evening or something?

Have you ever been to Newark at night?

**nyrider88** · 07-31-19, 08:07 AM

Originally posted by Enfuego

Have you ever been to Newark at night?

cant be that bad, people still pay 10k+ in property taxes there. i have been to Camden, now that's a real shit place.

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 07-31-19, 08:25 AM

Originally posted by firekillex

ill do 100 BP for +190 let me no
also join fantasy link i inboxed you amigo

sorry for your loss, killex

you might as well bet lawler via KO because that is his only path to victory

**magpie878** · 07-31-19, 09:15 AM

Newark and Camden are both hellholes. Night only makes it worse.

Most of the predictions I've read from my usual MMA sites are picking Lawler here.

**5918mike** · 07-31-19, 10:13 AM

Originally posted by Enfuego

Where are you from?

I'm currently in Lake Stevens. I've been in the area since 1999 by way of Tacoma and originally from L.A.

**Teem** · 07-31-19, 11:19 AM

Any reads on Gall/Touahri? I was thinking of playing Touahri.

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 07-31-19, 11:31 AM

Originally posted by Teem

Any reads on Gall/Touahri? I was thinking of playing Touahri.

same here..fading Gall until he shows me something.

**firekillex** · 07-31-19, 12:07 PM

Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21

sorry for your loss, killex

you might as well bet lawler via KO because that is his only path to victory

400+ day layoff and i cant forget the loss to warley Alves years back.... im still not sold on Colby and i like how Lawler looks in training ... its make or break for his career right now tbh, for 100 BP makes it some fun haha , i could see either guy winning really

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-31-19, 12:58 PM

Originally posted by Teem

Any reads on Gall/Touahri? I was thinking of playing Touahri.

Potential trap fight imo. Everyone rushing to fade Gall after he got whooped by Diego. Salim is not sometime that I’d trust.

**Sanity Check** · 07-31-19, 01:04 PM

Originally posted by Teem

Any reads on Gall/Touahri? I was thinking of playing Touahri.

Mickey Gall bit Diego Sanchez in his last fight which could indicate Mickey Gall is losing his nerve and folding mentally under the pressure. I think Mickey Gall might have fought Diego with an injury but I don't remember what it was.

Don't remember who Salim Touahri is.

Originally posted by firekillex

400+ day layoff and i cant forget the loss to warley Alves years back.... im still not sold on Colby and i like how Lawler looks in training ... its make or break for his career right now tbh, for 100 BP makes it some fun haha , i could see either guy winning really

If I remember right, Colby Covington fought Warley Alves with a cracked rib.