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Kelly has better volume and is not too easy to take down. Even in Brunson wins first 2, he gasses super hard. Look at his fights with Romero, Larkin, and Leben. He struggles big time if he can't get the quick finish. I also don't see Brunson as much of a submission threat. Think he gets boxed up in a sloppy brawl if he doesn't get the R1 finish. If Brunson does win, I could see a finish within the first minute, as Kelly has been stopped right of the gate in both of his career losses.Comment -
nothing in the world could convince me Kelly beats Brunson tbh Hugo until the match happens and he somehow beat him
id need to see it for myself hahah, guess well find out this saturday
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ross pearson +162 now alreadyComment -
Rather than looking at what Smolka did to Nguyen, look at what Elliot did to Smolka. Smolka has smooth grappling and scrambles but not enough strength to hang with Elliot and it showed. Nguyen is very similar. He's aggressive and not especially strategic about positional dominance. I see him getting stuck underneath the stronger Elliot all fight. He's gonna have to find a way to hurt Elliot on the feet IMO. That's his path.Comment -
yup i agree... i will be looking for Elliot by decision in 3 rounds.. also small on Elliot Sub if price tag is rightComment -
The only for sure lock I'm seeing is brunson. I'm going to put him in sany parlays.Comment -
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Lewis coming in with momentum and media coverage while UFC holds hunt in the dark for suing
no surprise thereComment -
J.J. Aldrich should dominate Jeon Chan Mi. Even at -225, I think there's still some value there. Jeon is a last minute replacement, will be cutting to 115 for the first time (she was competing in Korea at 55 kilos which equals 121 lbs), and she is raaaw as hell.
On the other hand, Aldrich has been training for 10 years, has a good training partner in Thug Rose, trains at elevation, and should have an immense striking advantage over the slow and sloppy Jeon. Jeon will try to swarm her and, even if assuming Jeon gets her to the ground, won't be able to keep Aldrich there. Jeon has a small chance of winning round 1 with just grit and pressure, but she should be no threat in rds 2 and 3.
Caveat: This is all assuming she hasn't shown prodigy levels of improvement from last year since her last fights. Given her odd training partners (there's a video on Youtube of 5 guys taking turns winging hooks at her while she's backed up against a wall), I doubt this has happened.
2nd Caveat: Fighters that have looked terrible or lackluster in regionals have had some pretty great results against established UFC fighters (e.g. Oezdemir) lately. Let's hope that doesn't continue for this bout at least.Last edited by turbozed; 06-06-17, 07:31 PM.Comment -
This Hunt fight to me looks as easy as when he fought Roy Nelson. Black beast in no way can stand and bang with Hunt. Hunt is that good with his hands but like the one guy said this is way to early after that knockout. And watching that awful game plan he used with Reem questions to me if Hunt wants to do this anymore. These sloppy swingers are taylor made for HUnt but who the hell knows which Hunt shows up. Would love to bet Hunt here but after that performance against Reem i can't trust him anymore. If Travis Browne had just a speck of a fight IQ we wouldn't even be talking about the black beast.Last edited by Thor4140; 06-06-17, 08:33 PM.Comment -
Hunt is getting old at age 43 now.. Not sure how much longer he can do this before his chin turns to glass and or his reflexes slow down..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Mark-Hunt-10668
Beast is alot younger at 32 and probably in his MMA prime now.. I think Beast might try for a take down, I wouldn't rule it out.. Beast is a beast in the top position, can pound out anyone..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Derrick-Lewis-59284Comment -
Well JC, Beast doesn't have the greatest take downs and hardly ever tries them, with Hunt though he might try.. Beast usually will try to rock his opponents standing and then pounce on them on the ground.. The thing is Hunt doesn't always have the best take down defense so you just don't know???
This fight is tricky because I also don't think Beast can stand up to Hunts punches, when you think of how Hunt destroyed Big Country Nelson you wonder could the same happen to beast....
Tough fight to call in my opinion but slightly leaning beast still..
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I think you're underestimating Hunt's takedown defense. His TD defense looked good against even Lesnar until the 2nd round of their fight, and that was with a decorated wrestler trying his damned hardest to shoot for takedowns. Beast is content to brawl and it seems when fights have gone to the ground, it wasn't because he was actively taking his opponents there.Comment -
agreed
Hunt actually has above average TDD because hes so short and big legs, super hard to takedown unless its an elite wrestler
Lewis is the furthest thing from an elite wrestler lol, it just honestly shows how shallow HW is that hes at the top as bad as it sounds.... i love Lewis as a person hes fckin hilarious in interviews and he has huge power / heart but hes very one dimensional, he is improving in his fights no doubt and hes shown heart by winning fights where hes been down multiple times..
But if Hunt connects i dont think hell be able to recover from that, Hunt is the biggest hitter hes fought so far and he has shown he can be kod.... 2 guys who cut to 265 so whoever you take id suggest taking them by TKO/KO in a 5 round match to get the + odds regardlessComment -
Betting old man.hunt would not be a smart bet at all. Lewis in hus prime and dominating. Hunt sucks nowadays and is an old fart.Comment -
Roy Neslon took down Hunt briefly, but yes maybe it's a tall order for Beast to get Hunt down either with a trip or double but I still think he might try..
Keep in mind Beast has a sneaky head kick and I do think he might try that, Hunt has been caught before by knees and kicks... Beasts best chance is probably just come forward and go off on Hunt as he hits like a Truck.. Test the 43 year old chin of Hunt.. Bottom line if either guys connects it's probably lights out..
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Easy Card IMO...Lets cash this rooster_eater
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Selection : D. Lewis 6/10/2017 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line -120 for Game
Selection : D. Brunson 6/10/2017 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line -270 for Game
Selection : I. Cutelaba 6/10/2017 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line -200 for Game
Selection : T. Elliot 6/10/2017 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line -225 for Game
Selection : J. Moraga 6/10/2017 5:00PM - (PST) Money Line -150 for Game
Selection : Z. Ottow 6/10/2017 5:00PM - (PST) Money Line -305 for GameComment -
Prelims MMA mania -
115 lbs.: J.J. Aldrich vs. Chan-Mi Jeon
J.J. Aldrich (4-2) impressed Joanna Jedrzejczyk enough to be her first pick on The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 23, but fell to Team Claudia top pick and eventual tournament winner, Tatiana Suarez, in the quarterfinals. After two wins outside the organization, one of them in Invicta, she stepped up on short notice to face Juliana Lima in Albany and suffered a decision loss.
She will give up two inches of reach and five inches of leg reach to Chan-Mi Jeon (5-0).
Jeon is the youngest member of UFC’s Flyweight division at just 19, but has been anything but childish during her run on the Korean scene. Four of her five wins have come via first-round (technical) knockout, including three in less than one minute apiece.
She replaces Nadia Kassem on less than two weeks’ notice.
I finally found Jeon’s fight footage after searching on YouTube for her name in Korean instead of the Anglicization. What I saw was … well ... let’s call it untapped potential. She’s got power and a legitimate mean streak, packing strong elbows and knees as well as heavy ground-and-pound, but she’s a raw talent. She’s flat-footed and slow on the feet and, while her defense held up, she walked into several deep submission attempts against the debuting Na-Young Song last July.
Jeon basically needs to get Aldrich to the mat consistently; however, considering she’s still enamored with the head-and-arm throw, that’s unlikely. Aldrich pieces her up at range for a decision win.
Prediction: Aldrich via unanimous decision
155 lbs.: Dong Hyun Kim vs. Thibault Gouti
Dong Hyun “No, Not That One” Kim (14-8-3) returned to the Lightweight division after his knockout loss to Dominique Steele and went to war with Polo Reyes, trading massive punches for two rounds before Reyes put him away. His next time out, he showcased his grappling in a decision over TUF: “Nations” veteran Brendan O’Reilly.
He will give up two inches of reach to Thibault Gouti (11-3).
Gouti came up short against David Teymur in TUF 22’s elimination round, but knocked out UFC veteran Anton Kuivanen to earn a shot in the Octagon. He’s yet to taste victory in the promotion, suffering stoppage losses to Teemu Packalen, Olivier Aubin-Mercier and Chad Laprise.
He owns six wins by form of choke.
When Kim isn’t fighting a Welterweight or desperately trading hands with a bigger puncher, he’s a capable Judo artist, adept with both takedowns and top control. Neither skill is world-beating, of course, but he’s definitely UFC-worthy.
Is Gouti? I’m not convinced.
Gouti’s durability and submission defense have been sorely lacking during his time with the world’s largest fight promotion. Though Kim isn’t the hitter that Laprise is or the overpowering takedown artist Aubin-Mercier is, he packs a punch and has the skills to overwhelm Gouti on the mat. Expect him to lock up a rear-naked choke after either rocking Gouti or dragging him to the mat.
Prediction: Kim via first-round submission
155 lbs.: Damien Brown vs. Vinc Pichel
Damien Brown (17-9) — riding a five-fight win streak — stepped up on short notice to face Alan Patrick in his Octagon debut, losing a decision to the big Brazilian. He’s since bounced back with a brutal knockout of Cesar Arzamendia and gritty split decision over Jon Tuck, the latter in front of a Melbourne crowd.
“Beatdown” has submitted eight opponents and knocked out another three.
Vinc Pichel (9-1) — Team Dominick Cruz’s sixth pick on The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 15 — submitted John Cofer before dropping a majority decision to Chris Saunders in the quarterfinals. The hits kept coming in his UFC debut, which saw him suplexed into oblivion by Rustam Khabilov, but he enters Saturday’s bout on a two-fight win streak.
This will be his first fight since May 2014.
Boy howdy, do I love trying to assess fighters coming off of three-year layoffs. Mixed martial arts (MMA) is not kind to those attempting induction over the course of months, much less years. Well, enough whining.
Pichel isn’t the finishing powerhouse his seven (technical) knockout wins suggest, but he’s a strong wrestler with a capable top game. Without significant backslide, that’s enough to carry him past Brown, who’s gutsy as hell but was getting torn apart by Jon Tuck before Tuck gassed. Plus, knocking out Cesar Arzamendia and his terrible, horrible, no good, very bad chin isn’t a huge accomplishment.
If Pichel can fight for the full 15 minutes, he’s got this. Indeed, a steady diet of takedowns carries him to his third UFC victory.
Prediction: Pichel via unanimous decision
170 lbs.: Luke Jumeau vs. Dominique Steele
The Force has been strong with “The Jedi” Luke Jumeau (11-3) in the last few years, racking up six consecutive stoppage wins since losses to Jingliang Li and Jake Matthews. Most recently, he took on another UFC veteran in Vik Grujic and knocked him silly after a tough first round.
He owns five wins by knockout and another four by decision.
Despite losing his last two, Dominique Steele (14-8) has lived up to his nickname since his UFC debut loss to Zak Cummings. Following a vicious slam knockout of Dong Hyun Kim, “Nonstop Action-Packed” went to war with Danny Roberts and Court McGee in fights that could have easily been scored his way.
His seven stoppage wins are split evenly between knockouts and submissions.
Jumeau’s got some seriously heavy hands and a solid array of low kicks to back them up, but he’s so flat-footed and prone to kicking without set up that he’s prone to getting taken down rather easily. He managed to survive against Grujic, who came in over six pounds overweight and didn’t have the steam to maintain his attack, but Steele never stops coming and has some nasty slams for those too slow to get their hips out of the way.
The big question is whether Steele -- who has been knocked out four times — can survive enough punishment to bring his wrestling to bear. I say he does! Expect him to exploit Jumeau’s single punches to land counter takedowns and hang out in top position for the decision.
Prediction: Steele via unanimous decision
125 lbs.: John Moraga vs. Ashkan Mokhtarian
John Moraga (16-6) — one of the first members of UFC’s Flyweight division — currently finds himself on the first multi-fight losing streak of his career. He hasn’t exactly rolled over, though, hanging on against Joseph Benavidez before tough fights against Matheus Nicolau and Sergio Pettis.
Four of his eight submission wins have come by guillotine.
Fighting as high as 150 pounds and as low as 125, Ashkan Mokhtarian (13-1) has become Australia’s top Flyweight during his five-year career. He’s currently riding a six-fight win streak that includes five finishes and a 27-second head kick knockout in his divisional debut.
He owns six wins by knockout and another six by submission.
Mokhtarian and his crew have a decent-sized social media presence. What they don’t have is any complete fight footage from the last two years; in fact, the most recent I could find aside from a 50-second clip of ground-and-pound was his 2015 fight with Honggang Yao, who took him down effectively at will before Mokhtarian caught him in a heel hook.
Moraga will never touch the title or crack the seemingly impenetrable Johnson-Benavidez-Cejudo barrier, but he’s as scrappy and mean as they come. The pace and ferocity he offers are not the sort of thing you want to deal with in your first real world-class fight. He ought to have the wrestling to overwhelm Mokhtarian and — even if he can’t consistently hit takedowns — he can do enough damage in transition to get the win.
Prediction: Moraga via unanimous decision
170 lbs.: Kiichi Kunimoto vs. Zak Ottow
Kiichi Kunimoto (18-6-2) has enjoyed one of the stranger UFC careers in recent memory. After winning his debut due to disqualification, he defied +400 odds to submit Daniel Sarafian before getting a questionable split decision over Richard Walsh in Saitama.
This will be his first fight since losing to Neil Magny in Feb. 2015.
Making both his Lightweight and UFC debut on short notice, Zak Ottow (14-4)came up big against Josh Burkman for his fifth consecutive victory. Returning to Welterweight, he replaced Mike Graves against Sergio Moraes and fought his way to a split decision loss to the grappling ace.
He replaces the injured Warlley Alves on less than one month’s notice.
The deciding factor here might be size. Ottow has historically competed at Welterweight, but he can make 155 pounds on short notice. In a match that will likely be determined by who spends more time on top, that could be trouble. Though Kunimoto isn’t an elite takedown artist, he’s a very persistent one, and Ottow may not have the firepower to keep him honest.
Ottow has a good defensive guard, keeping Moraes locked up for several minutes. Still, even if Kunimoto can’t get his passing going, he’s good enough to stay on top and rack up points. Kunimoto scores enough clinch takedowns to get the decision.
Prediction: Kunimoto via unanimous decisionComment -
Elliot should roll Nguyen IMO....-225 is a steal....win by RNC....Ottow is a beast...should be an easy fight for him....-305 even seems cheap....Fight will finish...Comment -
Think they are off here....Ottow has fought his last 2 fights at 170 am I wrong here? lol...
170 lbs.: Kiichi Kunimoto vs. Zak Ottow
Kiichi Kunimoto (18-6-2) has enjoyed one of the stranger UFC careers in recent memory. After winning his debut due to disqualification, he defied +400 odds to submit Daniel Sarafian before getting a questionable split decision over Richard Walsh in Saitama.
This will be his first fight since losing to Neil Magny in Feb. 2015.
Making both his Lightweight and UFC debut on short notice, Zak Ottow (14-4)came up big against Josh Burkman for his fifth consecutive victory. Returning to Welterweight, he replaced Mike Graves against Sergio Moraes and fought his way to a split decision loss to the grappling ace.
He replaces the injured Warlley Alves on less than one month’s notice.
The deciding factor here might be size. Ottow has historically competed at Welterweight, but he can make 155 pounds on short notice. In a match that will likely be determined by who spends more time on top, that could be trouble. Though Kunimoto isn’t an elite takedown artist, he’s a very persistent one, and Ottow may not have the firepower to keep him honest.
Ottow has a good defensive guard, keeping Moraes locked up for several minutes. Still, even if Kunimoto can’t get his passing going, he’s good enough to stay on top and rack up points. Kunimoto scores enough clinch takedowns to get the decision.
Prediction: Kunimoto via unanimous decisionComment -
Ottow....http://themmareport.com/2017/05/vide...ichi-kunimoto/
Essentially saying he took it bc he knew he would win..... Weight is good....likes the matchup.... Confident..Comment -
New UFC tonight show covering this card tonight.. Tune in boys...
DC back with the ring on his finger..Comment
