Bjpenn85s 100 unit in 2016 if not im done with SBR-O thread

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • bjpenn85
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-17-11
    • 5059

    #456
    No bought out after all the scandals. I didnt understand how much people hated hilary, ill guess no one did.
    Comment
    • bjpenn85
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-17-11
      • 5059

      #457
      Adding:

      2 units on Morales TKO @ 10.2 to win - 18.5 units
      Comment
      • bjpenn85
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-17-11
        • 5059

        #458
        Adding:

        19 units on Hermansson @ 1.50 to win - 9.5 units


        I have Hermansson capped around -280 -300 ish, so when i first hit it i got -170, which i thought was a steal. At sportsbook you could get Hermansson at evens which obviously was what i hoped for.

        Its not much to say, hermansson is a a well rounded guy. Pretty complete, he will teach Ferreira a lesson here. I dont think Ferreira will last. This late takedown thingy he does wont work, as hermanssons bjj is too good. Hermansson is also a greco roman wrestler so dont expect to outwrestle this guy either. I look at this as a gimme fight for hermansson, not a complete gimme fight, but very close to it.
        Comment
        • bjpenn85
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-17-11
          • 5059

          #459
          Adding:

          2 units on Ferreira dec @ 4.8 to win - 7.6 units
          0.5 units on Ferreira round 1 @ 10 to win - 4.5 units
          Comment
          • bjpenn85
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-17-11
            • 5059

            #460
            Event result: -21.5 units

            Its obviously a lot different betting these types of sums. The loss is just colossal. For some reason i have a tendency last month to loose every bet regardless, and the hedge i dont have, is the scenario who ends up happening. Its obviously something wrong with my strategy + a little dose of unluck. In this fight in particular, i bet on a fighter with a thin track record in the ufc, which is always a bit risky. My thought, was that since he had already won against a decent fighter + what i have seen from hermansson on the ground and on tape, it would be enough to win, but i was just dead wrong.


            Comment
            • bjpenn85
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-17-11
              • 5059

              #461
              Brunson vs Whittaker


              7 units on Whittaker @ 2.25 to win - 8.75 units
              1.25 units on Derek Brunson dec @ 4.80 to win - 4.7 units
              Comment
              • Hugo de Naranja
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-14-16
                • 14140

                #462
                Originally posted by bjpenn85
                Brunson vs Whittaker


                7 units on Whittaker @ 2.25 to win - 8.75 units
                1.25 units on Derek Brunson dec @ 4.80 to win - 4.7 units
                What's your YTD total coming into this event?
                Comment
                • KushMoney
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 07-11-11
                  • 658

                  #463
                  Originally posted by bjpenn85
                  Brunson vs Whittaker


                  7 units on Whittaker @ 2.25 to win - 8.75 units
                  1.25 units on Derek Brunson dec @ 4.80 to win - 4.7 units
                  ?? What if Brunson wins by TKO or submission
                  Comment
                  • capone1899
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-16-11
                    • 1054

                    #464
                    Originally posted by KushMoney
                    ?? What if Brunson wins by TKO or submission
                    He loses
                    Comment
                    • Hugo de Naranja
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-14-16
                      • 14140

                      #465
                      Originally posted by bjpenn85
                      Brunson vs Whittaker


                      7 units on Whittaker @ 2.25 to win - 8.75 units
                      1.25 units on Derek Brunson dec @ 4.80 to win - 4.7 units
                      Nice hit on Whittaker BJ!
                      Comment
                      • bjpenn85
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-17-11
                        • 5059

                        #466
                        Event result: +7.5 units

                        Comment
                        • Thrilla
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-10-15
                          • 13809

                          #467
                          Originally posted by bjpenn85
                          Event result: +7.5 units

                          good to see you climb back.
                          Comment
                          • bjpenn85
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-17-11
                            • 5059

                            #468
                            Originally posted by Thrilla
                            good to see you climb back.

                            Thanks bud. This year has been quite diff. My goal was to get to a certain amount. I scaled up the bets, and it did backfire like a mf.
                            Comment
                            • bjpenn85
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-17-11
                              • 5059

                              #469
                              TUF 24 Finale: Tournament of Champions dec 3.

                              7.5 units on Benavidez @ 1.52 to win - 3.9 units
                              Comment
                              • bjpenn85
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-17-11
                                • 5059

                                #470
                                Adding:

                                4.8 units on Rob Font/Masvidal @ 2.17 to win - 5.7 units
                                Comment
                                • Sanity Check
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-30-13
                                  • 10962

                                  #471
                                  Hi. I know this is a dumb question.

                                  But what percentage of a typical bank roll is 1 unit.
                                  Comment
                                  • bjpenn85
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-17-11
                                    • 5059

                                    #472
                                    Originally posted by Sanity Check
                                    Hi. I know this is a dumb question.

                                    But what percentage of a typical bank roll is 1 unit.
                                    Accordig to standard bankroll management, 1 unit should equal 1% of your bankroll.

                                    A maximum bet can at the highest be 10 untis/10%, on rare occasions up to 25%.

                                    Vegasdave bet 1 mill on Tate to win over Amanda Nunes, ill guess that is 100% of his bankroll, ill guess we wont hear from him again.

                                    As for myself, i have tried to challenge this system, and i cant say it has payed of. Ive lost a ton on cramping this style of betting. Standard bankroll mangement procedures its time consuming, it is slow, but it is safe, and a guaranteed win if youre not abnormally untalented.
                                    Comment
                                    • bjpenn85
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-17-11
                                      • 5059

                                      #473
                                      Pending bets TUF 24 Finale: Tournament of Champions dec 3.

                                      12 units on Benavidez @ 1.51 to win - 6.1 units
                                      4.8 units on Rob Font/Masvidal @ 2.17 to win - 5.7 units

                                      Hedge

                                      1.25 units Masvidal/Cejudo dec @ 4.8 to win back - 4.7 units
                                      0.35 units on Cejudo TKO @ 12.8 to win back - 4.1 units
                                      Comment
                                      • bjpenn85
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-17-11
                                        • 5059

                                        #474
                                        Adding:

                                        0.5 units on Ellenberger by TKO @ 10 to win back - 4.5 units
                                        Comment
                                        • bjpenn85
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-17-11
                                          • 5059

                                          #475
                                          Adding:

                                          0.5 units on Matt Schnell to win inside distance @ 5 to win back - 2 units
                                          Comment
                                          • bjpenn85
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-17-11
                                            • 5059

                                            #476
                                            Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                            Pending bets TUF 24 Finale: Tournament of Champions dec 3.

                                            12 units on Benavidez @ 1.51 to win - 6.1 units
                                            4.8 units on Rob Font/Masvidal @ 2.17 to win - 5.7 units

                                            Hedge

                                            1.25 units Masvidal/Cejudo dec @ 4.8 to win back - 4.7 units
                                            0.35 units on Cejudo TKO @ 12.8 to win back - 4.1 units

                                            Event result:

                                            +10.2 units
                                            Comment
                                            • Hugo de Naranja
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-14-16
                                              • 14140

                                              #477
                                              Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                              Event result:

                                              +10.2 units
                                              Isn't it 9.2 with the Ellenberger TKO and Schnell ITD hedges? Great job btw
                                              Comment
                                              • bjpenn85
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-17-11
                                                • 5059

                                                #478
                                                Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                                Event result:

                                                +10.2 units
                                                Sorry, little error there.

                                                Event result:
                                                +9.2 units.
                                                Comment
                                                • bjpenn85
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-17-11
                                                  • 5059

                                                  #479
                                                  Adding:

                                                  7 units on Cerrone, Max Holloway @ 2.09 to win - 7.6 units
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Beelzebubzy
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 06-06-11
                                                    • 6995

                                                    #480
                                                    are you worried about cerrones eye? or is that just makeup
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bjpenn85
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-17-11
                                                      • 5059

                                                      #481
                                                      Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                                      are you worried about cerrones eye? or is that just makeup
                                                      I believe its an injury suffered in training camp. I dont know the implications of this injury. I assume the injury wont have an affect and that the doctors wont let him fight if the injury causes visual problems.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • bjpenn85
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-17-11
                                                        • 5059

                                                        #482
                                                        Adding:

                                                        5 units on Makovsky/Ortiz over 2.5 round, Jordan Mein @ 2.27 to win - 6.35 units

                                                        Makvosky/Ortiz doesnt have any finishing power and unfortunately for Emil Meek, he wont win against a seasoned vet in Mein. Norwegian fighters are probably worse than Asian fighters in the UFC. They are barely able to even get into the UFC. Even Jack Hermansson which is vastly the better fighter than Meek is, is currently 1-1 in middleweight div, which has like 5-6 good fighters. Mein is a complete pussy though, so Meek can get the 3.round stoppage if Mein gasses or just quits, but Mein is def worth a stab with his superior athleticism and striking acumen.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • firekillex
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-18-13
                                                          • 6420

                                                          #483
                                                          You lost me at mein is a complete pussy
                                                          and Meek absolutely shit on rousimar palhares with elbows this fight should be intense imo
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bjpenn85
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-17-11
                                                            • 5059

                                                            #484
                                                            Originally posted by firekillex
                                                            You lost me at mein is a complete pussy
                                                            and Meek absolutely shit on rousimar palhares with elbows this fight should be intense imo
                                                            I understand, clumsy term. I mean, hes not trusthworthy. I dont trust his mentality. He was finished by brown, finished by alves and he also just gave up on his career. And if Meek manages to survive to the 3.round he appears to be pretty tough so, maybe he can get the late TKO. I dont think Jordan Mein is a guy you can trust, but the skill disparity in this contest + the value is so tempting i couldnt resist the urge to place a bet. I think Jordan Mein easily could have been -280/-300. -130-150 range is just way off. Meek was picked apart by a local polish fighter that was 2-1 for...hold on, a freakin year ago. Jordan Mein gets finished by top prospects in the ufc, its a facking diff. Meeks decent at regional level, but in the ufc, hes not going to have any success, i think. Even if he bests Mean.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • bjpenn85
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 02-17-11
                                                              • 5059

                                                              #485
                                                              Adding:

                                                              5 units on the talented but fragile Jordan Mein @ 1.60 to win - 3 units
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bjpenn85
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-17-11
                                                                • 5059

                                                                #486
                                                                adding:

                                                                1.25 unit on Mike Brown tko @ 6.25 to win back - 6.5 units
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 04-14-16
                                                                  • 14140

                                                                  #487
                                                                  Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                                                  adding:

                                                                  1.25 unit on Mike Brown tko @ 6.25 to win back - 6.5 units
                                                                  Definitely the right hedge. I'm on it as well.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • bjpenn85
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-17-11
                                                                    • 5059

                                                                    #488
                                                                    Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                                    Definitely the right hedge. I'm on it as well.
                                                                    Cant sub him, def cant win a dec, but if cerrone arent prepared maybe he can shock cerrone and get the early tko. It has to be real early as well as cerrone can get the reactive takedown and slow down the frenetic pace brown set. Large bet always needs hedging. Always need that safety net. But, im not going huge on hedges, because they can also loose, then youre KTFO. So if i loose on both, its not that big of a deal.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 04-14-16
                                                                      • 14140

                                                                      #489
                                                                      Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                                                      Cant sub him, def cant win a dec, but if cerrone arent prepared maybe he can shock cerrone and get the early tko. It has to be real early as well as cerrone can get the reactive takedown and slow down the frenetic pace brown set. Large bet always needs hedging. Always need that safety net. But, im not going huge on hedges, because they can also loose, then youre KTFO. So if i loose on both, its not that big of a deal.
                                                                      I think Brown could MAYBE catch Cerrone in some type of Guillotine or something but most likely I see one of these guys KO'ing the other with Cerrone the more likely victor by a long shot.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • latarianmilton
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 12-23-13
                                                                        • 342

                                                                        #490
                                                                        Thoughts on the under for the cowboy fight? im surprised its only at -120, im feeling Brown got USADA'd he used to be an animal and in his last two fights hes looked like day and night, just too tentative, i think he folds when Cerrone starts beating him up, even on the ground Brown could get subbed.
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        Search
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...