No bought out after all the scandals. I didnt understand how much people hated hilary, ill guess no one did.
Bjpenn85s 100 unit in 2016 if not im done with SBR-O thread
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bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#456Comment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#457Adding:
2 units on Morales TKO @ 10.2 to win - 18.5 unitsComment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#458Adding:
19 units on Hermansson @ 1.50 to win - 9.5 units
I have Hermansson capped around -280 -300 ish, so when i first hit it i got -170, which i thought was a steal. At sportsbook you could get Hermansson at evens which obviously was what i hoped for.
Its not much to say, hermansson is a a well rounded guy. Pretty complete, he will teach Ferreira a lesson here. I dont think Ferreira will last. This late takedown thingy he does wont work, as hermanssons bjj is too good. Hermansson is also a greco roman wrestler so dont expect to outwrestle this guy either. I look at this as a gimme fight for hermansson, not a complete gimme fight, but very close to it.Comment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#459Adding:
2 units on Ferreira dec @ 4.8 to win - 7.6 units
0.5 units on Ferreira round 1 @ 10 to win - 4.5 unitsComment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#460Event result: -21.5 units
Its obviously a lot different betting these types of sums. The loss is just colossal. For some reason i have a tendency last month to loose every bet regardless, and the hedge i dont have, is the scenario who ends up happening. Its obviously something wrong with my strategy + a little dose of unluck. In this fight in particular, i bet on a fighter with a thin track record in the ufc, which is always a bit risky. My thought, was that since he had already won against a decent fighter + what i have seen from hermansson on the ground and on tape, it would be enough to win, but i was just dead wrong.
Comment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#461Brunson vs Whittaker
7 units on Whittaker @ 2.25 to win - 8.75 units
1.25 units on Derek Brunson dec @ 4.80 to win - 4.7 unitsComment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#466Event result: +7.5 units
Comment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#469TUF 24 Finale: Tournament of Champions dec 3.
7.5 units on Benavidez @ 1.52 to win - 3.9 unitsComment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#470Adding:
4.8 units on Rob Font/Masvidal @ 2.17 to win - 5.7 unitsComment -
Sanity CheckSBR Posting Legend
- 03-30-13
- 10962
#471Hi. I know this is a dumb question.
But what percentage of a typical bank roll is 1 unit.Comment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#472
A maximum bet can at the highest be 10 untis/10%, on rare occasions up to 25%.
Vegasdave bet 1 mill on Tate to win over Amanda Nunes, ill guess that is 100% of his bankroll, ill guess we wont hear from him again.
As for myself, i have tried to challenge this system, and i cant say it has payed of. Ive lost a ton on cramping this style of betting. Standard bankroll mangement procedures its time consuming, it is slow, but it is safe, and a guaranteed win if youre not abnormally untalented.Comment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#473Pending bets TUF 24 Finale: Tournament of Champions dec 3.
12 units on Benavidez @ 1.51 to win - 6.1 units
4.8 units on Rob Font/Masvidal @ 2.17 to win - 5.7 units
Hedge
1.25 units Masvidal/Cejudo dec @ 4.8 to win back - 4.7 units
0.35 units on Cejudo TKO @ 12.8 to win back - 4.1 unitsComment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#474Adding:
0.5 units on Ellenberger by TKO @ 10 to win back - 4.5 unitsComment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#475Adding:
0.5 units on Matt Schnell to win inside distance @ 5 to win back - 2 unitsComment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#476Pending bets TUF 24 Finale: Tournament of Champions dec 3.
12 units on Benavidez @ 1.51 to win - 6.1 units
4.8 units on Rob Font/Masvidal @ 2.17 to win - 5.7 units
Hedge
1.25 units Masvidal/Cejudo dec @ 4.8 to win back - 4.7 units
0.35 units on Cejudo TKO @ 12.8 to win back - 4.1 units
Event result:
+10.2 unitsComment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#479Adding:
7 units on Cerrone, Max Holloway @ 2.09 to win - 7.6 unitsComment -
BeelzebubzySBR Hall of Famer
- 06-06-11
- 6995
#480are you worried about cerrones eye? or is that just makeupComment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#481I believe its an injury suffered in training camp. I dont know the implications of this injury. I assume the injury wont have an affect and that the doctors wont let him fight if the injury causes visual problems.Comment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#482Adding:
5 units on Makovsky/Ortiz over 2.5 round, Jordan Mein @ 2.27 to win - 6.35 units
Makvosky/Ortiz doesnt have any finishing power and unfortunately for Emil Meek, he wont win against a seasoned vet in Mein. Norwegian fighters are probably worse than Asian fighters in the UFC. They are barely able to even get into the UFC. Even Jack Hermansson which is vastly the better fighter than Meek is, is currently 1-1 in middleweight div, which has like 5-6 good fighters. Mein is a complete pussy though, so Meek can get the 3.round stoppage if Mein gasses or just quits, but Mein is def worth a stab with his superior athleticism and striking acumen.Comment -
firekillexSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-18-13
- 6420
#483You lost me at mein is a complete pussy
and Meek absolutely shit on rousimar palhares with elbows this fight should be intense imoComment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#484I understand, clumsy term. I mean, hes not trusthworthy. I dont trust his mentality. He was finished by brown, finished by alves and he also just gave up on his career. And if Meek manages to survive to the 3.round he appears to be pretty tough so, maybe he can get the late TKO. I dont think Jordan Mein is a guy you can trust, but the skill disparity in this contest + the value is so tempting i couldnt resist the urge to place a bet. I think Jordan Mein easily could have been -280/-300. -130-150 range is just way off. Meek was picked apart by a local polish fighter that was 2-1 for...hold on, a freakin year ago. Jordan Mein gets finished by top prospects in the ufc, its a facking diff. Meeks decent at regional level, but in the ufc, hes not going to have any success, i think. Even if he bests Mean.Comment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#485Adding:
5 units on the talented but fragile Jordan Mein @ 1.60 to win - 3 unitsComment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#486adding:
1.25 unit on Mike Brown tko @ 6.25 to win back - 6.5 unitsComment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#488Cant sub him, def cant win a dec, but if cerrone arent prepared maybe he can shock cerrone and get the early tko. It has to be real early as well as cerrone can get the reactive takedown and slow down the frenetic pace brown set. Large bet always needs hedging. Always need that safety net. But, im not going huge on hedges, because they can also loose, then youre KTFO. So if i loose on both, its not that big of a deal.Comment -
Hugo de NaranjaSBR Posting Legend
- 04-14-16
- 14140
#489Cant sub him, def cant win a dec, but if cerrone arent prepared maybe he can shock cerrone and get the early tko. It has to be real early as well as cerrone can get the reactive takedown and slow down the frenetic pace brown set. Large bet always needs hedging. Always need that safety net. But, im not going huge on hedges, because they can also loose, then youre KTFO. So if i loose on both, its not that big of a deal.Comment -
latarianmiltonSBR Sharp
- 12-23-13
- 342
#490Thoughts on the under for the cowboy fight? im surprised its only at -120, im feeling Brown got USADA'd he used to be an animal and in his last two fights hes looked like day and night, just too tentative, i think he folds when Cerrone starts beating him up, even on the ground Brown could get subbed.Comment
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