Bjpenn85s 100 unit in 2016 if not im done with SBR-O thread

**bjpenn85** · 09-20-16, 03:39 AM

Adding:

5 units on Vincente Luque, Thiago Santos @ 1.54 to win - 2.7 units

**firekillex** · 09-20-16, 09:29 AM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Adding:

5 units on Vincente Luque, Thiago Santos @ 1.54 to win - 2.7 units

Padding santos with a bunch of parlays , I see know way he loses this fight imo ... Way to big and strong for spicely I think this will be an ass whooping.... Add him in with a bunch of guys -300 or under to make the bets have some value imo I like your thinking BJ

**bjpenn85** · 09-20-16, 11:04 AM

Adding more:

5 units on Vincente Luque, Thiago Santos @ 1.54 to win - 2.7 units

**bjpenn85** · 09-20-16, 11:09 AM

Final bets for UFC Fight Night 95: Cyborg vs Lansberg septh 24th

10 units on Vincente Luque, Thiago Santos @ 1.54 to win - 5.4 units
5 units on Thiago Santos, Cyborg/Lansberg under 1.5 rounds @ 1.56 to win - 2.8 units

**bjpenn85** · 09-20-16, 03:25 PM

Adding:

0.35 units on Landsberg inside dist @ 11 to win - 3.3 units

Cutting as much as 28 pounds within such a short period of time, is quite dangerous, although cyborg has drained herself before, im def a bit concerned with the under 1.5 rounds prop in my 5 unit parlay. Hopefully either girl finishes the other, quickly.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 09-20-16, 03:27 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Adding:

0.35 units on Landsberg inside dist @ 11 to win - 3.3 units

Cutting as much as 28 pounds within such a short period of time, is quite dangerous, although cyborg has drained herself before, im def a bit concerned with the under 1.5 rounds prop in my 5 unit parlay. Hopefully either girl finishes the other, quickly.

Thought this needed to be (+30000) to have value lol. Definitely a smart hedge, given the new information about Cyborg's cut.

**bjpenn85** · 09-20-16, 03:31 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Thought this needed to be (+30000) to have value lol. Definitely a smart hedge, given the new information about Cyborg's cut.

It absolute bullsihit value, i agree. I just dont want to loose 5 units. My goal is to win at least 1000 dollars a week, and one loss here means that im ending up breaking even. Not on my watch, man.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 09-22-16, 01:04 PM

Sergio Pettis out of his bout with Louis Smolka.

**bjpenn85** · 09-22-16, 02:30 PM

Fackkkkkkkkk, -11000 dollar down the drain.

**bjpenn85** · 09-22-16, 02:45 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Sergio Pettis out of his bout with Louis Smolka.

How sure are you? Cant find any information, link?

**Hugo de Naranja** · 09-22-16, 02:57 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

How sure are you? Cant find any information, link?

Trainer: Sergio Pettis off next week's UFC Fight Night 96 main card

http://mmajunkie.com/2016/09/trainer-sergio-pettis-off-next-weeks-ufc-fight-night-96-main-card

Next week's UFC Fight Night 96 event has lost one of its main-card fighters. Sergio Pettis (14-2 MMA, 5-2 UFC) is injured and has been forced out of his bout with fellow flyweight Louis Smolka (11-1 MMA, 5-1 UFC). His trainer, Duke Roufus, today announced the scratch due…

Duke Roufus: Sergio Pettis Out of UFC Fight Night Portland with ‘Minor Injury’

http://www.sherdog.com/news/news/Duke-Roufus-Sergio-Pettis-Out-of-UFC-Fight-Night-Portland-with-Minor-Injury-111475

Sergio Pettis will not be able to face Louis Smolka at UFC Fight Night 96 on Oct. 1.

**bjpenn85** · 09-22-16, 03:46 PM

Hopefully they rebook the match so that i can cash that bet at the same price.

**bjpenn85** · 09-22-16, 10:02 PM

Adding:

2.5 units on Santos/spicely under 1.5 rounds, Nelson /Bigfoot under 1.5 rounds @2.13 to win - 2.8 units

**bjpenn85** · 09-22-16, 10:04 PM

Final bets for UFC Fight Night 95: Cyborg vs Lansberg septh 24th

10 units on Vincente Luque, Thiago Santos @ 1.54 to win - 5.4 units
5 units on Thiago Santos, Cyborg/Lansberg under 1.5 rounds @ 1.56 to win - 2.8 units
2.5 units on Santos/spicely under 1.5 rounds, Nelson/Bigfoot under 1.5 rounds @ 2.13 to win - 2.8 units

**bjpenn85** · 09-25-16, 12:20 AM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Final bets for UFC Fight Night 95: Cyborg vs Lansberg septh 24th

10 units on Vincente Luque, Thiago Santos @ 1.54 to win - 5.4 units
5 units on Thiago Santos, Cyborg/Lansberg under 1.5 rounds @ 1.56 to win - 2.8 units
2.5 units on Santos/spicely under 1.5 rounds, Nelson/Bigfoot under 1.5 rounds @ 2.13 to win - 2.8 units

Event result: -17.5 units.

Absolutely unlucky in this one. Thiago Santos buried me. But this shit happens in MMA. You cant really know who fighters who just going to take a dive although having such a good stylistic matchup. In reality this loss was way less due to spicely inside and santos round 2 hedges, but i obviously document was posted here. I dont really feel like a made a huge mistake, this just is a good reminder that although youre trying to be as safe as possible, you cant really be safe in mma betting. You go on a long win streaks and eventually the upset happens regardless of how good the stylistic matchup is, the athletic gap etc etc...everyone still can loose a fight, always.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 09-25-16, 01:43 AM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Event result: -17.5 units.

Absolutely unlucky in this one. Thiago Santos buried me. But this shit happens in MMA. You cant really know who fighters who just going to take a dive although having such a good stylistic matchup. In reality this loss was way less due to spicely inside and santos round 2 hedges, but i obviously document was posted here. I dont really feel like a made a huge mistake, this just is a good reminder that although youre trying to be as safe as possible, you cant really be safe in mma betting. You go on a long win streaks and eventually the upset happens regardless of how good the stylistic matchup is, the athletic gap etc etc...everyone still can loose a fight, always.

Keep your head up bud. You'll get 'em next time.

**latarianmilton** · 09-25-16, 09:35 AM

I remember Santos coach saying he got way too nervous in his fight vs Mousassi, which is what happened here too, he was very stiff and rushing, totally different than vs Marquardt.

**bjpenn85** · 09-27-16, 12:01 PM

Adding:

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 96: LINKER VS DODSON oct 1st

Curtis Blades 10 units @ 1.50 to win - 5 units

**bjpenn85** · 09-28-16, 11:41 AM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Adding:

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 96: LINKER VS DODSON oct 1st

Curtis Blades 10 units @ 1.50 to win - 5 units

Buying out some of the Blades here.

**bjpenn85** · 09-28-16, 11:42 AM

Adding:

7.5 units on Hacran dias @ 1.57 to win - 4.2 units

**bjpenn85** · 09-28-16, 11:43 AM

Adding:

10 units on Nakamura @ 1.7 to win - 7 units

**bjpenn85** · 09-28-16, 11:44 AM

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 96: LINKER VS DODSON oct 1st

10 units on Nakamura @ 1.7 to win - 7 units
7.5 units on Hacran dias @ 1.57 to win - 4.2 units
6 units @ 1.50 to win - 3 units

**bjpenn85** · 09-28-16, 04:15 PM

Adding:

9 units on Louis Smolka inside distance @ 1.69/1.58/1.52/1.47 to win - 5 units

Crazy restrictions here. Just awful. Cant put more than 200 dollars before line moves. Im so black listed its no fun.

**bjpenn85** · 09-28-16, 04:16 PM

Final bets: UFC FIGHT NIGHT 96: LINKER VS DODSON oct 1st

10 units on Nakamura @ 1.7 to win - 7 units
9 units on Louis Smolka inside distance @ 1.69/1.58/1.52/1.47 to win - 5 units
7.5 units on Hacran dias @ 1.57 to win - 4.2 units
6 units on Curtis Blaydes @ 1.50 to win - 3 units

**bjpenn85** · 09-29-16, 03:37 PM

Adding:

3.5 units on Tim Kennedy @ 1.50 to win - 1.7 units

**bjpenn85** · 09-30-16, 01:09 AM

Adding hedge:

0.6 units on Dos Santos tko @ 5.80 to win back - 3.1 unit

**bjpenn85** · 09-30-16, 01:10 AM

Final bets: UFC FIGHT NIGHT 96: LINKER VS DODSON oct 1st

10 units on Nakamura @ 1.7 to win - 7 units
9 units on Louis Smolka inside distance @ 1.69/1.58/1.52/1.47 to win - 5 units
7.5 units on Hacran dias @ 1.57 to win - 4.2 units
6 units on Curtis Blaydes @ 1.50 to win - 3 units
0.6 units on Dos Santos tko @ 5.80 to win back - 3.1 unit

**bjpenn85** · 10-02-16, 02:40 AM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Final bets: UFC FIGHT NIGHT 96: LINKER VS DODSON oct 1st

10 units on Nakamura @ 1.7 to win - 7 units
9 units on Louis Smolka inside distance @ 1.69/1.58/1.52/1.47 to win - 5 units
7.5 units on Hacran dias @ 1.57 to win - 4.2 units
6 units on Curtis Blaydes @ 1.50 to win - 3 units
0.6 units on Dos Santos tko @ 5.80 to win back - 3.1 unit

Event result: -24 units. I need to reconsider my strategy. Its bad luck in combo with faulty strategy.

**Beelzebubzy** · 10-02-16, 09:57 AM

Looks like someone maybe moving to the Beast soon.

**bjpenn85** · 10-02-16, 05:30 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Looks like someone maybe moving to the Beast soon.

Unsure of the meaning of that sentence. What goes for the result, i need to implement round 1 props for larger bet. Ill probably bounce back within a month time or month and a half.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 10-02-16, 05:57 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Unsure of the meaning of that sentence. What goes for the result, i need to implement round 1 props for larger bet. Ill probably bounce back within a month time or month and a half.

Prop hedging is the way to go!

**bjpenn85** · 10-03-16, 03:28 AM

Adding:

10 units on Gegard Mousasi, Rob Font @ 1.76 to win - 7.6 units

**TheCalculator** · 10-03-16, 10:50 AM

Originally posted by beelzebubzy

looks like someone maybe moving to the beast soon.

o beast alert!

**Beelzebubzy** · 10-03-16, 05:16 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Unsure of the meaning of that sentence. What goes for the result, i need to implement round 1 props for larger bet. Ill probably bounce back within a month time or month and a half.

Go to twitter homie. Don't be scared.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 10-03-16, 05:41 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Adding:

10 units on Gegard Mousasi, Rob Font @ 1.76 to win - 7.6 units

I like the bet but both opponents are live in R1 which is something to consider.