JoshKnows Ufc fn 83: Feb 21st

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  • JoshKnows46
    SBR MVP
    • 07-27-12
    • 3691

    #71
    If I have a live bet, I'll just post intial of fighter and number. Wish between rounds was 30 seconds longer, hard to make the bet and post on time.
    Comment
    • JoshKnows46
      SBR MVP
      • 07-27-12
      • 3691

      #72
      Originally posted by TPowell
      Going to go with your guy against Smith in this next fight for a unit or 2. Still steamed over the reneau fight. No way she lost the 1st and the 2nd was pretty clear too
      I agree man, I'm scared with these judges, that was horrible. Guim is a great bet, he wins by ko.
      Comment
      • TPowell
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-21-08
        • 18842

        #73
        What you think about taking Sarafian ITD for a hedge? You get both guys ITD. Sarafing ITD is -110 and we got Bamgbose at +245 ITD
        Comment
        • JoshKnows46
          SBR MVP
          • 07-27-12
          • 3691

          #74
          Originally posted by TPowell
          What you think about taking Sarafian ITD for a hedge? You get both guys ITD. Sarafing ITD is -110 and we got Bamgbose at +245 ITD
          I wouldn't hedge, but that would be the best hedge if you wanted to make one
          Comment
          • CaptChaos145
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 04-03-14
            • 588

            #75
            The Reneau decision was weak but I'm perplexed at 1 judge score the fight 29-27 for Smith? How did that happen? It's a 10 point must system. 1 judge had to score a round 9-9. There was not a 10-8 round in that fight.
            Thoughts?
            Comment
            • JoshKnows46
              SBR MVP
              • 07-27-12
              • 3691

              #76
              If you arb or hedge, do it at a diffrent book. Sports books hate that, and they will eventually put limits on ur account.
              Comment
              • TPowell
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-21-08
                • 18842

                #77
                Originally posted by JoshKnows46
                If you arb or hedge, do it at a diffrent book. Sports books hate that, and they will eventually put limits on ur account.
                too late lol. Surely 5 Dimes will be okay. Especially with less money
                Comment
                • JoshKnows46
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-27-12
                  • 3691

                  #78
                  This fight is gonna be fire works, possibly fight of the night If smith survives long enough.
                  Comment
                  • TPowell
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-21-08
                    • 18842

                    #79
                    Bamgbose/Sarafian is going to be electric too. Really don't see it making it out of the 1st round as the odds indicate (even money basically)
                    Comment
                    • JoshKnows46
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-27-12
                      • 3691

                      #80
                      Originally posted by TPowell
                      too late lol. Surely 5 Dimes will be okay. Especially with less money
                      Even if your losing, or on a losing streak, they still hate hedgers, always best to have a few books and bet a few future probs so they don't mark u as sharp, that's one thing they look for.
                      Comment
                      • JoshKnows46
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-27-12
                        • 3691

                        #81
                        Bet guim plus 430 for 100 after 2nd
                        Comment
                        • Shazzadude
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 11-28-12
                          • 443

                          #82
                          Smith fought a smart fight, he was going to get knocked out if he didn't go to ground so much.

                          Loss, but your instincts were still correct.
                          Comment
                          • CaptChaos145
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 04-03-14
                            • 588

                            #83
                            Originally posted by JoshKnows46
                            I see alot of guys on anthony smith, Guimares is very durable and smith is wild and doesnt have any striking defense, Guimares will take anything he has and walk through it till he KO's smith, probable late 2nd. Longer the fight goes more it favors guim as smith is on 4 days notice and is use to stopping guys early, cardio advantage, and durabilty will prove the victory, as both guys fight wild, and smith will eventually fall, have guim as the clear favorite here.
                            Assessment was on point.
                            Almost had Smith in the 2nd.
                            Comment
                            • capone1899
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-16-11
                              • 1054

                              #84
                              3rd was a 10-8. No doubt about it. Judges are complete morons
                              Comment
                              • Z-Fly
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 11-26-13
                                • 94

                                #85
                                Kicked him Sqaw in the Jaw!!
                                Comment
                                • jordanft19
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-12-15
                                  • 673

                                  #86
                                  Joshknows has to be the best MMA capper on here lol
                                  Comment
                                  • CaptChaos145
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 04-03-14
                                    • 588

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by CaptChaos145
                                    I'm absolutely loving Sarafian over Bamgbose. Sarafian is much more polished and has been battle tested... split losses to Dolloway and Cezar Ferreira. The only way Bamgbose wins is if he lands a big bomb. Bamgbose has not been out of the 1st round as a pro. His last loss was to Uriah Hall (hard to determine anything cause Hall is such a dynamic striker.) His 5 wins before the UFC were to local regional guys with a combined record of 9-12. At -200 for Sarafian is a steal.
                                    I still stand by my assessment. Lol
                                    Comment
                                    • Shazzadude
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 11-28-12
                                      • 443

                                      #88
                                      Originally posted by jordanft19
                                      Joshknows has to be the best MMA capper on here lol
                                      Possibly the best capper of a specialist sport.
                                      Comment
                                      • jordanft19
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 09-12-15
                                        • 673

                                        #89
                                        Cerrone dropped to -230 on some books. Worth adding a unit on him?
                                        Comment
                                        • TPowell
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-21-08
                                          • 18842

                                          #90
                                          Damn and my AO hedge is down to +850 after it was like +1250 a couple days ago.
                                          Comment
                                          • capone1899
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-16-11
                                            • 1054

                                            #91
                                            Originally posted by jordanft19
                                            Cerrone dropped to -230 on some books. Worth adding a unit on him?
                                            No. Probably a fix
                                            Comment
                                            • gym rat
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 01-25-07
                                              • 476

                                              #92
                                              I see Josh has $9700 on Cerrone with all parlays/props included. Good Luck!
                                              Comment
                                              • JIBBBY
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-10-09
                                                • 83686

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by capone1899
                                                No. Probably a fix
                                                Clueless...
                                                Comment
                                                • TPowell
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-21-08
                                                  • 18842

                                                  #94
                                                  I bet people got wind of Cerrone getting to the arena early to corner his friend and bet accordingly
                                                  Comment
                                                  • capone1899
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-16-11
                                                    • 1054

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                    Clueless...
                                                    Lol coming from the idiot who bet DADA because he thought it was fixed.

                                                    Mine was a joke....just like your predictions.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • latarianmilton
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 12-23-13
                                                      • 342

                                                      #96
                                                      Originally posted by TPowell
                                                      I bet people got wind of Cerrone getting to the arena early to corner his friend and bet accordingly
                                                      hmm what happened? why would it affect the odds?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TPowell
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-21-08
                                                        • 18842

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by latarianmilton
                                                        hmm what happened? why would it affect the odds?
                                                        Cowboy was out there ringside watching his guy fight. Could be a mental thing. Something he doesn't ever do. Just a thought
                                                        Comment
                                                        • latarianmilton
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 12-23-13
                                                          • 342

                                                          #98
                                                          Don't like this line movement, hedging with Oliveira round 1 at +1100 to cover 2 thirds of my bet.
                                                          Most likely i feel Oliveira will do good early and surprise Cerrone with takedowns but he will eventually slow and lose a decision/late stoppage.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TPowell
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-21-08
                                                            • 18842

                                                            #99
                                                            Originally posted by latarianmilton
                                                            Don't like this line movement, hedging with Oliveira round 1 at +1100 to cover 2 thirds of my bet.
                                                            Most likely i feel Oliveira will do good early and surprise Cerrone with takedowns but he will eventually slow and lose a decision/late stoppage.
                                                            great idea, I got +1275 or so a couple days ago. Wish I could find better than +875 right now and I might drop another half unit or so on it
                                                            Comment
                                                            • gym rat
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 01-25-07
                                                              • 476

                                                              #100
                                                              Time for Joe Riggs to exit UFC. First jab takes him out?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JIBBBY
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-10-09
                                                                • 83686

                                                                #101
                                                                Originally posted by capone1899
                                                                Lol coming from the idiot who bet DADA because he thought it was fixed.

                                                                Mine was a joke....just like your predictions.
                                                                Who's winning tonight me or you? Rookie... Dada fight was a joke.. Anything could have happened in that garbage.. Stop living in the past.. Stop trolling and post pending or get lost... You're a nobody on this forum..
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bjpenn85
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-17-11
                                                                  • 5059

                                                                  #102
                                                                  sweet
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • capone1899
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-16-11
                                                                    • 1054

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                    Who's winning tonight me or you? Rookie... Dada fight was a joke.. Anything could have happened in that garbage.. Stop living in the past.. Stop trolling and post pending or get lost... You're a nobody on this forum..
                                                                    LOL!! You have no idea what I bet donk. Only joke was you thinking it was fixed. Idiot
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JIBBBY
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-10-09
                                                                      • 83686

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Originally posted by capone1899
                                                                      LOL!! You have no idea what I bet donk. Only joke was you thinking it was fixed. Idiot
                                                                      Loser troll move on......
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Shazzadude
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 11-28-12
                                                                        • 443

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Come on Cerrone

                                                                        I'm nervous for you Josh with $9300 on the line, let's get that cash
                                                                        Comment
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