JoshKnows Ufc fn 83: Feb 21st

[JoshKnows46]

If I have a live bet, I'll just post intial of fighter and number. Wish between rounds was 30 seconds longer, hard to make the bet and post on time.

[JoshKnows46]

Going to go with your guy against Smith in this next fight for a unit or 2. Still steamed over the reneau fight. No way she lost the 1st and the 2nd was pretty clear too

I agree man, I'm scared with these judges, that was horrible. Guim is a great bet, he wins by ko.

[TPowell]

What you think about taking Sarafian ITD for a hedge? You get both guys ITD. Sarafing ITD is -110 and we got Bamgbose at +245 ITD

[JoshKnows46]

What you think about taking Sarafian ITD for a hedge? You get both guys ITD. Sarafing ITD is -110 and we got Bamgbose at +245 ITD

I wouldn't hedge, but that would be the best hedge if you wanted to make one

[CaptChaos145]

The Reneau decision was weak but I'm perplexed at 1 judge score the fight 29-27 for Smith? How did that happen? It's a 10 point must system. 1 judge had to score a round 9-9. There was not a 10-8 round in that fight.
Thoughts?

[JoshKnows46]

If you arb or hedge, do it at a diffrent book. Sports books hate that, and they will eventually put limits on ur account.

[TPowell]

If you arb or hedge, do it at a diffrent book. Sports books hate that, and they will eventually put limits on ur account.

too late lol. Surely 5 Dimes will be okay. Especially with less money

[JoshKnows46]

This fight is gonna be fire works, possibly fight of the night If smith survives long enough.

[TPowell]

Bamgbose/Sarafian is going to be electric too. Really don't see it making it out of the 1st round as the odds indicate (even money basically)

[JoshKnows46]

too late lol. Surely 5 Dimes will be okay. Especially with less money

Even if your losing, or on a losing streak, they still hate hedgers, always best to have a few books and bet a few future probs so they don't mark u as sharp, that's one thing they look for.

[JoshKnows46]

Bet guim plus 430 for 100 after 2nd

[Shazzadude]

Smith fought a smart fight, he was going to get knocked out if he didn't go to ground so much.

Loss, but your instincts were still correct.

[CaptChaos145]

I see alot of guys on anthony smith, Guimares is very durable and smith is wild and doesnt have any striking defense, Guimares will take anything he has and walk through it till he KO's smith, probable late 2nd. Longer the fight goes more it favors guim as smith is on 4 days notice and is use to stopping guys early, cardio advantage, and durabilty will prove the victory, as both guys fight wild, and smith will eventually fall, have guim as the clear favorite here.

Assessment was on point.
Almost had Smith in the 2nd.

[capone1899]

3rd was a 10-8. No doubt about it. Judges are complete morons

[Z-Fly]

Kicked him Sqaw in the Jaw!!

[jordanft19]

Joshknows has to be the best MMA capper on here lol

[CaptChaos145]

I'm absolutely loving Sarafian over Bamgbose. Sarafian is much more polished and has been battle tested... split losses to Dolloway and Cezar Ferreira. The only way Bamgbose wins is if he lands a big bomb. Bamgbose has not been out of the 1st round as a pro. His last loss was to Uriah Hall (hard to determine anything cause Hall is such a dynamic striker.) His 5 wins before the UFC were to local regional guys with a combined record of 9-12. At -200 for Sarafian is a steal.

I still stand by my assessment. Lol

[Shazzadude]

Joshknows has to be the best MMA capper on here lol

Possibly the best capper of a specialist sport.

[jordanft19]

Cerrone dropped to -230 on some books. Worth adding a unit on him?

[TPowell]

Damn and my AO hedge is down to +850 after it was like +1250 a couple days ago.

[capone1899]

Cerrone dropped to -230 on some books. Worth adding a unit on him?

No. Probably a fix

[gym rat]

I see Josh has $9700 on Cerrone with all parlays/props included. Good Luck!

[JIBBBY]

No. Probably a fix

Clueless...

[TPowell]

I bet people got wind of Cerrone getting to the arena early to corner his friend and bet accordingly

[capone1899]

Clueless...

Lol coming from the idiot who bet DADA because he thought it was fixed.

Mine was a joke....just like your predictions.

[latarianmilton]

I bet people got wind of Cerrone getting to the arena early to corner his friend and bet accordingly

hmm what happened? why would it affect the odds?

[TPowell]

hmm what happened? why would it affect the odds?

Cowboy was out there ringside watching his guy fight. Could be a mental thing. Something he doesn't ever do. Just a thought

[latarianmilton]

Don't like this line movement, hedging with Oliveira round 1 at +1100 to cover 2 thirds of my bet.
Most likely i feel Oliveira will do good early and surprise Cerrone with takedowns but he will eventually slow and lose a decision/late stoppage.

[TPowell]

Don't like this line movement, hedging with Oliveira round 1 at +1100 to cover 2 thirds of my bet.
Most likely i feel Oliveira will do good early and surprise Cerrone with takedowns but he will eventually slow and lose a decision/late stoppage.

great idea, I got +1275 or so a couple days ago. Wish I could find better than +875 right now and I might drop another half unit or so on it

[gym rat]

Time for Joe Riggs to exit UFC. First jab takes him out?

[JIBBBY]

Lol coming from the idiot who bet DADA because he thought it was fixed.

Mine was a joke....just like your predictions.

Who's winning tonight me or you? Rookie... Dada fight was a joke.. Anything could have happened in that garbage.. Stop living in the past.. Stop trolling and post pending or get lost... You're a nobody on this forum..

[bjpenn85]

sweet

[capone1899]

Who's winning tonight me or you? Rookie... Dada fight was a joke.. Anything could have happened in that garbage.. Stop living in the past.. Stop trolling and post pending or get lost... You're a nobody on this forum..

LOL!! You have no idea what I bet donk. Only joke was you thinking it was fixed. Idiot

[JIBBBY]

LOL!! You have no idea what I bet donk. Only joke was you thinking it was fixed. Idiot

Loser troll move on......

[Shazzadude]

Come on Cerrone

I'm nervous for you Josh with $9300 on the line, let's get that cash