Realization About MMA Gambling..

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  • Tommy Blingshyne
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-11-12
    • 821

    #141
    Originally posted by rosietop
    Jon should have not been a bigger favorite, keep in mind Glover injured his shoulder in the first round so this would have affected the fight for sure. Jon only deserved to be that much of a favorite if he performed like he did against chael sonnen.

    Luke Rockhold was a great bet, yes even at those odds, that is how a huge favorite should win, this is what I am saying.
    jones absolutely should have been a bigger favorite...its not a matter of opinion...he destroyed glover bell to bell...glover was prob the biggest sucker bet on the card...now im not necessarily saying he should have been -1000 or more like he was vs sonnen (he should have been -5000 vs sonenn) but at -440 (i believe that was the closing line), the value was all on jones...you cant tell me after watching that fight, you feel the +380 price tag on glover was money well spent...cmon now, bones was very easily the play w/o question
    Comment
    • Sykes
      SBR MVP
      • 06-23-12
      • 2714

      #142
      What do uz think he will be with Gus? He was impressive v Glover.
      Comment
      • rosietop
        SBR High Roller
        • 09-08-13
        • 200

        #143
        Originally posted by Sykes
        What do uz think he will be with Gus? He was impressive v Glover.
        Jones should be about -200 against Gus, what do you think?

        and Tommy Blingshy I still disagree with you brah, like I said you need to consider Glovers shoulder injury in the first round. Before that point Glover was throwing bombs anything could have happened, to put it into perspective, Rockhold injured his toe but still dominated that is how a huge favorite should have fought like.
        Comment
        • TheCalculator
          SBR MVP
          • 10-10-11
          • 1683

          #144
          What about Cormier vs. Jones? What do you guys the line should be?
          Comment
          • latarianmilton
            SBR Sharp
            • 12-23-13
            • 342

            #145
            JONES only -200 vs gus? idk maybe it will be like silva sonnen 2, silva was around - 250 or something
            Comment
            • NunyaBidness
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 07-26-09
              • 9345

              #146
              Originally posted by TheCalculator
              What about Cormier vs. Jones? What do you guys the line should be?
              What it should be and what it will be are very different. Not that I think much is to be gained by talking about lines before they come out.
              Comment
              • Beelzebubzy
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-06-11
                • 6995

                #147
                Originally posted by rosietop
                Jones should be about -200 against Gus, what do you think?

                and Tommy Blingshy I still disagree with you brah, like I said you need to consider Glovers shoulder injury in the first round. Before that point Glover was throwing bombs anything could have happened, to put it into perspective, Rockhold injured his toe but still dominated that is how a huge favorite should have fought like.
                Odessa released a line for Jones vs Gus already and it was taken down. Junkie did an article on it.
                Comment
                • marzwoody
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-03-14
                  • 3902

                  #148
                  Lines, lines, lines ya'll must have a cocaine addiction, crack ain't no joke yo
                  Comment
                  • TheCalculator
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-10-11
                    • 1683

                    #149
                    Originally posted by NunyaBidness
                    What it should be and what it will be are very different. Not that I think much is to be gained by talking about lines before they come out.
                    You've never been so fawkin right.
                    Comment
                    • Tommy Blingshyne
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-11-12
                      • 821

                      #150
                      Originally posted by rosietop
                      Jones should be about -200 against Gus, what do you think?

                      and Tommy Blingshy I still disagree with you brah, like I said you need to consider Glovers shoulder injury in the first round. Before that point Glover was throwing bombs anything could have happened, to put it into perspective, Rockhold injured his toe but still dominated that is how a huge favorite should have fought like.
                      nah, i dont have to consider glovers injury...bones is just far better then glover...i dont know what else to say...if you think glover was the right side, youre just flat out wrong...its really not a matter of opinion...its fact...fight proved it...
                      Comment
                      • rosietop
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 09-08-13
                        • 200

                        #151
                        Originally posted by Tommy Blingshyne
                        nah, i dont have to consider glovers injury...bones is just far better then glover...i dont know what else to say...if you think glover was the right side, youre just flat out wrong...its really not a matter of opinion...its fact...fight proved it...
                        So you think an injury has no affect on a fight? Gambling is all about understanding what is random and what is not, so it is easier to predict future events. A shoulder injury would have been a considerable disadvantage for a power puncher like Glover.

                        Unfortunately with your arguments Its hard not to categorise you into the long term loser group.

                        I never said Glover was the right side, only that Jones was definitely not worth his odds straight up. The sharp side was clearly the fight going the distance or Jones via decision. But people aren't sharp enough to bet these things (Well I was)
                        Comment
                        • rosietop
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 09-08-13
                          • 200

                          #152
                          Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                          Odessa released a line for Jones vs Gus already and it was taken down. Junkie did an article on it.
                          The reason I said Jones should be -200 is because Unibet had him at those odds
                          Comment
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