Hunt +320 vs. JDS is a steal.
UFC 158 predictions, tail for a winning night
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Rubber GuardSBR MVP
- 06-22-11
- 1550
#36Comment -
The FobfatherSBR High Roller
- 01-25-12
- 156
#38Laid a hundo on it. If it gets significantly better, probably put more on it.Comment -
VaughanySBR Aristocracy
- 03-07-10
- 45563
#39unfortunately it's gonna be 2am over here when this game starts so im gonna be asleep! Im arbing out with the Tigres +115 line so got a risk free play on Seattle to win 50 squid. Got a couple biggish plays tomorrow that Im more confident in and dont wanna be going in to them with a minus figure cos Seattle shiit the bed!Comment -
gabeSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-12-11
- 7405
#40Worth the juice for a straight play but would rather use him in parlaysComment -
Rubber GuardSBR MVP
- 06-22-11
- 1550
#41I was thinking the opposite. If the public is any bit behind Hunt like I think it is.
But I'll take your word over mine on the subject.
If JDS chooses to stand...always has thus far....how he seems like he loves boxing and offense.....how he is Brazilian, it is basically a pickem fight. Maybe JDS slightly because of his movement, long punches, and speed. Even if JDS wants to wrestle, I think Hunt proved his is capable of some sort of escape or or stuffing a TD or 2.Comment -
Jesus ChristSBR Wise Guy
- 05-25-11
- 935
#42Good luck Gabe...Comment -
VaughanySBR Aristocracy
- 03-07-10
- 45563
#44Ca$$$h it cuzin! Seattle win 3-1. Got lucky tho as they were 1-0 down and then Tigres had a player sent-off on stroke of half-time.Comment -
gabeSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-12-11
- 7405
#45Adding parlay
Marquardt +145
+
Dillashaw -520
and thinking about
Marquardt +145
+
Cruickshank -170Comment -
Dwil125SBR MVP
- 11-08-12
- 2048
#48Im just hoping dillashaw doesnt take one of tamura's shots flush, the guy hits really hard for a bantamweight. I think thats the only way issei can winComment -
gabeSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-12-11
- 7405
#49Johny Hendricks via 3rd Round KO
Wait til before fight time to get best odds on him, will probably end up the dog at +120Comment -
HannibalSBR MVP
- 05-15-11
- 1055
#50
hendricks has a way of catching guys while they're still cold, but if they make it out of the first round, they generally go the distance
not to mention condit gets stronger as the fight progresses, and has one of the best ability to take shots and recover. I think hendricks on the other hand slows down, and loses his effectiveness after guys get a good read on his ability to close distance and land with his short arms
If you like hendricks its either 1st rd KO or decisionComment -
gabeSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-12-11
- 7405
#51I think if he loses at least 1 of the first 2 rounds, he will come out desperately looking to finish. don't fock wid a texan who puts his mind to somethin, yo.
i don't think he will start the fight looking for a finish.Comment -
HannibalSBR MVP
- 05-15-11
- 1055
#52unless you have some inside information.. i dont think its wise to predict that a fighter will fight outside of his character
my assessment is based on evidence shown in all his previous outings
what are your basing your theory on? i think its dangerous make predictions on a fighter's mentality such as "i think he's more motivated than usual for this fight", or "i think he's gonna want to knock him out right away", or "i think he's going to try to sit back and not go for the knockout until later"Comment -
VaughanySBR Aristocracy
- 03-07-10
- 45563
#53Hendricks KO'ing Condit in third round when he'll probably be tired...ambitious!Comment -
HannibalSBR MVP
- 05-15-11
- 1055
#54I should probably stay away from this one..
I have a bad read on condit. I've faded him against diaz, mcdonald, kim, ellenberger and got burned on them all
something about condit vibes with me the wrong way... maybe its his tiny pink nipples, or the fact that he talks in such a deep voice that it seems incredibly forced. Like he's trying so hard to exude manliness with his scruffy beard and the voice sounds like a teenager trying to impersonate a tough guy.
I know you love him though, VComment -
Rubber GuardSBR MVP
- 06-22-11
- 1550
#55
And you have to think this has a good chance of staying standing. JDS likes to bang and put on a show. Even if he takes Hunt down it is no promise Hunt is in grave danger.
I think the line is ridiculous.Comment -
Rubber GuardSBR MVP
- 06-22-11
- 1550
#56Hendricks said he believes a grinding win still gets him a title shot. And it basically has too. I think if things aren't going his way he will defiantly look for a TD or a wall grind.Comment -
VaughanySBR Aristocracy
- 03-07-10
- 45563
#57I should probably stay away from this one..
I have a bad read on condit. I've faded him against diaz, mcdonald, kim, ellenberger and got burned on them all
something about condit vibes with me the wrong way... maybe its his tiny pink nipples, or the fact that he talks in such a deep voice that it seems incredibly forced. Like he's trying so hard to exude manliness with his scruffy beard and the voice sounds like a teenager trying to impersonate a tough guy.
I know you love him though, VComment -
HannibalSBR MVP
- 05-15-11
- 1055
#58must be the nipplesComment -
GigaOutsSBR Wise Guy
- 01-02-12
- 527
-
Jesus ChristSBR Wise Guy
- 05-25-11
- 935
#61
Glad to hear it was a minor loss and not 5.5gsComment -
GigaOutsSBR Wise Guy
- 01-02-12
- 527
#62Nah man this weekend is gonna be the first UFC event I've bet since 156 I believe...but yea that result was mad disappointing to see..that was a weird fight for Struve I don't think I've ever seen him gas that badly..gotta give it to Hunt dude hits like a penetrating mac truck.
Glad to hear it was a minor loss and not 5.5gs
Anyway hope you are back bigger and better, and find those nice underdog play again.
My lock picks(most confidence) this weekend is:
1.3g+ on Chris Camozzi at +105
1.2g+ on Johny Hendricks at -120 (not too confidence in the 3rd round, likely hedge down to $500)Comment -
SacreliciousSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-29-12
- 5984
#63Best of luck Gabe, I'm only with you on one bet, but I'm only fading you on one or two. Here is to a winning night for both of usComment -
gabeSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-12-11
- 7405
#64unless you have some inside information.. i dont think its wise to predict that a fighter will fight outside of his character
my assessment is based on evidence shown in all his previous outings
what are your basing your theory on? i think its dangerous make predictions on a fighter's mentality such as "i think he's more motivated than usual for this fight", or "i think he's gonna want to knock him out right away", or "i think he's going to try to sit back and not go for the knockout until later"
I don't think it was Hendricks game plan to KO Fitch and Kampmann right away, it just happened. He was expecting a 3 round war with both.Comment -
pouyasophySBR MVP
- 01-11-13
- 1665
#65Comment -
VaughanySBR Aristocracy
- 03-07-10
- 45563
#66Not just the gas part is weird but trying to win by sub when he gas so badly. He could have easily won if he just ride the top position like GSP instead of give up position for the submission. Maybe he really need the submission of the night bonus or something.
Anyway hope you are back bigger and better, and find those nice underdog play again.
My lock picks(most confidence) this weekend is:
1.3g+ on Chris Camozzi at +105
1.2g+ on Jony Hendricks at -120 (not too confidence in the 3rd round, likely hedge down to $500)Comment -
gabeSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-12-11
- 7405
#67he's still one of the youngest fighters in the ufc... and crazy that his career might be over.Comment -
GigaOutsSBR Wise Guy
- 01-02-12
- 527
#68Fighter like Tito and GSP take top position working GnP as long as they can without looking to finish make the most $$$ in mma. Dana want exciting fight, yet he paid most $$$ to boring fighters....oh the irony.
UFC should change their pay scale for all fighters.
30% to fight, 50% to win, 100% to finish!
So for new fighter: $8,000 to fight, $13,500 to win, $25,000 to finish!
This format UFC would be way more exciting, who entertain the fan deserve more $$$.Comment -
gabeSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-12-11
- 7405
#69Adding
George Roop +115 small play
My main plays remain Dillashaw, Cruickshank, Mein, and ElkinsComment -
gabeSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-12-11
- 7405
#702-0 start, sons.Comment
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