UFC 158 predictions, tail for a winning night

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  • gabe
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-12-11
    • 7405

    #1
    UFC 158 predictions, tail for a winning night
    Cruickshank -185
    Dillashaw -530
    Story -420
    Mein -270 (Mein by Decision prop)
    Elkins -245 (Elkins by Decision prop)
    Diaz +400 (ITD +475)

    5 winners and a gamble.

    Parlay BIG:
    Cruickshank
    Dillashaw
    Mein

    Good luck
  • Beelzebubzy
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-06-11
    • 6995

    #2
    Best of luck gabe

    im guessing the Diaz play is a little biased as he is a Cali guy whoe blazes
    Comment
    • Sacrelicious
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-29-12
      • 5984

      #3
      Odd plays...

      I absolutely wish you the best of luck though, please dont lose your shirt....again...
      Comment
      • Grabaka
        SBR MVP
        • 02-19-11
        • 3216

        #4
        Good Luck Couzin!
        Its too conservative for me. But GL nonetheless
        Comment
        • Grabaka
          SBR MVP
          • 02-19-11
          • 3216

          #5
          Its almost like GSP made your betslip.

          But we can celebrate when Diaz rapes him.



          209 Baby!
          Comment
          • gabe
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-12-11
            • 7405

            #6
            Originally posted by Sacrelicious
            Odd plays...

            I absolutely wish you the best of luck though, please dont lose your shirt....again...
            what's odd about 'em?


            also, i got mein at much better odds, i posted lines as they were at the moment of my post
            Comment
            • gabe
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-12-11
              • 7405

              #7
              Originally posted by Grabaka
              Its almost like GSP made your betslip.

              But we can celebrate when Diaz rapes him.



              209 Baby!
              lol i dont get it
              Comment
              • gabe
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-12-11
                • 7405

                #8
                Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                Best of luck gabe

                im guessing the Diaz play is a little biased as he is a Cali guy whoe blazes
                I think he should be +200 so it's a value play
                Comment
                • Beelzebubzy
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 06-06-11
                  • 6995

                  #9
                  Originally posted by gabe
                  lol i dont get it
                  He is saying you played high faves
                  Comment
                  • Grabaka
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-19-11
                    • 3216

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                    He is saying you played high faves
                    Yeah Gabes....i thought you were the kind of guy who goes out and fight the bookie....not hug him out and grind him until some profit falls out of his pocket.
                    Comment
                    • Sacrelicious
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-29-12
                      • 5984

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Grabaka
                      Yeah Gabes....i thought you were the kind of guy who goes out and fight the bookie....not hug him out and grind him until some profit falls out of his pocket.
                      This +1.
                      Comment
                      • Beelzebubzy
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 06-06-11
                        • 6995

                        #12
                        Cousins-winkleVaughn MMA
                        Comment
                        • Grabaka
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-19-11
                          • 3216

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                          Cousins-winkleVaughn MMA
                          Comment
                          • Rubber Guard
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-22-11
                            • 1550

                            #14
                            winnerz iz winnerz
                            Comment
                            • gabe
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-12-11
                              • 7405

                              #15
                              I didn't say bet 5 units on Dillashaw straight up. I gave you who the winners will be in my opinion. If you're smart, you'll throw Dillashaw in parlays, like the 3 teamer I suggested.
                              Comment
                              • gabe
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-12-11
                                • 7405

                                #16
                                I love underdogs as much as the next guy, there have been cards where most my plays were dogs, but this is a card for the favs to come through.
                                Comment
                                • gabe
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-12-11
                                  • 7405

                                  #17
                                  Sacre, you know your food, but the fact that you thought there was value in Miller at +140 is laughable lol you became happy as a pig in sh*t when he became +190 and took him right away.... he'll probably get better than +200 but it doesn't matter, a low ranked dude who isn't 100% focused on fighting isn't going to beat a top prospect who is completely focused for his first fight in the biggest promotion.
                                  Comment
                                  • Grabaka
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-19-11
                                    • 3216

                                    #18
                                    I thought you had a sense of humor. Go grind your local.
                                    Comment
                                    • gabe
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-12-11
                                      • 7405

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Grabaka
                                      I thought you had a sense of humor. Go grind your local.
                                      Guess I don't, what Bubzy said is the only thing I found to be funny in this thread
                                      Comment
                                      • Grabaka
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-19-11
                                        • 3216

                                        #20
                                        ok
                                        Comment
                                        • gabe
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-12-11
                                          • 7405

                                          #21
                                          yeah, alright your hugging bookie line was funny , too, perro.
                                          Comment
                                          • gabe
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-12-11
                                            • 7405

                                            #22
                                            You gonna treat me to some dime piece wh0res when I visit Mehico?
                                            Comment
                                            • Vaughany
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 03-07-10
                                              • 45563

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                              Cousins-winkleVaughn MMA
                                              haha
                                              Comment
                                              • Vaughany
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 03-07-10
                                                • 45563

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by gabe
                                                I didn't say bet 5 units on Dillashaw straight up. I gave you who the winners will be in my opinion. If you're smart, you'll throw Dillashaw in parlays, like the 3 teamer I suggested.
                                                Where you at Nunya?! (Diaz voice again)
                                                Comment
                                                • Grabaka
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-19-11
                                                  • 3216

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by gabe
                                                  yeah, alright your hugging bookie line was funny , too, perro.
                                                  Originally posted by gabe
                                                  You gonna treat me to some dime piece wh0res when I visit Mehico?
                                                  <br>
                                                  <br>



                                                  Sure thing my man!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Vaughany
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 03-07-10
                                                    • 45563

                                                    #26
                                                    Talkin of Mexico....Tigres away at Seattle Sounders tonight in th ol soccerrrr...Tigres putting out a reserve team, I've got maxi-bets on Seattle flying out my ass at the moment! Know much about Tigres Grab?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Grabaka
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-19-11
                                                      • 3216

                                                      #27
                                                      Here my contact says its tough. Tigres is #1 team in mex and he fiinds it hard to believe Tigres will "drop" the game by playing with the reserve team. But hes not that great.
                                                      How sure are you they putting out a reserve team?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Beelzebubzy
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 06-06-11
                                                        • 6995

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by gabe
                                                        Guess I don't, what Bubzy said is the only thing I found to be funny in this thread
                                                        R'spek
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Hannibal
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-15-11
                                                          • 1055

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by gabe
                                                          I didn't say bet 5 units on Dillashaw straight up. I gave you who the winners will be in my opinion. If you're smart, you'll throw Dillashaw in parlays, like the 3 teamer I suggested.

                                                          Agree with Dillashaw. Just pay the juice, he doesnt lose here. He can come in on his worse day and still out work this guy. Dillashaw is a top prospect with strong wrestling. Tamura is a B-league'r; I cant see him staying around for long.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Vaughany
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 03-07-10
                                                            • 45563

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Grabaka
                                                            Here my contact says its tough. Tigres is #1 team in mex and he fiinds it hard to believe Tigres will "drop" the game by playing with the reserve team. But hes not that great.
                                                            How sure are you they putting out a reserve team?
                                                            well theyve only travelled to Seattle with 2 players that played in the 1st leg when they won 1-0 in Monterrey.

                                                            This is their squad...I think Pulido (16 appearances 3 goals) and Hernandez (19 apps, 2 goals) are the only two that feature regularly in league. But their reserves might be just as good as Seattle's first team! Like Bornstein has only played twice but he was one of the best wingbacks in the MLS. But it's also an artificial turf and the weather isnt great I imagine in Seattle at this time of year. I got Seattle draw-no bet (money back if draw) at -105 with intention of arbing out for a risk free play as I expected Tigres draw-no-bet to end up at +120 or something considering weaker lineup and away from home. But it's only at +106 currently
                                                            Tigres squad: Jorge Díaz de León(second gk 0/0), Aarón Fernández(third gk 0/0), José Rivas(df 13/0), Alonso Zamora(df 2/0), Hugo Rodríguez(df 0/0), Manuel Viniegra(mf 15/1), Jesús Dueñas(mf 25/0), Elías Hernández(mf 19/2), Jonathan Bornstein(mf 2/0), Alan Pulido(att 16/3), Abraham Stringel(df 0/0), Alberto Acosta(mf 10/3),Taufic Guarch(att 4/0),Jorge Espericueta(mf 0/0), Josué Aguilar(mf 0/0) y Martín Reyes(df 0/0)

                                                            only 2 first team players in squad,but probably they will start match from bench,so Tigres with totaly reserve team!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Grabaka
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-19-11
                                                              • 3216

                                                              #31
                                                              Well, sounds like you got a good deal there. Really my guy is dumb and i just dont watch soccer anymore. So you are better off without me. Im recruiting a new guy now tho. I must know someone good at this.

                                                              BTW im gonna tail you....fuuukkk etttttt!!!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Grabaka
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-19-11
                                                                • 3216

                                                                #32
                                                                You played them drawnobet i guess....whta price?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Vaughany
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 03-07-10
                                                                  • 45563

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Grabaka
                                                                  You played them drawnobet i guess....whta price?
                                                                  yeah draw no bet because Tigres will be happy with a draw as they won 1-0 in first leg and Im not convinced that Seattle can score goals with just Eddie Johnson up front. I got it at -105. The last time they played a Mexican team at home was almost exactly a year ago in March against Santos Laguna and Seattle won 2-1 and Santos had a strong team out so that bodes well! Tigres PK is at +112 now on pinnacle so line is slowly starting to move like I expected which is re-assuring!

                                                                  I think the smarter play might actually be Under 2.5 goals tho at -133 and probably regret not takin tht! Although Seattle's last 8 games (before the Tigres game) in the competition have gone Over 2.5 goals.
                                                                  Last edited by Vaughany; 03-12-13, 06:15 PM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Vaughany
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 03-07-10
                                                                    • 45563

                                                                    #34
                                                                    its annoying tht Seattle havnt signed Obafemi Martins in time for the game either, they really need a striker and he could be the best striker in the MLS. He signed on Monday but isnt travelling to America until tomorrow I think
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Imsmarterthanu
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-02-12
                                                                      • 1878

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by gabe
                                                                      Cruickshank -185
                                                                      Dillashaw -530
                                                                      Story -420
                                                                      Mein -270 (Mein by Decision prop)
                                                                      Elkins -245 (Elkins by Decision prop)
                                                                      Diaz +400 (ITD +475)

                                                                      5 winners and a gamble.

                                                                      Parlay BIG:
                                                                      Cruickshank
                                                                      Dillashaw
                                                                      Mein

                                                                      Good luck
                                                                      Quoted for the record
                                                                      Comment
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