Jake's MMA Picks

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  • MD
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-31-12
    • 9728

    #106
    Good work man. Very consistent.
    Comment
    • MMAbetMASTA
      SBR MVP
      • 05-24-11
      • 1931

      #107
      Nice wins man, just looked through your recent thread... I like that you mainly play str8 bets and keep it simple with teh plays.. I try to do the same although I haven't had your luck as of late. And its nice you don't retro post or claim to be saved by live betting when all initial picks go to hell, like so many on here do...!! Looking forward to checking out your plays tomorrow, hopefully we'll be on similar... Peace.
      Comment
      • jakejd82
        SBR Sharp
        • 04-08-12
        • 411

        #108
        Originally posted by MMAbetMASTA
        Nice wins man, just looked through your recent thread... I like that you mainly play str8 bets and keep it simple with teh plays.. I try to do the same although I haven't had your luck as of late. And its nice you don't retro post or claim to be saved by live betting when all initial picks go to hell, like so many on here do...!! Looking forward to checking out your plays tomorrow, hopefully we'll be on similar... Peace.
        Thanks Brotha, I appreciate the kind words. Like I said in the beginning of the thread I dont think I have an advantage over the bookie, I just love mma and it makes it even better throwing some cash on the fights. I more wanted to use this thread to just document my own plays (as I have not done in the past) and use it as a spring board for discussions with other mma enthusiast. I will be posting my picks for the day shortly.... Cheers
        Comment
        • jakejd82
          SBR Sharp
          • 04-08-12
          • 411

          #109
          Originally posted by MD
          Good work man. Very consistent.
          Thanks MD ! I know it hasnt been alot of cards that I have been posting but this tends to be what I do, have a string of pretty good cards and then just hit the wall and lose almost every single bet a card... Hope its not today !
          Comment
          • jakejd82
            SBR Sharp
            • 04-08-12
            • 411

            #110
            Well it has been a nice litte run on the last three bellator cards. Im hoping to keep it going for this UFC card which should be very entertaining. I am extremely disappointed in the cancellation of the Gustafson vs. Moussasi fight as I was really looking forward to the battle and I was one of the few who seemed to think it was going to be close. When Moussasi is on he is VERY tough to beat. I really thought there was alot of value on this card with the early lines but almost every single fighter that I originally like had the lines go in the wrong direction. I guess I really need to start placing my bets when I see that a line is good, most of the times it is fairly predictable which way the line will move. Anyways, on to the fights !

            UFC on Fuel 9
            Abedi -120 1.2 units to win 1 unit
            Lawlor -168 1.68 units to win 1 unit
            LaFlare -230 2.3 units to win 1 unit
            McGregor -155 1.55 units to win 1 unit
            Spang +165 1 unit to win 1.65 units
            Troeng -230 2.3 units to win 1 unit
            Johnson -220 2.2 units to win 1 units
            Brandao -210 2.1 units to win 1 unit
            Pickett -170 3.4 units to win 2 units
            DeFries +280 .5 units to win 1.4 units

            alot of chalk boys but I think there is value. Should be a fun and exciting card, good luck everyone !



            Bellator 95: +3.25 units
            Bellator 94: +2.6 units
            WSOF 2: -.25 Units
            Bellator 93: +2.7 Units
            UFC 158: -2.75 Units
            Bellator 92: -.95 Units

            UFC on Fuel 8: +6.2 Units
            Overall: +10.8 Units


            Comment
            • jakejd82
              SBR Sharp
              • 04-08-12
              • 411

              #111
              adding
              Pearson -3.5 -125 1.25 units to win 1 unit.

              Good luck gentlemen... Good card so far. What a comeback from Madadi. Thats one of those bets I dont mind losing
              Comment
              • Vaughany
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 03-07-10
                • 45563

                #112
                Could see Couture gettin at least one round like Assuncao did
                Comment
                • jakejd82
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 04-08-12
                  • 411

                  #113
                  Originally posted by Vaughany
                  Could see Couture gettin at least one round like Assuncao did
                  I would not be completely surprised. Couture has some underrated stand up and a shit ton of heart. I just have a feeling that this will be fairly onesided, with Pearson probably finishing or at least controlling the better part of all three rounds. Good luck on your picks Vaughany
                  Comment
                  • Ron_Paul_2012
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-31-13
                    • 3953

                    #114
                    Originally posted by jakejd82
                    Thanks man! I just try to be rational, doesn't seem to be the norm around here.
                    That's why he's called Mentally Diseased. Although I prefer Mentally Disabled.
                    Comment
                    • jakejd82
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 04-08-12
                      • 411

                      #115
                      I was way off on this one. Couture looked great in first Round. Hoping for a finish now
                      Comment
                      • jakejd82
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 04-08-12
                        • 411

                        #116
                        Very nice card. Hope everyone had a good one ! Unfortunately I will be in China for business for next weeks card. I should be able to watch it though as it will be on Sunday morning. Really looking forward to that card !

                        UFC on Fuel 9
                        Abedi -120 1.2 units to win 1 unit +1 unit
                        Lawlor -168 1.68 units to win 1 unit
                        +1 unit
                        LaFlare -230 2.3 units to win 1 unit
                        +1 unit
                        McGregor -155 1.55 units to win 1 unit
                        +1 unit
                        Spang +165 1 unit to win 1.65 units -1 unit
                        Troeng -230 2.3 units to win 1 unit +1 unit
                        Johnson -220 2.2 units to win 1 units -2.2 units
                        Brandao -210 2.1 units to win 1 unit +1 unit
                        Pickett -170 3.4 units to win 2 units +2 units
                        DeFries +280 .5 units to win 1.4 units -.5 units
                        Pearson -3.5 -125 1.25 units to win 1 unit +1 unit

                        UFC on Fuel 9: +5.3 units
                        Bellator 95: +3.25 units
                        Bellator 94: +2.6 units
                        WSOF 2: -.25 Units
                        Bellator 93: +2.7 Units
                        UFC 158: -2.75 Units
                        Bellator 92: -.95 Units

                        UFC on Fuel 8: +6.2 Units
                        Overall: +16.1 Units
                        Comment
                        • Vaughany
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 03-07-10
                          • 45563

                          #117
                          Good work my man

                          Hey Dana....5.3 units babayyyyyy..hhahaa!
                          Comment
                          • jakejd82
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 04-08-12
                            • 411

                            #118
                            Thanks vaughany !

                            Gentlemen, the alma mater is in the finals! GO BLUE !
                            Comment
                            • jamt31
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-08-12
                              • 554

                              #119
                              Comment
                              • Grabaka
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-19-11
                                • 3216

                                #120
                                Originally posted by jakejd82
                                Thanks vaughany !

                                Gentlemen, the alma mater is in the finals! GO BLUE !
                                What the hell are you talking about brah?

                                Congrats Jake
                                Comment
                                • jakejd82
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 04-08-12
                                  • 411

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by Grabaka
                                  What the hell are you talking about brah?

                                  Congrats Jake
                                  LOL, I may have had a few too many drinks last night. Thanks brotha, its been a nice little run ive been on !
                                  Comment
                                  • jakejd82
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 04-08-12
                                    • 411

                                    #122
                                    Greetings from China ! Im here on business and hating every second (besides the people, they are awesome). Ate some shitty pork the other night and was glued to the toilet for about 24 hours.... was not fun. Note to self, DONT EAT MEAT IN CHINA... Lesson learned. Anywho, on to the predictions. Luckily I will be able to watch the card as long as my internet connection holds, if anyone has any recommendations for sites it would be greatly appreciated. I normally use firstrowsports but sometimes have trouble with it. Should be a pretty entertaining card, as this was the first season of TUF that I have watched in a couple of years.

                                    Pineda +100. 1 Units to win 1 unit
                                    Blanco -215. 2.15 Units to win 1 unit
                                    Palaszewski -150. 1.5 Units to win 1 unit
                                    Marunde +140. 1 Unit to win 1.4 units
                                    Quinlan +110. 1 Unit to win 1.1 unit
                                    Barnatt -110. 1.1 Unit to win 1 unit
                                    Browne -240. 4.8 units to win 2 units
                                    Tate +120. .5 units to win .6 units
                                    Gastelum +320. .5 units to win 1.6 units
                                    Faber -450. 4.5 units to win 1 unit

                                    I almost never pay that much juice, I just dont see a way that Jorgensen wins this fight. You know what Faber is going to bring to the table and I just dont see a way that Scotty wins this one. I think Hall is EXTREMELY overrated. I think people get way too excited about flashy KO's and they forget about other factors in a fight.... Like a complete lack of take down defense. I dont have alot of faith in Gastelum or else this would be a much larger wager. Uriah probably wins it but at this price its Gastelum or nothing.

                                    Good Luck Fellas! and once again if there is any good virus free website to stream the fights I would appreciate it...

                                    UFC on Fuel 9: +5.3 units
                                    Bellator 95: +3.25 units
                                    Bellator 94: +2.6 units
                                    WSOF 2: -.25 Units
                                    Bellator 93: +2.7 Units
                                    UFC 158: -2.75 Units
                                    Bellator 92: -.95 Units

                                    UFC on Fuel 8: +6.2 Units
                                    Overall: +16.1 Units
                                    Comment
                                    • Vaughany
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 03-07-10
                                      • 45563

                                      #123
                                      ha probably wasnt pork brah! GL with your plays tonight

                                      Comment
                                      • Vaughany
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 03-07-10
                                        • 45563

                                        #124
                                        nutjob.eu as alternative to firstrow
                                        Comment
                                        • brokenbrain
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 05-13-12
                                          • 138

                                          #125
                                          Or Vipbox.tv
                                          Comment
                                          • NunyaBidness
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 07-26-09
                                            • 9345

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by Vaughany
                                            nutjob.eu as alternative to firstrow
                                            Keep trying, but you ain't tricking me into looking at that gay porn.
                                            Comment
                                            • jakejd82
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 04-08-12
                                              • 411

                                              #127
                                              Originally posted by brokenbrain
                                              Or Vipbox.tv
                                              Originally posted by Vaughany
                                              nutjob.eu as alternative to firstrow
                                              Cheers Guys ! I feel much safer having 2 backup sites !



                                              Originally posted by NunyaBidness
                                              Keep trying, but you ain't tricking me into looking at that gay porn.
                                              LOL, would be hard to explain that on my work computer.

                                              Well guys its 430 am. Watching Verlander pitch a few innings and getting ready for the fights. Is it too early to crack open a beer ?
                                              Comment
                                              • Sacrelicious
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 11-29-12
                                                • 5984

                                                #128
                                                Best of luck jake, several solid plays there, but I think Tate gets ruined tonight.
                                                Comment
                                                • Hannibal
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-15-11
                                                  • 1055

                                                  #129
                                                  where in china are you for business??
                                                  i would stay away from the chicken bro... bird flu
                                                  think most of the world's pork is produced in china, they have access to the cheapest and freshest pigs
                                                  dont think it was the meat that got you, probably traveler's diarrhea you got from the water


                                                  crack a beer now, you'll need it
                                                  need to stay awake for another hour
                                                  try a Tsingtao, that is my favorite chinese beer
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jakejd82
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 04-08-12
                                                    • 411

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by Sacrelicious
                                                    Best of luck jake, several solid plays there, but I think Tate gets ruined tonight.
                                                    I think that is the consensus on here. Im a big fan of Zingano, actually rolled with her husband Mauricio. I really hope she wins, although I wouldnt mind looking at Tate for the entire TUF season. I think this fight is very close to a pick em, so ill take the + money. Good luck buddy, hope its a profitable night
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Vaughany
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 03-07-10
                                                      • 45563

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by NunyaBidness
                                                      Keep trying, but you ain't tricking me into looking at that gay porn.
                                                      ha yeah, it does sound potentially dirty
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jakejd82
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 04-08-12
                                                        • 411

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by Hannibal
                                                        where in china are you for business??
                                                        i would stay away from the chicken bro... bird flu
                                                        think most of the world's pork is produced in china, they have access to the cheapest and freshest pigs
                                                        dont think it was the meat that got you, probably traveler's diarrhea you got from the water


                                                        crack a beer now, you'll need it
                                                        need to stay awake for another hour
                                                        try a Tsingtao, that is my favorite chinese beer
                                                        Staying at Holiday INN in Songjiang, Shanghai. Its a surprisingly nice hotel, stayed here back in November as well. Im not actually sure what it was that got me sick but all I know is these pork dumplings that were like 6 rnb ($1) for 8 were the last thing I ate and the first thing that came back up. My first day I got here I bought two cases of bottled water from walmart.

                                                        You mean one of these guys.
                                                        Click image for larger version

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                                                        Comment
                                                        • Sacrelicious
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 11-29-12
                                                          • 5984

                                                          #133
                                                          Tsingtao is awesome.

                                                          PBR is better.

                                                          But one has to make do with what is available.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Hannibal
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-15-11
                                                            • 1055

                                                            #134
                                                            nice!
                                                            so what are you going to eat for the rest of your stay haha?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Hannibal
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-15-11
                                                              • 1055

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by Sacrelicious
                                                              Tsingtao is awesome.

                                                              PBR is better.

                                                              But one has to make do with what is available.
                                                              PBR?
                                                              there is a growing hipster scene in the kitchens
                                                              lots of young chefs with slicked back hair, and colorful tattoos on their forearms
                                                              haha do you fit the bill?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Sacrelicious
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 11-29-12
                                                                • 5984

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by Hannibal
                                                                PBR?
                                                                there is a growing hipster scene in the kitchens
                                                                lots of young chefs with slicked back hair, and colorful tattoos on their forearms
                                                                haha do you fit the bill?
                                                                Nah, I keep my head shaved.

                                                                I just like cheap beer because sous chef's get terrible pay.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Vaughany
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 03-07-10
                                                                  • 45563

                                                                  #137
                                                                  cats
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jakejd82
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 04-08-12
                                                                    • 411

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by Hannibal
                                                                    nice!
                                                                    so what are you going to eat for the rest of your stay haha?
                                                                    Alot of fruit and vegetables. Luckily I came prepared with 6 boxes of granola bars and 6 bags of trail mix.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Sacrelicious
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 11-29-12
                                                                      • 5984

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                                      cats
                                                                      Its better then meat encased in puff pastry, you fockin brits!

                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • MD
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 01-31-12
                                                                        • 9728

                                                                        #140
                                                                        I'm actually having steak and kidney pie tonight for dinner. Gonna be siiiiick.
                                                                        Comment
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