Jake's MMA Picks

[MD]

Good work man. Very consistent.

[MMAbetMASTA]

Nice wins man, just looked through your recent thread... I like that you mainly play str8 bets and keep it simple with teh plays.. I try to do the same although I haven't had your luck as of late. And its nice you don't retro post or claim to be saved by live betting when all initial picks go to hell, like so many on here do...!! Looking forward to checking out your plays tomorrow, hopefully we'll be on similar... Peace.

[jakejd82]

Nice wins man, just looked through your recent thread... I like that you mainly play str8 bets and keep it simple with teh plays.. I try to do the same although I haven't had your luck as of late. And its nice you don't retro post or claim to be saved by live betting when all initial picks go to hell, like so many on here do...!! Looking forward to checking out your plays tomorrow, hopefully we'll be on similar... Peace.

Thanks Brotha, I appreciate the kind words. Like I said in the beginning of the thread I dont think I have an advantage over the bookie, I just love mma and it makes it even better throwing some cash on the fights. I more wanted to use this thread to just document my own plays (as I have not done in the past) and use it as a spring board for discussions with other mma enthusiast. I will be posting my picks for the day shortly.... Cheers

[jakejd82]

Good work man. Very consistent.

Thanks MD ! I know it hasnt been alot of cards that I have been posting but this tends to be what I do, have a string of pretty good cards and then just hit the wall and lose almost every single bet a card... Hope its not today !

[jakejd82]

Well it has been a nice litte run on the last three bellator cards. Im hoping to keep it going for this UFC card which should be very entertaining. I am extremely disappointed in the cancellation of the Gustafson vs. Moussasi fight as I was really looking forward to the battle and I was one of the few who seemed to think it was going to be close. When Moussasi is on he is VERY tough to beat. I really thought there was alot of value on this card with the early lines but almost every single fighter that I originally like had the lines go in the wrong direction. I guess I really need to start placing my bets when I see that a line is good, most of the times it is fairly predictable which way the line will move. Anyways, on to the fights !

UFC on Fuel 9
Abedi -120 1.2 units to win 1 unit
Lawlor -168 1.68 units to win 1 unit
LaFlare -230 2.3 units to win 1 unit
McGregor -155 1.55 units to win 1 unit
Spang +165 1 unit to win 1.65 units
Troeng -230 2.3 units to win 1 unit
Johnson -220 2.2 units to win 1 units
Brandao -210 2.1 units to win 1 unit
Pickett -170 3.4 units to win 2 units
DeFries +280 .5 units to win 1.4 units

alot of chalk boys but I think there is value. Should be a fun and exciting card, good luck everyone !


Bellator 95: +3.25 units
Bellator 94: +2.6 units
WSOF 2: -.25 Units
Bellator 93: +2.7 Units
UFC 158: -2.75 Units
Bellator 92: -.95 Units
UFC on Fuel 8: +6.2 Units
Overall: +10.8 Units

[jakejd82]

adding
Pearson -3.5 -125 1.25 units to win 1 unit.

Good luck gentlemen... Good card so far. What a comeback from Madadi. Thats one of those bets I dont mind losing

[Vaughany]

Could see Couture gettin at least one round like Assuncao did

[jakejd82]

Could see Couture gettin at least one round like Assuncao did

I would not be completely surprised. Couture has some underrated stand up and a shit ton of heart. I just have a feeling that this will be fairly onesided, with Pearson probably finishing or at least controlling the better part of all three rounds. Good luck on your picks Vaughany

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Thanks man! I just try to be rational, doesn't seem to be the norm around here.

That's why he's called Mentally Diseased. Although I prefer Mentally Disabled.

[jakejd82]

I was way off on this one. Couture looked great in first Round. Hoping for a finish now

[jakejd82]

Very nice card. Hope everyone had a good one ! Unfortunately I will be in China for business for next weeks card. I should be able to watch it though as it will be on Sunday morning. Really looking forward to that card !

UFC on Fuel 9
Abedi -120 1.2 units to win 1 unit +1 unit
Lawlor -168 1.68 units to win 1 unit +1 unit
LaFlare -230 2.3 units to win 1 unit +1 unit
McGregor -155 1.55 units to win 1 unit +1 unit
Spang +165 1 unit to win 1.65 units -1 unit
Troeng -230 2.3 units to win 1 unit +1 unit
Johnson -220 2.2 units to win 1 units -2.2 units
Brandao -210 2.1 units to win 1 unit +1 unit
Pickett -170 3.4 units to win 2 units +2 units
DeFries +280 .5 units to win 1.4 units -.5 units
Pearson -3.5 -125 1.25 units to win 1 unit +1 unit

UFC on Fuel 9: +5.3 units
Bellator 95: +3.25 units
Bellator 94: +2.6 units
WSOF 2: -.25 Units
Bellator 93: +2.7 Units
UFC 158: -2.75 Units
Bellator 92: -.95 Units
UFC on Fuel 8: +6.2 Units
Overall: +16.1 Units

[Vaughany]

Good work my man

Hey Dana....5.3 units babayyyyyy..hhahaa!

[jakejd82]

Thanks vaughany !

Gentlemen, the alma mater is in the finals! GO BLUE !

[jamt31]

[Grabaka]

Thanks vaughany !

Gentlemen, the alma mater is in the finals! GO BLUE !

What the hell are you talking about brah?

Congrats Jake

[jakejd82]

What the hell are you talking about brah?

Congrats Jake

LOL, I may have had a few too many drinks last night. Thanks brotha, its been a nice little run ive been on !

[jakejd82]

Greetings from China ! Im here on business and hating every second (besides the people, they are awesome). Ate some shitty pork the other night and was glued to the toilet for about 24 hours.... was not fun. Note to self, DONT EAT MEAT IN CHINA... Lesson learned. Anywho, on to the predictions. Luckily I will be able to watch the card as long as my internet connection holds, if anyone has any recommendations for sites it would be greatly appreciated. I normally use firstrowsports but sometimes have trouble with it. Should be a pretty entertaining card, as this was the first season of TUF that I have watched in a couple of years.

Pineda +100. 1 Units to win 1 unit
Blanco -215. 2.15 Units to win 1 unit
Palaszewski -150. 1.5 Units to win 1 unit
Marunde +140. 1 Unit to win 1.4 units
Quinlan +110. 1 Unit to win 1.1 unit
Barnatt -110. 1.1 Unit to win 1 unit
Browne -240. 4.8 units to win 2 units
Tate +120. .5 units to win .6 units
Gastelum +320. .5 units to win 1.6 units
Faber -450. 4.5 units to win 1 unit

I almost never pay that much juice, I just dont see a way that Jorgensen wins this fight. You know what Faber is going to bring to the table and I just dont see a way that Scotty wins this one. I think Hall is EXTREMELY overrated. I think people get way too excited about flashy KO's and they forget about other factors in a fight.... Like a complete lack of take down defense. I dont have alot of faith in Gastelum or else this would be a much larger wager. Uriah probably wins it but at this price its Gastelum or nothing.

Good Luck Fellas! and once again if there is any good virus free website to stream the fights I would appreciate it...

UFC on Fuel 9: +5.3 units
Bellator 95: +3.25 units
Bellator 94: +2.6 units
WSOF 2: -.25 Units
Bellator 93: +2.7 Units
UFC 158: -2.75 Units
Bellator 92: -.95 Units
UFC on Fuel 8: +6.2 Units
Overall: +16.1 Units

[Vaughany]

ha probably wasnt pork brah! GL with your plays tonight

[Vaughany]

nutjob.eu as alternative to firstrow

[brokenbrain]

Or Vipbox.tv

[NunyaBidness]

nutjob.eu as alternative to firstrow

Keep trying, but you ain't tricking me into looking at that gay porn.

[jakejd82]

Or Vipbox.tv

nutjob.eu as alternative to firstrow

Cheers Guys ! I feel much safer having 2 backup sites !

Keep trying, but you ain't tricking me into looking at that gay porn.

LOL, would be hard to explain that on my work computer.

Well guys its 430 am. Watching Verlander pitch a few innings and getting ready for the fights. Is it too early to crack open a beer ?

[Sacrelicious]

Best of luck jake, several solid plays there, but I think Tate gets ruined tonight.

[Hannibal]

where in china are you for business??
i would stay away from the chicken bro... bird flu
think most of the world's pork is produced in china, they have access to the cheapest and freshest pigs
dont think it was the meat that got you, probably traveler's diarrhea you got from the water


crack a beer now, you'll need it
need to stay awake for another hour
try a Tsingtao, that is my favorite chinese beer

[jakejd82]

Best of luck jake, several solid plays there, but I think Tate gets ruined tonight.

I think that is the consensus on here. Im a big fan of Zingano, actually rolled with her husband Mauricio. I really hope she wins, although I wouldnt mind looking at Tate for the entire TUF season. I think this fight is very close to a pick em, so ill take the + money. Good luck buddy, hope its a profitable night

[Vaughany]

Keep trying, but you ain't tricking me into looking at that gay porn.

ha yeah, it does sound potentially dirty

[jakejd82]

where in china are you for business??
i would stay away from the chicken bro... bird flu
think most of the world's pork is produced in china, they have access to the cheapest and freshest pigs
dont think it was the meat that got you, probably traveler's diarrhea you got from the water


crack a beer now, you'll need it
need to stay awake for another hour
try a Tsingtao, that is my favorite chinese beer

Staying at Holiday INN in Songjiang, Shanghai. Its a surprisingly nice hotel, stayed here back in November as well. Im not actually sure what it was that got me sick but all I know is these pork dumplings that were like 6 rnb ($1) for 8 were the last thing I ate and the first thing that came back up. My first day I got here I bought two cases of bottled water from walmart.

You mean one of these guys.

[Sacrelicious]

Tsingtao is awesome.

PBR is better.

But one has to make do with what is available.

[Hannibal]

nice!
so what are you going to eat for the rest of your stay haha?

[Hannibal]

Tsingtao is awesome.

PBR is better.

But one has to make do with what is available.

PBR?
there is a growing hipster scene in the kitchens
lots of young chefs with slicked back hair, and colorful tattoos on their forearms
haha do you fit the bill?

[Sacrelicious]

PBR?
there is a growing hipster scene in the kitchens
lots of young chefs with slicked back hair, and colorful tattoos on their forearms
haha do you fit the bill?

Nah, I keep my head shaved.

I just like cheap beer because sous chef's get terrible pay.

[Vaughany]

cats

[jakejd82]

nice!
so what are you going to eat for the rest of your stay haha?

Alot of fruit and vegetables. Luckily I came prepared with 6 boxes of granola bars and 6 bags of trail mix.

[Sacrelicious]

cats

Its better then meat encased in puff pastry, you fockin brits!

[MD]

I'm actually having steak and kidney pie tonight for dinner. Gonna be siiiiick.