Dwils mma thread

**NunyaBidness** · 11-08-12, 01:38 PM

Turn ons? Turn offs?

**PunisherIND** · 11-08-12, 01:43 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Hello everyone, I'm new to sbr as a poster but I have been lurking here for a few months to see which plays people were contemplating. A few posters I have followed and learned a few things from are Jc, vaughany, Punisher (mainly with his props), Bj85, and BigDay. I have been thinking about joining and starting my own thread for awhile now, I am now done thinking. Feel Free to comment and criticise my plays anytime.

Quick things about me:
Im an ammy mma fighter/college student my older brother is a proffesional. Ive had the opportunity to train with a handful of ufc fighters, and I feel this gives me an advantage when betting on or against them; especially when they are part of my team. I started betting mma seriously at Ufc on Fox 2 which I attended.

good stuff man. looking forward to your thoughts.

**Dwil125** · 11-08-12, 01:43 PM

Lol. How should plays be posted, screenshots or just copy and pasting the ticket number/amount?

**NunyaBidness** · 11-08-12, 01:49 PM

It doesn't matter as long as you post them before the event, not after.

**PunisherIND** · 11-08-12, 01:50 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Lol. How should plays be posted, screenshots or just copy and pasting the ticket number/amount?

i dont think it should be an issue as long as your posting before the event.

one thing that i would suggest is putting all your picks into one thread rather than make a separate thread for each event.

**Vaughany** · 11-08-12, 01:57 PM

Welcome to the cerebral world my man...let's make this fun and give us some clues so that we can spend hours trying to figure out which pro your brother is from looking on sherdog!?

**Dwil125** · 11-08-12, 02:06 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

i dont think it should be an issue as long as your posting before the event.

one thing that i would suggest is putting all your picks into one thread rather than make a separate thread for each event.

That is what I was planning to do with this thread, I have Rich Franklin to complete a bunch of small parlays to win about 1.5u

140585170-1	10/15/12 6:10pm	$30.00	$47.02	Pending	2 Team Parlay
				Win	10/21/12 1:00pm NFL Football 423 Green Bay Packers -5 -110* vs St. Louis Rams
				Pending	11/10/12 9:00pm UFC Fighting 1002 Rich Franklin -290* vs Cung Le

140249095-1	10/13/12 11:46pm	$4.82	$2.74	Pending	2 Team Parlay
				Pending	11/10/12 9:00pm UFC Fighting 1002 Rich Franklin -290* vs Cung Le
				Win	10/13/12 11:59pm Props Fighting 1042 Silva points handicap -3½ -600* vs Bonnar points handicap

139616096-1	10/10/12 3:59pm	$10.00	$23.12	Pending	3 Team Parlay
				Win	10/13/12 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1202 Glover Teixeira -400* vs Fabio Maldonado
				Win	10/13/12 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1925 Chris Camozzi -105* vs Luiz Cané
				Pending	11/10/12 9:00pm UFC Fighting 1002 Rich Franklin -280* vs Cung Le

139536925-1	10/9/12 4:45pm	$14.08	$11.00	Pending	2 Team Parlay
				Pending	11/9/12 9:00pm UFC Fighting 1002 Rich Franklin -280* vs Cung Le
				Win	10/13/12 11:59pm Props Fighting 1009 Silva wins inside distance -320* vs Not Silva inside distance

141686908-1	10/22/12 1:09am	$16.85	$53.96	Pending	4 Team Parlay
				Win	10/22/12 8:40pm NFL Football 438 Chicago Bears -3 -178* vs Detroit Lions
				Win	10/28/12 1:00pm NFL Football 219 New England Patriots -6½ -110* vs St. Louis Rams
				Pending	11/10/12 10:15am UFC Fighting 1002 Rich Franklin -300* vs Cung Le
				Pending	11/17/12 11:30pm Props Fighting 1008 Not Condit by 5 round decision -1753* vs Condit wins by 5 round decision

I also have Cung Le Itd for like $15 tw 95 parlayed with a pats -500 win already, If frankling somehow loses ill still profit .25u

**bjpenn85** · 11-08-12, 02:09 PM

Yes. Welcome welcome.

**Dwil125** · 11-08-12, 02:11 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Welcome to the cerebral world my man...let's make this fun and give us some clues so that we can spend hours trying to figure out which pro your brother is from looking on sherdog!?

Hes way to new for that it would take to long lol. http://www.mixedmartialarts.com/f/C9...Phil-Williams/

**Dwil125** · 11-08-12, 02:13 PM

Mac Danzig -175 to win 0.5 u I caught the opener.

141410207-1

10/21/12
2:50am

$40.00

$42.40

Pending

3 Team Parlay

Win

10/21/12
4:25pm NFL Football 432 New England Patriots -550* vs New York Jets

Pending

11/10/12
10:15am UFC Fighting 1302
Mac Danzig -175* vs Takanori Gomi

Pending

11/10/12
9:00pm Props Fighting 1008
Not Le by 5 round decision -915* vs Le wins by 5 round
decision

142906782-1	10/28/12 8:25pm	$7.00	$7.96	Pending	2 Team Parlay
				Win	10/28/12 8:30pm NFL Football 242 Denver Broncos -2½ -193* vs New Orleans Saints
				Pending	11/10/12 10:15am UFC Fighting 1302 Mac Danzig -245* vs Takanori Gomi

**BIGDAY** · 11-08-12, 02:34 PM

WooHoooooo!!!

Kick ass pal.

Welcome to SBR!!!

Franklin going to Cash for ya,

**BIGDAY** · 11-08-12, 02:35 PM

Oh, and we need your height, weight, and rooster size.

**Vaughany** · 11-08-12, 02:39 PM

Originally posted by BIGDAY

Oh, and we need your height, weight, and rooster size.

If you feel that info is too personal then just rooster size will do.

**PunisherIND** · 11-08-12, 02:45 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

If you feel that info is too personal then just rooster size will do.

**NunyaBidness** · 11-08-12, 02:54 PM

Infrared imaging preferred.

**Dwil125** · 11-08-12, 03:09 PM

Haha

maybe I should of signed up sooner. Do you guys do this to all new posters or is it just me?

**Dwil125** · 11-08-12, 03:12 PM

Pending

144493225-1	11/7/12 2:16am	$30.00	$84.81	Pending	3 Team Parlay
				Pending	11/10/12 11:30am UFC Fighting 1002 Rich Franklin -310* vs Cung Le
				Pending	11/10/12 9:30am UFC Fighting 1401 Motonobu Tezuka +155* vs Alex Caceres
				Pending	11/17/12 11:30pm Props Fighting 1008 Not Condit by 5 round decision -742* vs Condit wins by 5 round decision

**Vaughany** · 11-08-12, 03:16 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Haha

maybe I should of signed up sooner. Do you guys do this to all new posters or is it just me?

Nope, standard procedure

**cheeese** · 11-08-12, 03:20 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Haha

maybe I should of signed up sooner. Do you guys do this to all new posters or is it just me?

Stop dodging the rooster questions.

**PunisherIND** · 11-08-12, 03:27 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Pending

144493225-1	11/7/12 2:16am	$30.00	$84.81	Pending	3 Team Parlay
				Pending	11/10/12 11:30am UFC Fighting 1002 Rich Franklin -310* vs Cung Le
				Pending	11/10/12 9:30am UFC Fighting 1401 Motonobu Tezuka +155* vs Alex Caceres
				Pending	11/17/12 11:30pm Props Fighting 1008 Not Condit by 5 round decision -742* vs Condit wins by 5 round decision

how do you see tezuka vs caceres playing out?

**Dwil125** · 11-08-12, 03:27 PM

I will be doing a write up of my next play tonight, It will be on Moto against Bruce Leroy. Moto was in the states training at my gym for the entire month of october preparing for a fight in pancrase. He left on Monday the 29th to travel back to nagano Japan, then it was later announced that he would be fighting alex c. I will probably add more on this play later.

144475625-1

11/6/12
11:08pm

$100.00

$150.00

Pending

11/10/12
9:30am UFC Fighting 1401
Motonobu Tezuka +150* vs Alex Caceres

**Vaughany** · 11-08-12, 03:35 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Hes way to new for that it would take to long lol. http://www.mixedmartialarts.com/f/C9...Phil-Williams/

Ah right cool! So I take it your David Williams, and your brother is going to be avenging your amateur loss to Andre Feliciano?

**NunyaBidness** · 11-08-12, 03:49 PM

Nice trackdown job Vaughany.

David, would you fight Chandler Blades at a catchweight? What if you had to travel to bumfukk, Iowa for it?

**Dwil125** · 11-08-12, 03:55 PM

Yep thats correct V, I'm surprised you found that lol. I actually wanted that rematch before any of my team mates got the fight but it was offered to my bro. I can message you a link to the fight if you want to see it, that should cover the height and the weight you guys were talking about

**Dwil125** · 11-08-12, 03:59 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

Nice trackdown job Vaughany.

David, would you fight Chandler Blades at a catchweight? What if you had to travel to bumfukk, Iowa for it?

My coaches wouldnt travel that far for an ammy fight so I wouldnt do it. Im about done fighting amateur anyway, all the local guys my weight are declining to fight me.

**Dwil125** · 11-08-12, 04:00 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

how do you see tezuka vs caceres playing out?

Im going to do a full write up later tonight that will explain.

**PunisherIND** · 11-08-12, 04:04 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Im going to do a full write up later tonight that will explain.

thanks dave, look forward to it bud.

**Vaughany** · 11-08-12, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Yep thats correct V, I'm surprised you found that lol. I actually wanted that rematch before any of my team mates got the fight but it was offered to my bro. I can message you a link to the fight if you want to see it, that should cover the height and the weight you guys were talking about

ha nice one! Yeah that would be cool...I saw a clip of your fight in this:

**Vaughany** · 11-08-12, 04:11 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

Nice trackdown job Vaughany.

David, would you fight Chandler Blades at a catchweight? What if you had to travel to bumfukk, Iowa for it?

lol Chandler Blades is the People's Champ...as well as BackYard MMA CHamp!

**kripsak** · 11-08-12, 06:23 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

I will be doing a write up of my next play tonight, It will be on Moto against Bruce Leroy. Moto was in the states training at my gym for the entire month of october preparing for a fight in pancrase. He left on Monday the 29th to travel back to nagano Japan, then it was later announced that he would be fighting alex c. I will probably add more on this play later.

144475625-1

11/6/12
11:08pm

$100.00

$150.00

Pending

11/10/12
9:30am UFC Fighting 1401
Motonobu Tezuka +150* vs Alex Caceres

Most of the guy's I follow on youtube are picking Alex Caceres, and at first glance I thought it was a solid pick. Until I finally had some free time at work, watched a few videos of Motonobu. He definitely looks strong enough to rock Alex, and he's very strong on the ground with a wiley ground game. Motonobu is a good dog pick, will definitely follow this thread for the write up. TIA

**bjpenn85** · 11-08-12, 07:19 PM

Not the worst underdog pick in the world, but the caceres reach advantage alone is enough to ruin tezuka chances. Also pretty slick on the ground.

**Dwil125** · 11-08-12, 11:48 PM

Moto was in the states training at my gym for the entire month of october preparing for a fight in pancrase, shortly after he left he was called to replace the injured kyung ho kang at ufc on fuel 6. Caceres has been impressive since dropping down to 135 pounds his loss to figueroa should have been a win if not for the two point deduction. Caceres is a rangy southpaw at 5'10 with a long 73 inc reach, Moto is also a southpaw (so no advantage to either there) but is around 5'7.5 with a shorter reach. I believe moto is the more techinical striker after having sparred with him multiple times, however Bruce leroy reach/height should give him an edge in Striking. Neither fighter has much stopping power in there hands so I do not see Moto getting into trouble on the feet. Slight advantage: Caceres

On the ground I believe moto will have a big advantage over Caceres who does not have the best take down defense. Moto is a legit brown belt with a stifling top game he is also suprisingly strong when I grappled with him I felt like i could not move and I was submitted often. If moto can stay out of caceres guard to avoid his triangle/armbar combinations and work takedowns to half guard or side control I believe he has a shot at finishing caceres on the ground by sub. The wrestling advantage goes to moto, along with an edge in bjj.

Some other factors are alex never traveling or fighting outside of the United States,(besides the obv struggle of with the time change its also hard to find the right foods that you want in different countries) and switching camps to the mma lab with ben henderson. Another factor is Moto being in shape leading up to the fight and being able to work with bellator fw champ pat curran (5'10 striker) while in the states. I would cap motto at about -115 so ill add more on the +190 on 5D.

If moto stays out of caceres guard, and is agressive with his takedowns (which he was all of october) then I see him negating the reach disadvantage and putting alex on his back for 2 rounds to win a decision 29-28 across the board. Heres a group picture with moto in it after we finished training together, Pat Curran is there also

**kripsak** · 11-08-12, 11:56 PM

That's one thing I'll be watching on the weigh-ins, get a little better comparison of their size difference. Hopefully Tezuka lied about the physical portion of his fighter profile, and he's taller than indicated

**Beelzebubzy** · 11-08-12, 11:56 PM

Originally posted by Dwil125

Moto was in the states training at my gym for the entire month of october preparing for a fight in pancrase, shortly after he left he was called to replace the injured kyung ho kang at ufc on fuel 6. Caceres has been impressive since dropping down to 135 pounds his loss to figueroa should have been a win if not for the two point deduction. Caceres is a rangy southpaw at 5'10 with a long 73 inc reach, Moto is also a southpaw (so no advantage to either there) but is around 5'7.5 with a shorter reach. I believe moto is the more techinical striker after having sparred with him multiple times, however Bruce leroy reach/height should give him an edge in Striking. Neither fighter has much stopping power in there hands so I do not see Moto getting into trouble on the feet. Slight advantage: Caceres

On the ground I believe moto will have a big advantage over Caceres who does not have the best take down defense. Moto is a legit brown belt with a stifling top game he is also suprisingly strong when I grappled with him I felt like i could not move and I was submitted often. If moto can stay out of caceres guard to avoid his triangle/armbar combinatios and work takedowns to half guard or side control I believe he has a shot at finishing caceres on the ground by sub. The wrestling advantage goes to moto, along with an edge in bjj.

Some other factors are alex never traveling or fighting outside of the United States,(besides the obv struggle of with the time change its also hard to find the right foods that you want in different countries) and switching camps to the mma lab with ben henderson. Another factor is Moto being in shape leading up to the fight and being able to work with bellator fw champ pat curran (5'10 striker) while in the states. I would cap motto at about -115 so ill add more on the +190 on 5D.

If moto stays out of caceres guard, and is agressive with his takedowns (which he was all of october) then I see him negating the reach disadvantage and putting alex on his back for 2 rounds to win a decision 29-28 across the board. Heres a group picture with moto in it after we finished training together, Pat Curran is there also
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You might get a Lesson on Kelly after one of your comments there

but you seem like a decent kid best of luck good sir

hope you make some squid