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  • Love The Action
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-08-10
    • 10952

    #211
    Originally posted by Love The Action
    No play on cubs under...big over ump and the phils are hitting righties too well right now...pass on that one.

    I am thinking about adding a unit to the dodgers under and still have the brewers on my radar. GL...
    Damn...I actually wanted to take the Brewers but I was playing with the baby and didn't get it in on time

    I bet that one cashes now for sure...
    Comment
    • mtcook21
      SBR Sharp
      • 05-01-11
      • 304

      #212
      What u think about the LAD under? Adding to it?
      Comment
      • Redscot
        SBR MVP
        • 05-16-11
        • 2571

        #213
        Originally posted by Love The Action
        That's an awesome story...thanks for sharing. I can't imagine what a cool thrill that was for your son.

        That's also an awesome story because it gives us some insight into Colon's offseason. Instead of drinking beer and eating doughnuts like we thought, he was actually training pretty hard and working on getting better. That definitely changes my thoughts about Colon somewhat. However, I do remember his days in Chicago where his work ethic was questionable.

        Colon is having a great year, and like I said earlier, it's not luck. His BABIP and LOB% are right at the average. He's just pitching well and perhaps someone we should give more deference.

        Anyway, thanks for the story...pretty cool.
        , remember he does have his last shot at a decent contract now too! Contract year anyone! I could go on, but I don't like to dish dirt, keepin' it positive .
        Comment
        • italianbandit
          SBR MVP
          • 05-17-11
          • 2622

          #214
          No fog at Att park, sunny.
          Comment
          • Redscot
            SBR MVP
            • 05-16-11
            • 2571

            #215
            On another note, anyone seen the Reds sticks?! WTF!? Morton and McDonald. Wow! Good for Pitt.

            .
            Comment
            • Love The Action
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-08-10
              • 10952

              #216
              Originally posted by mtcook21
              What u think about the LAD under? Adding to it?
              Yes. Posting now with a little writeup...
              Comment
              • mtcook21
                SBR Sharp
                • 05-01-11
                • 304

                #217
                What do u think about the U 3.5 for the fist five in the LAD game ? Ever play those?
                Comment
                • Love The Action
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-08-10
                  • 10952

                  #218
                  Originally posted by Love The Action
                  MLB 7/19/11

                  Play #1

                  Padres/Marlins under (7)(+100) 3x (Locked)

                  Play #2

                  Nationals -1 RL (0.75x ML (-145) and 0.75x -1.5RL (+115))

                  Play #3

                  Dodgers/Giants under (6.5)(-105) 1.5x (Locked)
                  Added 1x for total of 2.5x Dodgers/Giants under (6.5) (1.5x (-105) and 1x (-110))

                  We have a huge under ump tonight in this game. Plus Baumgarner is just awesome with top 20 MLB stuff in FIP (ranked #4 MLB actually), xFIP and tERA. De La Rosa is young pup that is highly regarded in the Dodgers system and has performed well so far. He is top 60 in FIP, xFIP and tERA. Most importantly, both pitchers throw a ton of ground balls with GB/FB's over 1.5. Finally, the Dodgers are on a huge under streak right now, are hitting poorly (BA under.200 in last ten games) and are facing Baumgarner. Therefore, I'm rolling with the under here for 2.5x. Good luck!
                  Comment
                  • JR007
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-21-10
                    • 5279

                    #219
                    tailing..both team totals juiced under nicely
                    Comment
                    • gshock1
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 12-04-09
                      • 5366

                      #220
                      Good work. Any leans on Rangers / Halos?
                      Comment
                      • Love The Action
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-08-10
                        • 10952

                        #221
                        Originally posted by mtcook21
                        What do u think about the U 3.5 for the fist five in the LAD game ? Ever play those?
                        I generally don't play 5 inning lines. I feel there is too much fluctuation and if you take a good bullpen out of the equation you are actually lessening your odds at winning. The Dodgers have a top 15 bullpen, while the Giants are top 5, so I see no reason to worry about the extra innings blowing the under. Just my opinion though, so good luck if you play it
                        Comment
                        • Love The Action
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-08-10
                          • 10952

                          #222
                          Originally posted by gshock1
                          Good work. Any leans on Rangers / Halos?
                          I lean Rangers, big time. Ogando dominates Chatwood in most stats. However, I have a sinking suspicion this is a bit of a classic "trap" (and I hate using that term) game and no play for me. No lean on the total in that one. It's hard to take unders with Texas and it's hard to take overs with Angels.
                          Comment
                          • Love The Action
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-08-10
                            • 10952

                            #223
                            Originally posted by JR007
                            tailing..both team totals juiced under nicely
                            Comment
                            • gshock1
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-04-09
                              • 5366

                              #224
                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                              I lean Rangers, big time. Ogando dominates Chatwood in most stats. However, I have a sinking suspicion this is a bit of a classic "trap" (and I hate using that term) game and no play for me. No lean on the total in that one. It's hard to take unders with Texas and it's hard to take overs with Angels.
                              thanks! Took the Angels. GL on your total.
                              Comment
                              • Love The Action
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-08-10
                                • 10952

                                #225
                                Originally posted by Love The Action
                                We have two plays so far that are looking real good according to the line movement.

                                He are my remaining leans:

                                Brewers ML (tough to bet on gallardo right now though)

                                Cubs under (heat big factor)

                                BoSox over (not at 10.5 though)

                                Indians ML (tough to take the tribe against a decent lefty and to win again after yesterday)

                                Dodgers/SF under (looking good right now)

                                Rockies ML (jiminez better at home lately)

                                Good luck...I will post any further plays as I make them...
                                Boy...it's days like this I hate trying to be more selective because we potentially could have made a killing today. We already cashed the Marlins under, and the except for the Boston over, it's looking like all of those other leans have a pretty good chance of cashing at this point.

                                Oh well, let's just get this Dodgers under and hope the Nats can come back for a big day.
                                Comment
                                • Love The Action
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-08-10
                                  • 10952

                                  #226
                                  Originally posted by gshock1
                                  thanks! Took the Angels. GL on your total.
                                  Cool...good luck. I'm rooting for you, let's go Angels
                                  Comment
                                  • Love The Action
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-08-10
                                    • 10952

                                    #227
                                    Damn...Baumgarner gave up three runs in the top of the 3rd...the under is cooked. Plus, Zimmerman struggled in his start to the Astros and the Nats are about to lose. Sucks

                                    When you add that to the fact that all six or whatever of my posted leans cashed, I am just a bit frustrated. Time to close the computer, not look at this crap for the rest of the night. Great day, turned into a crap day in the matter of 20 minutes.
                                    Comment
                                    • Redscot
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-16-11
                                      • 2571

                                      #228
                                      Originally posted by Love The Action
                                      Damn...Baumgarner gave up three runs in the top of the 3rd...the under is cooked. Plus, Zimmerman struggled in his start to the Astros and the Nats are about to lose. Sucks

                                      When you add that to the fact that all six or whatever of my posted leans cashed, I am just a bit frustrated. Time to close the computer, not look at this crap for the rest of the night. Great day, turned into a crap day in the matter of 20 minutes.

                                      Yeah man, one of those days. I had my worst day this season. Good thing about bases though is there is plenty to dive into today and put yesterday behind us. GL today man let's get that green.
                                      Comment
                                      • Love The Action
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-08-10
                                        • 10952

                                        #229
                                        Originally posted by Redscot
                                        Yeah man, one of those days. I had my worst day this season. Good thing about bases though is there is plenty to dive into today and put yesterday behind us. GL today man let's get that green.
                                        That's it bud...gotta stay positive and just know what I am capable of, what I have proven over a large sample size and that I will end up highly profitable before the seasons are over. Between WNBA and MLB, I just can't put it both together in July. I've gone from a high in profits exceeding +50x in MLB, to a low of around +23x now, all just in July. In WNBA, I went from a profit of +15x, to a couple of units down, all just in July. If I am profitable in one, I lose in the other, or I just do not win in either. It's crazy. I have never experienced such a tough month as these first 19 days of July. Hopefully, these final ten days or so will be all profit and we will win back what I lost. The good part is that despite this horrible month so far, I remain healthily profitable for the MLB season. I just need to get back to that +50x point and blast right by it.

                                        I always remain positive and believe in myself and nothing has changed despite this horribly July. I just wish the inevitable hot streak that is coming, would come already. It get frustrating, but I will end up on top.

                                        Thanks
                                        Last edited by Love The Action; 07-20-11, 07:16 AM.
                                        Comment
                                        • Love The Action
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-08-10
                                          • 10952

                                          #230
                                          MLB Recap 7/19/11

                                          1 - 2 = -1.7x


                                          MLB Season 2011

                                          281 - 259 = +23.7x

                                          Three words...time to roll.
                                          Comment
                                          • funnyman
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 05-06-10
                                            • 606

                                            #231
                                            Have to kep plugging away.
                                            Comment
                                            • Love The Action
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-08-10
                                              • 10952

                                              #232
                                              Originally posted by funnyman
                                              Have to kep plugging away.
                                              Comment
                                              • Love The Action
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 10952

                                                #233
                                                There are some good looking games today....
                                                Comment
                                                • Love The Action
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                  • 10952

                                                  #234
                                                  MLB 7/20/11

                                                  Play #1

                                                  Cincy/Pit under (7)(+100) 1x (Locked)

                                                  I think everyone expects the Cincy bats to wake up today, but I like Karstens. Even though his advanced stats show that he has been a bit lucky this year, I think that luck continues today. The Pirates have momentum going right now and that positive mojo should apply to the game today. With Cueto pitching well and Karstens pitching well, I think we see a low-scoring, intense affair that will be surrounded by a playoff like atmosphere. Both pitchers use control and ground balls to succeed and I see that coming through today. The ump really doesn't have too much of a lean but is 8-11 o/u on the year with a 62.8% strike rate. I will rolll with the under here for 1x. Off to work and I will post the rest of my plays as soon as possible after making them. I probably will not have time for writeups, so my apologies. Good luck to all today!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • blumpkin
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 06-16-11
                                                    • 359

                                                    #235
                                                    like the pick LTA.. where do you post your wnba plays?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Love The Action
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                      • 10952

                                                      #236
                                                      Definitely playing the under in today's SF/LAD game. All 8 of Lincecum's unders have ended under 5 runs. 5 of Kershaw's 9 unders have been under 5 runs. Both will be pumped to face each other today in an early game after a night game. I like the under despite the low total.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Love The Action
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                        • 10952

                                                        #237
                                                        Originally posted by blumpkin
                                                        like the pick LTA.. where do you post your wnba plays?
                                                        In the NBA Forum, under LTA's NBA and WNBA Plays. GL....
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Love The Action
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-08-10
                                                          • 10952

                                                          #238
                                                          Lean over in Boston/Balty, but that line is too high at 10.5...at least for now.

                                                          Lean under in Cubs/Phils and SD/FL.

                                                          Interesting card today. Perhaps a bigger one than yesterday...
                                                          Last edited by Love The Action; 07-20-11, 08:19 AM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • blumpkin
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 06-16-11
                                                            • 359

                                                            #239
                                                            appreciate it!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • southpaw74
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-21-09
                                                              • 7104

                                                              #240
                                                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                              Definitely playing the under in today's SF/LAD game. All 8 of Lincecum's unders have ended under 5 runs. 5 of Kershaw's 9 unders have been under 5 runs. Both will be pumped to face each other today in an early game after a night game. I like the under despite the low total.
                                                              Agreed! Good luck
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JR007
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-21-10
                                                                • 5279

                                                                #241
                                                                Bluejays..worth a look tonight...Sea flew crosscountry...to play yesterday (14 innings)........how much do they have left in the tank ???bad offensive team
                                                                Bautista..back for the Jays...........might be a good spot for the run-line......pacocn's play...team totals look telling
                                                                Last edited by JR007; 07-20-11, 09:48 AM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Redscot
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-16-11
                                                                  • 2571

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                                  Definitely playing the under in today's SF/LAD game. All 8 of Lincecum's unders have ended under 5 runs. 5 of Kershaw's 9 unders have been under 5 runs. Both will be pumped to face each other today in an early game after a night game. I like the under despite the low total.
                                                                  Gotta love these guys career numbers with Ump Cederstrom

                                                                  Kershaw 21 ip, .43 era

                                                                  Lincecum 20.1 ip .89 era
                                                                  Last edited by Redscot; 07-20-11, 10:27 AM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • italianbandit
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-17-11
                                                                    • 2622

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Also Sandoval should be out with a strained hamstring
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • italianbandit
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-17-11
                                                                      • 2622

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Giants might be fielding the worst offensive line-up in baseball today.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Love The Action
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                                        • 10952

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Definitely taking this dodgers/giants under...just waiting to see if it goes up to 6 before gametime. I will probably play it for 1x or 2x...
                                                                        Comment
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