LTA's MLB Plays

[Love The Action]

Been a good afternoon, and liking tonight's card a lot so **** it. Got me a Lotto ticket tonight: I am actually on Zona but if they lose hopefully my dollar and a dream hits .

5Parlay

965 AT Cleveland Indians
-1½ +140

8/18/2011 8:10:00 PM 967 AT Toronto Blue Jays
-1½ +155

8/18/2011 10:05:00 PM 954 AT Philadelphia Phillies
-1½ +150

8/18/2011 7:05:00 PM 956 AT Washington Nationals
-1½ +150

8/18/2011 7:05:00 PM 970 AT Los Angeles Angels
-1½ +165

8/18/2011 10:05:00 PM 100/10036 # 54046

At this point, screw the Diamondbacks. I would rather you get the Phillies and LAA and cash that ticket!

I'm rooting for you bud

[Love The Action]

group win on yanks and tribe! Love it

Nice job GV...

What do you think about the Lions over the Browns tomorrow? Was thinking about a little action play...

[Redscot]

At this point, screw the Diamondbacks. I would rather you get the Phillies and LAA and cash that ticket!

I'm rooting for you bud

Appreciate the sentiments bro . Realistically getting 2 up at this stage gonna be tough, but it has been a great day anyway, in great part due to your calls I might add. Who would have thunk that Boston under.

[Love The Action]

Cash the miracle under in Boston Boys ! 6 runs scored after 3 inns I had written it off but they only managed 1 in the next 6 !!! Happy Days !!!!

Nice to get one of these for once

[Love The Action]

MLB 8/19/11

Play #1

Mariners ML (-115) 1x (Locked)

Play #2

Giants/Astros under (7) 1x (Locked)

Writeups to come....

[boss_of_um]

Appreciate the plays LTA. Been tailing you and another poster for a few weeks with my 5Dimes account and doing quite well and will easily survive until football season when I will make some serious bank. Keep up the good work and hopefull closers can start doing their dang jobs and really make the run nice!

[Love The Action]

Appreciate the plays LTA. Been tailing you and another poster for a few weeks with my 5Dimes account and doing quite well and will easily survive until football season when I will make some serious bank. Keep up the good work and hopefull closers can start doing their dang jobs and really make the run nice!

[Love The Action]

MLB Recap 8/18/11

3 - 1 = +2.80

We actually get a little luck tonight with that Boston under and we will definitely take it. Everything pretty much went according to plan tonight except for the AZ game, but we'll take a 3-1 night any day of the week...

MLB Season 2011

348 - 311 = +34.58x

It's all about grinding out profit...

[GGALLERT]

MLB Recap 8/18/11

3 - 1 = +2.80

We actually get a little luck tonight with that Boston under and we will definitely take it. Everything pretty much went according to plan tonight except for the AZ game, but we'll take a 3-1 night any day of the week...

MLB Season 2011

348 - 311 = +34.58x

It's all about grinding out profit...

ha grinding out a late night hail mary...LAA ML + TOR 07....LUCKY

[Love The Action]

ha grinding out a late night hail mary...LAA ML + TOR 07....LUCKY

Cash the Angels and push on the over...nice night GG

[Ca$hfloW]

I was on the Boston/kc under, we needed a little luck but hey I will take a win anyway. Keep up the great work.

[investing4us]

fuggin zona cost me $7,924.65 9 Team Parlay

Congrats LTA on back to back profitable days. Keep on grinding out those winners. I am so pissed that they restarted that Zona game. Missed out on a huge day today.

858977118/18/11 6:02pm-$50.00$12,167.391 Wager(s) Placed85897711-1$50.00$7,924.65Loss9 Team ParlayLoss8/18/11 7:05pm MLB Baseball 953 Arizona Diamondbacks +122* vs Philadelphia Phillies (I Kennedy - R must Start V Worley - R must Start)Win8/18/11 7:05pm MLB Baseball 956 Washington Nationals -135* vs Cincinnati Reds (B Arroyo - R must Start J Zimmerman - R must Start)Win8/18/11 7:10pm MLB Baseball 958 Atlanta Braves +1½ -155* vs San Francisco Giants (T Lincecum - R must Start M Minor - L must Start)Win8/18/11 10:05pm MLB Baseball 960 San Diego Padres -123* vs Florida Marlins (J Vazquez - R must Start T Stauffer - R must Start)Win8/18/11 8:10pm MLB Baseball 961 New York Yankees -220* vs Minnesota Twins (C Sabathia - L must Start B Duensing - L must Start)Win8/18/11 8:10pm MLB Baseball 963 Boston Red Sox -173* vs Kansas City Royals (J Beckett - R must Start L Hochevar - R must Start)Win8/18/11 8:10pm MLB Baseball 965 Cleveland Indians -114* vs Chicago White Sox (J Masterson - R must Start P Humber - R must Start)Win8/18/11 10:05pm MLB Baseball 967 Toronto Blue Jays -116* vs Oakland Athletics (R Romero - L must Start T Cahill - R must Start)Win8/18/11 10:05pm MLB Baseball 970 Los Angeles Angels -138* vs Texas Rangers (C Lewis - R must Start Jer Weaver - R must Start)

[aussieH]

Did redscott get his parlay

[Love The Action]

Did redscott get his parlay

Unfortunately, no...he needed the angels to win by two runs and they only won by one run.

Had he played the ml instead of the rl, he would have won and I am quite sure he finished his bottle of rum and went to bed a bit salty over that fact....

That sucks....damn books got lucky on that one...

[Redscot]

Unfortunately, no...he needed the angels to win by two runs and they only won by one run.

Had he played the ml instead of the rl, he would have won and I am quite sure he finished his bottle of rum and went to bed a bit salty over that fact....

That sucks....damn books got lucky on that one...

You got it bud. I honestly don't get too crazed about the parlays, they are lotto plays for real. Actually hit the hay before the end of the game, was a good day. The bottle of rum DID get finished.

Nice job yesterday bro, you have been on fire of late, even moreso than the numbers suggest. Let's keep it rockin' today.

[Love The Action]

MLB 8/19/11

Play #1

Mariners ML (-115) 1x (Locked)

The disparity in starting pitching in favor of Seattle is too cavernous to ignore. Even though one could argue King Felix is not having as good a year as his last two as evidenced by his decline in WAR from the mid 6's to 3.9, that 3.9 is still +3.4 better than Wade Davis. Davis is an automatic 4 runs for opposing hitters, even a Seattle team that is weak offensively but hot of late. I won't bother boring you with all the numbers, but the stats are staggering when you compare the two pitchers and the Mariners have a big edge in that category. However, this play is not made on starting pitching alone. I think we have a nice situational angle to support this play as well, with TB ripe for a letdown coming off two straight wins over Boston to end a road trip and begin this homestand. When you add the Mariners' hot bats and situational angle to their huge advantage in SP's, you have to back the M's in this spot. I have this one at -122, so we are getting about 7 cents of value here and I will roll with the M's for 1x. GL.

Play #2

Giants/Astros under (7) 1x (Locked)

I am big fan of backing Wandy at home on the under or ML. Throughout his career, that has generally been a profitable proposition. It will be rare circumstances where you can back the Astros the rest of the season on the ML, but I think we have a decent spot to back them on the under today. Wandy's career splits show he generally performs better at home, but even his season numbers are solid with a K% at 19.9%, FIP, xFIP, tERA and SIERA in the 3.6 range, WHIP around 1.2, BAA at .246, BABIP at .286, LOB% 77.9% and GB/FB at 1.3. On the other side, we have Vogelsong. I don't know what this guy is doing this year to revive his career, but he rocks almost identical numbers to Wandy. Both offenses are weak and I expect a classic pitchers duel by two veterans fighting to stay in the league. I have this one at 6.5 and it's going to take a score totaling 8 to lose and i just don't see these two struggling offenses cross the plate 8 times today, so I am rolling with the under for 1x. GL.

Here are my thoughts on our first two plays....more to come.

[kobstopa]

have you check the ref as you alway do?

[Love The Action]

MLB 8/19/11

Play #1

Mariners ML (-115) 1x (Locked)

The disparity in starting pitching in favor of Seattle is too cavernous to ignore. Even though one could argue King Felix is not having as good a year as his last two as evidenced by his decline in WAR from the mid 6's to 3.9, that 3.9 is still +3.4 better than Wade Davis. Davis is an automatic 4 runs for opposing hitters, even a Seattle team that is weak offensively but hot of late. I won't bother boring you with all the numbers, but the stats are staggering when you compare the two pitchers and the Mariners have a big edge in that category. However, this play is not made on starting pitching alone. I think we have a nice situational angle to support this play as well, with TB ripe for a letdown coming off two straight wins over Boston to end a road trip and begin this homestand. When you add the Mariners' hot bats and situational angle to their huge advantage in SP's, you have to back the M's in this spot. I have this one at -122, so we are getting about 7 cents of value here and I will roll with the M's for 1x. GL.

Play #2

Giants/Astros under (7) 1x (Locked)

I am big fan of backing Wandy at home on the under or ML. Throughout his career, that has generally been a profitable proposition. It will be rare circumstances where you can back the Astros the rest of the season on the ML, but I think we have a decent spot to back them on the under today. Wandy's career splits show he generally performs better at home, but even his season numbers are solid with a K% at 19.9%, FIP, xFIP, tERA and SIERA in the 3.6 range, WHIP around 1.2, BAA at .246, BABIP at .286, LOB% 77.9% and GB/FB at 1.3. On the other side, we have Vogelsong. I don't know what this guy is doing this year to revive his career, but he rocks almost identical numbers to Wandy. Both offenses are weak and I expect a classic pitchers duel by two veterans fighting to stay in the league. I have this one at 6.5 and it's going to take a score totaling 8 to lose and i just don't see these two struggling offenses cross the plate 8 times today, so I am rolling with the under for 1x. GL.

Play #3

AZ ML (+108) 1x (Locked)

I don't think AZ should be plus money in this spot so I am going to jump on them at +108 now because I think that has topped out and will go back down. I could be wrong, but I think the Diamondbacks can win this one. If you look at the season numbers, they are not that far apart outside of Hudson's 4.3 to 2.2 advantage in WAR. However, the recent numbers show Lowe to be struggling just a bit. At this point, Lowe has given up 4 runs or more in five of his last seven starts. Even though the Braves offense has improved since the trade deadline, they have not faced Hudson before and that should give him the advantage. AZ's numbers against Lowe are great, however, once you take Drew out of the picture they fall back down to average because Drew really hit him well. Nevertheless, I give the starting pitching edge to AZ and after losing two in a row, they will be desperate to avoid making it three. Arizona has a solid record of 33-27 on the road and that is one of the keys to success. We got burned backing them against the Phillies, but I think we get that money back today and I am rolling with AZ for 1x. GL.

[Love The Action]

have you check the ref as you alway do?

What's up Kob...I hope all is well. I noticed you are still killing the books as always

The umpire assignments have not been released yet. I locked the SF/Hou under in last night because I started seeing most of the books begin to juice the under. I didn't want to risk waking up today and seeing -120, so I locked it in last night. Unfortunately, it looks as though there has been some early money on the over causing most of the juice to go back that way. That was not how I envisioned things shaping out, however, it's still early and plenty of time for that line to drop back towards the under. The only thing I can control is beating closers, so as long as I do that then I have done my job. That's what I will be looking for on this play. If I beat the closer, I will be much more confident in this play than if this one closes with juice on the over.

Glad you're still doing well in WNBA. I'd like to get back to WNBA, but between my recent job promotion and the family, I just don't have the time right now. I've been following it though and I will probably play the WNBA playoffs. I still have a positive record but am down a few units because I lost most of my bigger WNBA plays. I know you're still running strong so keep up the good work.

[Love The Action]

Off for work...still have a few more leans I'm looking at. Back later. Good luck to everyone today

[gtboy]

its hard for me to back Seattle even with the king. i am tailing ur under with HOU.they cant hit shit pitch at them. u doing a good job. i am learning a few things from u. thanks

[kobstopa]

I am rolling with King Felix and under 7.5, he is due for a complete game. Score: 4-1 Sea win. good luck with your plays

[shortdog]

Bol Lta

[Love The Action]

MLB 8/19/11

Play #1

Mariners ML (-115) 1x (Locked)

The disparity in starting pitching in favor of Seattle is too cavernous to ignore. Even though one could argue King Felix is not having as good a year as his last two as evidenced by his decline in WAR from the mid 6's to 3.9, that 3.9 is still +3.4 better than Wade Davis. Davis is an automatic 4 runs for opposing hitters, even a Seattle team that is weak offensively but hot of late. I won't bother boring you with all the numbers, but the stats are staggering when you compare the two pitchers and the Mariners have a big edge in that category. However, this play is not made on starting pitching alone. I think we have a nice situational angle to support this play as well, with TB ripe for a letdown coming off two straight wins over Boston to end a road trip and begin this homestand. When you add the Mariners' hot bats and situational angle to their huge advantage in SP's, you have to back the M's in this spot. I have this one at -122, so we are getting about 7 cents of value here and I will roll with the M's for 1x. GL.

Play #2

Giants/Astros under (7) 1x (Locked)

I am big fan of backing Wandy at home on the under or ML. Throughout his career, that has generally been a profitable proposition. It will be rare circumstances where you can back the Astros the rest of the season on the ML, but I think we have a decent spot to back them on the under today. Wandy's career splits show he generally performs better at home, but even his season numbers are solid with a K% at 19.9%, FIP, xFIP, tERA and SIERA in the 3.6 range, WHIP around 1.2, BAA at .246, BABIP at .286, LOB% 77.9% and GB/FB at 1.3. On the other side, we have Vogelsong. I don't know what this guy is doing this year to revive his career, but he rocks almost identical numbers to Wandy. Both offenses are weak and I expect a classic pitchers duel by two veterans fighting to stay in the league. I have this one at 6.5 and it's going to take a score totaling 8 to lose and i just don't see these two struggling offenses cross the plate 8 times today, so I am rolling with the under for 1x. GL.

Play #3

AZ ML (+108) 1x (Locked)

I don't think AZ should be plus money in this spot so I am going to jump on them at +108 now because I think that has topped out and will go back down. I could be wrong, but I think the Diamondbacks can win this one. If you look at the season numbers, they are not that far apart outside of Hudson's 4.3 to 2.2 advantage in WAR. However, the recent numbers show Lowe to be struggling just a bit. At this point, Lowe has given up 4 runs or more in five of his last seven starts. Even though the Braves offense has improved since the trade deadline, they have not faced Hudson before and that should give him the advantage. AZ's numbers against Lowe are great, however, once you take Drew out of the picture they fall back down to average because Drew really hit him well. Nevertheless, I give the starting pitching edge to AZ and after losing two in a row, they will be desperate to avoid making it three. Arizona has a solid record of 33-27 on the road and that is one of the keys to success. We got burned backing them against the Phillies, but I think we get that money back today and I am rolling with AZ for 1x. GL.

Play #4

Dodgers Ml (+105) 1x (Locked)

Despite Kuroda's poor history against the Rockies, I have to fade Hammel at home getting plus odds. Hammel's splits show a guy who pitches poorly at home and getting progressively worse as the year moves forward. Kuroda keeps pitching well and this presents a good opportunity to beat the Rox for the first time. The dodgers offense sucks, but I'm hoping they can carry some momentum forward from yesterdays five run output. The light air and opposing Hammel should help. Kuroda presents a huge advantage in SP's over Hammel, so I'm rolling with the dodgers for 1x. GL.

[No coincidences]

Kuroda has historically been awful at Coors LTA.

Just an FYI.

[Love The Action]

Kuroda has historically been awful at Coors LTA.

Just an FYI.

Yep...I mentioned his poor history. However, the only one worse than Kurods at Coors is Hammel

[pacocn]

bet the over

[Full-Grown]

I think Seattle stomps Tampa today. Wade Davis is garbage. Seattle bats are hot. Felix gets it done. Got 4 units on the Mariners today. Lets get it y'all!!!

[GoggsViggs]

Nice job GV...

What do you think about the Lions over the Browns tomorrow? Was thinking about a little action play...

LTA, no opinions here, didn't have a chance to cap DET cle.

Im on ravens and redskins tonight. My plays are in my new football thread in NFL section. 7-3 in my last 10 plays. Hope u were able to cash the Argos winner w me last night

[Love The Action]

MLB 8/19/11

Play #1

Mariners ML (-115) 1x (Locked)

The disparity in starting pitching in favor of Seattle is too cavernous to ignore. Even though one could argue King Felix is not having as good a year as his last two as evidenced by his decline in WAR from the mid 6's to 3.9, that 3.9 is still +3.4 better than Wade Davis. Davis is an automatic 4 runs for opposing hitters, even a Seattle team that is weak offensively but hot of late. I won't bother boring you with all the numbers, but the stats are staggering when you compare the two pitchers and the Mariners have a big edge in that category. However, this play is not made on starting pitching alone. I think we have a nice situational angle to support this play as well, with TB ripe for a letdown coming off two straight wins over Boston to end a road trip and begin this homestand. When you add the Mariners' hot bats and situational angle to their huge advantage in SP's, you have to back the M's in this spot. I have this one at -122, so we are getting about 7 cents of value here and I will roll with the M's for 1x. GL.

Play #2

Giants/Astros under (7) 1x (Locked)

I am big fan of backing Wandy at home on the under or ML. Throughout his career, that has generally been a profitable proposition. It will be rare circumstances where you can back the Astros the rest of the season on the ML, but I think we have a decent spot to back them on the under today. Wandy's career splits show he generally performs better at home, but even his season numbers are solid with a K% at 19.9%, FIP, xFIP, tERA and SIERA in the 3.6 range, WHIP around 1.2, BAA at .246, BABIP at .286, LOB% 77.9% and GB/FB at 1.3. On the other side, we have Vogelsong. I don't know what this guy is doing this year to revive his career, but he rocks almost identical numbers to Wandy. Both offenses are weak and I expect a classic pitchers duel by two veterans fighting to stay in the league. I have this one at 6.5 and it's going to take a score totaling 8 to lose and i just don't see these two struggling offenses cross the plate 8 times today, so I am rolling with the under for 1x. GL.

Play #3

AZ ML (+108) 1x (Locked)

I don't think AZ should be plus money in this spot so I am going to jump on them at +108 now because I think that has topped out and will go back down. I could be wrong, but I think the Diamondbacks can win this one. If you look at the season numbers, they are not that far apart outside of Hudson's 4.3 to 2.2 advantage in WAR. However, the recent numbers show Lowe to be struggling just a bit. At this point, Lowe has given up 4 runs or more in five of his last seven starts. Even though the Braves offense has improved since the trade deadline, they have not faced Hudson before and that should give him the advantage. AZ's numbers against Lowe are great, however, once you take Drew out of the picture they fall back down to average because Drew really hit him well. Nevertheless, I give the starting pitching edge to AZ and after losing two in a row, they will be desperate to avoid making it three. Arizona has a solid record of 33-27 on the road and that is one of the keys to success. We got burned backing them against the Phillies, but I think we get that money back today and I am rolling with AZ for 1x. GL.

Play #4

Dodgers Ml (+105) 1x (Locked)

Despite Kuroda's poor history against the Rockies, I have to fade Hammel at home getting plus odds. Hammel's splits show a guy who pitches poorly at home and getting progressively worse as the year moves forward. Kuroda keeps pitching well and this presents a good opportunity to beat the Rox for the first time. The dodgers offense sucks, but I'm hoping they can carry some momentum forward from yesterdays five run output. The light air and opposing Hammel should help. Kuroda presents a huge advantage in SP's over Hammel, so I'm rolling with the dodgers for 1x. GL.

Play #5

Toronto/Oakland over (8) 1x (Locked)

Two teams trending over big time, with two mediocre pitchers on the mound. I'm not worried about the ump because despite his under lean, he has a strike rate under 62% and other than the this season and last season has never had an under lean. The wind is supposed to blow straight out at 12-15 mph and I like the over here for 1x. GL.

[Love The Action]

I think that's it for me and the card is final. Gotta finish up some work and then hit dinner. I will check in a little later. Good luck to everyone on their plays tonight!

[Redscot]

I think that's it for me and the card is final. Gotta finish up some work and then hit dinner. I will check in a little later. Good luck to everyone on their plays tonight!

Good luck on the card LTA, looking good Catch ya later when the games are on.

[GGALLERT]

Another day at the office......GL Make it rain!

[ParlayKing]

Hope all is well LTA, which side would lean in the tor/oak game? Like you said with both pitchers being mediocre I like toronoto to take this one based on pure superior offensive.

[pacocn]

Lta, great work, thanks for all u do bol