1st Inning Stats and Betting

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  • Timmah2483
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-25-10
    • 610

    #1
    1st Inning Stats and Betting
    This is no System... but for everyone that must use one, its a "Knowledge of Baseball and Stats: System"

    Im making this as an alternative to everyone who has ever lost their Bankroll because of "Daba's System" of using Site odds to determine what you play, and Labby/Martingale system.
  • Timmah2483
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-25-10
    • 610

    #2
    First Inning Stats for Runs Scored

    Early games:

    Reds (Volquez: 3-No 6-Yes)
    Indians (Carrasco: 6-No 1-Yes) Indians scored in 4 of the No's

    Rays (Shields: 8-No 1-Yes)
    Marlins (Buente: N/A)

    Mets (Pelfrey: 7-No 2-Yes)
    Yankees (Nova: 8-No 1-Yes)

    Astros (Rodriguez: 7-No 2-Yes)
    BlueJays (Drabek: 7-No 2-Yes)

    Rangers (Harrison: 5-No 3-Yes)
    Phillies (Oswalt: 6-No 0-Yes)

    Tigers (Porcello: 7-No 0-Yes)
    Pirates (Maholm: 4-No 5-Yes)

    Nats (Zimmerman: 7-No 1-Yes) 6 straight no's
    Orioles (Tillman: 5-No 3-Yes) 4-No 1-Yes in last 5

    Dodgers (Kuroda: 7-No 2-Yes)
    WhiteSox (Jackson: 8-No 1-Yes)

    Cardinals (Garcia: 8-No 1-Yes)
    Kansas City (Osullivan: 5-No 3-Yes) last was Yes, no B2B Yes'

    Rockies (Jimenez: 5-No 2-Yes)
    Brewers (Wolf: 5-No 4-Yes) 4 straight Yes'
    Comment
    • cash$bro91
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 04-16-11
      • 684

      #3
      where did you get the stats?
      Comment
      • Timmah2483
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-25-10
        • 610

        #4
        Espn. all you have to do is go to each pitcher, click game log, and open every game to see the who scored/who didnt.
        Comment
        • cash$bro91
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 04-16-11
          • 684

          #5
          Got it, thanks. Are you going to be posting these stats every day?
          Comment
          • playr101
            SBR MVP
            • 01-16-10
            • 2029

            #6
            Good info.. thx

            -playr101
            Comment
            • Timmah2483
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-25-10
              • 610

              #7
              Originally posted by cash$bro91
              Got it, thanks. Are you going to be posting these stats every day?
              That's my Plan. I already have the info for every pitcher so I figured why not.
              Comment
              • cash$bro91
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 04-16-11
                • 684

                #8
                That would be great, teamrankings.com has 1st inning team runs per game stats.
                Comment
                • Timmah2483
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-25-10
                  • 610

                  #9
                  Originally posted by cash$bro91
                  That would be great, teamrankings.com has 1st inning team runs per game stats.
                  Yeah, Im more Worried about pitchers stats.. I know Batting can control a 1st inning just as well as the pitcher but when you have guys like Lincecum, who has allowed 1 1st inning run. its easier to track. but Thanks though, maybe I can use them together in the future.
                  Comment
                  • RoadDog
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-11-11
                    • 2666

                    #10
                    Comment
                    • Punter4Life
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 11-20-10
                      • 175

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Timmah2483
                      First Inning Stats for Runs Scored

                      Early games:

                      Reds (Volquez: 3-No 6-Yes)
                      Indians (Carrasco: 6-No 1-Yes) Indians scored in 4 of the No's

                      Rays (Shields: 8-No 1-Yes)
                      Marlins (Buente: N/A)

                      Mets (Pelfrey: 7-No 2-Yes)
                      Yankees (Nova: 8-No 1-Yes)

                      Astros (Rodriguez: 7-No 2-Yes)
                      BlueJays (Drabek: 7-No 2-Yes)

                      Rangers (Harrison: 5-No 3-Yes)
                      Phillies (Oswalt: 6-No 0-Yes)

                      Tigers (Porcello: 7-No 0-Yes)
                      Pirates (Maholm: 4-No 5-Yes)

                      Nats (Zimmerman: 7-No 1-Yes) 6 straight no's
                      Orioles (Tillman: 5-No 3-Yes) 4-No 1-Yes in last 5

                      Dodgers (Kuroda: 7-No 2-Yes)
                      WhiteSox (Jackson: 8-No 1-Yes)

                      Cardinals (Garcia: 8-No 1-Yes)
                      Kansas City (Osullivan: 5-No 3-Yes) last was Yes, no B2B Yes'

                      Rockies (Jimenez: 5-No 2-Yes)
                      Brewers (Wolf: 5-No 4-Yes) 4 straight Yes'
                      Thanks for posting this and hope you'll continue doing so.
                      Comment
                      • Bob734
                        Restricted User
                        • 12-27-10
                        • 647

                        #12
                        No score 1st TB/FLO
                        Comment
                        • Bob734
                          Restricted User
                          • 12-27-10
                          • 647

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Bob734
                          No score 1st TB/FLO
                          Cash it fellas
                          Comment
                          • Timmah2483
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-25-10
                            • 610

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Timmah2483
                            First Inning Stats for Runs Scored

                            Earliest games:

                            Reds (Volquez: 3-No 6-Yes)
                            Indians (Carrasco: 6-No 1-Yes) Indians scored in 4 of the No's Went With Trend

                            Rays (Shields: 8-No 1-Yes) Went With Trend
                            Marlins (Buente: N/A)

                            Mets (Pelfrey: 7-No 2-Yes)
                            Yankees (Nova: 8-No 1-Yes) Went Against Trend

                            Astros (Rodriguez: 7-No 2-Yes) Went With Trend
                            BlueJays (Drabek: 7-No 2-Yes)
                            3-1 to start

                            Originally posted by Timmah2483
                            Rangers (Harrison: 5-No 3-Yes) Went With Trend
                            Phillies (Oswalt: 6-No 0-Yes)

                            Tigers (Porcello: 7-No 0-Yes) Went With Trend
                            Pirates (Maholm: 4-No 5-Yes)

                            Nats (Zimmerman: 7-No 1-Yes) 6 straight no's Went With Trend
                            Orioles (Tillman: 5-No 3-Yes) 4-No 1-Yes in last 5
                            6-1!
                            Last edited by Timmah2483; 05-22-11, 12:52 PM.
                            Comment
                            • marzayy
                              Restricted User
                              • 09-22-10
                              • 548

                              #15
                              oakland/san fran no runs!
                              Comment
                              • Timmah2483
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-25-10
                                • 610

                                #16
                                First 10 Games went 8-2 +5.8 units
                                Comment
                                • playr101
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-16-10
                                  • 2029

                                  #17


                                  -playr101
                                  Comment
                                  • firehoyt
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-02-10
                                    • 3569

                                    #18
                                    What about the rest of the games?!
                                    Comment
                                    • Timmah2483
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-25-10
                                      • 610

                                      #19
                                      3:30/4:00 Games:

                                      Braves (Lowe: 7-NO 3-Yes)
                                      Angels (Chatwood: 6-NO 2-Yes)

                                      A's (Gonzalez: 7-NO 1-Yes)
                                      Giants (Sanchez: 6-NO 3-Yes)

                                      Seattle (Hernandez: 7-NO 3-Yes)
                                      Padres (Stauffer: 6-NO 3-Yes)

                                      Twins (Liriano: 7-No 1-YES)
                                      DBacks (Hudson: 4-No 5-YES)
                                      Comment
                                      • Timmah2483
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-25-10
                                        • 610

                                        #20
                                        Twins/DBacks, Im torn on that one and I will not play it but I will be watching for it as if it should be a "YES".
                                        Comment
                                        • jscol
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 11-20-09
                                          • 403

                                          #21
                                          so what are the picks
                                          Comment
                                          • Timmah2483
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-25-10
                                            • 610

                                            #22
                                            Im not a guru, use your own judgement.. but The Picks that stats favor are in Capital letters too late now though. sorry.
                                            Comment
                                            • Timmah2483
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 11-25-10
                                              • 610

                                              #23
                                              Last 4 went 2-2, 10-4 overall and +5.25 Units on the Day... Im out! see you guys tomorrow!
                                              Comment
                                              • doubledime
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-22-09
                                                • 9751

                                                #24
                                                This is really great info. If you take the top combined 1 st inning pitchers and filter it using RoadDog's info (adding the average runs scored in the 1st inning and they must add up to UNDER 1 run), the games went 5-2. T2483, if you supply the pitcher info each day I'll calculate the teams whose average runs combined add up to less than 1 run. One day does not make a season, but it's worth looking at for a few weeks.
                                                Comment
                                                • doubledime
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-22-09
                                                  • 9751

                                                  #25
                                                  Actually, based on looking at the starters and the average first inning scoring, the Boston/Cubs game was another winner if you played No 1st inning score.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • unclebuzz1
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 08-23-09
                                                    • 565

                                                    #26
                                                    Hey, Timmah! The other vulture has found his way over here. Didn't lose money, had some laughs, tried to help, not appreciated. Here to stay! Congrats on the 4-team parlay.

                                                    .
                                                    Last edited by unclebuzz1; 05-22-11, 10:22 PM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Timmah2483
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-25-10
                                                      • 610

                                                      #27
                                                      Hey Unclebuzz... yeah the 4 team-er was nice, Got a 3 team-er today also straight up bets went 10-4.

                                                      HAHA, GT not joining?

                                                      BTW, I promise I wont ask anyone for SBR points or a Ipad! HA!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Timmah2483
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 11-25-10
                                                        • 610

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by doubledime
                                                        This is really great info. If you take the top combined 1 st inning pitchers and filter it using RoadDog's info (adding the average runs scored in the 1st inning and they must add up to UNDER 1 run), the games went 5-2. T2483, if you supply the pitcher info each day I'll calculate the teams whose average runs combined add up to less than 1 run. One day does not make a season, but it's worth looking at for a few weeks.
                                                        DoubleDime, I must be missing something because u say 5-2 but there was 14 games used today. why did u cut out half? r u filtering out the bottom 7? elaborate...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • lilb999
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-13-10
                                                          • 997

                                                          #29
                                                          So just to be clear you will post the favored plays in CAPS?

                                                          If the system is any indication of the first day it could be pretty useful
                                                          Comment
                                                          • doubledime
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-22-09
                                                            • 9751

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Timmah2483
                                                            DoubleDime, I must be missing something because u say 5-2 but there was 14 games used today. why did u cut out half? r u filtering out the bottom 7? elaborate...
                                                            Timmah, Yes, I only used games where both teams had at least a 60% ratio the same way (no or yes). For example Tigers Porcello 7-0 No (over 60% that qualified) but Pirates Maholm 4-5 No (under 60% didn't qualify) So that game was a no play for me. Thanks again for this info. DD
                                                            Comment
                                                            • unclebuzz1
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 08-23-09
                                                              • 565

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Timmah2483
                                                              HAHA, GT not joining?
                                                              We can only pray! Check out the latest developments in the thread. Here's a link to the SS if you haven't seen it.



                                                              Note the last few entries for the Dog Labby.

                                                              .
                                                              Last edited by unclebuzz1; 05-23-11, 06:52 AM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Timmah2483
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-25-10
                                                                • 610

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by unclebuzz1
                                                                We can only pray! Check out the latest developments in the thread. Here's a link to the SS if you haven't seen it. https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?...Xc&output=html Note the last few entries for the Dog Labby. .
                                                                Yeah. that's sad, I hope pride doesn't keep them losing money.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Timmah2483
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-25-10
                                                                  • 610

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by doubledime
                                                                  Timmah, Yes, I only used games where both teams had at least a 60% ratio the same way (no or yes). For example Tigers Porcello 7-0 No (over 60% that qualified) but Pirates Maholm 4-5 No (under 60% didn't qualify) So that game was a no play for me. Thanks again for this info. DD
                                                                  OK, Makes sense, although that game did hit no. I was using an over 65% total... like 11-5 above (about 69%), its all effective but I would like to limit my plays.

                                                                  For monitoring purposes I am going to continue to post as I do but feel free to counter it with your own. it would no doubt pay off in the long run.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Timmah2483
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-25-10
                                                                    • 610

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by lilb999
                                                                    So just to be clear you will post the favored plays in CAPS? If the system is any indication of the first day it could be pretty useful
                                                                    I just use stats and Baseball knowledge. mostly stats.. but I hate the thought of calling it a system.

                                                                    I will Color Code them and Capitalize them (GREEN is the Play) (RED is not the play)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MrBrown
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 05-29-10
                                                                      • 210

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by unclebuzz1
                                                                      We can only pray! Check out the latest developments in the thread. Here's a link to the SS if you haven't seen it.



                                                                      Note the last few entries for the Dog Labby.

                                                                      .
                                                                      I said it from the start last year, I'd seen handfuls of 6/7 and a few 10-12 streaks of losses in 2 years on the YES's and that is why i would never chase, but it went on deaf ears over there, oh well
                                                                      Comment
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