1st Inning Stats and Betting

[jnsbanman]

nice site.. thanks

[doubledime]

http://www.rotoinfo.com/?game=lineup

this is something to consider also when Betting. A few early lineup are sitting guys, backup bats arent nearly as good.

Thanks

[calmeat]

damn phillies now ive been burned 4 times i have now learned my lesson

[doubledime]

Thanks JSNB. In the early games my filters say:

FL/SF YES
Oak/LAA NO

BOL to all

I am NOT playing FL/SF. Some starters are out. That leaves only 1 play for this afernoon. Sorry but just got the info.

[jnsbanman]

Im gonna throw a bit on the met cubs no. Wind blowing in and Dickey has been good 1st innings and Zambrano as of late.

[jnsbanman]

I'm done 4-1 day netting 5 units... If you guys like I will post the stats again tomorrow since Tim is on holidays. and Doubledime please continue to add your input.

[doubledime]

I'm done 4-1 day netting 5 units... If you guys like I will post the stats again tomorrow since Tim is on holidays. and Doubledime please continue to add your input.

Nice job today. If it's not a problem, continue to post the pitcher %. If something comes up, let me know enough in advance and I should be able to help out.

[SamWise]

any info/idea for last 2 games?

[jnsbanman]

Already working on tommow. As for tonite will check shortly

[jnsbanman]

My spreadsheet is calling for a NO on both late games...

CWS/Tor being the better of the two. Although morrow is currently pitching 50% Yes/No over 6 starts and a mediocre whip of 1.4. Combined average runs score is over 1 which suggests a yes... barely. Wind is blowing in towards home from right... depends on if the dome is closed or not as to if this is a factor. Odds are favoring a NO in this match-up.

Arz Col have 2 pitchers that have not had many starts yet and are currently combined running 50% Yes No 1st inning. Wind is blowing out to right at about 12mph. I would avoid this game altogether.

I am not playing either.

[doubledime]

Nor am I playing either, average 1st inning runs lean to the YES. Too much conflicting data.

[SamWise]

Thanks. not playing it tonight.

Doubledime, what info do you use and what info does jnsbanman use?

[doubledime]

Thanks. not playing it tonight.

Doubledime, what info do you use and what info does jnsbanman use?

Right now I am looking at average runs per 1st inning both total and home/away. I am also using umpires, team totals vs right/left pitchers, grass/turf and day/night. I will be adding ballpark and weather. What I am still working on is how much do thse factors contibute to the outcome compared to the pitcher's first inning stats which I feel is still the biggest factor.

[SamWise]

Right now I am looking at average runs per 1st inning both total and home/away. I am also using umpires, team totals vs right/left pictures, grass/turf and day/night. I will be adding ballpark and weather. What I am still working on is how much do thse factors contibute to the outcome compared to the pitcher's first inning stats which I feel is still the biggest factor.

Definitely agree on how many pitches in first inning.
I wish i can contribute some way but you are just way above my head on 1st inning score/no score.
Thank you and keep us posted.

[thenatti]

Keep up the good info everybody!!!

[doubledime]

Already working on tommow. As for tonite will check shortly

What time do you think you'll have the pitcher info posted? I am traveling tomorrow afternoon so I will have all my filters ready tonight or early tomorrow. Thanks again for doing the more time consuming part.

[calmeat]

10-4 past 2 days
17-4 on my calculation based picks past 2 days
Im leaning towards the next games. Need to research them more but here is a start
No Score
Cle/TB
KC/TEX
SFG/MIL
NYY/SEA
CIN/ATL
BOS/DET

[jnsbanman]

Im going to make this easy on myself... too much to type for 15 games...

This is the breakdown of what everything means on my spreadsheet

L= Lean. I have 11 categories that tell me yes or no... Whichever side has more gets the lean
W= WHIP Less then a combined whip of 2.8 = no
% = Combined yes or no percent. 65% or more of 1st inning No = NO
S= Combined Runs scored in the 1st average. Less than 1 = NO
A= Combined Runs allowed in the 1st average. Less than 1 = NO

So the larger number of categories mean a stronger play. eg L/W/%/S/A for a NO is a strong NO play.
The highlighted yellow plays are what does to the record... they are the ones I have bet.

Here is a the link send me a request and I will add you

https://spreadsheets1.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en_US&key=t6wf6VfQsqHiStZgOfZDdWA&hl=en_US#gid=0

[jnsbanman]

What time do you think you'll have the pitcher info posted? I am traveling tomorrow afternoon so I will have all my filters ready tonight or early tomorrow. Thanks again for doing the more time consuming part.

... nice and early LOL.

[I_WILL_WIN]

Sf/mil - no - 4 units
laa/min - no - 3 units
kc/tex - no - 2 units
fla/lad - yes - 1 units
pit/chc - yes - 1 unit
sd/was - no - 1 unit
cle/tb - no - 1 unit
cin/atl - yes - 1 unit
bal/oak - no - 1 unit
nyy/sea - yes - 1 unit
bos/det - yes - 1 unit
cws/tor - no - 1 unit
phi/nym - yes - 1 unit
ari/hou - no - 1 unit
stl/col - no - 1 unit
--------------------------------------------
tex to score 1st - 6 units
lad to score 1st - 4 units
sfg to score 1st - 2 units
nyy to score 1st - 2 units
fla to score 1st - 2 units
tor to score 1st - 1 unit
nym to score 1st - 1 unit
col to score 1st - 1 unit
---------------------------------------------
kcr: Adcock - 2-6 in last 8 starts
tex: Lewis - 8-1 in last 9 starts

sfg: Lincecum - 9-0 in last 9 starts
mil: Marcum - 7-3 in last 10 starts

laa: Chatwood - 7-2 in last 9 starts
min: Baker - 6-3 in last 9 starts

fla: Vazquez - 8-1 in last 9 starts
lad: Garland - 0-7 in last 7 starts

[I_WILL_WIN]

I think you should stay away from yes/no in first inning game of TEX/KCR and FLA/LAD and put down a heavy bet on TEX/LAD to score 1st in the game.

[cash$bro91]

thought PIT would score in the 1st.

[jnsbanman]

so close...

[jnsbanman]

wooo pit scores 1st.

[doubledime]

In the airport with limited time. I pretty much agree with jnsb plays after using my filters. Philly/NYM have a high first inning run average but the 2 pitchers are combined 17-0 to the NO, so am playing it. I_WILL_WIN, welcome to the thread. My feeling it's just going to get better. (no pun intended) Good luck to all

[jnsbanman]

Glad to here that... My plays are

Cle/TB = NO
SD/Was = NO
Phi/NYM = NO
SF/MIL = NO
Bal/Oak = NO

Optional late play NYY/SEA = NO

[unclebuzz1]

--------------------------------------------
tex to score 1st - 6 units
lad to score 1st - 4 units
sfg to score 1st - 2 units
nyy to score 1st - 2 units
fla to score 1st - 2 units
tor to score 1st - 1 unit
nym to score 1st - 1 unit
col to score 1st - 1 unit
---------------------------------------------

Both sides of the same game? What am I missing?

.

[ebbearsfb1]

Both sides of the same game? What am I missing? .

lol

[doubledime]

Glad to here that... My plays are

Cle/TB = NO
SD/Was = NO
Phi/NYM = NO
SF/MIL = NO
Bal/Oak = NO

Optional late play NYY/SEA = NO

Nice night. Looking forward tom today

[VicVega91]

best of luck today guys !!

[jnsbanman]

Good Morning All

Great night last night

Starting with 1PM SD/Was= NO

[lilb999]

Damn SD/Wash game isnt up yet on 5dimes....

[jnsbanman]

Its still early...

Then I am going with Cle/TB=NO again

[doubledime]

JSN Like them both, especially SD/Wash.

[doubledime]

The one that really stands out tonight IMO is LAA/Minn = NO.

Have not had time to figure all the pitcher 1st inning stats for the other games.