1st Inning Stats and Betting

[Punter4Life]

Im going to make this easy on myself... too much to type for 15 games...

This is the breakdown of what everything means on my spreadsheet

L= Lean. I have 11 categories that tell me yes or no... Whichever side has more gets the lean
W= WHIP Less then a combined whip of 2.8 = no
% = Combined yes or no percent. 65% or more of 1st inning No = NO
S= Combined Runs scored in the 1st average. Less than 1 = NO
A= Combined Runs allowed in the 1st average. Less than 1 = NO

So the larger number of categories mean a stronger play. eg L/W/%/S/A for a NO is a strong NO play.
The highlighted yellow plays are what does to the record... they are the ones I have bet.

Here is a the link send me a request and I will add you

https://spreadsheets1.google.com/spr...hl=en_US#gid=0

Thanks for the work you're putting into this for us "lazy phucks".

[Bob734]

I don't find the stats No score on espn...
where is it ?

[I_WILL_WIN]

I am posting my plays in a min.....still working on details

(I just wanted to pick the correct team to score first so I picked both teams, guaranteed to win that way) LOL

[I_WILL_WIN]

NO RUN IN 1ST INNING

CWS: Jackson - 9-1 in LAST 10 STARTS
TOR: Villanueva - 7-3 in LAST 10 STARTS

[I_WILL_WIN]

NO RUN IN 1ST INNING


SDP: Stauffer - 7-2 in LAST 9 STARTS
WAS: Zimmermann - 8-1 in LAST 9 STARTS

[I_WILL_WIN]

IF I lose both of these bets, I am done posting plays and I am done betting on "Will there be a run in the 1st inning"

[SamWise]

lol, how much did you bet on each game?

I assume all of your bankroll so.. how much is your BR?

[I_WILL_WIN]

LAA@MIN - NO - 5 units
BAL@OAK - NO - 5 units
FLA@LAD - NO - 4 units
ARI@HOU - NO - 3 units
KCR@TEX - NO - 3 units
STL@COL - NO - 3 units
CLE @ TBR - NO - 2 units
SFG@MIL - YES - 2 units
CIN@ATL - YES - 2 units
PHI@NYM - YES - 2 units
NYY@SEA - NO - 2 units
------------------------------------------
TEX TO SCORE 1ST - 5 units
FLA TO SCORE 1ST - 4 units
NYY TO SCORE 1ST - 4 units
CLE TO SCORE 1ST - 2 units

[jnsbanman]

Winner winner sd was. Time for cle TB to keep it tight again.

[I_WILL_WIN]

Nah, I was just THAT sure that both were not going to lose. I ended up profiting since I put more on SD/WAS than I did on CWS/TOR. Bautista always kills my bet. At least I have 2 units on Toronto to win the game.

[SamWise]

I WILL WIN, any stats on your other left over plays?

[I_WILL_WIN]

which one(s) do you want to know about?

[I_WILL_WIN]

Here is the stat for the three that I am really looking into:

BAL@OAK; LAA@MIN and CLE@TB

[SamWise]

which one(s) do you want to know about?

Probably your top 3.

Thanks again for going through stuff for lazy ass people like me.

[I_WILL_WIN]

CLE: Carrasco - 6-2 in LAST 8 STARTS
TBR: Shields - 9-1 in LAST 10 STARTS

BAL: Bergesen - 5-4 in LAST 9 STARTS
OAK: Outman - 0-1 in LAST 1 START

LAA: Weaver - 7-3 in LAST 10 STARTS
MIN: Swarzak - 2-1 in LAST 3 STARTS

[SamWise]

with this stats, shouldn't BAL/OAK should be YES score?

[balls2wall]

I don't find the stats No score on espn...
where is it ?

to get the pitcher stats for this go to this page http://espn.go.com/mlb/schedule then click on the pitchers for the game you want on the far right

then click on the game logs tab for each pitcher then look at each game individually


I wish there was a place that listed all the games on one page for each pitcher

[jnsbanman]

Sorry to those requesting spreadsheet access. I am not home and I am posting this from my phone... I should be back before the cle TB game. Play no.

[doubledime]

Did not work through all the picther data, (very time consuming), but with the ones I did, tonight I see only one play after filters.
LAA/Minn = NO

Fl/LAD = YES almost made my cut, I may touch it for a bit. Good luck to all. It's cocktail time! Don't forget to fly your flag this weekend to honor our fallen soldiers. BOL to all

[balls2wall]

6pm stats

Here you go guys. I did the pitcher stats for the 6pm games.


CIN VS ATL Arroyo yes=4 no=6 Lowe yes=3 no=8

PHI VS NYM Hamels yes=1 no=9 Pelfrey yes=3 no=7

STL VS COL Garcia yes=1 no=9 Nicasio yes=0 no=0

KC VS TEX Osullivan yes=3 no=6 Harrison yes=3 no=6

CLE VS TAM Carrasco yes=2 no=6 Shields yes=1 no=9

BOS VS DET Buchholz yes=1 no=9 Oliver yes=3 no=2



BOL to all

[doubledime]

thanks B2W

[doubledime]

Maybe it would be a good idea if we split up figuring the pitcher first inning stats among the guys interested in this thread. If we get four guys, each would take 1/4 of the games. If somebody can't do it one day he just let's us know and the remaining guys just do a little more. I'm in!!

Just a thought.

[jnsbanman]

getting all the stats together during the week isnt an issue for me.. just the weekends tend to be busy for me.

I think I should have time tomorrow to get them all done. Watch the spreadsheet

[calmeat]

Here are the games i like for tom. based solely on combined pitcher WHIP

CLE/TB 2.41
ARI/HOU 2.09
LAA/MIN 2.31
STL/CO 2.0
BALT/OAK 2.12
FL/LAD 2.35
BOS/DET 1.91 2nd game
CIN/ATL 2.15

[Bob734]

Early games:

DET/BOS : Clay Buchholz yes=1 no=9 Andrew Oliver yes=3 no=2

TOR/CWS : John Danks yes=5 no=5 ( 4 yes last 6 starts ) Ricky Romero yes=2 no=8 ( 5 no last 5 starts )

NYM/PHI : Vance Worley yes=3 no=2 Jonathon Niese yes=4 no=6

WSH/SD : Dustin Moseley yes=3 no=7 Yunesky Maya yes=0 no=0

TB/CLE : Justin Masterson yes=3 no=7 Jeremy Hellickson yes=2 no=7

BOL guys

[doubledime]

Early games:

DET/BOS : Clay Buchholz yes=1 no=9 Andrew Oliver yes=3 no=2

TOR/CWS : John Danks yes=5 no=5 ( 4 yes last 6 starts ) Ricky Romero yes=2 no=8 ( 5 no last 5 starts )

NYM/PHI : Vance Worley yes=3 no=2 Jonathon Niese yes=4 no=6

WSH/SD : Dustin Moseley yes=3 no=7 Yunesky Maya yes=0 no=0

TB/CLE : Justin Masterson yes=3 no=7 Jeremy Hellickson yes=2 no=7

BOL guys

Thanks. I will start comparing against my filters.

[Bob734]

HOU/ARI : Josh Collmenter yes=3 no=7 ( 6 no last 6 starts ) J.A. Happ yes=4 no=6

MIL/SF : Matt Cain yes=0 no=10 Yovani Gallardo yes=3 no=8 ( 5 no last 5 starts )

MIN/LAA : Dan Haren yes=1 no=10 ( 9 no last 9 starts ) Carl Pavano yes=3 no=7 ( 7 no last 8 starts )

CHC/PIT : Jeff Karstens yes=2 no=9 Ryan Dempster yes=4 no=7

TEX/KC : Danny Duffy yes=0 no=2 Alexi Ogando yes=1 no=8 ( 4 no last 4 starts )

Probably more later..

BOB

[doubledime]

Thanks again Bob.

The only two I see so far that pass my filters are:

Clev/TB = NO
LAA/Minn = NO

Almost made it:

Philly/Mets = YES

BOL

[calmeat]

doubledime what about
CIN/ATL
FLA/LAAD
STL/CO
or any of the others i have in my post above? Thanks gotta get my bets in early due to BBQ

Thanks

[balls2wall]

thanks B2W

no problem DD

[Bob734]

COL/STL : Kyle Lohse yes=1 no=9 ( 8 no last 8 starts ) Jhoulys Chacin yes=2 no=8 ( 5 no last 6 starts )

OAK/BAL : Zach Britton yes=1 no=9 Guillermo Moscoso yes=0 no=1

LAD/FLA : Ricky Nolasco yes=2 no=8 ( 4 no last 4 starts ) Clayton Kershaw yes=2 no=9

SEA/NYY : CC Sabathia yes=3 no=8 Jason Vargas yes=2 no=8

Bob

[jnsbanman]

First glance I like those 3 bob

[doubledime]

doubledime what about
CIN/ATL
FLA/LAAD
STL/CO
or any of the others i have in my post above? Thanks gotta get my bets in early due to BBQ

Thanks

None make it thru my filters.

[doubledime]

I'm adding:

Balt/Oak = NO

thanks again Bob

BOL

[doubledime]

By the way, I am ultra conserative on my plays. There are probabably many other winners I'm missing.