Big Dog MLB 2011

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  • Vastey
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-02-10
    • 348

    #141
    As I think from may this system will goes near the zero. But that profit, you have to this day, is very nice. I'll remember to play that way next season's beginning.
    Comment
    • rkelly110
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 10-05-09
      • 39691

      #142
      Some interesting stats for this month. Games that are tied on the ML @ -111 (1.90)
      has hit at a good rate. I've noticed this in previous years, also.

      Away ML -111 (1.90) has won 13-6 68%. Bet to win 1 unit, has won +6 units.

      Away -RL using -111 as a guide has won 11-8 58%, avg odds of +148 (2.48)
      Betting 1 unit would've won +8.28 units.

      The games don't come too often, but are hitting pretty good. Add this to your arsenal.
      Comment
      • nicolaitanghoj
        Restricted User
        • 02-28-11
        • 213

        #143
        rkelly is it okay if I pm you? I really wanna talk with you about some stats
        Comment
        • rkelly110
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 10-05-09
          • 39691

          #144
          Sure, I'll help with what I can.
          Comment
          • Mr.Carrot
            Restricted User
            • 03-15-10
            • 1148

            #145
            No play for today?
            Comment
            • bombCanada
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 08-19-09
              • 965

              #146
              Originally posted by Mr.Carrot
              No play for today?
              Sorry guys, yesterday was one of those days, plays for 2 days ago were:

              4/24:
              Astros 136 5.00u *lose*
              Padres 173 5.00u *lose*
              Royals 188 5.00u *lose*

              you didn't miss much.

              Plays for yesterday were:

              4/25:

              Diamondbacks 141 5.00u *win*
              White Sox 179 5.00u *win*
              Blue Jays 139 5.00u *win*
              A's 140 5.00u *lose*

              now 48-52 +69.42u
              Comment
              • bombCanada
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 08-19-09
                • 965

                #147
                4/26:
                Royals +144 5.00u
                Blue Jays +165 5.00u

                Best luck!
                Comment
                • bombCanada
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 08-19-09
                  • 965

                  #148
                  Originally posted by Vastey
                  As I think from may this system will goes near the zero. But that profit, you have to this day, is very nice. I'll remember to play that way next season's beginning.
                  Thank you. For this system to go below zero dogs will have to lose at a rate exceeding 67 percent (not adjusting for the fact that its 60+ units to the good).
                  Comment
                  • Vastey
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 08-02-10
                    • 348

                    #149
                    Sorry, my English really is very bad... I meant it'll be plus and minus the same amount, and you'll finish the season with the same profit you have now.
                    Comment
                    • bombCanada
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 08-19-09
                      • 965

                      #150
                      Originally posted by Vastey
                      Sorry, my English really is very bad... I meant it'll be plus and minus the same amount, and you'll finish the season with the same profit you have now.
                      Tell us more. How do you come to that conclusion?
                      Comment
                      • bombCanada
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 08-19-09
                        • 965

                        #151
                        Originally posted by bombCanada
                        4/26:
                        Royals +144 5.00u *lose*
                        Blue Jays +165 5.00u *win*
                        now 49-53 +72.67
                        Comment
                        • bombCanada
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 08-19-09
                          • 965

                          #152
                          4/27:

                          Reds +141 6.00u
                          Diamondbacks +145 6.00u
                          Mariners +187 6.00u
                          Athletics +158 6.00u
                          White Sox +145 6.00u
                          Orioles +143 6.00u
                          Blue Jays +166 6.00u

                          Big Day. Best luck!
                          Comment
                          • rkelly110
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 10-05-09
                            • 39691

                            #153
                            Good job BC, a lot of games today @ 6 units? Holy hell, at this rate you'll win 800
                            units for the season. Go get 'em!
                            Comment
                            • Vastey
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 08-02-10
                              • 348

                              #154
                              Just look for results: the underdogs win a little rarely than early time.
                              For example, I've won SRB pool with this system 2 weeks ago. The last week I've finished in the middle of the table.
                              And, sure, bookmakers have more objective stats to make lines.
                              Comment
                              • bombCanada
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 08-19-09
                                • 965

                                #155
                                Originally posted by rkelly110
                                Good job BC, a lot of games today @ 6 units? Holy hell, at this rate you'll win 800
                                units for the season. Go get 'em!
                                Size is a little bigger because there have been a few more losers. I probably should have increased size sooner to clear my current line.

                                Expected win-rate is 40%, we're running above that, and we know that at 40% a series of -110 (that's 1.91 to you) will clear lines over time. Since we're talking above +135 (2.35), at 40% should kick *ss over time. Things are dragging now because we started out over 50% and are now drifting down toward 40%.

                                I've got a bankroll dedicated to it, and if it blows out, well then I've learned something, but it's not the end of the world.
                                Comment
                                • bombCanada
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 08-19-09
                                  • 965

                                  #156
                                  Originally posted by Vastey
                                  Just look for results: the underdogs win a little rarely than early time.
                                  For example, I've won SRB pool with this system 2 weeks ago. The last week I've finished in the middle of the table.
                                  And, sure, bookmakers have more objective stats to make lines.
                                  Week to week comparisons for this system are probably a little short, time-wise. Month to month may be better. But if we're still at 40% at the end of the year, we'll be just fine. Remember, this is not flat betting, this is not chasing, this is Labouchere money management. As long as you have the bankroll for it, winning at a 34% rate will make $$ in the end. Just don't get freaked out if the games don't dribble in perfectly at 4 wins and 6 losses. There will be some big losing and some big winning days. It all evens out.
                                  Comment
                                  • nicolaitanghoj
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 02-28-11
                                    • 213

                                    #157
                                    I don't think i understand the labouchere money management. I even read about it but all I found out was that is has been used for casino?
                                    Comment
                                    • bombCanada
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 08-19-09
                                      • 965

                                      #158
                                      Originally posted by bombCanada
                                      4/27:
                                      Reds +141 6.00u *win*
                                      Diamondbacks +145 6.00u *lose*
                                      Mariners +187 6.00u *win*
                                      Athletics +158 6.00u *win*
                                      White Sox +145 6.00u *lose*
                                      Orioles +143 6.00u *win*
                                      Blue Jays +166 6.00u *lose*
                                      now 53-56 +92.41u
                                      Comment
                                      • bombCanada
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 08-19-09
                                        • 965

                                        #159
                                        4/28:
                                        White Sox +187 5.00u
                                        Blue Jays +142 5.00u
                                        Orioles +169 5.00u
                                        Royals +150 5.00u

                                        Best luck!
                                        Comment
                                        • bombCanada
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 08-19-09
                                          • 965

                                          #160
                                          Originally posted by nicolaitanghoj
                                          I don't think i understand the labouchere money management. I even read about it but all I found out was that is has been used for casino?
                                          Keep searching. There's some good material on it for use in sports wagering. Within SBR, search for posts by JW Cash. He's explained how he uses Labouchere multiple times, and he's very successful with it.
                                          Comment
                                          • rkelly110
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 10-05-09
                                            • 39691

                                            #161
                                            Originally posted by nicolaitanghoj
                                            I don't think i understand the labouchere money management. I even read about it but all I found out was that is has been used for casino?


                                            Post #55 is what I wrote up on the use of Labouchere lines.

                                            Believe me, I'm no expert, but gives you an idea how they work for sports.
                                            Comment
                                            • rkelly110
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 10-05-09
                                              • 39691

                                              #162
                                              BC should stand for "Bookie Crusher", you're crushing the hell out of 'em!

                                              Good job buddy, get 'em today!

                                              Atlanta was a +110 play yesterday and annihilated the Padres. I just missed the bet.

                                              I've been chasing the Philly's to win one game in a series. I pussed out on the C bet
                                              and bet only 1/2 what I was supposed to. Still a winner.
                                              Comment
                                              • bombCanada
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 08-19-09
                                                • 965

                                                #163
                                                Thanks man.

                                                So if you're going to chase to win why not use a 4 line lab setup instead? That would take a lot of stress out of it. PM me if you want to talk more about it.
                                                Comment
                                                • Vastey
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 08-02-10
                                                  • 348

                                                  #164
                                                  It's really hard to find Lab system for several bets a day... I've read a lot of posts and articles about Lab, but found nothing like bombCanada uses. May you give a short description or direct link for it, please?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • rkelly110
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 10-05-09
                                                    • 39691

                                                    #165
                                                    I used a 4 line setup during preseason on Philly, might have to revert back to that.

                                                    At 11 am there were two -110 away plays. NY Mets and the Cubs.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LtDementia
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 08-22-10
                                                      • 203

                                                      #166
                                                      Originally posted by bombCanada
                                                      Thanks man.

                                                      So if you're going to chase to win why not use a 4 line lab setup instead? That would take a lot of stress out of it. PM me if you want to talk more about it.
                                                      I'd be interested in how you structure a 4 line labby - Do you combine games when you have more than 4?

                                                      Thanks!

                                                      LT
                                                      Comment
                                                      • bombCanada
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 08-19-09
                                                        • 965

                                                        #167
                                                        Originally posted by bombCanada
                                                        4/28:
                                                        White Sox +187 5.00u *lose*
                                                        Blue Jays +142 5.00u *win*
                                                        Orioles +169 5.00u *lose*
                                                        Royals +150 5.00u *lose*
                                                        now 54-59 +84.51u
                                                        Comment
                                                        • bombCanada
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 08-19-09
                                                          • 965

                                                          #168
                                                          4/29:

                                                          Nationals +153 6.00u
                                                          Marlins +136 6.00u
                                                          Pirates +177 6.00u
                                                          Mariners +185 6.00u
                                                          Blue Jays +139 6.00u
                                                          Orioles +147 6.00u

                                                          Best luck!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bombCanada
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 08-19-09
                                                            • 965

                                                            #169
                                                            Originally posted by LtDementia

                                                            I'd be interested in how you structure a 4 line labby - Do you combine games when you have more than 4?

                                                            Thanks!

                                                            LT
                                                            The suggestion for 4 lines was specific to the situation where there's an assumption that the outcomes of the games are dependent upon the previous games (ie. that a team won't be swept in a 3 or 4 game series).

                                                            I'm using 1 long line (10 numbers) for this system. If the 2 outside numbers add up to 6, then I use 6 for every game on that day (like today). Add the losses to the end, cross out the wins, and off I go to tomorrow. It's not rocket science, because I'm not smart enough. Simple is good.

                                                            Seach the hockey forum for posts by JW Cash. It'll take you a while, but he's written more about this than anyone else.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • nicolaitanghoj
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 02-28-11
                                                              • 213

                                                              #170
                                                              Is this a safe way to get profit if you know how to do manage the units??
                                                              I'll have to learn this
                                                              Comment
                                                              • nicolaitanghoj
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 02-28-11
                                                                • 213

                                                                #171
                                                                So when you are up 80 units you are still chasin your "goal" with this series?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bombCanada
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 08-19-09
                                                                  • 965

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Originally posted by nicolaitanghoj
                                                                  So when you are up 80 units you are still chasin your "goal" with this series?
                                                                  I'm not chasing anything. I use odds to pick a set of games every day, and I use a money management method to set my wager size every day. You'll notice that 2 days ago my wager size went down, not up. The overall day was a loser, so my wager size went back up the next day. That's how Labouchere works when you clear lines.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jsw64
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 02-28-11
                                                                    • 520

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Wow,6-0,all dogs-very nice job.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Vastey
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 08-02-10
                                                                      • 348

                                                                      #174
                                                                      That was great night!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • bombCanada
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 08-19-09
                                                                        • 965

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Originally posted by bombCanada
                                                                        4/29:

                                                                        Nationals +153 6.00u *win*
                                                                        Marlins +136 6.00u *win*
                                                                        Pirates +177 6.00u *win*
                                                                        Mariners +185 6.00u *win*
                                                                        Blue Jays +139 6.00u *win*
                                                                        Orioles +147 6.00u *win*
                                                                        60-59 +140.73u

                                                                        so this is where you say "if only I'd done a parlay"...

                                                                        but just remember rule #1.
                                                                        Comment
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