As I think from may this system will goes near the zero. But that profit, you have to this day, is very nice. I'll remember to play that way next season's beginning.
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Some interesting stats for this month. Games that are tied on the ML @ -111 (1.90)
has hit at a good rate. I've noticed this in previous years, also.
Away ML -111 (1.90) has won 13-6 68%. Bet to win 1 unit, has won +6 units.
Away -RL using -111 as a guide has won 11-8 58%, avg odds of +148 (2.48)
Betting 1 unit would've won +8.28 units.
The games don't come too often, but are hitting pretty good. Add this to your arsenal.Comment -
rkelly is it okay if I pm you? I really wanna talk with you about some stats
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Sure, I'll help with what I can.Comment -
No play for today?
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Sorry guys, yesterday was one of those days, plays for 2 days ago were:Originally posted by Mr.CarrotNo play for today?
4/24:
Astros 136 5.00u *lose*
Padres 173 5.00u *lose*
Royals 188 5.00u *lose*
you didn't miss much.
Plays for yesterday were:
4/25:
Diamondbacks 141 5.00u *win*
White Sox 179 5.00u *win*
Blue Jays 139 5.00u *win*
A's 140 5.00u *lose*
now 48-52 +69.42uComment -
4/26:
Royals +144 5.00u
Blue Jays +165 5.00u
Best luck!Comment -
Thank you. For this system to go below zero dogs will have to lose at a rate exceeding 67 percent (not adjusting for the fact that its 60+ units to the good).Originally posted by VasteyComment -
Sorry, my English really is very bad... I meant it'll be plus and minus the same amount, and you'll finish the season with the same profit you have now.Comment -
Tell us more. How do you come to that conclusion?Originally posted by VasteyComment -
now 49-53 +72.67Originally posted by bombCanadaComment -
4/27:
Reds +141 6.00u
Diamondbacks +145 6.00u
Mariners +187 6.00u
Athletics +158 6.00u
White Sox +145 6.00u
Orioles +143 6.00u
Blue Jays +166 6.00u
Big Day. Best luck!Comment -
Good job BC, a lot of games today @ 6 units? Holy hell, at this rate you'll win 800
units for the season. Go get 'em!Comment -
Just look for results: the underdogs win a little rarely than early time.
For example, I've won SRB pool with this system 2 weeks ago. The last week I've finished in the middle of the table.
And, sure, bookmakers have more objective stats to make lines.Comment -
Size is a little bigger because there have been a few more losers. I probably should have increased size sooner to clear my current line.Originally posted by rkelly110
Expected win-rate is 40%, we're running above that, and we know that at 40% a series of -110 (that's 1.91 to you) will clear lines over time. Since we're talking above +135 (2.35), at 40% should kick *ss over time. Things are dragging now because we started out over 50% and are now drifting down toward 40%.
I've got a bankroll dedicated to it, and if it blows out, well then I've learned something, but it's not the end of the world.Comment -
Week to week comparisons for this system are probably a little short, time-wise. Month to month may be better. But if we're still at 40% at the end of the year, we'll be just fine. Remember, this is not flat betting, this is not chasing, this is Labouchere money management. As long as you have the bankroll for it, winning at a 34% rate will make $$ in the end. Just don't get freaked out if the games don't dribble in perfectly at 4 wins and 6 losses. There will be some big losing and some big winning days. It all evens out.Originally posted by VasteyComment -
I don't think i understand the labouchere money management. I even read about it but all I found out was that is has been used for casino?Comment -
now 53-56 +92.41uOriginally posted by bombCanadaComment -
4/28:
White Sox +187 5.00u
Blue Jays +142 5.00u
Orioles +169 5.00u
Royals +150 5.00u
Best luck!Comment -
Keep searching. There's some good material on it for use in sports wagering. Within SBR, search for posts by JW Cash. He's explained how he uses Labouchere multiple times, and he's very successful with it.Originally posted by nicolaitanghojComment -
Originally posted by nicolaitanghoj
Post #55 is what I wrote up on the use of Labouchere lines.
Believe me, I'm no expert, but gives you an idea how they work for sports.Comment -
BC should stand for "Bookie Crusher", you're crushing the hell out of 'em!
Good job buddy, get 'em today!
Atlanta was a +110 play yesterday and annihilated the Padres. I just missed the bet.
I've been chasing the Philly's to win one game in a series. I pussed out on the C bet
and bet only 1/2 what I was supposed to. Still a winner.Comment -
Thanks man.
So if you're going to chase to win why not use a 4 line lab setup instead? That would take a lot of stress out of it. PM me if you want to talk more about it.Comment -
It's really hard to find Lab system for several bets a day... I've read a lot of posts and articles about Lab, but found nothing like bombCanada uses. May you give a short description or direct link for it, please?Comment -
I used a 4 line setup during preseason on Philly, might have to revert back to that.
At 11 am there were two -110 away plays. NY Mets and the Cubs.Comment -
I'd be interested in how you structure a 4 line labby - Do you combine games when you have more than 4?Originally posted by bombCanada
Thanks!
LTComment -
now 54-59 +84.51uOriginally posted by bombCanadaComment -
4/29:
Nationals +153 6.00u
Marlins +136 6.00u
Pirates +177 6.00u
Mariners +185 6.00u
Blue Jays +139 6.00u
Orioles +147 6.00u
Best luck!Comment -
The suggestion for 4 lines was specific to the situation where there's an assumption that the outcomes of the games are dependent upon the previous games (ie. that a team won't be swept in a 3 or 4 game series).Originally posted by LtDementia
I'm using 1 long line (10 numbers) for this system. If the 2 outside numbers add up to 6, then I use 6 for every game on that day (like today). Add the losses to the end, cross out the wins, and off I go to tomorrow. It's not rocket science, because I'm not smart enough. Simple is good.
Seach the hockey forum for posts by JW Cash. It'll take you a while, but he's written more about this than anyone else.Comment -
Is this a safe way to get profit if you know how to do manage the units??
I'll have to learn this
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So when you are up 80 units you are still chasin your "goal" with this series?Comment -
I'm not chasing anything. I use odds to pick a set of games every day, and I use a money management method to set my wager size every day. You'll notice that 2 days ago my wager size went down, not up. The overall day was a loser, so my wager size went back up the next day. That's how Labouchere works when you clear lines.Originally posted by nicolaitanghojComment -
Wow,6-0,all dogs-very nice job.Comment -
That was great night!Comment -
60-59 +140.73uOriginally posted by bombCanada
so this is where you say "if only I'd done a parlay"...
but just remember rule #1.
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