Om jorge's mlb shack 2011

[sitgo]

thank you for today plays.

[jorge1]

Sorry. I meant to play col -6 one time. Then col +123 one time. Its bec there r two games today.

There might be a play on minnesota but I'm waiting on line changes on that game. I like em but I dunno. So far so good with the first play colorado as a dog winning.

I have confidence in the long term success of the system. The first few weeks were to kinda collect data and play lots of games to pick around winners but now w the system I'm sticking to it.

I am currently working on additional filters for the system but its like everything will get better with time. I backtested this year all last year and before that and I don't wanna boast great results. Let's just say it makes money. Lots of money. Its based on opening lines. Oipening runlines and line movement. Not so much on stats. But then I'm working on weeding out the plays that are shaky and stuill creating a few filters and backtesting them as well to see if we squeez more out of it. Its hit this year 72 percent. 2010 hit 63 percent and 2009 hit 57 percent. That is without filters just rawdogging the system and picking every game a day. Obviously there r filters and common sense that makes u stay away from losing plays which should raise up the winning percentage by two to three additional percent.

I don't wanna talk trash but I aim at hitting 55 percent. That is dogs. Cheap faves and fave runlines. So we will be at plus money most of the time as usual to keep our head affloat.

100 units. Here we come!

[jorge1]

78329435-14/14/11 5:49pm$100.00$120.00
Pending4/14/11 6:40pm MLB Baseball 915 Minnesota Twins +120* vs Tampa Bay Rays (C Pavano - R must Start J Shields - R must Start)


NOT TOO CRAZY ABOUT THE PLAY BUT I THINK THIS GAME IS SPLIT RIGHT DOWN THE MIDDLE...i think its a coin flip, and at plus odds, ill take it...

i dont buy that TB is up from their slump..they face the stache tonight...this will be a one run game..and ill take a dog in a close game anyday!!!

plus this is the play from the system...

[jorge1]

tomorrow:

78350406-14/15/11 12:37am$50.00$93.00
Pending4/15/11 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 951 Florida Marlins +186* vs Philadelphia Phillies (J Vasquez - R must Start R Oswalt - R must Start)78350406-24/15/11 12:37am$61.00$50.00
Pending4/15/11 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 953 Milwaukee Brewers -122* vs Washington Nationals (C Narveson - L must Start T Gorzelanny - L must Start)78350406-34/15/11 12:37am$50.00$65.00
Pending4/15/11 7:10pm Reduced Baseball 956 Cincinnati Reds -1½ +130* vs Pittsburgh Pirates (C Morton - R must Start B Arroyo - R must Start)78350406-44/15/11 12:37am$50.00$62.50
Pending4/15/11 7:35pm Reduced Baseball 958 Atlanta Braves -1½ +125* vs New York Mets (D Carrasco - R must Start D Lowe - R must Start)78350406-54/15/11 12:37am$50.50$50.00
Pending4/15/11 8:05pm Reduced Baseball 959 San Diego Padres -101* vs Houston Astros (A Harang - R must Start J Happ - L must Start)78350406-64/15/11 12:37am$50.00$72.50
Pending4/15/11 8:40pm Reduced Baseball 962 Colorado Rockies -1½ +145* vs Chicago Cubs (M Garza - R must Start J Chacin - R must Start)78350406-74/15/11 12:37am$57.00$50.00
Pending4/15/11 9:40pm Reduced Baseball 963 San Francisco Giants -114* vs Arizona Diamondbacks (M Cain - R must Start D Hudson - R must Start)78350406-84/15/11 12:37am$50.00$92.50
Pending4/15/11 10:10pm Reduced Baseball 966 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +185* vs St. Louis Cardinals (K Lohse - R must Start J Garland - R must Start)78350406-94/15/11 12:37am$50.00$70.00
Pending4/15/11 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 968 New York Yankees -1½ +140* vs Texas Rangers (M Harrison - L must Start I Nova - R must Start)78350406-104/15/11 12:37am$51.50$50.00
Pending4/15/11 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 969 Baltimore Orioles -103* vs Cleveland Indians (Z Britton - L must Start J Masterson - R must Start)78350406-114/15/11 12:37am$50.00$83.50
Pending4/15/11 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 971 Toronto Blue Jays +167* vs Boston Red Sox (B Cecil - L must Start C Buchholz - R must Start)78350406-124/15/11 12:37am$61.50$50.00
Pending4/15/11 7:10pm Reduced Baseball 974 Tampa Bay Rays -123* vs Minnesota Twins (N Blackburn - R must Start W Davis - R must Start)78350406-134/15/11 12:37am$60.50$50.00
Pending4/15/11 8:10pm Reduced Baseball 976 Kansas City Royals -121* vs Seattle Mariners (E Bedard - L must Start L Hochevar - R must Start)78350406-144/15/11 12:37am$61.00$50.00
Pending4/15/11 8:10pm Reduced Baseball 977 Los Angeles Angels -122* vs Chicago White Sox (Jer Weaver - R must Start P Humber - R must Start)78350406-154/15/11 12:37am$50.00$63.50
Pending4/15/11 10:05pm Reduced Baseball 979 Detroit Tigers +127* vs Oakland Athletics (R Porcello - R must Start B McCarthy - R must Start)

[incomeraise]

Thanks jorge so shld I do 10 pesos for thse one since its half a unit?

[jorge1]

I'm betting half unit. So whatever ur unit is set at. PM me with details of ur roll to see where r u at that I don't know exactly how u r doing.

But yesterday was a great day huh?

[sitgo]

So huge card today: too many for my $$$

[jorge1]

Too many? Lol I know. Then don't play em my friend. Bol either way.

Went 7-4 +5.06x yesterday

This week:

26-28 +5.71x

Glad we are cashing in this week after such a losing week the last one

Week one: +11.49x
Week two: -8.04x
Week to date: +5.06x

So to date we are sitting on +8.51x profit...

Not bad but hoping to break 15x by the end of the weekend.

[incomeraise]

k will send u a pm.
by the way meant to ask if having that many plays for your system is something to expect or is it going to be an every now and then thing?
Just dont want a bad day to wipe my roll off or take a big chunk of it
thanks

[jorge1]

I understand. Tell u what. Since the systtem is still new and I don't wanna risk u losing a big chunk let's pick three or four of the best plays and play those. Deal?

[jorge1]

Well. I'm still tweaking the system but I'd expect to have a max of 5 to 7 picks a day. Even coming from those ill filter them and start doing what I've always done during the mid season. Play three plays a day or so. Not even. Last year I did jorges one a day plays and cashed like 20-7 or something like that In august.

I hate playing many games but that's why I'm playin them small. Once we get going I start hitting games for diferent amounts.

[gamble]

good stuff, keep up the good picks man

[jorge1]

Gammmble!

What's the deal my man? Long time bro. How r u?

[jorge1]

Apart from the system which im still tweaking here are the main plays of the day:

78374394-14/15/11 5:11pm$50.00$50.00
Pending4/15/11 7:05pm MLB Baseball 953 Milwaukee Brewers -1 +100* vs Washington Nationals (C Narveson - L must Start T Gorzelanny - L must Start)

78374394-24/15/11 5:11pm$480.00$400.00
Pending4/15/11 8:05pm MLB Baseball 960 Houston Astros Under 4 -120* vs San Diego Padres (A Harang - R must Start J Happ - L must Start)

78374394-34/15/11 5:11pm$150.00$183.00
Pending4/15/11 8:40pm MLB Baseball 961 Chicago Cubs/Colorado Rockies Over 9 +122* (M Garza - R must Start J Chacin - R must Start)

78374394-44/15/11 5:11pm$100.00$100.00
Pending4/15/11 7:10pm MLB Baseball 973 Minnesota Twins/Tampa Bay Rays Under 8 +100* (N Blackburn - R must Start W Davis - R must Start)

78374394-54/15/11 5:11pm$50.00$80.00
Pending4/15/11 8:10pm Reduced Baseball 976 Kansas City Royals -1½ +160* vs Seattle Mariners (E Bedard - L must Start L Hochevar - R must Start)

78374394-64/15/11 5:11pm$50.00$62.50
Pending4/15/11 8:10pm Reduced Baseball 977 Los Angeles Angels -1½ +125* vs Chicago White Sox (Jer Weaver - R must Start P Humber - R must Start)

[incomeraise]

deal...i ll just follow the main plays ..might be better for me this way

[kenjikash]

love your picks jorge, lets keep the ball rolling.

[jorge1]

I like the system, but too many plays..i feel that MIL, KC and LAA plays are the strongest..the reason why i play them at RL on each of these that i jsut posted is because i already have them in the system on the ML...

so if i didnt, id play these plays above, but instead of runlines, MONEYLINES...

reasoning behind plays: besides the system i am now running the plays above are as follows:

MIL ML/-1 : narvesson dominates gorzelanny imo. he came out pitchin well this season and here he shuts em down. MIL won 7 of last 8 while WSH has lost 3 of last 5. they are on a two games losing streak and imo this streak is gonna go 5 to 6 games deep. only edge wsh has stats wise is bullpen, however, wsh bullpen worn out from facing philly, while MIl is nice and rested and bats are hot!

HOUS TT UNDER 4: anyone who followed me last year knows all the reasons why i bet these HOUSTON TT unders...i cashed this 12-2 last year...this is one of those spots where they face a team who keeps the balls on teh ground and teams under a run or two...SDG has allowed opponents OVER 4 two times of last 10 games.

COL/CHC - going to chicago, its TOUGH to pitch...last three years the over is 11-1 in colorado between these two...(I THINK..MIGHT BE WRONG by a game or two). COLORADO bats are hot..they claw and fight their way back into games, and besides liking them on the runline, i think the OVER cashes EAASISIIIIILYYY here..trust!

MIN/TB UNDER 8...TB is excited, amped! on their way up..while MINNY is on their way down..but TB wins by pitching..and these tense games are always under in tampa...i see a 1-0 or 2-0 win here...I dont see any one team pulling away with it today. specially with the pitching..these teams know each other, and each pitcher keeps the lineups in check for 7 innings...

KC- this is mroe of a seattle fade..bedard is whack! and KC got that mojo right now.

LAA - jerrrrrrr weaver! on fire..period...best period! right now he is it IMO...Phillies rotation doing well as well, but strategically..he is SIMPLY untouchable and will continue to be for the remainder of the month and regress a bit in may.

BOL guys!

[jorge1]

78386412-14/15/11 9:09pm$32.64$154.72
Pending3 Team Parlay




Pending4/15/11 9:40pm MLB Baseball 963 San Francisco Giants -2½ +230* vs Arizona Diamondbacks (M Cain - R must Start D Hudson - R must Start)




Pending4/15/11 10:10pm MLB Baseball 965 St. Louis Cardinals +2½ -355* vs Los Angeles Dodgers (K Lohse - R must Start J Garland - R must Start)




Pending4/15/11 10:05pm MLB Baseball 979 Detroit Tigers +2½ -280* vs Oakland Athletics (R Porcello - R must Start B McCarthy - R must Start)

[jorge1]

FACCKKKK...i messed up and got SFO -2.5 instead of +2.5!!!!

[incomeraise]

Lol but guess what you won

[sitgo]

Best of luck today on your plays

[greva]

FACCKKKK...i messed up and got SFO -2.5 instead of +2.5!!!!

Cant complain now

Nice hit on Hou TT

[jorge1]

Income howd u do yesterday? I cleared +7x for the day...

[jorge1]

tomorrow: 78350406-14/15/11 12:37am$50.00$93.00 Pending4/15/11 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 951 Florida Marlins +186* vs Philadelphia Phillies (J Vasquez - R must Start R Oswalt - R must Start)

78350406-24/15/11 12:37am$61.00$50.00 Pending4/15/11 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 953 Milwaukee Brewers -122* vs Washington Nationals (C Narveson - L must Start T Gorzelanny - L must Start)

78350406-34/15/11 12:37am$50.00$65.00 Pending4/15/11 7:10pm Reduced Baseball 956 Cincinnati Reds -1½ +130* vs Pittsburgh Pirates (C Morton - R must Start B Arroyo - R must Start)

78350406-44/15/11 12:37am$50.00$62.50 Pending4/15/11 7:35pm Reduced Baseball 958 Atlanta Braves -1½ +125* vs New York Mets (D Carrasco - R must Start D Lowe - R must Start)

78350406-54/15/11 12:37am$50.50$50.00 Pending4/15/11 8:05pm Reduced Baseball 959 San Diego Padres -101* vs Houston Astros (A Harang - R must Start J Happ - L must Start)

78350406-64/15/11 12:37am$50.00$72.50 Pending4/15/11 8:40pm Reduced Baseball 962 Colorado Rockies -1½ +145* vs Chicago Cubs (M Garza - R must Start J Chacin - R must Start)

78350406-74/15/11 12:37am$57.00$50.00 Pending4/15/11 9:40pm Reduced Baseball 963 San Francisco Giants -114* vs Arizona Diamondbacks (M Cain - R must Start D Hudson - R must Start)

78350406-84/15/11 12:37am$50.00$92.50 Pending4/15/11 10:10pm Reduced Baseball 966 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +185* vs St. Louis Cardinals (K Lohse - R must Start J Garland - R must Start)

78350406-94/15/11 12:37am$50.00$70.00 Pending4/15/11 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 968 New York Yankees -1½ +140* vs Texas Rangers (M Harrison - L must Start I Nova - R must Start)

78350406-104/15/11 12:37am$51.50$50.00 Pending4/15/11 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 969 Baltimore Orioles -103* vs Cleveland Indians (Z Britton - L must Start J Masterson - R must Start)

78350406-114/15/11 12:37am$50.00$83.50 Pending4/15/11 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 971 Toronto Blue Jays +167* vs Boston Red Sox (B Cecil - L must Start C Buchholz - R must Start)

78350406-124/15/11 12:37am$61.50$50.00 Pending4/15/11 7:10pm Reduced Baseball 974 Tampa Bay Rays -123* vs Minnesota Twins (N Blackburn - R must Start W Davis - R must Start)

78350406-134/15/11 12:37am$60.50$50.00 Pending4/15/11 8:10pm Reduced Baseball 976 Kansas City Royals -121* vs Seattle Mariners (E Bedard - L must Start L Hochevar - R must Start)

78350406-144/15/11 12:37am$61.00$50.00 Pending4/15/11 8:10pm Reduced Baseball 977 Los Angeles Angels -122* vs Chicago White Sox (Jer Weaver - R must Start P Humber - R must Start)

78350406-154/15/11 12:37am$50.00$63.50 Pending4/15/11 10:05pm Reduced Baseball 979 Detroit Tigers +127* vs Oakland Athletics (R Porcello - R must Start B McCarthy - R must Start)

yeah, i guess the system did have too many plays, lol

7-4 thursday
9-5 friday

16-9 overall for THE SYSTEM...but i guess i wont post it anymore since its so many plays...

[jorge1]

78422030-14/16/11 11:36am$180.00$150.00
Pending4/16/11 7:05pm MLB Baseball 908 Philadelphia Phillies Under 4½ -120* vs Florida Marlins (A Sanchez - R must Start C Hamels - L must Start)78422030-24/16/11 11:36am$150.00$210.00
Pending4/16/11 1:10pm MLB Baseball 922 Kansas City Royals +140* vs Seattle Mariners (F Hernandez - R must Start S O'Sullivan - R must Start)

[Spaceviews]

Great work!! Keep it up & Break a Leg with the rest of your selections!

[jorge1]

Select #1 : MLB Baseball (Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays)
Minnesota Twins 4/16/2011 4:10 PM - (EST)
Spread -1½ +185 for Game
S Baker - R must Start***J Niemann - R must Start
Risking 30.00 To Win 55.50 USD

[jorge1]

Fack. Had the runline almost the entire game and they give it up on the 8th.

[thericker7]

Good work jorge.

[jorge1]

Thanks.

This one is a fun play. Tail at own discresion. Either way still pocketing a unit plus for the day.



Wager type : Parlay
Select #1 : Props Baseball (Run in the First Inning - All Plays Are Listed Pitchers)
STL/LOS no score 1st inn 4/16/2011 10:05 PM - (EST)
Money Line -145 for Game
*** Fixed Price ***
Select #2 : Props Baseball (Run in the First Inning - All Plays Are Listed Pitchers)
DET/OAK no score 1st inn 4/16/2011 9:00 PM - (EST)
Money Line -145 for Game
*** Fixed Price ***
Amount : Risking 50.00 To Win 92.75 USD

[jorge1]

78509788-14/17/11 12:10pm$262.50$250.00
Pending4/17/11 1:35pm MLB Baseball 956 Philadelphia Phillies Under 4½ -105* vs Florida Marlins (A Sanchez - R must Start C Hamels - L must Start)
78509632-14/17/11 12:08pm$50.00$157.50
Pending4/17/11 1:35pm MLB Baseball 967 Toronto Blue Jays -1½ +315* vs Boston Red Sox (J Litsch - R must Start J Lester - L must Start)
78509600-14/17/11 12:07pm$50.00$50.00
Pending4/17/11 4:10pm MLB Baseball 964 Arizona Diamondbacks +100* vs San Francisco Giants (M Bumgarner - L must Start B Enright - R must Start)78509600-24/17/11 12:07pm$60.00$50.00
Pending4/17/11 4:10pm MLB Baseball 965 St. Louis Cardinals -120* vs Los Angeles Dodgers (C Carpenter - R must Start C Billingsley - R must Start)
78509272-14/17/11 12:02pm$50.00$57.50
Pending4/17/11 1:35pm Reduced Baseball 958 Atlanta Braves -1½ +115* vs New York Mets (D Gee - R must Start T Hanson - R must Start)
78509248-14/17/11 12:01pm$50.00$67.50
Pending4/17/11 1:40pm MLB Baseball 971 Minnesota Twins +135* vs Tampa Bay Rays (B Duensing - L must Start J Hellicks - R must Start)
78509186-14/17/11 12:00pm$50.00$73.50
Pending4/17/11 4:05pm MLB Baseball 977 Detroit Tigers +147* vs Oakland Athletics (B Penny - R must Start T Cahill - R must Start)

[Bluedragon]

what up bro! LOVE the jays pick. What a huge friggin' payout!

[kenjikash]

GL today Jorge

[sitgo]

nice job yesterday guy

[jorge1]

adding:

78522374-14/17/11 2:50pm$120.00$100.00
Pending4/17/11 4:10pm MLB Baseball 965 St. Louis Cardinals -120* vs Los Angeles Dodgers (C Carpenter - R must Start C Billingsley - R must Start)